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CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that after Bitcoin fell below $60,000 in February this year and the MVRV percentile dropped below 10% into the "capitulation zone", this situation has appeared again since June.
According to monitoring by ScenarioX, an analyst at on-chain analysis platform CryptoQuant, Bitcoin's 30-day spot demand has deteriorated again to nearly -170,000 BTC after briefly rebounding to approximately -80,000 BTC in early July. Despite the significant decline in spot demand, the BTC price currently remains relatively stable, supported by eased short-term selling pressure and short covering in the derivatives market. ScenarioX noted that current derivatives demand is insufficient to support a sustained upward trend on its own, and the overall market structure is relatively fragile. If spot selling pressure reignites, it may trigger a sharp downturn; if spot selling remains sluggish, a derivatives-driven technical rebound may continue, but in the absence of substantial spot demand support, such rebounds will most likely end with large-scale long liquidations.
on-chain investigator ZachXBT stated that the cross-chain bridge protocol TeleSwap was suspected of being attacked on July 15, 2026, resulting in losses exceeding $735,000. However, as of five days after the incident, the project team has not yet publicly disclosed the relevant situation.ZachXBT stated that shortly after suspicious fund outflows were detected, TeleSwap's Bitcoin hot wallet stopped processing transactions. About two hours ago, the attacker transferred the stolen funds into the privacy mixing protocol Tornado Cash.
According to Lookonchain monitoring, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of 1,985 BTC today, with a 7-day net profit of 683 BTC; Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow of 9,765 ETH, with a 7-day net inflow of 53,449 ETH.
according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale deposited $8 million USDC into Hyperliquid to increase their BTC long position. The wallet currently holds a long position of 400 BTC, worth approximately $25.7 million; the total exposure is about $30.7 million, with a long bias of 97%.
Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, the whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" has started to turn bullish on Bitcoin and bearish on US AI stocks. He stated that the reason all four trades since June 25 have been long positions is his anticipation that BTC will initiate a new round of upward movement, while the corresponding US AI/tech stock sector may face a major correction. Based on this judgment, he will treat the long position opened on July 18 (69.4 BTC) as a medium-to-long-term position, without ruling out the possibility of changing strategy midway.
according to on-chain analyst Yujin's monitoring, Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR) now holds a total of 843,775 BTC ($54.634 billion), with an average cost price of $75,476, and an unrealized loss of $9.05 billion (-14.2%). Ethereum treasury company Bitmine (BMNR) purchased 7,430 ETH ($13.68 million) last week at approximately $1,842 each. They now hold a total of 5,777,468 ETH ($10.861 billion), with an average cost price of $3,376, and an unrealized loss of $8.643 billion (-44.3%).
据 QCP Group 发布的市场报告，当前市场整体处于风险规避状态。受美伊紧张局势升级影响，布伦特原油突破每桶 85 美元，创一个月新高，周涨幅超 10%；美股半导体板块领跌，市场担忧超大规模云厂商或削减 AI 基础设施支出，资金转向防御性板块与能源板块。 加密市场方面，BTC 持续在 63,000 至 65,000 美元区间内窄幅整理，现报 64,100 美元附近，7 月 17 日曾短暂跌至 62,924 美元低点；ETH 表现持续弱于 BTC，现报 1,832 美元，此前短暂突破 1,900 美元后回落，关键阻力位在 1,847 美元，多头需收复 200 日均线（约 2,400 美元）方可改善整体结构。 资金面出现积极信号，美国现货比特币 ETF 连续四日录得净流入，扭转此前创纪录的 80 亿美元净流出趋势。期权市场方面，已实现波动率持续压缩，前端期权定价相对低廉，做市商在 7 月 28 至 29 日 FOMC 会议前处于 Gamma 空头状态，若霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势缓和，上行加速风险不容忽视。
according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a trader opened a $10.9 million short position on Hyperliquid, including 163.02 BTC (approximately $10.4 million) and 877 ZEC (approximately $463,000).
According to The Block, TD Cowen lowered The Smarter Web Company's target price from £1 to £0.64, maintaining a buy rating. The analyst cited factors such as revised Bitcoin price forecasts, recent treasury activities, and updated dilution assumptions, while noting that the company's Q2 Bitcoin holdings increased from 2,699 BTC to 2,878 BTC. The stock closed up 2% last Friday at £0.29.
