News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News Japanese regulators are advancing adjustments to the legal framework for digital asset investments, with spot Bitcoin ETFs potentially receiving approval for listing as early as 2028. However, the timeline remains subject to progress in regulation, product review, and tax reform. On July 15, Japan's Diet approved the transfer of Bitcoin and approximately 105 other crypto assets from the framework of the Payment Services Act to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, removing a major legal barrier for related funds to list on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Major Japanese financial groups such as SBI Holdings and Nomura are preparing digital asset products. Japan also plans to adjust the crypto asset tax system from a miscellaneous income tax of up to 55% to a separate self-assessment tax rate of approximately 20.315%.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted a significant increase in on-chain activity among the oldest cohort of Bitcoin holders recently. Data shows that BTC holder groups with holding periods of 5 to 7 years and 7 to 10 years have seen their daily UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) movements exceed 5,000 BTC on multiple occasions.Darkfost pointed out that spending UTXOs does not necessarily mean selling. Long-term holders typically move Bitcoin for two main reasons: first, for security purposes, such as transferring UTXOs from an original address when changing wallet addresses; second, to sell assets. However, based on current on-chain data, no significant flow of funds to exchanges has been observed, so there is currently no indication that these long-term holders are engaging in large-scale selling of BTC.It is worth noting that this behavior is occurring as Bitcoin again tests the $60,000 level, a situation similar to market movements observed between February and March this year. The market will continue to monitor whether the activity of long-term holders will further impact the BTC supply and demand dynamics.
According to Odaily, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that the current bear market phase for Bitcoin has seen the highest level of realized losses among holders. The 30-day moving average (30DMA) of realized losses peaked at $1.37 billion in February 2026, 19% higher than the $1.15 billion peak during the 2022 cycle. Data shows that since the February peak, Bitcoin realized losses have dropped by 56.5% to approximately $597 million. Meanwhile, the scale of realized profits has only slowly recovered to $257 million. Axel Adler pointed out that loss-driven selling pressure has significantly weakened, but the market has not yet seen sustained demand recovery, with the decline in losses still outpacing the recovery in profits.From a historical cycle comparison, realized losses reached $1.37 billion on February 20, 2026, a new all-time high for this metric. The highest realized loss in the 2022 cycle was $1.15 billion, recorded on June 30, 2022. In terms of realized profits, as of July 23, Bitcoin's realized profit 30DMA stood at $257 million, down 92.7% from the peak of $3.51 billion recorded on December 10, 2024. It is also down 77.7% from the level on October 6, 2025, when Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $124,710. This metric bottomed out at $191 million on June 14, 2026, and has since recovered by 34.7%.Axel Adler stated that profit-driven selling pressure has dropped significantly, and the volume of coins being sold for profit is currently at a low level for this cycle. However, this does not mean that sellers have been completely exhausted, nor does it imply that market demand has recovered. If realized profits consistently rise above the $400 million to $500 million range, it would better confirm a sustained market improvement.Additionally, the Bitcoin realized profit/loss ratio has recovered from a low of 0.26 in June to 0.43, but remains below the 1.0 level. The analyst noted that while the absolute scale of realized losses in the current cycle exceeds that of 2022, the relative market pressure is still lower than in 2022. Since Bitcoin's all-time high, realized losses have exceeded realized profits on 190 out of the past 291 days. Axel Adler cautioned that if the profit/loss ratio breaks below 0.26 again, accompanied by a price drop below the cycle low of $58,535 established on June 30, it could signal further escalation of market pressure.
According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Yu Jin (@EmberCN), BTC treasury company @KULRTech transferred another 145.8 BTC (approximately $9.45 million) to Coinbase Prime 5 hours ago. After multiple position reductions over nearly 3 months, its originally held 1,021 BTC (approximately $101 million) now remains at only 100 BTC (approximately $6.47 million). The company's average BTC reserve price was $98,923, while the average selling price was only $74,368, resulting in an accumulated loss of approximately $22.62 million. Currently, its official website's Bitcoin treasury page has been taken offline, and its official social media has not mentioned Bitcoin-related content for a long time; it is widely believed that the company has abandoned its Bitcoin treasury strategy.
According to options expiry data released by [email protected] (@BTC__options), a total of 19,000 BTC options expired this week, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.89, Max Pain at $64,500, and a notional value of $1.2 billion; 125,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 1.25, Max Pain at $1,875, and a notional value of $230 million. In terms of market conditions, BTC briefly broke through 66K this week but failed to hold. The 65K to 80K range is a high-volume trading zone from the early year's rally, indicating significant upside pressure. Overall IV has retreated to the 35% level, leaving fewer trading opportunities. Notably, the ETH put option ratio has exceeded 1 for 6 consecutive weeks, the longest duration on record, indicating sustained high bearish sentiment in the market. However, some traders are also taking the opportunity to sell Puts to buy the dip. Cryptocurrencies have experienced an 8-month bear market. From a cyclical perspective, the second half of the year may see a certain rebound.
