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"1011 Insider Whale" Proxy: Bitcoin Could Face Downside Risk If It Continues to Linger Around $76,500

Garrett Jin, proxy for the "1011 Insider Whale," posted on X that the current situation for Bitcoin bulls is "not very optimistic," and that he does not want BTC to continue staying above $76,500.Garrett Jin believes that the longer the price stays at this level, the greater the likelihood that it will break below this support and seek support at lower levels; if BTC is to show a stronger trend, it needs to reclaim and hold above $78,300.

Analyst: Long-Term Holder Activity Edges Up Slightly, Overall Activity in 2026 Remains Fairly Quiet

Odaily News: According to Darkfost monitoring, this cycle may be the most active one for Bitcoin long-term holders. Related changes can be observed through the CDD heatmap, an indicator that tracks the number of days Bitcoin was held before being spent or transferred. Long-term holders moving Bitcoin is usually associated with an intent to sell. The increased activity among long-term holders in this cycle may be attributed to greater market liquidity brought by spot ETFs and companies building Bitcoin treasury reserves. However, a rise in CDD does not only appear at market tops; it may also reflect capitulation by some holders. Coinbase previously moved 800,000 BTC, a large portion of which had been held for more than 6 months. Such asset migrations can also cause a short-term spike in CDD, but they are sporadic events. Currently, with Bitcoin's recent rally, long-term holder activity has increased slightly, possibly because some holders are looking to take quick profits; but overall, related activity in 2026 remains fairly quiet, with long-term holders still waiting.

Zcash mining rewards per solo machine are about 2x Bitcoin's, with roughly 4x higher reward per unit of electricity

Odaily News: Crypto asset management firm Grayscale estimates that Zcash mining rigs generate daily mining rewards roughly 2x those of Bitcoin mining rigs, and about 4x on a per-unit-of-electricity basis. Zcash mining activity has grown to more than 2.5x its level at the start of the year.Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, said that at current valuations, Zcash mining profitability is relatively high, as token price gains have driven up mining rewards and encouraged more hash rate to join. Grayscale believes that more hash rate can support network security.The comparison uses the Bitmain S23 Hydro and Bitmain Z15 Pro as samples, assuming an electricity price of $0.05 per kilowatt-hour, full-load operation, and excluding transaction fees. Pool fees, cooling, other operating expenses, and equipment costs are not included in the calculation, and actual profitability is still affected by these factors.Bitcoin miners' total daily rewards are about $35 million, higher than Zcash's roughly $2 million. Grayscale's Zcash investment product assets under management surpassed $500 million on September 8 and recorded more than $70 million in cumulative external inflows. (Bitcoin.com News)

Solana's four anonymous whales hold over 20.6 million SOL, worth approximately $2.1 billion

Odaily News: Coinbase currently stakes approximately 24 million SOL, valued at approximately $2.45 billion at a price of $101 to $102. The Solana Foundation's staking withdrawal authority holds approximately 23.7141 million SOL, valued at approximately $2.42 billion, and this authority can control funds spread across hundreds of staking accounts.Binance BNSOL Pool holds approximately 10.3905 million SOL, valued at over $1 billion; Jito staking pool holds approximately 10.2725 million SOL, valued at approximately $1.05 billion. After users deposit SOL, they can respectively receive BNSOL or JitoSOL liquid staking tokens.Four unidentified addresses collectively control over 20.6 million staked SOL, valued at approximately $2.1 billion. One of the addresses holds 5.6175 million SOL, while the other three addresses respectively hold 5.0034 million, 5.0024 million, and 5.0024 million SOL. (Bitcoin.com News)

Analyst: Bitcoin's repeated tests of previous lows may be flushing out leveraged longs ahead of an eventual upward breakout.

Analyst KillaXBT noted that while Bitcoin’s short-term price has remained choppy, recent price action has repeatedly broken below previous lows, triggering long stop-losses and liquidations, indicating the market’s primary target has consistently been to flush out longs. In their view, repeated sweeps of the lows help reduce market leverage while gradually eroding investor long conviction, conditioning traders to expect that “a break below previous lows will lead to further downside.” In this scenario, a final downward sweep could instead mark a local bottom, after which prices resume advancing toward earlier highs. Nevertheless, this perspective is rooted in trading structure analysis rather than a definitive price forecast.

