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Project Overview
Kalshi is a federally regulated prediction market that supports cryptocurrency deposits.where investors can trade event contracts tied to real-world events. Trading contracts based on the outcome of specific events allows users to tap into a wider range of topics compared to traditional stock and derivatives. Whether you are an expert in a particular field or have a keen interest in certain subjects (news, finance, pop culture, etc.), Kalshi provides an opportunity to earn profits based on accurate predictions. Kalshi also provides extensive resources and tools (tutorials, market data, etc.) to help traders understand prediction markets and improve their trading strategies.
Kalshi Completes $1 Billion Series G Funding, Led by Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management
Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour announced that Kalshi has completed a $1 billion Series G funding round, led by Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management. Other investors participating in the round include Baillie Gifford, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Coatue Management, and Andreessen Horowitz, at a valuation of $40 billion. (The New York Times)
Kalshi in talks for roughly $1 billion in new funding, valued at around $40 billion
According to Reuters citing insiders, prediction market platform Kalshi is in advanced talks with existing and new investors to raise approximately $1 billion in a new funding round. Participants include Tiger Global Management and Dragoneer Investment Group, while Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management may lead the round.
Kalshi in Talks to Raise $1 Billion at $40 Billion Valuation, with Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management Expected to Lead
Odaily News: Prediction market operator Kalshi is in negotiations for a $1 billion funding round at a target valuation of $40 billion. Existing investors Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management are in discussions to lead the round, with Tiger Global and Dragoneer Investment Group also participating in talks.The funding round has not yet been finalized, and the final list of investors and closing date have not been disclosed. Kalshi raised $300 million at a $5 billion valuation in October 2025, and completed a $1 billion funding round at a $22 billion valuation in May 2026.The U.S. Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled against Kalshi on September 25 in lawsuits involving Ohio and Tennessee, allowing the two states to regulate its sports contracts under gambling laws. Kalshi argues that its products are regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. (Bitcoin.com News)
OG.com Files with CFTC to Launch Single-Stock Perpetual Futures
Odaily reports: Prediction market and derivatives platform OG.com Markets has submitted a rule filing to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) seeking to launch cash-settled perpetual futures on individual stocks with no expiration date, tradable 5 days a week, 24 hours a day.OG.com recently spun off from cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com to become an independent platform valued at $5 billion. Coinbase, Payward's Bitnomial exchange, and Kalshi have also applied to offer U.S. single-stock perpetual futures. (Cointelegraph)
Morgan Stanley Becomes Strategic Partner of NEXTPredict, Will Explore Institutional Capital Entering Prediction Markets
According to Decrypt, Morgan Stanley has become a strategic partner of New York Prediction Market Summit NEXTPredict and will host discussions on institutional capital entering prediction markets at the event scheduled for October 22–23. Pierre Lindh, co-founder of NEXTPredict, noted that this marks the first time a bank has publicly engaged in events within this sector. The session will be moderated by Stephen Grambling, Head of US Gaming, Hotels & Leisure Research at Morgan Stanley, focusing on the opportunities for institutional funds to enter prediction markets, along with market structure and risk considerations. Currently, around 90% of liquidity and trading volume in prediction markets remains concentrated in sports contracts, though some financial institutions are beginning to explore its potential applications in market forecasting, internal forecasting, and corporate risk hedging. Morgan Stanley previously also took part in Kalshi’s $1 billion Series F funding round completed in May this year.
Kalshi seeks to raise at least $750 million at a $40 billion valuation, with 30-day trading volume reaching $14.1 billion
Odaily reports: Prediction market platform Kalshi is seeking to raise at least $750 million at a $40 billion valuation, doubling its $22 billion valuation from six months ago. The platform was approved as a designated contract market by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2021.As of September 4, Kalshi's trading volume over the past 30 days reached $14.1 billion, while Polymarket's stood at $3.1 billion, with Kalshi accounting for approximately 82% of their combined trading volume. More than 80% of Kalshi's trading volume comes from sports events. (Bitcoin.com News)
Utah files criminal charges against prediction market platform Kalshi and its two co-founders.