Odaily reports, according to monitoring by Ai Yi, the whale "Set Ten Big Goals First" has temporarily increased its long position to 2,933.63 BTC, with an entry price of $64,940.14. This brings the total position value to $190 million, with an unrealized profit of $209,000.Previously, the whale "Set Ten Big Goals First" posted on X explaining the reason for immediately opening a long position after closing a short position: their medium-to-long-term bullish view on BTC remains unchanged. They mentioned that $60,000 is an important demarcation zone from the last bull run and also serves as the key cost support zone they are focusing on in this cycle.
the whale "First Set Ten Big Goals" posted on platform X, stating that after closing their short position, they quickly re-established a long position because their medium-to-long-term outlook has not changed. They believe the key demarcation zone of the previous bull market was around $60,000, and currently, the mainstream mining cost for Bitcoin is roughly concentrated in the $50,000 to $60,000 range. Last month, Bitcoin quickly recovered after dipping to a low of $58,000, validating the support level in this area. They believe that, barring systemic risks or major fundamental changes, the risk-reward ratio of continuing to short at the current level is not favorable. After Bitcoin completed its consolidation and hand-changing in the $58,000 to $63,000 range, it finished its correction and firmly re-established support around $66,000. The market now has the conditions for further upward movement, and they do not rule out the possibility of a strong bullish candle pushing Bitcoin past $72,000.They also stated that the current valuation of the US stock market, especially the AI-related sectors, is relatively high, which could lead to increased volatility in the future. Furthermore, the correlation between Bitcoin and US stocks has significantly decreased compared to previous cycles. With continued institutional capital inflows and the strengthening of Bitcoin's asset attributes, Bitcoin is gradually forging its own independent market trend..
Odaily Odaily报道，VanEck数字资产研究主管Matthew Sigel在X平台发文表示，自2026年以来，多家采用数字资产财库（DAT）策略的上市公司已放弃或调整比特币储备策略。其中，Satsuma Technology、Bitdeer、Prenetics、Genius Group、Vaultz Capital、MAIA Biotechnology等公司已出售全部比特币或数字资产持仓；MARA Holdings、Strategy、Nakamoto、Smarter Web Company、Cango等则通过出售部分比特币用于偿债、回购股份或补充营运资金。此外，Exodus、DigitalX等企业也由单纯囤币转向主动管理数字资产持仓。
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a Hyperliquid trader closed a long BTC position worth $21.59 million that had been held for 30 days, realizing a profit of $499,100. The wallet currently has no active perpetual contract positions and holds 106.13 BTC spot, valued at approximately $6.88 million. Its trading profit is $499,100, with a total historical profit of $3.88 million and a win rate of 57%.
: According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, "Set 10 big goals first" has closed a short-term short position of 2741.712 BTC, realizing a profit of $2.263 million. Subsequently, a 4x long position of 2015.916 BTC was opened, with a notional value of approximately $131 million. The average entry price for the long position is $64,983.34.
According to Lookonchain monitoring, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs had a net inflow of 1,064 BTC today, with a 7-day net inflow of 10,891 BTC; Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow of 37,753 ETH, with a 7-day net inflow of 84,364 ETH.
According to Arkham monitoring data, a suspected Abraxas Capital wallet transferred 2,211 BTC to Kraken, valued at $143.88 million.
CZ expressed regret over BitMEX's closure announcement, recalling that BitMEX pioneered the 100x leveraged perpetual contract in the crypto market in 2014, driving industry development.CZ noted that BitMEX only supported BTC deposits and single-chain operations at the time, and adopted a once-daily, multi-signature wallet batch withdrawal process. These seemingly inconvenient designs, he said, actually helped the platform avoid hacker attacks over the long term.He also mentioned that BitMEX's four co-founders admitted to violating the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) one month before their trial, each being fined $10 million and sentenced to home detention, with no prison time. However, CZ believes that BitMEX's business ultimately couldn't withstand the "War on Crypto" during the Biden administration.In conclusion, CZ stated that BitMEX is currently winding down in an orderly fashion, users can still withdraw assets, and he paid tribute to co-founder Arthur Hayes.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that data shows short-term holders (holding positions for no more than 155 days) have currently been in a state of realized loss for about nine consecutive months, a characteristic typically closer to a bear market environment. According to estimates, the cost basis for short-term holders is approximately $68,800, so the overall situation still faces certain pressure. Currently, as Bitcoin attempts to hold above $65,000, short-term holders are estimated to still be selling at a loss of about 4%.
