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According to CryptoQuant analyst Sunny Mom, Bitcoin rose from approximately $64,000 to $66,000 within two days, but this rally was primarily driven by leverage trading rather than real capital inflow. On-chain data shows that funding rates briefly turned negative on July 18-19, triggering a short squeeze that ignited the rebound. Subsequently, open interest climbed from approximately $21.2 billion to a new high of $23 billion, indicating that new leverage positions continue to drive the market. Meanwhile, spot trading volume has remained in a "cooling" state since April, and off-exchange stablecoin funds are on the sidelines rather than exiting. In terms of ETFs, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for two consecutive weeks, with single-day inflows of approximately $271 million on July 20 (of which IBIT contributed $116.5 million), showing institutional capital is slowly returning, but not yet enough to drive a recovery in overall spot trading volume. The analyst warned that the current rally structure is fragile; once momentum fades, rapid leverage liquidation could trigger a sharp correction. It is recommended to wait for a substantive recovery in spot trading volume before chasing the rally.
According to the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in Polymarket's "Bitcoin July Price" prediction market, BTC currently has a 75% probability of reaching $67,500, a 34% probability of reaching $70,000, and a 12% probability of reaching $72,500.Recently, Bitcoin has continued its rebound trend. According to OKX data, BTC approached $67,000 last night, with market sentiment steadily warming. Additionally, the previously bullish whale "Set Ten Big Goals First" took profits and exited early yesterday morning, but posted on X platform, stating, "The trend remains bullish; this is simply taking profits and securing gains."Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize the opportunity.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), the total net inflow for US Bitcoin spot ETFs yesterday was $203.2 million. Among them, IBIT (BlackRock) ranked first with a net inflow of $163.94 million; FBTC (Fidelity) had a net inflow of $23.11 million; ARKB (Ark) had a net inflow of $9.69 million; and BTC (Grayscale Mini) had a net inflow of $6.46 million.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens, a Hyperliquid whale deposited $3.71 million USDC and placed Bitcoin long limit orders totaling approximately $2.68 million.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a Hyperliquid whale deposited $3.71 million USDC and placed a BTC long limit order worth $2.68 million. The wallet has placed buy orders for 30 BTC at prices between $65,945 and $66,214. Currently, the wallet holds a 14x leveraged CL long position with a profit of $749,700, and an 11x leveraged BRENTOIL long position with a profit of $359,400. The wallet holds $8.67 million in long positions, with no short positions, and has unrealized profits of $1.11 million.
Odaily reports, according to on-chain analyst Ai Yee's monitoring, the whale "First Set 10 Big Goals" has closed its position and made a profit of $6.019 million, with actual long position holdings of 4,006.47 BTC. In the early hours, it tweeted that it had taken profit, with the final $258 million long position opened at $64,614.7 and closed at $66,160.47. It stated, "The bullish trend remains unchanged. We've taken profit on this trade, secured the gains, and will take a two-day rest."
Odaily data shows that Solana and Hyperliquid ETF trading volumes together account for nearly 80% of all non-BTC and non-ETH ETF trading volume. The Solana ETF currently has an assets under management (AUM) of $904 million, while Hyperliquid-related funds have accumulated a net inflow of $350 million since their launch two months ago. The combined ETF sizes of both represent approximately 2% of their respective tokens' market capitalizations. (The Block)
according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a Hyperliquid trader had part of their $7.4 million BTC short position liquidated, incurring a loss of $232,700. The wallet still holds an open position of 60.46 BTC, valued at approximately $4.02 million, with a mark price of $66,495 and a liquidation price of $67,109.
according to Lookonchain monitoring, US Bitcoin ETFs had a net inflow of 3,443 BTC today, with a 7-day net inflow of 11,030 BTC; Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow of 19,517 ETH, with a 7-day net inflow of 81,773 ETH.
10x Research posted on X platform, stating that data shows Bitcoin's implied volatility (IV) dropped to a local low of 33% on July 15, and has now ended its consecutive decline, slightly recovering to 35%. This is a significant drop compared to the high of approximately 55% seen in February of this year. Although the recent rebound in implied volatility is limited, it has already caught the attention of options traders. This rebound in the indicator may suggest upcoming market turbulence, but it remains to be confirmed whether the market is bottoming out for a rebound or merely pausing temporarily before a further decline.
the whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" posted on X platform, stating that in the previous round, they built a position with 150 BTC, targeting $150 million, and at peak realized a profit of $120 million. However, they misjudged the trend during a $120,000 decline, wiping out all profits, and ultimately only preserved their principal with a slight gain. In this round, they built a position with 300 BTC, targeting $300 million, and have already realized a profit of $60 million.They subsequently added that rules are continuously being established and habits formed. Learning from the lesson of having all previous round's profits erased, they have strictly adopted habits of risk control discipline, accepting the possibility of missing opportunities or making wrong judgments, but refusing any probability of being completely wiped out.
