News linked to both this project and an event.
According to Bloomberg, Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan recently hinted that the platform may release an announcement, sparking widespread market speculation over the potential launch of a cryptocurrency token. Previously, at the TOKEN2049 Singapore conference, Coplan noted that the company is exploring an on-chain asset linked to the platform’s economic system with practical programmable utility, though no specific token issuance plan was announced. At present, crypto startups face a choice between traditional equity financing and token offerings as they seek both capital and regulatory stability.
a poll shows approximately 69% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans oppose using prediction markets to bet on U.S. elections, military actions, and policy announcements, with only 8% and 9% respectively supporting such betting. Respondents consider such markets unethical, socially corrosive, and potentially harmful to national security. The prediction market industry, led by Polymarket and Kalshi, continues to expand, and policymakers are concerned that related platforms may open new channels for insider trading and manipulation.
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that Polymarket odds for "Next Fable model to be released by October 24" have risen to 65%, up 13% in 24 hours.If Anthropic releases a Fable 5.2 or higher version model to the public between market creation and the specified deadline (Eastern Time), it resolves as "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves as "No."The model name or identifier must contain "Fable" and the version must be no lower than 5.2, including next-generation versions such as Fable 6. Public beta or open-registration waitlists qualify; closed beta and private access do not count. If a version name appears only on the official website but the model is not actually made available, it also does not qualify.Resolution is primarily based on Anthropic's official announcements and official website information, with reference to consistent reporting from credible media outlets.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
Blockchain.com is seeking approval in the U.S. market to launch prediction markets and crypto derivatives trading.
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Gemini 4.0 will be released before October 9" has fallen to 3%, down 47% in 24 hours.If Google officially releases Gemini 4.0 before the deadline and makes it available to the public, including a public beta or a rolling waitlist open for registration, the market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".Gemini 4.0 must be explicitly released under that name, or officially recognized as the next-generation model after Gemini 3. Versions such as Gemini 3.0 Flash and Gemini 2.5 do not qualify.Closed testing, private access, and models that are not actually made available to the public do not count. If Google's official website clearly labels a qualifying version and the public can genuinely access it, this will also be considered a formal announcement.Resolution will primarily be based on official information from Google, with reference to the consensus of credible media reports.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Polymarket's trading page now shows it has begun charging fees on market orders for geopolitical events, while limit orders remain free.Polymarket's documentation has not yet been updated to reflect this fee, and the fee parameter for geopolitical events remains zero.
oracle network Pyth Network has released its Q3 business report, stating that as of the end of September, its active annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $11.49 million, up 86.5% from the previous quarter, with net new ARR of $5.33 million in Q3.On the exchange side, the trading volume of real-world asset (RWA) perpetual contract markets powered by Pyth data reached $2.09 trillion in Q3, accounting for 94.1% of the total volume in related markets. In prediction markets, Pyth has provided data support for platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. Among them, Kalshi listed Pyth as the data source provider for its gold and silver perpetual contract markets in relevant regulatory filings. In the AI sector, Pyth is testing financial data infrastructure for AI agents with Exa, providing real-time prices, historical data, and candlestick data to enable AI systems to incorporate market information into analysis and decision-making.Additionally, Pyth DAO approved the "100% Rule," under which all future revenue the DAO receives from Pyth products will be used for open market buybacks of PYTH tokens. Compared to the previous practice of using only one-third of non-PYTH asset balances for buybacks, the allocation ratio has been increased threefold.
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's "Will the next Fable model (version 5.2 or above) be released before October 12" probability has dropped to 17%, a 31% decline in 24 hours.If Anthropic makes a model publicly available between market creation and the specified date (US Eastern Time) whose name or model identifier contains "Fable" and whose version number is 5.2 or above, it resolves as Yes; otherwise, it resolves as No.Claude Fable 5.2, 5.3, 6, etc. qualify; Fable 5.1 and other models that do not contain "Fable" do not qualify.Public release includes official launch, public beta, or a rolling waitlist open for registration; closed beta and private access do not count. If a version name, placeholder text, or incorrect label merely appears on the official website but the model is not actually made available to the public, it also does not qualify.Settlement is primarily based on Anthropic's official announcements and official website information, with reference to consistent reports from credible media.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
Polymarket has released Protocol V2, its next-generation prediction market smart contract system, which refactors the original architecture built on the 2019 Gnosis Conditional Tokens Framework. The new version standardizes on a single ERC1155 position token contract, a single collateral asset (pUSD), and a unified exchange with integrated routing, while natively supporting multiple market types including Binary, Atomic Neg-risk, Incremental Neg-risk, and Combinatorial.
Odaily News: In response to a tweet previously posted by Polymarket CMO Matthew Modabber regarding "Hyperliquid and Polymarket revenue scale and HYPE token market cap," Polygon co-founder Sandeep quoted the post and said that POLY will take over everything.Earlier news: The Polymarket CEO will share important views at Token2049, and the community speculates it may be related to the POLY token.
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "GPT Astra 6.1+ release date" prediction market, the probability that GPT Astra 6.1+ will be released before October 31 has risen to 46%, up 21% in 24 hours.According to the resolution rules, if OpenAI makes available to the public a GPT model with a version number of 6.1 or higher and with "Astra" included in its name or model identifier before the specified date, the corresponding market will resolve to "Yes." The model must actually be made available for public use; closed beta testing or placeholder names appearing only on the official website will not count, and resolution will primarily be based on official information from OpenAI.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
According to CoinDesk, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has submitted two proposed rules to the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB): one would formally classify event contracts traded on platforms such as Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, and Robinhood under the regulatory definition of "swaps"; the other would explicitly exclude casino-style gambling products from the swaps category. This move aims to respond to recent federal court rulings—the Sixth and Eighth Circuits both ruled that Kalshi's sports-related contracts do not qualify as swaps and should be subject to state gambling regulations, while the Third Circuit upheld the CFTC's jurisdiction over prediction markets. With conflicting rulings across the circuits, the matter may ultimately need to be resolved by the U.S. Supreme Court. Currently, the CFTC comprises only one commissioner, Chair Mike Selig, with all related decisions made solely by him.
