News linked to both this project and an event.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket event "Will the Fed keep rates unchanged in September?", an account that has accumulated losses exceeding $50,000 (0x011175c87089797b1c5bebcfb6d501b4c51d60f7) purchased $74,600 in positions betting that the Fed will hold rates steady in September, with an average entry price of 53.6¢ and a total of 153,845.8 shares acquired.Per the settlement rules, this market will settle based on the interest rate decision following the Fed's FOMC meeting in September 2026. If the actual rate adjustment does not fall within the existing options, it will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points—for instance, a 12.5 basis point cut or hike will be counted as a 25 basis point move. If no relevant statement is released before the meeting concludes, the event will settle as "No Change." The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Odaily News - Prediction market platform Polymarket launched its perpetual contract product, Polymarket Perps, on September 3. The initial offering covers 10 contracts including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, HYPE, Gold, Silver, WTI Crude Oil, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and a contract tracking SpaceX stock, expanding to 67 markets within hours.The product has no expiration date, with contract prices continuously tracking the underlying assets. It maintains anchoring to spot prices through funding rates settled hourly, with funding rate caps at 4% per hour in both directions. Cryptocurrencies, the S&P 500, crude oil, gold, and silver support up to 20x leverage, while individual stocks and other real-world assets support up to 10x.U.S. traders are unable to place Perps orders and will be directed to Polymarket US, which is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This arrangement stems from Polymarket's 2022 settlement with the CFTC, in which the company was fined $1.4 million for operating an unregistered swap execution facility and was required to cease related non-compliant contracts. (Decrypt)
Odaily News The prediction market Polymarket has officially launched its full suite of perpetual contract features, enabling trading of assets such as cryptocurrencies, stocks, and commodities with up to 20x leverage. On July 9, 2026, Polymarket had previously rolled out trading for select assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Gold, and the S&P 500, among a total of 10 assets, with up to 20x leverage. Today marks the official launch of its broader perpetual futures trading.
Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that Polymarket has listed a new prediction event: "When will the US and Iran achieve a two-week ceasefire?" Currently, the probability for September 4 stands at 24%; for September 11, 46%; for September 18, 64%; and for September 30, 73%.According to market rules, if a continuous 14-day period begins before the specified deadline during which the US has not taken qualifying military action against Iran, the market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The 14-day period is calculated starting from the day after the most recent qualifying military action; if no such action occurs after the market is created, the countdown begins from the day the market was established."Qualifying military action" refers to airstrikes or ground-to-ground missile strikes initiated by the US and directly targeting Iranian territory. The military action must directly hit Iran's land territory, including its internal waters, to be considered a strike against Iran. Maritime territory and airspace are excluded. Resolution of this market will be based on official information released by the US and Iranian governments and militaries, as well as reports from credible media outlets.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize opportunities first.
Monitoring by PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that Polymarket's probability of "OpenAI's Astra releasing before September 11" has risen to 86%, up 41% in 24 hours; the probability of release before September 15 has risen to 91%, up 29% in 24 hours.If OpenAI releases "Astra" to the public before the specified date, or releases a product that is officially or credibly confirmed by media to be the same model as the previously announced "Astra," the event will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No."Qualifying models may use names such as Astra, Astra 1, Astra 6, GPT-6 Astra, or be released under a different name. Models like GPT-5.7 and GPT-6 will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model as the previously mentioned Astra.The model must be open to the public, including public testing or an open waitlist; closed testing or private access does not count. Settlement is primarily based on official OpenAI information, with reference to consensus reporting from credible media.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize opportunities.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, the probability of Gemini 4.0 being released before September 30 on Polymarket is now 35%, up 12% over the past 24 hours.If Google opens Gemini 4.0 Flash to the public before the specified date, the event will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No."To resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be officially released and made available to the public, including public beta testing or an open rolling waitlist; closed beta testing or private access does not count.Gemini 4.0 must be explicitly released under that name or be widely recognized as the next-generation product following Gemini 3. Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, and others do not qualify.The resolution will primarily rely on official information from Google, supplemented by credible media reports.Join the PPP Signals Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
