News linked to both this project and an event.
According to BIT on Target’s weekly report, the Bitcoin bear market phase may be nearing its end, with multiple time-frame signals gradually converging. The weekly stochastic oscillator has declined to its lowest level since January 2023—a reading that historically corresponds to market bottom zones. Meanwhile, the trend model has also turned bullish, and the current price action exhibits stronger continuity conditions compared to the previous two signal reversals. On the price front, Bitcoin is currently consolidating near $70,000, gradually approaching its 21-week moving average—the critical bull-bear demarcation line. The report notes that $73,000 has served as a key inflection point since March 2024; a decisive breakout and sustained hold above this level would further confirm the reversal signal. On-chain capital inflow data shows a recent monthly inflow of approximately $1 billion—marking a clear improvement over prior periods of deep net outflows. The report also cautions that, before prices enter the target zone, the upward momentum may still be disrupted by short-term risk factors.
According to on-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr. (@AxelAdlerJr), the discount for Bitcoin short-term holders (STH) has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, and the 7-day moving average of the STH-SOPR has rebounded above 1.0, indicating short-term sellers are no longer clearly in loss territory. However, the current price remains below the $83,000 cost basis, meaning the market has not yet entered a genuine risk-on phase.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), mining company Riot Platforms deposited another 500 BTC—worth approximately $38.95 million—to NYDIG six hours ago, continuing its sell-off.
According to Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $223 million: BlackRock’s IBIT led with $167 million, Ark’s ARKB followed with $71.22 million, and Morgan Stanley’s MSBT saw $9.36 million in inflows. Fidelity’s FBTC experienced an outflow of $16.93 million, Bitwise’s BITB an outflow of $7.6 million, and VanEck’s HODL an outflow of $5.5 million; all other products remained flat.
According to on-chain analyst Ember (@EmberCN), the rsETH incident on April 18 resulted in a funding shortfall of approximately 68,900 ETH (around $160 million): the hacker collateralized rsETH to borrow 99,600 ETH; after Arbitrum recovered 30,700 ETH, the remaining funds were fully converted by the hacker into BTC. The incident has now entered the remediation phase. Aave is coordinating the establishment of a “DeFi United” relief fund, which has so far received cumulative donations totaling 13,500 ETH (approximately $31.45 million). Donors include Lido Finance (2,500 stETH), ether.fi Foundation (5,000 ETH), Aave founder Stani Kulechov (5,000 ETH), Golem Foundation (1,000 ETH), as well as LayerZero and Ink Foundation (amounts undisclosed).
Odaily Odaily News: Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on X platform, disclosing the options delivery data for April 24th:1. 109,000 BTC options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.93, a max pain point of $72,000, and a notional value of $8.55 billion.2. 563,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.72, a max pain point of $2,200, and a notional value of $1.32 billion.The market continued to rebound this week, with Bitcoin breaking above $78,000. The Hong Kong Web3 conference was also filled with an upbeat atmosphere, and the altcoin market is recovering as well. This is a monthly expiry, with 25% of options set to expire. In terms of holding periods, the distribution of open interest in the options market shows 12% for the end of May and 24% for the end of June.Looking at the main options data, Bitcoin's key tenor IV continued to decline this month, with most tenor IVs falling by 1% to 2% to below 40%. ETH's main tenor IV dropped even more, currently around 60%. Despite the price increase, Skew has declined, and there is no FOMO sentiment in the market.In the second quarter of this year, Bitcoin's performance in both price and market sentiment was significantly better than in the first quarter. This month's sustained rebound is a sign of capital inflow. If macro pressure bottoms out by mid-year, Bitcoin's bottom will also be confirmed.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), approximately one hour ago, Morgan Stanley increased its Bitcoin holdings by 143.34 BTC, valued at $11.17 million, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to 1,964 BTC.
Bitcoin is once again approaching the $80,000 mark. Market analysis suggests that this level has become a key resistance point to test the strength of the current rebound. On the capital front, continued institutional inflows are providing support. Data shows that Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net inflows for six consecutive days, while Ethereum spot ETFs have also seen inflows for nine straight days, indicating a recovery in risk appetite. Meanwhile, whale addresses holding over 1,000 BTC have cumulatively added approximately 270,000 BTC over the past 30 days, marking the largest monthly increase since 2013, and exchange reserves have fallen to their lowest point in seven years.In terms of on-chain data, Glassnode points out that Bitcoin has reclaimed the "Realized Price" (approximately $78,100). However, the cost basis for short-term holders sits around $80,100, forming a direct pressure zone. Should the price reach this range, over 54% of short-term investors would be in profit, a scenario historically associated with the peak of a rebound phase. At the same time, the perpetual contract funding rate remains negative, indicating a significant short position. Given the ongoing improvement in spot demand, this could provide short-squeeze momentum for a subsequent upward move.In summary, while the capital structure and market resilience have improved, the $80,000 level remains a key watershed. The market has yet to confirm whether it can transition from a resistance level to a support level. (The Block)
According to Lookonchain monitoring, today U.S. Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of 4,349 BTC, Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow of 35,736 ETH, and Solana ETFs had a net inflow of 1,311 SOL.