Bitcoin open interest decreased by 13,600 BTC over 24 hours, with market leverage levels declining.

According to data from on-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr., Bitcoin open interest (OI) decreased by approximately 13,600 BTC over the past 24 hours, while the BTC price remained largely unchanged during the same period. He noted that in the absence of a significant price decline, the drop in open interest indicates that the market is proactively deleveraging, which helps mitigate the risk of concentrated liquidations of high-leverage positions triggering cascading liquidations.

Bitcoin market sentiment has reached its highest level since March 2024, briefly entering "extreme greed".

According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, this round of Bitcoin's rally has pushed investor sentiment to its most optimistic level in nearly two years, with relevant market sentiment indicators briefly surpassing 89 points into the "Extreme Greed" zone, the last time similar levels were seen in March 2024. Darkfost pointed out that when market sentiment becomes excessively optimistic or pessimistic, it often warrants attention for potential trend reversals. Currently, the indicator has begun to retreat from its previous frenzied levels and is gradually returning to a relatively normal range, while the Bitcoin price is attempting to hold its current level.

Yesterday, US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a net inflow of $216.4 million, while spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $13.2 million.

According to Farside data, US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a net inflow of $216.4 million yesterday, while spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $13.2 million, marking four consecutive trading days of net outflows.

In 4 Days, a Whale Spent 85.42 Million USDC to Cross-Chain Buy 1,075.6 BTC

Odaily reports, according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, a whale completed a cross-chain BTC purchase 2 hours ago. Over the past 4 days, this whale spent a total of 85.42 million USDC to buy 1,075.6 BTC, with an average cost of $79,412, including approximately $170,000 in swap fees paid to THORChain.

"Setting 10 Big Targets First": Bullish Trend Remains Unchanged

following the release of today's US CPI data, the whale "Setting 10 Big Targets First" posted on X platform stating that Bitcoin has not fallen below $74,000, and the bullish trend remains unchanged."Setting 10 Big Targets First" previously stated: "Next, I'll look for opportunities to re-enter long positions. This trend has come more fiercely than I originally imagined, so the imagination for what's ahead can be bolder too. Getting on board at $80,000 or even above $80,000, I think it's still not too late—there's still room. $100,000 will most likely arrive sooner than I originally expected. Once we hit $100,000, we can reassess just how far this trend can go."

CPI data triggers BTC wick, whale’s $70M long position liquidated

According to Jinzi monitoring, after the CPI data was released at 20:30, BTC's price briefly dipped to $76,046, triggering the $76,308 liquidation price for a whale's $70 million BTC long position, leading to a full liquidation and a loss of approximately $1.6 million. BTC prices quickly rebounded afterward. The whale has since reopened a $13.68 million BTC long position at $77,875.

SlowMist Discloses Liquid Vulnerability Details: Attacker Minted 3,998.5 L-BTC Without Collateral, Approximately 598.5 BTC Still Not Returned

SlowMist has disclosed that the Liquid Network was attacked on September 6 via a Rangeproof verification cache key collision vulnerability. The attacker minted approximately 3,998.5 L-BTC without collateral — with no corresponding BTC peg-in — and then within minutes converted them to BTC on the Bitcoin mainnet via peg-out. After the incident, approximately 3,400 BTC was returned to the Liquid Federation peg wallet, but approximately 598.5 BTC remains under the attacker's control.SlowMist noted that the root cause of the vulnerability lies in the fact that the Rangeproof verification cache key in Elements did not include length prefixes when concatenating multiple variable-length fields, allowing different parameter combinations to potentially generate the same cache key. The attacker triggered a cache collision by constructing transactions, causing nodes to hit a "verification passed" cached result, thereby bypassing secp256k1_rangeproof_verify and the minimum amount check, ultimately accepting outputs not backed by real assets and completing the L-BTC minting. SlowMist stated that it has traced the fund flows on the Bitcoin side and completed its analysis of the incident.

A whale opened a 4x leveraged short position on 640 BTC, with the position valued at $49.33 million, after previously profiting over $10 million from a long ETH position

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale previously went long on ETH before the market rally and profited over $10 million. The whale is now shorting Bitcoin, having opened a 4x leveraged short position on 640 BTC worth $49.33 million.

