News linked to both this project and an event.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that since July, sentiment in the derivatives market has recovered, and the Binance funding rate, as an important reference indicator for the futures market, has started to turn positive again. He believes that from March to late May, Bitcoin experienced a deep correction, market pessimism accumulated and drove the funding rate to turn negative at one point, and this process once provided support for Bitcoin's technical rebound.
Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated on X that the Morgan Stanley Ether ETF and Solana ETF went live today, both with a fee rate of 0.14%, making them the lowest-fee ETFs in their respective categories. Although its Bitcoin ETF was launched in the midst of winter, it has reached a scale of $400 million within four months.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, BlackRock transferred approximately $10.07 million in assets from its IBIT Bitcoin ETF and ETHB Ethereum ETF wallets. Among these, 158.57 BTC, valued at around $10.06 million, was moved to Coinbase Prime, while 4.49 ETH, worth about $8,500, was transferred to the BlackRock Coinbase Prime Wallet.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted that data shows the volume of Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) inflows to exchanges recently reached a phased high. Based on the 90-day average, current long-term holder inflows account for 5.1% of total exchange inflows, approaching historical highs, surpassed only by the level of approximately 5.5% in 2020.
Odaily Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's post on platform X, "Set 10 big goals first" currently holds 3,500.414 BTC long positions, valued at $224 million, with an entry price of $64,074.95 and a current floating profit of $4.34 million. He closed 1 BTC 5 minutes ago. On July 24, his long position of over $190 million in BTC exited with a loss of $3.81 million.
MicroStrategy did not sell BTC last week, but increased its dollar reserves by selling approximately $525 million in stock. It currently holds about $3.75 billion in cash, which can cover approximately 25 months of interest payments, and is not expected to continue buying Bitcoin in the short term. Ethereum treasury company Bitmine purchased 9,946 ETH last week at a price of approximately $1,897, for a total of about $18.87 million, maintaining its weekly buying pace since the treasury was launched. Currently, Strategy holds a total of 843,775 BTC, with an unrealized book loss of approximately 13.9%; Bitmine holds a total of 5.7874 million ETH, with an unrealized book loss of approximately 42.2%.
US Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $33.79 million in the week ended July 24, marking the first three consecutive weeks of net inflows since early May. Overall, while institutional demand has recovered somewhat, it remains relatively cautious, with strength below that of typical bull market periods.
Odaily News: Bitcoin News posted on X platform, stating that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows for the second consecutive day, totaling $465 million.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin's overall demand structure has shown weakness, primarily exhibiting two states: first, simultaneous contraction of spot and futures demand; second, a brief rebound in futures demand driven solely by speculation, while spot demand continued to shrink.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated on X platform that Bitcoin's MVRV Z-Score has dropped to approximately 0.42, about four times lower than its historical average of 1.7, indicating Bitcoin is currently in an undervalued zone. However, this metric has not yet entered negative territory, suggesting the market has not shown the "capitulation selling" typically associated with cycle bottoms.Meanwhile, Bitcoin's 7-day Realized P/L has turned positive from negative, currently standing at approximately $239 million, indicating that on-chain selling pressure has eased. The analysis suggests that while the market is currently in an undervalued and short-term stabilization phase, it has yet to show the capitulation signal needed to confirm a cycle bottom, nor is there clear demand-driven momentum from a new cycle.
According to charts released by independent analyst Markus Thielen on July 27, 2026, the Bitcoin price and Relative Strength Index (RSI) trends show a clear divergence signal. The RSI recently fell to the 30% oversold zone, then rebounded to around the 50% level, while the BTC price also recovered from near the lows to approximately $64,645. Notably, the purple downward trend line in the chart shows that since the June 2025 high (approximately $125,000), BTC has been overall in a downward channel; the current price is still suppressed by this resistance line, and whether it can effectively break through will be key to judging subsequent trends.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on X, stating that a significant liquidity cluster has formed below the current Bitcoin price, concentrated between $61,500 and $60,000. In the coming days, there is a possibility of a market pullback that could trigger liquidations within this liquidity zone. Typically, areas where a large number of stop-loss orders and leveraged positions gather are prone to attracting price volatility and become key targets for market liquidity release. However, this analysis is based on on-chain liquidity structure and does not necessarily mean the market will definitely drop to the aforementioned range. Investors should still pay attention to subsequent price trends and changes in market sentiment.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated on platform X that the holdings of Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH, those holding coins for over 6 months) have reached a new all-time high, currently exceeding 16.3 million BTC. Their average cost basis is approximately $49,400, yielding only about 30% in unrealized profit at the current price, which is relatively low. In comparison, the net unrealized profit for long-term holders reached as high as approximately 340% in January 2025.Darkfost also noted that towards the end of the last bear market, long-term holders were collectively in a state of approximately 20% unrealized loss, and the market ultimately experienced a deeper correction. This suggests that the market could still see further corrections in the future, potentially pushing long-term holders back into loss territory. However, this is not necessarily a guaranteed repetition of historical patterns. He advises investors to prepare for both market rallies and corrections.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler pointed out in a weekly report analysis that the US 10-year Treasury yield has recently risen to approximately 4.7%, approaching the upper limit of the range over the past five years. The high-interest rate environment is tightening financial conditions, raising financing costs and asset discount rates, and increasing pressure on risk assets.