According to CoinDesk, Utah has filed criminal charges against prediction market platform Kalshi (KalshiEX LLC) and co-founders Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara for illegally promoting gambling in the state. Prosecutors have filed a total of 14 counts, including one felony for alleged ongoing unlawful activity, 12 counts promoting online gambling, and one misdemeanor count for gambling. The prosecution is based on testimony from an undercover investigator with the Utah Attorney General's Office.
Kalshi and regulators study user protection measures, willing to accept raising the minimum age for prediction market participation to 21
Odaily reports: Tarek Mansour, CEO of prediction market platform Kalshi, said the company is discussing additional user protection measures with regulators and is willing to accept raising the age threshold for prediction market participation to 21.It is understood that Kalshi will impose a monthly deposit limit of $2,500 on users under 21 and set up special accounts for such users designed to curb high-risk behavior. Tarek Mansour emphasized that Kalshi, as an exchange regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), does not directly act as the counterparty to user trades, and that funds lost by users flow to other traders. However, he also acknowledged that the platform needs to work with regulators to develop appropriate protection rules and fill existing regulatory gaps. (Bloomberg)
CFTC Sues Utah to Block Its Restrictions on Prediction Markets
Odaily reports: The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the District of Utah seeking to block Utah from taking action against prediction markets. A week earlier, Utah officials sued prediction market platform Kalshi and its affiliates, seeking to recover up to $60 million in profits allegedly obtained illegally through event contracts.The CFTC stated that Utah is attempting to circumvent congressional intent and restrict the operations of exchanges registered by the agency. The complaint notes that the relevant event contracts qualify as swaps under the federal Commodity Exchange Act, and exchanges offering trading in such contracts are subject to CFTC regulation; Utah's actions infringe on federal regulatory authority over commodity derivatives markets.This lawsuit is yet another dispute between federal and state governments over jurisdiction concerning prediction markets. New Jersey officials in September of last year asked the U.S. Supreme Court to hear their case against Kalshi, and similar lawsuits have been filed in Michigan, Ohio, and other states; as of Tuesday, the Supreme Court had not announced whether it would accept the case. (Cointelegraph)
New York State Gaming Commission Sues Kalshi, Asks Court to Enforce Investigative Subpoena
According to court documents, the New York State Gaming Commission has filed a petition with the New York County branch of the New York State Supreme Court, asking the court to compel Kalshi to comply with an investigative subpoena issued on July 31 under Section 104(7) of the state's Racing Law. The subpoena concerns sports event contracts, business directed at users under 21, advertising that describes products as betting, and equity and corporate structure. The Commission said the move is intended to determine whether to impose civil penalties on Kalshi and other parties and the amount of such penalties; Kalshi has not yet publicly responded. Previously, the New York Attorney General and the Governor sued Kalshi on July 31, seeking at least $36 billion. Federal Judge Torres rejected Kalshi's request for a preliminary injunction on July 7; appellate courts are divided, with the Third Circuit supporting Kalshi and the Ninth and Sixth Circuits supporting state regulation.
NBA Signs Regulatory Agreement with CFTC, Kalshi and Polymarket Become Preferred Prediction Market Platforms
Odaily reports: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has signed a memorandum of understanding with the National Basketball Association (NBA) to share information and establish communication mechanisms to maintain fair trading in prediction markets and prevent insider trading and market manipulation. The NBA announced that Kalshi and Polymarket will become its preferred prediction market platforms. The NBA is the third U.S. professional sports league to sign a similar agreement with the CFTC, following the National Hockey League (NHL) and Major League Baseball (MLB), which have already established cooperation with the CFTC.
