News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News Prediction market platform Polymarket believes competitor Kalshi may have engaged in industrial espionage targeting its New York office and employees. Polymarket's marketing head confirmed the company is conducting an internal investigation, stating there are "too many coincidences" and suspecting Kalshi of malicious intent.According to reports, Polymarket has internally compiled a file named "The Imitators," documenting approximately a dozen suspicious incidents. These include Polymarket's original plan to launch a free grocery pop-up event on February 12, while Kalshi launched a similar event approximately nine days earlier. Additionally, Polymarket was scheduled to announce its perpetual contract product plans on April 21, but about an hour before the announcement, tech media outlet The Information reported that Kalshi was also preparing to launch a similar product.Polymarket employees are also concerned that the office of venture capital firm Paradigm, which supports Kalshi, is located directly opposite their workspace, potentially allowing for monitoring of employees' computer screens. It is reported that Polymarket installed window film on some office windows this spring.In response, a Kalshi spokesperson denied all allegations, calling Polymarket's suspicions "pathetic and bordering on delusional." (New York Post)
prediction market platform Kalshi announced on platform X that Bitcoin perpetual contracts are now officially online. This marks the first U.S. regulatory-approved Bitcoin perpetual contract product. The product is a perpetual contract referencing the spot price of Bitcoin and is classified as a futures contract. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission previously stated that, following review, the BTCPERP contract complies with the Commodity Exchange Act and relevant regulatory requirements, including the core principles applicable to Designated Contract Markets (DCM).
Prediction market platform Kalshi has submitted a self-certification application to launch derivatives linked to Ethereum, XRP, Solana, Dogecoin, Stellar, Chainlink, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Sui, Shiba Inu, Polkadot, and Hedera. This follows the CFTC's approval of Bitcoin perpetual futures last Friday. The CFTC stated that perpetual futures products that US companies intend to list, other than Bitcoin, will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis, and noted that the design of such derivatives may not be suitable for all asset classes. Therefore, this batch of products submitted by Kalshi has not yet been approved.
digital asset management firm Grayscale stated in its latest report that the decentralized trading platform Hyperliquid is rapidly evolving from a crypto perpetual contract exchange into a blockchain-based financial infrastructure platform. In the future, it may even challenge the traditional derivatives trading and exchange systems, growing into a "financial services giant."The report shows that Hyperliquid generated approximately $800 million in revenue in 2025, with a full-year perpetual contract trading volume of about $2.9 trillion and open interest of roughly $7 billion, capturing a significant share of the crypto derivatives market. Grayscale believes the platform is no longer limited to crypto trading. Through the HIP-3 and HIP-4 systems, it is expanding into tokenized stocks, commodities, and prediction markets, gradually building a 24/7 on-chain trading infrastructure.In another report, FalconX also pointed out that Hyperliquid is competing with traditional derivatives exchanges like the CME Group, as well as prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, and is making progress in new markets like Pre-IPO.The report also emphasized that regulation remains a key variable. Although Hyperliquid currently restricts access for US users, as the regulatory framework gradually clarifies and institutions like Coinbase, Robinhood, and Kraken explore perpetual contract products, this sector may see broader growth potential in the future. (CoinDesk)
Odaily Planet Daily reports: Multicoin Capital co-founder Kyle Samani posted on X platform analyzing three possible scenarios for the development of Kalshi and the US crypto perpetual contract market:1. Kalshi's previous efforts are irrelevant: Because the US market itself can already offer unregulated perpetual contracts.2. Protocols must pass the eight decentralized tests of the CLARITY Act: If the CLARITY Act passes smoothly, protocols can offer perpetual contracts in the US without registering as a DCO (Designated Contract Organizer) and DCM (Designated Contract Market).3. Products can still attract users but cannot legally enter the US financial system: Even with user recognition, protocols may still be unable to distribute within a compliant framework.Analysis suggests that these potential outcomes highlight the complex relationship between current US derivatives regulation and decentralized protocols, as well as the uncertainty surrounding the compliant implementation of innovative financial products.
: John Wang, head of Kalshi's crypto business, posted on X platform, saying in a joking tone that "Kalshi is not a cryptocurrency company."John Wang stated that Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the United States to legally offer crypto perpetual contract trading; cryptocurrency-related prediction market trading volume accounts for approximately 70% of the platform's total trading volume, making it the second-largest business category. Meanwhile, Kalshi also serves as a liquidity layer for Coinbase and Phantom's frontend, and only accepts cryptocurrency for international deposits.He once again joked at the end: "That's right, Kalshi is not a cryptocurrency company."