: According to the official announcement from MSX Maitong, the platform officially opened subscription for the Phase 3 Pre-IPO projects Neuralink and Anduril at 18:00 (UTC+8) today. The subscription period will last until 00:00 (UTC+8) on September 6, 2026.In this phase, MSX exclusively lists two globally high-profile AI unicorns—Neuralink, the brain-computer interface leader founded by Elon Musk, and Anduril, a top-tier AI defense technology unicorn in the United States. User subscription quotas will be allocated based on effective $MSX holdings, with specific rules subject to the platform's official announcement.Previously, MSX Maitong's Phase 2 Pre-IPO project Polymarket has opened for redemption, with a subscription yield reaching 33.3%. Users can log in to the MSX platform to participate in this phase's subscription.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket prediction event "WTI Crude Oil Price Level in September," the probability of breaking $90/barrel has risen to 60%, up 15% in the past 24 hours; the probability of breaking $95/barrel is currently reported at 30%, down 1% in the past 24 hours.On Sunday local time, the U.S. military launched its first military strike against Iran in over a month, targeting two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island near the Strait of Hormuz. Shortly after the attack, Iran retaliated against a U.S. military base in Jordan. As the conflict escalated once again, international oil prices moved higher, with WTI crude briefly surging to $85.53/barrel.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool shows that in the Polymarket event "Will the Fed maintain interest rates unchanged in September," an account (0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699) that has earned over $270,000 in profit in the past week purchased $938,000 worth of shares betting that the Fed will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in September. The average entry price was 39.3¢, with a position of 2,017,336.0 shares. Additionally, the account holds approximately $3.06 million in shares betting that the Fed will NOT cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, with an average entry price of 98.2¢.According to the settlement rules, this market will settle based on interest rate changes following the Fed's FOMC meeting in September 2026. If the rate adjustment magnitude is not among the existing options, it will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points—for example, a cut or hike of 12.5 basis points will be calculated as 25 basis points. If no relevant statement is released before the meeting concludes, the event will settle as "unchanged." The Fed's next FOMC meeting will take place from September 15 to 16, 2026.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
Odaily News: Prediction market platform Polymarket US withdrew two NFL player participation contract filings on August 26. The platform had completed certification with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) the previous day and planned to launch the related products no earlier than August 27.On the same day, Polymarket US certified Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana price contracts. All three contract types were submitted in paired form and classified as swaps under the binary options subcategory. Both the NFL contracts and the cryptocurrency contracts fall under the relevant classification.Polymarket US separately filed a confidential treatment request for the NFL compliance analysis documents, seeking permanent non-disclosure on the grounds that public release would reveal trade secrets and give competitors an unfair advantage. As of the time of record, another NFL American football starting eligibility contract remained in certified status. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News – Prediction market platform Polymarket has expanded its partnership with Nasdaq-listed sports data provider Sportradar, gaining access to high-speed data and streaming video content from more than 20 sports associations, providing more real-time official data for sports prediction markets on the platform.The collaboration will bring more official sports event data into Polymarket's betting markets, reducing delays in real-time information transmission during games and enhancing the user experience for prediction trading.This partnership signals that sports leagues are gradually embracing the prediction market model, even as U.S. regulators continue to review the legal positioning of related platforms. As demand for sports predictions grows, Polymarket is strengthening its competitiveness in the sports prediction market by integrating authoritative data sources. (The Information)
EntropyIO announced the completion of a $14 million funding round, led by Ribbit Capital, along with $40 million in HYPE staking support. The first batch of markets has gone live on Hyperliquid.EntropyIO stated that it has launched the first liquid Anthropic trading market and plans to further expand into assets such as Pre-IPO startups, computing resources, public companies, and global indices to enable around-the-clock trading.Team members come from Citadel Securities, Optiver, Polymarket, and Millennium, and have developed a liquidity-weighted oracle that dynamically adjusts external oracle price weights based on executable market depth, aiming to improve price discovery and liquidity for new asset classes.
Monitoring by PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Trump picking Margo Martin as the next White House press secretary" briefly rose to 15% before falling back to 9%, up 5% over 24 hours.When asked this week at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland about who would succeed White House press secretary Leavitt, Trump suddenly asked reporters: "What about Margo, what do you all think of her?" He also jokingly turned the question back to the reporters on site, saying, "I don't know (who it will be), maybe it's you."Karoline Leavitt will leave office at the end of August, making "who will succeed Leavitt" a recent focus of U.S. media attention. Margo Martin currently serves as Special Assistant to the President and Communications Advisor, primarily responsible for sharing information about presidential activities via social media.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