Kalshi and Polymarket crypto event contracts hit a record $2.7 billion in weekly trading volume, with 15-minute BTC price predictions emerging as a new hotspot
According to Dune data, nominal trading volume for crypto-related event contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket reached $2.7 billion last week, setting an all-time high. Bitcoin short-term up/down contracts were particularly active, with Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin price prediction contracts seeing single trades exceeding $1 million, and some traders using trading bots to capture opportunities in the final seconds before contract expiration.Cryptocurrency has now become the second-largest trading category on both platforms after sports. Crypto trading platforms including Coinbase, Crypto.com, Gemini, and Kraken are expanding their businesses by applying for relevant licenses or partnering with prediction markets. Meanwhile, declining spot trading volume on centralized exchanges is also pushing crypto platforms to seek business diversification. However, as multiple U.S. states mount legal challenges against sports-related prediction contracts, the regulatory trajectory could also affect the industry's development. (Bloomberg)
Kalshi plans to launch US CPI futures in December, targeting major Wall Street banks and hedge funds
Odaily reports: Prediction market platform Kalshi plans to launch exchange-traded futures contracts tracking the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and core CPI in December. It is pitching the products to major banks and hedge funds and has hired former Barclays trader Michael Ashton, known as "Mr. Inflation," to design the contracts and expand institutional clients. If launched, this would become a unique futures product directly tracking CPI, helping institutional investors hedge against inflation and Federal Reserve interest rate change risks, and further positioning Kalshi to enter the traditional derivatives market dominated by CME Group (CME) and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). Kalshi has confirmed it is developing CPI futures but did not disclose specific launch details. (Bloomberg)
Kalshi Traders Predict Global AI Data Centers Will Surpass 5,100 by 2027
Odaily reports: According to data from prediction market platform Kalshi, traders assign a 75% probability that the number of AI data centers planned or already in operation globally will exceed 5,100 by 2027, up from 60% two weeks ago. The prediction contract will be verified by data center tracking platform Data Center Map.According to Data Center Map, the United States currently has more than 4,700 data centers in operation or in planning, with Virginia leading at over 670, followed by Texas and California with more than 537 and 200 respectively. Meanwhile, the expansion of AI data centers has also sparked opposition from some communities, with residents concerned that projects could drive up local electricity costs and increase water consumption. (CNBC)
CFTC Investigates Kalshi for Wash Trading, Platform Denies Fake Trades
Odaily News: A person familiar with the matter revealed that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is investigating Kalshi for suspected wash trading. Since August, Kalshi traders have executed nearly 1 million trades in the Ethereum futures market, with each trade being almost identical in size, drawing the attention of federal regulators and traders. Kalshi stated that there is no fake trading on the platform, and that the recurring quotes are fixed quotes posted by market makers, which faster traders seize upon. Kalshi co-founder Luana Lopes Lara said that attracting large traders to new markets to promote broader adoption is not uncommon.
Kalshi ETH-PERP daily trading volume is 174 times its open interest, Beni questions inflated crypto trading volume
Odaily Report: Quantitative analyst Beni posted on X that Kalshi ETH-PERP currently has open interest of approximately $3.1 million, with 24-hour trading volume reaching $538.6 million, equivalent to an average daily turnover of about 174 times the entire open interest position, completing a turnover approximately every 8 minutes and 18 seconds; its largest single position is approximately $17,600.Beni stated that Kalshi's previously submitted filing to the CFTC shows that eligible self-clearing member market makers can receive a 0.3 basis point rebate, while takers pay 0.3 basis points, resulting in a combined trading cost of 0 basis points for both parties. He also mentioned that Kalshi and Jump Trading had reached a cooperation arrangement exchanging liquidity for equity, and questioned that the platform's method of calculating trading volume by number of contracts traded and displaying it with a dollar sign may cause misunderstanding.
Bernstein: Progress on the CLEAR Act exceeds market expectations, with any positive surprises remaining unpriced.