Odaily News, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Market Participants Division today issued an interpretive opinion and a "No-Action Letter" in response to an application from Coinbase Financial Markets, allowing it to offer trading services for certain digital commodity derivatives through its affiliated offshore trading platform, Deribit. CFTC staff confirmed that, based on the framework approved for Kalshi's BTCPERP contract on May 29, 2026, relevant crypto perpetual contracts can be classified as "foreign futures" as defined under Regulation 30.1.Simultaneously, under the fulfillment of specific conditions, the CFTC's Market Participants Division stated it does not recommend enforcement action against Coinbase Financial Markets. This allows Coinbase to transfer customer-held digital commodities and stablecoins, used as margin, to its affiliated offshore broker-dealer to support trading positions in foreign futures and options, even if the relevant offshore broker-dealer has the right to rehypothecate these assets.Analysts believe this statement further clarifies the classification path for crypto perpetual contracts within the U.S. regulatory framework and provides institutional space for compliant entities to access derivatives trading through offshore liquidity markets.
the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced today that it has issued an approval order to KalshiEX, LLC, a designated contract market (DCM), allowing it to list the perpetual contract BTCPERP, which references the spot price of Bitcoin, for trading as a futures product. The contract was submitted for review on May 29, 2026, pursuant to CFTC Regulation 40.3.The CFTC reviewed the BTCPERP contract under Section 5c(c)(4) of the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) and relevant regulations, confirming that it complies with the CEA and CFTC rules, including core principles applicable to DCMs. The approval order requires Kalshi to strictly adhere to the CEA and all relevant CFTC regulations when listing and maintaining the contract.The CFTC also noted that the perpetual contract structure is not suitable for all asset classes and encouraged market participants to voluntarily submit applications for perpetual contract approval under the 40.3 rulemaking for uncovered assets to ensure compliance and robust market development.
According to CoinDesk, prediction market platform Kalshi has filed a federal lawsuit challenging a new Minnesota law set to take effect on August 1 that criminalizes operating, hosting, or promoting prediction market platforms. Kalshi argues the law is unconstitutional, asserting it infringes upon the Commodity Exchange Act’s grant of exclusive federal jurisdiction over derivatives markets to the CFTC and violates the First Amendment by restricting advertising. Earlier, on May 19, the CFTC filed a motion making the same constitutional challenge against the state law. U.S. President Trump has also publicly voiced support for the CFTC’s sole regulatory authority over prediction markets. Kalshi previously secured preliminary injunctions in similar enforcement actions brought by New Jersey and Arizona.
According to Fortune magazine, prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket are attracting younger users through meme culture, humorous memes, and gamified design. These platforms enhance user engagement with features like leaderboards, badges, and comment-based interactions, while also lowering participation barriers—setting the minimum age for use at 18, below the 21-year-old legal gambling age in most U.S. states. Currently, only a small number of top users profit from Polymarket trading, while approximately 69% of users incur losses. Experts warn that young users, whose cognitive development is still ongoing, may develop a high-risk investment dependency. U.S. Senators Katie Britt and Richard Blumenthal have reportedly introduced legislation to restrict minors’ exposure to prediction market advertising.
Polymarket's Vice President of Engineering, Josh Stevens, clarified in a post on X that the prediction market platform will not introduce mandatory Know Your Customer (KYC) checks on its existing services. Stevens stated that KYC is only applicable to the early testing of a new Beta product for some users, and none of the existing products will require KYC as a result. The product will not require KYC after it exits Beta testing either. Polymarket currently faces access restrictions in several jurisdictions, including bans on users placing orders or only allowing position closures. In April, Brazil blocked 27 prediction market platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi, while Spain's gambling regulator also restricted local users' access to Polymarket and Kalshi in May. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily Two executives from competing prediction market platforms clashed on X over KYC issues. The incident began when Polymarket's Vice President of Engineering, Josh Stevens, refuted claims that the platform would fully implement KYC. In response, Kalshi's Head of Enforcement, @robertjdenault, cited relevant posts, arguing that Polymarket should have adopted KYC long ago. He claimed that Russians and Iranians were trading freely on the platform, and insiders were also using it wantonly. He added that if Polymarket truly wanted to prevent this, it should either bring all operations into compliance (starting with KYC) or shut down.In response, a Polymarket official, Mustafa, called the Kalshi executive an "idiot" in the comments under the post.
the General Directorate for Gambling Regulation (DGOJ), under Spain's Ministry of Consumer Affairs, has ordered internet service providers to temporarily block access to prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi.Regulators believe that the two platforms, without obtaining Spanish gambling licenses, offer local users prediction trading products based on the outcomes of future events, which may violate local gambling laws. Spanish authorities stated that unlicensed platforms lack necessary consumer protection measures such as identity verification, minor protection, and self-restriction mechanisms.According to reports, the related investigation is expected to last 3 to 4 months. During the investigation period, Spanish users will see a risk warning when accessing the relevant websites. Regulatory authorities may subsequently adopt measures such as fines, permanent restrictions, or requiring the platforms to apply for local licenses. (crowdfundinsider)
According to The Block, the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs has received the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) proposed rulemaking notice on prediction markets and is currently reviewing it. The CFTC stated it will provide further details after the interagency review process concludes. Recently, Trump publicly endorsed CFTC Chair Michael Selig’s position that prediction markets should fall under the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction. Over the past year, the CFTC has consistently reinforced its regulatory claims over prediction markets and has filed lawsuits against five states—Wisconsin, Illinois, Arizona, Connecticut, and New York—seeking to restrict Kalshi and Polymarket. TD Cowen believes Trump’s statement is unlikely to alter the legal dispute surrounding this matter in federal court.
