News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new market: "Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31st?" The current probability is 32%, up 16% in 24 hours.The contract rules for this event are: If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on May 31, 2026, the market outcome will be "YES"; otherwise, it will be "NO". "Visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the land or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether Trump enters Pakistani airspace during the market timeframe does not affect the affirmative outcome. The primary sources of market information are official U.S. government information, Trump's official information, or verified social media account posts, but consensus from other credible reports will also be referenced.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
According to CoinDesk, Wall Street brokerage Bernstein released a research report stating that prediction market trading volume is expected to grow from $5.1 billion in 2025 to approximately $100 billion in 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of roughly 80%. Trading volume is projected to reach $24 billion in 2026, while Polymarket and Kalshi combined have already generated $60 billion in trading volume year-to-date. The report identifies three core drivers of this growth: increasing regulatory clarity at the federal level, blockchain infrastructure enabling global liquidity, and integration with mainstream trading platforms. Industry revenue is expected to rise from approximately $400 million in 2025 to about $10.8 billion in 2030. Distribution capability is viewed as a key competitive barrier. Robinhood has achieved an annualized revenue run-rate of $350 million from prediction markets and is advancing its exchange infrastructure development; Coinbase, meanwhile, offers nationwide access to over 1,000 contracts via the Kalshi platform. Bernstein maintains an “Outperform” rating on both companies.
According to Polymarket’s prediction market page, the current probability of SpaceX’s IPO closing market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion stands at approximately 47%, making it the highest-probability option. The next most likely ranges are $1.8–2 trillion (18%), $1.6–1.8 trillion (13.7%), and $1.4–1.6 trillion (7.8%). Bitget launched its U.S. stock IPO subscription service, IPO Prime, on April 10, with initial support for stablecoin-based subscriptions for SpaceX, referencing an estimated valuation of approximately $1.5 trillion. Additionally, Bitget will distribute two rounds of preSPAX airdrops to VIP users: the first round of 760 preSPAX tokens will be distributed tomorrow, and the second round of 190 preSPAX tokens will be distributed on April 20.