According to The Block, Bernstein analysts indicated that Senate Republicans' progress on the Clarity Act may surpass market consensus expectations. The Republican proposal has been finalized, incorporating 126 substantive amendments put forward by Democrats. President Trump has also endorsed most measures within the bipartisan ethics framework, including granting enforcement authority to state attorneys general. Bernstein pointed out that the crypto market currently holds a pessimistic view toward Tuesday’s procedural vote, with "any upside surprises not yet priced in." The probability of the bill's passage on prediction market platform Kalshi has climbed back above 30%. Analysts cautioned that a failure to pass the legislation, combined with hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve, could trigger a "significant pullback" in markets. However, even if the bill fails, it will accelerate SEC and CFTC crypto regulatory rulemaking rather than derail broader regulatory efforts.
Tema Launches Prediction Market ETF, Allocating 15% of Positions to Kalshi and Polymarket Private Assets
Odaily News - Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated on the X platform that Tema is launching a prediction market ETF. However, this product is a thematic ETF, not an actual event contract ETF, which the SEC is still considering. The ETF will allocate 15% of its positions to private assets from Kalshi and Polymarket, with a management fee of 75 basis points.
Exchanges jointly urge CFTC to block Kalshi's launch of perpetual oil futures
According to Bloomberg, the Commodity Markets Council, representing derivatives exchanges such as CME Group and commodity traders, has informed the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that perpetual futures pose significant risks to market integrity, urging regulators not to approve the perpetual oil futures contract proposed by prediction market platform Kalshi. The organization also called on the CFTC to plug regulatory loopholes to prevent retail investors from accessing offshore trading platforms through this channel.
CME Group Chairman Terry Duffy and Kalshi Co-founder Luana Lopes Lara Clash Verbally at CFTC Roundtable
Odaily News CME Group Chairman Terry Duffy, the operator of the world's largest futures exchange, and Luana Lopes Lara, co-founder of prediction market platform Kalshi, clashed verbally during a U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) roundtable in Washington. Duffy questioned whether prediction markets face the same regulatory scrutiny as established exchanges and noted that certain contracts could be subject to manipulation.Terry Duffy stated that CME Group is not a "barker at the circus" and mocked some contracts offered by Kalshi, including the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest contract. Luana Lopes Lara responded that traditional markets and exchanges carry risks as well and that regulators are responsible for identifying and addressing such issues. DraftKings CEO Jason Robins subsequently called on both sides to stop attacking each other's business models.The dispute comes amid ongoing disagreements between federal regulators and states over the regulatory authority of prediction markets, with the central question being whether contracts involving sports, elections, and other real-world events are federally regulated derivatives or gambling products subject to state law. Last week, a Washington state judge ordered Kalshi to stop offering certain contracts. Two days ago, the CFTC instructed Kalshi to continue trading, pushing back against New York state's efforts to block its contracts. (Decrypt)
Kalshi develops AI agent "Harrison" to stress-test prediction market contracts and betting logic
prediction market platform Kalshi is internally deploying an AI agent system named "Harrison" to optimize its prediction market contract designs and stress-test betting outcomes, aiming to reduce the risk of errors and ambiguities in large-scale trading. According to co-founder Luana Lopes Lara, the AI tool is being used to handle critical internal processes for the platform's millions of daily transactions, focusing on resolving complexities in the wording and rules of event contracts covering areas such as political elections, sports events, and award outcomes.Kalshi stated that "Harrison" is helping the team identify potential vulnerabilities in contract designs in advance, reducing disputes caused by unclear definitions, thereby enhancing market operational stability and execution efficiency. As the scale of prediction market trading expands, this AI system is seen as a significant upgrade to the infrastructure layer, contributing to improved contract standardization and automated governance capabilities. (Bloomberg)
New York State Gaming Commission Sues Kalshi, Asks Court to Enforce Investigative Subpoena
According to court documents, the New York State Gaming Commission has filed a petition with the New York County branch of the New York State Supreme Court, asking the court to compel Kalshi to comply with an investigative subpoena issued on July 31 under Section 104(7) of the state's Racing Law. The subpoena concerns sports event contracts, business directed at users under 21, advertising that describes products as betting, and equity and corporate structure. The Commission said the move is intended to determine whether to impose civil penalties on Kalshi and other parties and the amount of such penalties; Kalshi has not yet publicly responded. Previously, the New York Attorney General and the Governor sued Kalshi on July 31, seeking at least $36 billion. Federal Judge Torres rejected Kalshi's request for a preliminary injunction on July 7; appellate courts are divided, with the Third Circuit supporting Kalshi and the Ninth and Sixth Circuits supporting state regulation.
