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Crypto analyst Ali published a detailed analysis on X, arguing that rather than debating whether Bitcoin has hit its bottom, market participants should focus on whether the current volatility represents a “generation-defining entry opportunity.” Based on long-term trend lines, on-chain liquidity, and cost distribution metrics, Ali delineates the core “value range” for this cycle. On the support side, the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows a significant concentration of coins in the $63,111–$70,685 range, forming the current primary support zone; if price breaks below $63,111, the market may enter a liquidity vacuum. From a long-term perspective, Bitcoin is approaching the key upward trend line from the past decade (approximately $56,000–$60,000), a level historically associated with accumulation phases preceding major rallies.
According to ZachXBT, BitcoinDepot filed an 8-K on April 6, 2026, stating that it discovered the theft of 50.9 BTC on March 23; on-chain tracking shows that 19 high-confidence theft addresses had already transferred a total of 54.45 BTC as early as March 20—3.55 BTC more than disclosed—and the funds ultimately flowed into KuCoin, indicating the company may have detected the anomaly three days late.
According to CoinDesk, as market sentiment improves, the Bitcoin options market is undergoing a notable shift: the $80,000 call option on Deribit has become the most actively traded, with open interest exceeding $1.6 billion—surpassing the previously dominant $60,000 put option (which held approximately $1.41 billion in open interest). Analysts suggest that the recent temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran has driven oil prices lower, easing inflation expectations and potentially strengthening market anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts—thereby benefiting risk assets including Bitcoin. Additionally, asset management firm 21Shares stated that, against the backdrop of sustained ETF inflows and rising institutional holdings, Bitcoin could potentially reach $100,000 by the end of Q2—if geopolitical tensions ease further and the regulatory environment improves. However, risks remain: the current ceasefire is fragile, and any escalation in Middle Eastern conflict could trigger a rebound in oil prices, dampening market risk appetite and thereby capping Bitcoin’s upside potential.
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $71,200, while Ethereum trades at $2,185; the broader market remains range-bound. Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warned that if Bitcoin fails to reclaim $75,000, it risks falling as low as $10,000; conversely, Fundstrat founder Tom Lee believes the market bottom has already been established. In derivatives markets, Bitcoin futures open interest rose to 726,000 BTC, with the 24-hour Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) remaining positive for two consecutive days and funding rates slightly above zero—indicating an overall bullish bias. In contrast, CVD and funding rates for ETH, XRP, and Solana are marginally negative. The volatility index continues to decline, with the market anticipating price swings of only about 2.5% around Friday’s inflation data release. Among altcoins, MANA and AERO each rose roughly 6%; however, MANA’s gain coincided with a 25% surge in open interest, suggesting leveraged trading drove much of the move. Market participants are closely watching whether Bitcoin can decisively break above and hold $75,000—if achieved, it could trigger capital rotation into oversold altcoin sectors.
According to The Block, Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy, stated that Bitcoin may have already bottomed near $60,000, as forced sellers have gradually exited the market. Saylor also expressed skepticism regarding the security threat posed by quantum computing, describing the associated risks as still “theoretical” at present and believing the issue can be adequately addressed in the future—thus warranting no excessive concern.
Binance has announced the completion of the DAI (DAI) token swap and rebranding to USDS (USDS), and has enabled deposits and withdrawals for the new USDS token. Spot trading pairs BTC/USDS, ETH/USDS, and USDS/USDT will go live on April 9, 2026, at 16:00 (UTC+8).
According to CoinDesk, the U.S. March CPI data will be released on Friday. Markets expect the annual growth rate to jump from 2.4% in February to 3.4%, yet Bitcoin markets have reacted calmly. The options market currently prices in only about a 2.5% volatility range, and the BVIV Index (30-day implied volatility) has fallen to 46.5%, its lowest level since January 31. Traders broadly view this release as non-eventful. This CPI report is drawing heightened attention primarily due to energy shocks triggered by the Iran conflict—U.S. gasoline prices surged above $4 per gallon in March, the first time since August 2022. Multiple analysts note that softer-than-expected data could revive rate-cut expectations, while hotter data would reinforce the “higher-for-longer” interest-rate narrative—exerting an asymmetric impact on crypto markets.
According to Cointelegraph, blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis released a report stating that stablecoin-adjusted transaction volume is projected to reach $719 trillion by 2035—marking a substantial increase from $28 trillion in 2025. If two major macro catalysts align, this figure could double further to $15 trillion, surpassing the current annual global cross-border payment volume of approximately $10 trillion. The two catalysts are: (1) the transfer of over $100 trillion in wealth from the Baby Boomer generation to younger, crypto-native generations; and (2) stablecoins fully replacing traditional payment rails as the default payment infrastructure. Rachael Lucas, an analyst at Australian crypto exchange BTC Markets, noted that strategic moves—including Stripe’s acquisition of Bridge and Mastercard’s partnership with BVNK—are concrete steps forward. Coupled with regulatory clarity provided by the GENIUS Act, institutional participation is expected to expand significantly.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), the Royal Government of Bhutan transferred 319.7 BTC (valued at approximately $22.67 million) to two wallets: one is a new wallet, suspected to be an exchange wallet; the other is an older wallet previously used for fund transfers and sales via OKX or Galaxy Digital.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $124 million. The breakdown by issuer is as follows: BlackRock’s IBIT recorded a net inflow of $40.67 million; Fidelity’s FBTC saw a net outflow of $79.12 million; Ark’s ARKB experienced a net outflow of $74.7 million; Grayscale’s GBTC had a net outflow of $11.1 million; Bitwise’s BITB, Invesco’s BTCO, Franklin’s EZBC, Valkyrie’s BRRR, VanEck’s HODL, WisdomTree’s BTCW, and Grayscale’s mini BTC all registered zero net flow for the day.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), a whale previously opened a long position of 325.88 BTC (approximately $23.22 million) with 30x leverage, with a liquidation price of $70,092.20. Subsequently, this address closed its long position at a loss and quickly reversed to open a short position of 288.69 BTC (approximately $20.4 million). It currently holds an unrealized profit of $209,000, with the current short position’s liquidation price at $72,782.34.
According to CoinDesk, Morgan Stanley’s spot Bitcoin ETF, the “Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust,” saw active trading on its first day, with over 1.6 million shares traded and approximately $34 million in net inflows. Coinbase serves as the cold-storage custodian for the fund, while BNY Mellon handles cash management, administrative, and transfer functions. The fund’s expense ratio is 0.14%.