Currently, the supply of Bitcoin held by long-term holders (LTH) at a loss has exceeded the level during the FTX collapse and is approaching the 2018 bear market phase. The current Bitcoin Realized Price is approximately $50,000. Historically, every cycle has retested the Long-Term Holder Realized Price, so there remains a possibility of retesting this level in the future.
Whale Alert monitoring shows an unknown wallet transferred 4,690 BTC to OKX, valued at approximately $300.6 million at current prices.
Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have jointly released a market report, maintaining a neutral outlook on the cryptocurrency market for the third quarter of 2026. In the second quarter, the total market capitalization of the crypto market (excluding stablecoins) declined by approximately 12%, while stablecoin supply reached an all-time high. On-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a correction phase to an accumulation phase, characterized by compressed valuations, near-multi-year lows in recent active supply, and the proportion of supply in profit breaking below historical statistical lower bounds—historically corresponding to accumulation rather than distribution zones. However, the macro liquidity environment remains tight, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance under Kevin Warsh's leadership, a strong U.S. dollar, coupled with geopolitical risks, selling pressure from digital asset treasuries, and net outflows from spot BTC and ETH ETFs in the first half of the year (though the pace of outflows has begun to slow), thus overall caution is advised.
Odaily reports: Derivatives whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" updated their position, stating that their previously established BTC long position with 4x leverage has triggered the trading invalidation range and exited at a stop loss.Previously, this address opened the position at approximately $64,940, holding 2,933.635 BTC, with a position value of around $447 million and a margin of about $47.48 million. The whale stated that they remain bullish on Bitcoin in the medium to long term, viewing the $60,000 area as a key support zone, and if there are no significant changes in market structure, Bitcoin still has a high probability of challenging the $100,000 level before March next year.
Odaily News As Bitcoin prices have experienced a significant correction, publicly listed companies that had accumulated large BTC holdings are facing multiple challenges, including falling stock prices, debt pressures, and a deteriorating financing environment. Some of these companies are now starting to sell Bitcoin, repay debts, and even pivot towards artificial intelligence (AI) data center operations.Strategy pioneered the "Digital Asset Treasury (DAT)" model, continuously purchasing Bitcoin through financing and borrowing, inspiring a wave of other listed companies to follow suit. However, as the BTC price has fallen approximately 50% from its peak of around $126,000 in October 2025, the stock prices of related companies have also shrunk significantly, forcing them to reassess their BTC accumulation strategies.This week, shareholders of London-listed company Satsuma Technology approved the liquidation of all 668 BTC, returning capital to shareholders, while proceeding with delisting. Another London-listed company, The Smarter Web Company, sold 178 BTC to repay its convertible debt.Additionally, Sequans Communications has sold 1,025 BTC and further sold nearly 80% of its remaining holdings to repay convertible bonds. The company stated it will not continue purchasing Bitcoin in the future and plans to sell the remaining approximately 658 BTC.Nakamoto's stock price has fallen approximately 99% since its SPAC listing in May 2025. The company recently sold about 284 BTC, raising approximately $20 million for working capital. Of its remaining approximately 5,342 BTC, nearly 70% has been pledged as collateral for loans from Kraken, which market observers believe poses a potential risk event.Meanwhile, Bitcoin mining companies are also adjusting their strategies. Companies like Bitdeer Technologies and MARA Holdings are selling portions of their BTC to repurchase shares, repay debts, and redirect energy resources and computing infrastructure towards AI data center operations.Other companies selling BTC include Empery Digital. Data shows that Strategy has recently sold approximately 3,620 BTC and has authorized further asset sales to maintain its U.S. dollar reserves.However, Strategy remains the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with holdings exceeding 840,000 BTC. The company's CEO, Michael Saylor, stated that while it may sell some Bitcoin in the future to pay dividends, this does not mean the company is exiting its Bitcoin investment.Beyond asset adjustments, management and capital operations at some Bitcoin treasury companies are also changing. Jack Mallers has stepped down as CEO; and Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (BSTR), affiliated with Adam Back, failed to complete a proposed merger due to the deteriorating market environment.Analysts believe that with rising financing costs and increased BTC price volatility, the "borrowing to buy Bitcoin" treasury model is undergoing a reshuffle. Some companies are shifting from simply hoard
the overall profitability of the Bitcoin market is improving, but on-chain data suggests it is still insufficient to confirm the start of a new bull market, with the risk of another downturn remaining.Data from CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin's Supply in Profit has risen to 57.5%. This metric represents the proportion of BTC supply whose current market price is higher than its acquisition cost. It has rebounded significantly from the 2026 low of 46.2% on June 30, now approaching 60%. However, the recovery of the supply in profit still needs sustained validation. Historical cycles indicate that the true end of a bear market typically requires two conditions to be met simultaneously:First, the 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the Long-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (LTH-SOPR) must consistently remain above 1 and not drop below it for several weeks.Second, Bitcoin's Supply in Profit needs to stabilize above 64%.Analysts point out that this cycle has already seen one "false breakout." Between April 28 and June 1 this year, the average LTH-SOPR stayed above 1 for 35 consecutive days, while the Supply in Profit briefly rose to 67%. However, the market subsequently declined again. Currently, the 30-day SMA of the LTH-SOPR has been below 1 for over 50 consecutive days, remaining a key risk signal for assessing the strength of the market recovery.While the proportion of BTC in profit is improving, the market needs further confirmation regarding long-term holder behavior and changes in the profit structure before determining whether the current rebound will genuinely transition into a new upward cycle. (Cointelegraph)