Kalshi and Polymarket Combined July Trading Volume Hits $53 Billion as US Midterms Approach
Odaily reports: Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket expanded ahead of the US midterm elections in November, with combined monthly trading volume reaching $53 billion in July, more than double the $26 billion recorded in May, with trading concentrated primarily in sports.Political trading accounted for a relatively small share, with Polymarket averaging about $2 billion per month this year and Kalshi under $300 million; as of July, trading volume around which party controls the House and Senate had exceeded $30 million.The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) had previously prohibited Kalshi from listing congressional control contracts and at one point proposed classifying election contracts as gambling. The agency withdrew the relevant proposal in February and on June 10 published a structured event contract framework proposal that would not classify elections as gambling. Kalshi launched its Midterms Hub the same month, displaying traders' implied probabilities for individual districts alongside polling averages.Chuck Todd, former NBC News political director and former host of Meet the Press, will host the NEXTPredict summit in New York on October 22–23. He said he hopes to understand the extent to which pollsters and prediction markets need and influence each other, and whether trading is used for hedging or entertainment. Research by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective found that a $3,500 bet could move 97% of midterm election-related market prices by at least 5 cents; Morgan Stanley, after studying more than 72 million Kalshi trades, found that prices closely tracked outcomes. (Decrypt)
Pump.fun Launches Pre-IPO Token Trading, Supporting 8 Companies Including OpenAI and Anthropic
Odaily reports: Pump.fun announced on X that it has partnered with PreStocks to launch a Pre-IPO token trading service. Users can now trade tokens related to private companies on Pump.fun and use these tokens as trading pair assets to issue new tokens.The first batch of supported companies includes OpenAI, Anthropic, Anduril, Neuralink, Figure AI, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Oura, totaling 8 companies.This feature is powered by PreStocks. The related tokens are not equivalent to holding actual equity in the corresponding companies.
Pump.fun launches PreStocks, supporting token issuance paired with pre-IPO tokens such as OpenAI and Anthropic.
Pump.fun's official Twitter account (@Pumpfun) announced that Pump.fun has launched its PreStocks feature, allowing users to issue tokens on the platform and pair them with Pre-IPO tokens from companies including OpenAI, Anthropic, Anduril, Neuralink, Figure AI, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Oura, while also enabling direct trading of these Pre-IPO tokens. The feature is powered by PreStocks.
Crypto.com and Novig Sue Missouri, Seek to Pause Enforcement of Sports Event Contract Ban
Odaily reports: Crypto.com's prediction market trading platform and Novig filed suit against Missouri officials in federal court last Friday, asking a judge to bar the state from taking enforcement action against their sports event contracts. Previously, Missouri Attorney General Catherine Hanaway sent cease-and-desist letters in September to six platforms, including both companies, requiring them to stop offering sports event contracts to state residents within 30 days or obtain a state license and pay a 10% tax. Crypto.com said the cease-and-desist letter was mistakenly sent to Foris DAX, Inc. rather than the trading platform itself; the Missouri Constitution only permits the issuance of two mobile sports prediction licenses, and both have already been granted, making obtaining a license unfeasible.The two platforms argue that the Commodity Exchange Act grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction and preempts state law. Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and Underdog, which also received cease-and-desist letters in September, had not filed suit in Missouri federal court as of Sunday. Because multiple U.S. federal appellate courts are divided on whether federal law preempts state regulation, Novig has asked the court to issue a preliminary injunction during the litigation to maintain the status quo.