Odaily News: RWA trading platform MSX Maitong has announced that it will open subscription for the third round of MSX Pre-IPO projects at 18:00 (UTC+8) on August 31, 2026. This round will exclusively feature two globally high-profile AI unicorns—Neuralink, the brain-computer interface leader under Elon Musk, and Anduril Industries, a top-tier AI defense technology unicorn in the United States.Previously, the second round of MSX Maitong Pre-IPO projects, featuring Polymarket, has opened for redemption, with subscription yields reaching 33.3%. The introduction of Neuralink and Anduril in this third round further expands the platform's Pre-IPO portfolio into cutting-edge technology assets.Users participating in this round of subscription are required to hold $MSX. Subscription quotas will be allocated based on users' effective holdings, with specific allocation tiers and participation rules subject to the information published on MSX's official platform.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Lorenzo Valente, Head of Digital Asset Research at investment firm ARK Invest, stated that Hyperliquid is in discussions with the CFTC and SEC to facilitate the offering of perpetual futures on its public chain by U.S.-regulated companies. He suggested that Hyperliquid acquire Gemini to position it as a U.S.-regulated HIP-3/4 deployer. He noted that Gemini's current market value is approximately $450 million, representing a decline of over 85% from its $3.3 billion valuation at the time of its 2025 IPO. Hyperliquid could obtain Gemini's entire U.S. regulatory infrastructure—including the NYDFS Trust Charter, DCM, DCO, FCM, MTLs, and Broker-dealer—for approximately $450 million.He further proposed that Hyperliquid could use approximately 7.9 million HYPE tokens from its community reserve, valued at around $550 million at $70 per token, to complete the acquisition at a premium of roughly 20% over Gemini's current market value. Following the transaction, Gemini would handle KYC, custody, fiat on/off ramps, brokerage, clearing, and compliance for the U.S. market, while Hyperliquid L1 would provide the underlying market infrastructure, liquidity, and on-chain settlement. He cited Polymarket's acquisition of QCEX as a similar precedent for re-entering the U.S. market, and stated that the core of this potential deal is not acquiring an exchange, but rather securing the regulatory bridge for HIP-3/4 to enter the U.S. market.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket "OpenAI Astra Release Date" prediction market, the probability of OpenAI releasing Astra before September 15 has dropped to 42%, down 18% in 24 hours; the probability of a release before August 31 is currently at 10%, down 8% in 24 hours.If OpenAI officially releases Astra before the specified date in the title (Eastern Time), or releases a product confirmed to be the same model as the previously disclosed Astra and makes it available to the public, the market will settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No.The model can be named Astra, Astra 1, GPT-6 Astra, or any other name, but it must be confirmed by OpenAI's official channels or credible media that it is indeed Astra. Models such as GPT-5.7 and GPT-6 will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model as Astra.A public beta or opening a waitlist counts as an official release; closed beta or private access does not. Settlement will primarily rely on official information from OpenAI, with consistent reports from credible media also considered.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead of the curve and seize the initiative.
Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that in the Polymarket event "Will the Fed hold interest rates steady in September?", an account (0xfbe66593e49c4e7a7180a2582f041158bfb800f8) that has earned over $160,000 in profit over the past month purchased $278,000 worth of shares betting the Fed will keep rates unchanged in September, at an average entry price of 50.7¢, holding 389,715.1 shares.According to the settlement rules, this market will settle based on the interest rate change following the Fed's September 2026 FOMC meeting. If the rate adjustment magnitude does not fall within existing options, it will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points—for example, a 12.5 basis point rate cut or hike would be calculated as 25 basis points. If no relevant statement is released before the meeting concludes, the event will settle as "unchanged."The Fed's next FOMC meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. Previously, at its July meeting, the FOMC voted 9 to 3 to hold interest rates steady.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead of the curve and seize the initiative.
Odaily News: The meme coin "Niu Lai" was listed on Binance Alpha yesterday. After a brief pullback following the news-driven surge, it rebounded in the early hours of today, briefly surpassing a $40 million market cap and currently standing at $38.03 million. DeGods founder Frank has been steadily accumulating, with his current holdings exceeding $500,000 in "Niu Lai." He mentioned that the movie "Niu Lai" will soon be screened in the United States, which is actually a viewing party organized by Polymarket. Qwerty, the top address on the "Niu Lai" profit leaderboard, reduced some of its position yesterday afternoon and has not made any further moves to reduce or increase holdings since then.
Monitoring from the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that in the Polymarket "OpenAI Astra Release Date" prediction market, the probability of OpenAI releasing Astra by August 31 has risen to 24%, up 8% in the past 24 hours; the probability of a release by September 15 is currently at 61%, up 6% in the past 24 hours.According to the settlement rules, if OpenAI releases Astra before the corresponding deadline—or releases a product confirmed to be the same model as Astra—and makes it publicly available, the market settles as "Yes." Public beta testing or opening a waitlist qualifies, while closed testing and private access do not count; the primary basis for settlement is official information from OpenAI.Previously, OpenAI disclosed that it would slow down the development of Astra until appropriate safety measures are established. However, OpenAI founder Sam Altman also stated that Astra is a powerful model and that the company is working to make it available to a broader range of users.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Odaily News According to reports, multiple prediction markets are converging on pricing for the Fed's September meeting outcome: approximately 74% probability of holding rates steady, about 25% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike, and nearly 1% probability of a rate cut. Relevant Polymarket contracts have seen trading volume of $33.9 million; Kalshi, a prediction exchange regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), shows a 73.5% probability of holding rates steady, with related wagers nearing $10 million. Myriad, a prediction platform operated by Dastan, indicates approximately 71% probability for this option. The Fed's July meeting voted 9 to 3 to hold rates at 3.50% to 3.75%, with 3 committee members supporting a rate hike. The FOMC is scheduled to meet from September 15 to 16, with the statement planned for release on September 16; a survey shows nearly 70% of economists expect rates to remain unchanged for the remainder of 2026. (Decrypt)