Odaily reports: Josh, Vice President of prediction market Polymarket, stated on X that the team is fully developing a Rust-based full central limit order book (CLOB), and the current CLOB is the root cause of most of the platform's issues.According to the plan, October will see the completion of the full order lifecycle process in the testing environment, including trading, settlement, on-chain interactions, indexer, and engine notifications; in November, all production traffic will be mirrored to the new trading cluster and results will be compared with the existing system. At the same time, testing access will be opened to market makers, and the migration and switchover plan will be finalized, with two full drills completed before the official switchover. Josh also stated that if progress goes smoothly, the new system will be officially launched afterward, and the migration is expected to require no changes or only minimal changes for market makers and developers.
According to monitoring by PPP prediction market tool, Polymarket odds for "Trump to officially rename AI by December 31" have risen to 66%, up 17% in a single week.According to the settlement rules, Trump must formally adopt a new official name for "AI" or require the federal government to adopt a new name via executive order, presidential proclamation, or presidential memorandum before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the specified date. Public statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts do not count.Previously, Trump reiterated his opposition to regulating Artificial Intelligence (AI) during a speech at the United Nations General Assembly in New York. He also stated that the term "Artificial Intelligence" underestimates the value of this technology and expressed hope that countries around the world would also adopt the new name "Super Intelligence."Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Polygon co-founder Sandeep posted on X that the POL community has recently accumulated and permanently burned 100 million POL tokens through on-chain revenue, accounting for approximately 1% of the total supply, with an additional ~25 million POL to be burned subsequently. Sandeep also stated that POL (formerly MATIC) remains the "most undervalued and overlooked project." He noted that Polymarket has already launched perpetual contracts on Polygon. Following recent upgrades, Polygon PoS is gradually evolving into a more advanced blockchain, expected to achieve 1-millisecond confirmation times via block streaming in the future. Additionally, OMS will soon increase Polygon's daily transaction processing capacity by approximately 1 million.
Odaily News: Blockworks analyst Shaunda Devens posted on X that Polymarket's current FDV valuation of approximately $1.5 billion for Variational is somewhat overly optimistic. This pricing directly applies Hyperliquid and Lighter-level valuation-to-revenue multiples to a platform that still relies on points subsidies. By comparison, the median first-day "FDV / annualized revenue" ratio for recently launched Perp DEX tokens is only 6.3x (Variational is currently around 57x), and within the first month after TGE, trading volume typically drops sharply by a median of 54%.Shaunda added that if conservative assumptions based on historical precedents are adopted (using the median first-day "FDV/annualized revenue" ratio of 6.3x), Variational's fair valuation would be only $167 million, corresponding to a points price of $4.8–$5.4. Even using the highest recent ratio precedent (Lighter's approximately 21.1x), its valuation would still only be about $558 million, corresponding to a points price of $16–$18.However, Shaunda also explained: "To be clear, given that current market risk appetite is clearly in a Risk-on state, we do not believe Variational's valuation at TGE will fall to the extremely conservative range mentioned above. These historical multiples are listed to illustrate that current pre-market OTC pricing may be overly optimistic."
According to official announcements, Bitget has listed Polymarket IPO pre-market perpetual contracts. These USDT-settled contracts support up to 20x leverage and feature 24/7 trading.
Bybit has added Pre-IPO pre-market perpetual contracts for Polymarket (POLYMARKETUSDT) today, supporting up to 10x leverage.
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that Polymarket odds for "the next Claude Opus model will be released on September 22" rose to 77%, up 50% in 24 hours.Only a new model explicitly named "Opus" by Anthropic counts, such as Claude Opus 5.1, Opus 5.5, Opus 6, etc. Other names such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, and Mythos do not count, unless Anthropic officially names it Opus.The release date is based on the calendar date in U.S. Eastern Time.It must actually be made available to the public to trigger settlement. Public betas and open rolling waitlists both count; closed betas, invite-only access, or private access do not count.If the model name, a placeholder, or a mislabel merely appears on Anthropic's official website but the model is not actually usable by the public, it does not count as a release.Settlement will primarily be based on Anthropic's official information, verified in combination with credible media reports.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Odaily reports: AI model developer Typesafe AI has announced the opening of its System One model Jev, removing the waitlist and giving each new user $5 in credits. The project has been developed in stealth for two years and has raised $40 million in cumulative funding.Jev does not support chat; it only accepts facts and closed-ended questions, returning probabilistic results within 70 to 500 milliseconds. Input pricing is $0.042 per million tokens, and output is free. It can answer questions such as buy or sell, yes or no.In a Bitcoin price prediction test, Jev estimated a 55% probability that Binance's one-minute K-line would reach $85,000 before 2027, with probabilities of 48% and 34% for reaching $90,000 and $100,000, respectively; the corresponding Polymarket market probability for $85,000 was 81%.On September 16, Monad Chief AI Engineer Jarrod Watts connected Jev to price data and built a trading bot that submits limit orders to the Kuru on-chain order book approximately every 300 milliseconds. The bot can decide whether to buy or sell based on Jev's judgments and has been open-sourced on GitHub as jarrodwatts/jev-trader. (Bitcoin.com News)