as anticipation builds for several potential major IPOs, "prediction market trading" centered around high-profile pre-IPO companies is rapidly heating up, with users betting on pre-IPO performance through prediction contracts.Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have become primary channels, allowing users to engage in "yes/no" contract trading on key metrics such as valuation ranges and listing timelines. Prices are quoted in cents, settling at $1 if the outcome is correct.Given that ordinary investors cannot directly participate in equity investments in popular private companies like SpaceX and OpenAI before their IPOs, prediction markets are converting related expectations into tradeable, event-driven assets.Analysts believe that as the window for potential "mega IPOs" approaches, prediction markets are leveraging public sentiment and capital attention to turn IPO narratives into short-term volatility opportunities on both on-chain and compliant trading platforms, further expanding their influence in financial speculation and information pricing. (The Information)
the Spanish government is taking action to block Polymarket and Kalshi, stating that the two prediction market platforms are operating in the country without obtaining gambling licenses, allegedly violating the law. Spain's consumer affairs department stated that it has issued preventive blocking orders targeting the websites of Polymarket and Kalshi. Officials will investigate suspected violations of gambling laws, with the relevant procedures expected to last three to four months.The Spanish Gambling Regulatory Authority stated that when prediction platforms allow users to place bets on uncertain outcomes, they carry gambling risks, and companies seeking to offer such services require specific administrative licenses. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi have not responded to requests for comment. (WSJ)
prediction market platform Kalshi has announced support for the establishment of a new prediction market lobbying organization, Americans for Fair Markets, and has appointed Taylor Budowich, former White House Deputy Chief of Staff under the Trump administration, as a strategic advisor. The organization will confront the sports betting and casino industries, which it alleges are "trying to maintain their monopoly and spread misinformation about prediction markets to policymakers."According to reports, Americans for Fair Markets will push for federal-level regulatory policy for prediction markets and launch paid advocacy campaigns to counter what it calls "false narratives" about the industry. The organization will also join a broader industry lobbying camp, including the Coalition for Prediction Markets, which was founded in December 2025 with support from Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Robinhood.On the same day, the U.S. House of Representatives launched an investigation into Kalshi and its main competitor, Polymarket, focusing on how the platforms handle insider trading issues. As prediction markets face increased scrutiny in the United States and globally, related regulatory controversies continue to escalate.Kalshi stated that the new organization will support the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) regulation of prediction markets and will advocate for KYC requirements, a ban on insider trading, and restrictions on markets related to violence and terrorism under a federal regulatory framework. John Bivona, Head of Government Relations at Kalshi, said: "We will not be outspent or out-organized by established interests trying to protect their monopoly." (Cointelegraph)
Kalshi and Polymarket have lost their bid to block gambling-related lawsuits filed by the states of Nevada and Washington. A panel of the U.S. Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals stated that federal derivatives regulation does not automatically shield prediction market platforms from enforcement of state gambling laws.The appeals court rejected the companies' request to halt the remand of the disputes back to state courts, with the judge stating that Kalshi and Polymarket failed to prove their claim that the cases fall under federal jurisdiction. This ruling deepens the legal divide over whether sports event contracts offered by prediction market companies are federally regulated derivatives or illegal gambling products under state law. (financefeeds)
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit rejected requests from Kalshi and Polymarket, allowing gambling-related cases against the two prediction market platforms in Nevada and Washington state to move forward, and remanded the cases to state court.The court ruled that the two companies failed to demonstrate that the cases should be under federal court jurisdiction. The platforms' assertion that the Commodity Exchange Act has preemptive effect is not sufficient to automatically establish federal jurisdiction.Kalshi and Polymarket previously argued that contracts on events such as sports and politics are federal derivatives regulated by the CFTC, and that states have no authority to enforce gambling laws against them. However, Nevada and Washington state contend that such contracts constitute unlicensed gambling products.This ruling highlights a growing divide among U.S. courts over whether prediction markets qualify as federally regulated swap contracts or as illegal gambling products under state law.
According to CNBC, James Comer, Chairman of the U.S. House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, has launched an investigation into prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, demanding that both companies detail their measures to prevent insider trading—including identity verification, enforcement of geographic restrictions, and mechanisms for detecting anomalous trading activity. Comer stated that internal records from these platforms are critical for identifying improper traders and assessing whether the platforms have fulfilled their legal obligations. Previously, Polymarket was reported to have hosted suspicious trades related to U.S. actions concerning Iran and Venezuela; Kalshi had also suspended the accounts of three congressional candidates who placed bets on their own election outcomes. Comer has directed both companies to submit the relevant documents by June 5.