据 ZDNet Korea 报道,韩国国内 5 大原币种虚拟资产交易所日交易额截至 7月 20 日约为 4127 亿韩元,较一年前骤降 88%。交易额下滑与比特币价格走低密切相关——比特币去年 10 月创下 12.6 万美元历史高点后持续回落,目前在 6 万美元初横盘。全球加密货币总市值同比下降 41%至约 2.32 万亿美元,业内人士将当前行情定性为"第二次加密冬天"。受此冲击,韩国头部交易所 Dunamu(旗下 Upbit)一季度营收及营业利润同比分别下滑 55%和 78%;中小交易所 Korbit 为维持运营,今年已三度出售持仓资产,仅近期便通过抛售 15枚 BTC 和60枚 ETH 套现约 16 亿韩元。
Odaily Odaily News Polymarket traders have raised the probability of Bitcoin hitting $67,500 in July to 70%, up from about 56% earlier this week. The current market probability of Bitcoin reaching $65,000 stands at 82%, while the probability of it falling below $60,000 is 13%. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for the fifth consecutive trading day this week, fueling bets on higher prices. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has maintained its target interest rate between 3.50% and 3.75%, and new Chairman Kevin Warsh has shifted the central bank's communication style to purely data-dependent.
: According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, a smart money address has been long 1,000 BTC and 10,000 ETH since early July, entering the market on July 6 and July 14 at entry points of $62,354 and $1,761.9 respectively. The current position is worth $85.36 million, with an unrealized profit of $5.484 million, and it has already paid over $330,000 in funding fees.
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi, as BTC breaks through $66,000, the unrealized profit on the BTC long position of the "Set 10 Big Goals First" whale @Jason60704294 may expand to $5.15 million. The average entry price is $63,827.06, with an estimated position of approximately 2,358.05 BTC (approximately $150 million).
: U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $227 million on Monday, the strongest single-day net inflow since July 6, and the fifth consecutive trading day with net inflows. According to SoSoValue data, over the past five trading days, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated a total net inflow of approximately $727 million. This consecutive inflow streak is the longest in nearly three months; the previous longer streak was six trading days from April 30 to May 5. The Monday inflow brought the year-to-date net outflow for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs below $5 billion. Simon-Peter Massabni, Head of Business Development at XS.com, stated that the recent capital inflows suggest selling pressure may be easing, rather than indicating a full return of institutional demand.
According to monitoring by Axel Adler Jr, as of July 21, the Bitcoin supply concentration indicator, the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), reached 1116.1, surpassing 89.6% of historical observations over the past decade. The index has risen by 5.5% in the last 90 days and accumulated an increase of 10.1% over the past 180 days.The uniformity of Bitcoin distribution continues to decline, with coins concentrated among holders within specific holding periods. The upward trend is primarily driven by coins held for 6 to 12 months. Within 90 days, the proportion of coins held for 6 to 12 months increased from 12.9% to 19.3%, while the share held for 3 to 6 months decreased from 14.3% to 6.3%. Long-term holders holding for over a decade account for 17.7% of the total supply.This shift represents the natural aging of coins, transitioning from the 3 to 6-month holding period to the 6 to 12-month period, rather than a new wave of large-scale accumulation. Currently, 81.6% of all Bitcoin has not moved for over six months, and 62.3% has remained idle for more than a year.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that data shows since November 2021, the Bitcoin balance held by miner-associated over-the-counter (OTC) addresses has decreased from 500,000 to 139,700, a cumulative decline of nearly 72%. This trend has continued for over four years, indicating that the Bitcoin reserves of this group are continuously shrinking.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, an ancient Bitcoin whale dormant for 4 months has deposited 1000 BTC into Binance, valued at approximately $65.56 million at current prices, suspected to be for sale.
According to Farside Investors data, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $226.8 million yesterday. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT saw a net inflow of $116.5 million, Ark's ARKB saw a net inflow of $72.7 million, and Fidelity's FBTC saw a net inflow of $24.1 million.