据 Farside Investors 数据，昨日美国比特币现货 ETF 总净流入 6910 万美元。其中，贝莱德 IBIT 净流入 3880 万美元，富达 FBTC 净流入 2150 万美元，Bitwise BITB 净流入 540 万美元，MSBT 净流入 380 万美元，Grayscale GBTC 净流出 3830 万美元，Grayscale Mini BTC 净流入 3790 万美元；其余产品当日资金流入流出均为 0。
Japan is expected to launch a Bitcoin ETF as early as 2028. With the revised Financial Instruments and Exchange Act bringing crypto assets under the regulatory scope of financial products, Japan's Financial Services Agency (FSA) plans to adjust rules related to investment trusts, allowing funds and ETFs to hold crypto assets as primary investment targets. Multiple asset management institutions have already expressed interest in participating. Japanese institutional investors' interest in crypto assets is on the rise. A survey by Nomura Holdings and Laser Digital shows that approximately 79% of institutional investors and family offices plan to invest in crypto assets within the next three years.However, unlike the US Bitcoin ETF, which is primarily driven by institutional funds, Japan's institutional investor base is relatively limited, and a high proportion of household financial assets are held in cash. Therefore, individual investor funds are likely to become the main source of inflows. Some analysts believe that Japan's Bitcoin ETF could attract up to 3 trillion yen in inflows by FY2028. (Nikkei)
Odaily Equity Research raised its target price for Hut 8 to $195 from $165 on Wednesday, citing the full commercialization of the company's Beacon Point AI data center campus in Texas.This is the second time Benchmark has raised its target price for Hut 8 this month. Last week, analyst Mark Palmer had already incorporated the first phase of the Beacon Point project into his valuation, raising the target from $85 to $165. The new target implies approximately 75% upside from Hut 8's stock price of around $111 on Wednesday.Hut 8 has now signed contracts for 949 megawatts of AI data center capacity, indicating its business is further pivoting from traditional Bitcoin mining towards AI infrastructure and power-driven data center models. Benchmark believes the company is evolving into a "power-first data center REIT," an infrastructure platform centered around power resources and data center assets.Hut 8's stock rose about 2% on Wednesday, bringing its year-to-date gains to nearly 120%. As demand for AI computing power continues to grow, the market is reassessing the value of the substantial power and data center resources held by Bitcoin mining companies.
According to The Block, Bitcoin rose above $65,800 on July 22, hitting a new high in over a month, with a monthly gain of approximately 2%. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for the sixth consecutive day, with single-day net inflows of $203 million on Tuesday. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of $37.5 million on the same day, marking three consecutive days of positive inflows. Analysts have identified the next key resistance level near $68,000 — this price level represents the convergence zone of the short-term holder cost basis and the Q2 opening price, where a large number of trapped buyers will break even, and the first touch is expected to trigger massive selling pressure.
the contract whale "Set 10 Major Goals" has confirmed that the Binance futures real account "Jason leo133" belongs to them. The latest public data shows that this account holds over $45 million in assets and currently has a short position of 2,741.71 BTC, with a position value of approximately $180 million. The average entry price is $65,970.9, and the current unrealized loss stands at $400,000.
According to Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, June CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month, the largest single-month drop since April 2020, overall inflation decreased from 4.2% to 3.5%, the market immediately priced in a hold for the July FOMC, and the probability of a rate hike in September also dropped from over 75% to 63%. However, the US restarted a naval blockade on Iranian ports and conducted air strikes for the fourth consecutive night, Brent crude surged 15.54% in a single week, reaching a high of $87 per barrel, pressure for energy inflation to rebound is accumulating, casting doubt on the sustainability of this CPI decline. Meanwhile, China's Moonshot released the open-source model Kimi K3, claiming performance comparable to frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic, directly impacting the AI compute narrative, TSMC fell 7% in a single day, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index recorded its worst weekly performance in 15 months, the Nasdaq dropped 4.16%, and Nvidia temporarily ceded the top spot in global market cap to Apple. The crypto market, however, strengthened against the trend, becoming the best-performing risk asset of the week. Within minutes of the CPI data release, BTC surged from around $62,000 to $64,900, ETH jumped 7% in a single day to $1,884, CoinGlass data showed approximately $134 million in short positions were liquidated within the first hour. BTC ETF