discussions regarding the potential threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin's security have been reignited. Analyst James Check points out that while quantum computing could theoretically crack elliptic curve signatures, its market impact may be overestimated.Data shows that approximately 1.7 million BTC (about $145 billion) are stored in early "Satoshi-era" addresses. If private keys were compromised, this could create potential selling pressure. However, from a market liquidity perspective, this scale is not insurmountable: in a bull market, long-term holders typically sell between 10,000 and 30,000 BTC daily. This means the aforementioned volume is equivalent to 2 to 3 months of routine profit-taking.Additionally, the average monthly exchange inflow is about 850,000 BTC, and the notional trading volume in the derivatives market can cover this amount within just a few days. Historical data shows that during the most recent bear market, over 2.3 million BTC changed hands in a single quarter, far exceeding the scale of the potential "quantum risk," yet it did not trigger a systemic collapse.Analysis suggests that even with a concentrated release, it is more likely to cause periodic volatility rather than a structural shock. Furthermore, entities capable of acquiring such assets are more inclined to adopt strategies like phased selling and hedging to mitigate market impact.Overall, the core issue of the "quantum threat" may not be the selling pressure itself, but rather the governance-level response—such as whether to restrict the movement of assets from affected addresses through a protocol upgrade. (CoinDesk)
According to Arkham’s monitoring data, approximately 40 minutes ago, Grayscale transferred a total of 3,817 ETH and 210.006 BTC to a Coinbase Prime address, valued at approximately $25.02 million.
according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale has opened 20x leveraged long positions on ETH and BTC. The position currently holds 17,257 ETH and 516.42 BTC, with a position value of approximately $40 million.
: Eric Balchunas, Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg, posted on X that Bitcoin ETF flows have turned positive across the board, stating “all rolling periods we track are now positive,” a first in several months. Among them, BlackRock’s IBIT has seen cumulative inflows of approximately $3 billion, placing it in the top 1% of all ETF flow performance.However, Eric Balchunas noted that returning to the all-time high cumulative net flows of $62.8 billion would still require tens of billions of dollars in additional inflows. Nonetheless, this at least indicates a clear rebound in sentiment towards Bitcoin ETFs and a recovery in market demand.
According to Bloomberg, sources familiar with the matter said that cryptocurrency venture capital firm Pantera Capital Management is urging London-listed Satsuma Technology Plc to sell its remaining approximately $50 million worth of Bitcoin and return the proceeds to shareholders. Satsuma has confirmed that certain shareholders have requested the return of funds and that the company is evaluating related proposals. According to other sources familiar with the matter, these shareholders have also demanded a change in management; currently, Satsuma’s CEO Henry Elder and CFO Andrew Smith have resigned. Earlier this month, the company announced plans to cut costs and disclosed its purchase of Bitcoin valued at £1.4 million.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), the whale address 0xa87 has opened a 20x leveraged long position of 7,000 ETH, with a position value of approximately $16.34 million. Previously, this whale went long on BTC and realized a profit of $1.9 million.
According to on-chain analytics platform Arkham (@arkham), BlackRock purchased approximately $900 million worth of Bitcoin within a single week. The estimated average cost basis for its ETF clients is currently around $87,000.
According to on-chain analyst Murphy (@Murphychen888), BTC’s price has risen to around $79,000. The open interest (OI) in the futures market has rebounded to its recent high of 472,000 BTC, indicating continued leverage accumulation. During yesterday’s peak period, short positions paid funding fees to longs at an average rate of $604,000 per hour—lower than the April 17 peak ($790,000) but still significantly above the 7-day average ($197,000). Murphy notes that elevated OI combined with deepening negative basis creates conditions where a price rebound could trigger forced liquidations or margin calls among shorts, generating strong buying pressure and sparking a short squeeze. Historically, similar conditions preceded rebounds on March 9 and April 13; currently, opening new short positions offers unattractive risk-reward odds.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s net inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs totaled $331.9 million. Among them, BlackRock’s IBIT recorded a net inflow of $246.9 million—accounting for approximately 74% of the day’s total inflow; Fidelity’s FBTC saw a net inflow of $56.69 million; Bitwise’s BITB, $15.43 million; Ark’s ARKB, $11.91 million; Morgan Stanley’s MSBT, $11.31 million; and WisdomTree’s BTCW, $6.26 million. Grayscale’s GBTC experienced a net outflow of $16.56 million on the same day, while all other funds reported zero net inflows.
According to on-chain analyst Yujin (@EmberCN), the KelpDAO hacker, over a period of approximately one and a half days, has converted nearly all 75,700 ETH (valued at roughly $175 million) on Ethereum into BTC—primarily via the cross-chain protocol THORChain. This money-laundering activity generated approximately $800 million in trading volume and $910,000 in platform fees for THORChain.
QCP released a market analysis stating that BTC rebounded from its overnight low near $75,000 to approximately $78,000; however, this rally appears more like a relief-driven correction following easing risk sentiment, rather than signaling the start of a new market phase. The report notes that Trump’s unilateral extension of the ceasefire with Iran has lowered near-term expectations of conflict escalation, yet the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed and Iran’s stance remains unclear. Meanwhile, oil prices have held near $100 per barrel, resulting in concurrent inflationary pressures and slowing growth. QCP also points out that BTC open interest has risen noticeably while funding rates remain negative—indicating that short sellers are adding positions amid the rally. Overall, the options market continues to price in range-bound trading, not trend continuation.