A trader's unrealized profits on long BTC and ETH positions exceed $21 million

According to Arkham data, trader 0x15a opened a $77.1 million BTC long position with 40x leverage one month ago at an entry price of $62,354, currently holding an unrealized profit of $14.78 million. Additionally, they hold a $24.6 million ETH long position with 20x leverage, with an unrealized profit of approximately $7 million.

Analysts: Bitcoin profitable supply ratio rebounds to 69%, with a 90-day increase of +41%

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. posted that on-chain data shows the percentage of Bitcoin's supply in profit has rebounded from 47% at the end of June to 69%, moving out of historically typical market stress zones. Meanwhile, the 90-day change of this metric quickly reversed from -19% in early August to +41%, marking one of the fastest recoveries in Bitcoin's history.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net outflows of $283 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $283 million yesterday, including: • ARKB (Ark): Outflow of $164 million, the largest for the day • GBTC (Grayscale): Outflow of $36.38 million • FBTC (Fidelity): Outflow of $33.55 million • IBIT (BlackRock): Outflow of $24.46 million • HODL (VanEck): Outflow of $15.27 million • BITB (Bitwise): Outflow of $12.56 million • MSBT (Morgan Stanley): Slight inflow of $3.98 million, the only one posting net inflows for the day

JPMorgan: Bitcoin ETP Fund Concentration Surges, Weekly Net Outflows Reach $1.126 Billion

According to Tide Research, JPMorgan's research report dated September 8, 2026 noted that on September 4, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETPs recorded a net outflow of $175 million, Ethereum ETPs saw a net inflow of $9 million, and Solana ETPs posted a net outflow of $5 million. For the week, the three major categories combined for a net outflow of $1.126 billion, showing a slight slowdown compared to the previous two weeks. Capital inflows were highly concentrated, with BlackRock's IBIT recording a single-day inflow of $118 million and Fidelity's FBTC seeing an inflow of $57 million, while all other products registered zero inflow. Significant internal hedging was observed within Ethereum ETPs, as BlackRock's ETHA posted an inflow of $58 million against a $48 million outflow for Fidelity's FETH. The total AUM for Bitcoin ETPs stands at $101.25 billion.

BIT: Fed Pause on Rate Hikes Could Mark the Start of a Q4 Crypto Rally

According to BIT's weekly "On Target" report, BIT analysts identify two key market catalysts: first, U.S. debt has surpassed the psychological threshold of $40 trillion, and second, U.S. Treasury yields are approaching the critical 5.0% level. Since July 24, Bitcoin has accumulated gains of 22% and gold has risen 9.4%, confirming earlier forecasts. Macro cycle models indicate that the market is currently in the first phase of cyclical reflation, typically accompanied by a weakening U.S. dollar and rising commodity prices. Historical data indicates that during this phase: • Annualized returns for U.S. equities at approximately 29% • Annualized returns for gold at approximately 47% • Annualized returns for Bitcoin at approximately 73% Furthermore, between 2020 and 2026, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of U.S. debt has reached 8.59%, while the CAGR for M2 money supply stands at 6.02%, significantly outpacing the CPI's 4.11%. This sustained accumulation of long-term inflationary pressure further reinforces the allocation rationale for gold and Bitcoin.

21Shares Analysts: BTC Finds Support Near $77,000, Potential Target at $100,000

According to Bitcoin.com, Matt Mena, 21Shares Senior Crypto Research Strategist, stated that amid approximately $603 million in cumulative net inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs in September and a resurgence in altcoin risk appetite, Bitcoin's fourth-quarter trend is expected to strengthen significantly. Mena noted that BTC is currently finding support near $77,000, with mounting odds of testing the $82,000 range by month-end. He identified $100,000 for BTC, $3,500 for ETH, $100 for HYPE, and $130 for SOL as potential fourth-quarter targets. Furthermore, Ethereum has outperformed Bitcoin over the past three weeks with a 29% gain compared to Bitcoin's 20%, while Hyperliquid is approaching $90, signaling a rotation of capital into altcoins.

A whale opened a long position of 911.5 BTC worth $70 million, with only $400 away from the liquidation price

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin, a whale opened a long position of 911.5 BTC at $77,733 last night. The position is worth $70 million, with only $400 away from the liquidation price of $76,308.