Survey Shows Most Americans Oppose Betting on Election Outcomes
Odaily reports: A survey covering 4,506 adults across the United States shows that most respondents oppose betting on U.S. elections and other government actions through prediction markets. 69% of Democratic respondents and 61% of Republican respondents opposed betting on election results. The survey was conducted from September 30 to October 5.The prediction market industry, driven by platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, allows users to bet on U.S. elections, changes in government policy, and sporting events. The related business has triggered multiple regulatory lawsuits between state governments and federal agencies.The survey shows that 43% of respondents oppose betting on professional sports events, while 29% expressed support. The administration of U.S. President Donald Trump is pushing for the industry to be regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). 39 states and the District of Columbia have submitted amicus briefs, stating that the dispute between federal and state regulators has evolved into a nationwide jurisdictional conflict. (Cointelegraph)
Related news
Partnerships between prediction market platforms and media outlets are intensifying, with Kalshi and Polymarket ramping up activity ahead of the midterm elections.
According to Bloomberg, as the U.S. midterm elections approach, prediction markets are becoming a growing revenue stream for media companies. News organizations such as CNN, CBS News, Dow Jones, and CNBC have entered into commercial partnerships with prediction market operators like Kalshi and Polymarket to supplement traditional news coverage. Some outlets have already begun citing market trading data in their reporting, displaying win probability forecasts for the control of the House of Representatives and the highly competitive Texas Senate race.
1kX Report: Blockchain Revenue Expected to Drop 28% Year-on-Year in 2026, Real Economy Revenue Surpasses Infrastructure for the First Time
The report is based on on-chain data from 2,621 protocols and financial reports from 104 listed companies, annualizing data from January to September 2026. DeFi and financial business accounted for approximately $65 billion, representing 66%. In the third quarter, revenue from the real economy reached about $5.3 billion, surpassing blockchain infrastructure revenue of approximately $5.1 billion for the first time. Prediction market fees exceeded $1.5 billion, roughly 19 times that of the same period last year, with the majority concentrated in Kalshi and Polymarket.
CFTC criticizes Utah's criminal prosecution of Kalshi, calling it a "bullying tactic"
After Utah filed criminal charges against prediction market Kalshi and two of its co-founders, the CFTC said Utah is employing "shameful intimidation tactics" and vowed to firmly defend its exclusive jurisdiction over the relevant markets.
Kalshi Completes $1 Billion Series G Funding, Led by Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management
Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour announced that Kalshi has completed a $1 billion Series G funding round, led by Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management. Other investors participating in the round include Baillie Gifford, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Coatue Management, and Andreessen Horowitz, at a valuation of $40 billion. (The New York Times)
Utah files criminal charges against prediction market platform Kalshi and its two co-founders.
According to CoinDesk, Utah has filed criminal charges against prediction market platform Kalshi (KalshiEX LLC) and co-founders Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara for illegally promoting gambling in the state. Prosecutors have filed a total of 14 counts, including one felony for alleged ongoing unlawful activity, 12 counts promoting online gambling, and one misdemeanor count for gambling. The prosecution is based on testimony from an undercover investigator with the Utah Attorney General's Office.
Kalshi and regulators study user protection measures, willing to accept raising the minimum age for prediction market participation to 21
Odaily reports: Tarek Mansour, CEO of prediction market platform Kalshi, said the company is discussing additional user protection measures with regulators and is willing to accept raising the age threshold for prediction market participation to 21.It is understood that Kalshi will impose a monthly deposit limit of $2,500 on users under 21 and set up special accounts for such users designed to curb high-risk behavior. Tarek Mansour emphasized that Kalshi, as an exchange regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), does not directly act as the counterparty to user trades, and that funds lost by users flow to other traders. However, he also acknowledged that the platform needs to work with regulators to develop appropriate protection rules and fill existing regulatory gaps. (Bloomberg)