Murphy stated Bitcoin option implied volatility is currently extremely low, with a 1-week IV of 33% and a 1-month IV of 34%, both below the historical range of 40%, potentially signaling significant price swings. According to Murphy’s statistics, similar situations have occurred twice in the past year: in early January, after IV fell below 40%, BTC dropped from $97,000 to $62,000 within 15 days; in late April, after IV fell below 40%, BTC dropped from $82,000 to $60,000 within 14 days; and after June 15, BTC dropped from $66,000 to $58,000. Murphy pointed out that low IV is related to market consensus, the accumulation of volatility arbitrage funds, and the short gamma mechanism of market makers, which may amplify the impact of unexpected events, and reminded contract traders to be prepared.
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, the largest long holder, who previously held BTC long positions worth $107 million, has started to reduce positions and take profits, and has placed break-even stop-loss orders for the remaining positions close to the entry cost.
according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale transferred 700 BTC after 5 years of dormancy. These BTC were initially purchased at a cost of $22.34 million and are currently worth $45.3 million. Among them, 2.319 BTC were transferred to bc1qqqrfuqp8879fljsm424xnukp4eyz2vfl93tma2, and 697.68 BTC were transferred to bc1q7rcz46kk53t8c9re76anmdvsy5szc53aceh798.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on X platform, pointing out that Bitcoin has been oscillating around the key support level of $60,000 for nearly 165 days, failing to hold firm and reignite upward momentum. One core reason is the market's lack of new liquidity. Over the past 30 days, the net outflow of stablecoin reserves from Binance and Bybit has approached $2.3 billion. New demand, whether flowing into Bitcoin or the entire crypto market, remains weak. Since the beginning of this year, stablecoin reserves on exchanges have continued to decline. This rather pessimistic market sentiment continues to restrict the funding support needed for Bitcoin to break out of its current consolidation range.However, as regulatory measures like the GENIUS Act require stablecoins to improve compliance, the decentralized nature of the stablecoin ecosystem may be weakened. In the long term, Bitcoin's decentralized characteristics could thereby become more prominent.
According to EmberCN monitoring, a whale address continued to increase its BTC long position about 50 minutes ago. The BTC long position has now reached 1,662.5 BTC, valued at approximately $108 million.Data shows that the average entry price for this position is around $63,958, with an unrealized profit of about $1.38 million. Due to the use of high leverage for this position, its liquidation price is relatively close to the current price, at approximately $63,142.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated on platform X that data indicates Bitcoin is currently establishing a significant support level within the $59,000 to $70,000 range, which has become one of the most fiercely defended price zones in Bitcoin's history.Approximately 50% of the total Bitcoin supply has now been turned over above the $59,000 mark. If the millions of Bitcoins believed to be permanently lost are excluded, this percentage would be even higher. This round of turnover is primarily driven by short-term holders (STH), revealing a divergence in market participant behavior, with some investors choosing to panic sell while others continue to accumulate.However, although multiple indicators have entered extremely bearish or oversold zones, the formation of the $59,000 to $70,000 range has some rationale. This does not necessarily mean the market has confirmed a bottom. More accurately, Bitcoin's bottom structure is still in the process of being built. Additionally, the large trading volume peak near $84,500 is mainly attributed to internal Bitcoin transfers on Coinbase and should not be included in market behavior analysis.
Well-known crypto trader Doctor Profit stated that he has closed all previous cryptocurrency short positions, including Bitcoin short positions established in the $115,000 to $125,000 range and the $79,000 to $82,000 range, as well as multiple altcoin short positions positioned over the past few months, and added that he has locked in significant profits.
according to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale continues to go long on BTC, with its position having reached 1,660 BTC, valued at $107 million, and a liquidation price of $63,123.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a Bitcoin whale has again transferred 583.23 BTC to a new wallet, valued at approximately $37.57 million. Onchain Lens stated that the address acquired 852.469 BTC for approximately $15.63 million about 8 years ago, when the Bitcoin price was around $18,300. Since then, the whale has continued to distribute the relevant holdings to multiple new wallets and transferred some funds to exchanges.
: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale that purchased over $290 million worth of Bitcoin through Galaxy Digital last year has become active again. The wallet just received 1,001 BTC, valued at approximately $64 million.