CFTC Chair Discloses Deployment of AI Technology to Monitor Insider Trading in Prediction Markets Such as Polymarket

According to WIRED, Michael Selig, Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), stated that the agency is leveraging artificial intelligence to investigate insider trading on prediction markets such as Polymarket. Over the past year, multiple traders on Polymarket are suspected of using non-public information to place early bets on geopolitical events—including Venezuela’s surprise military action and the Iran war—and reaped substantial profits, drawing widespread attention. Previously, a U.S. Special Forces soldier was arrested for allegedly profiting from betting on the Maduro arrest incident on Polymarket using classified intelligence—marking the first criminal insider trading case involving a prediction market in the United States.