News linked to both this project and an event.
According to CoinShares' market report, the US September CPI rose 0.6% month-over-month and 3.7% year-over-year, exceeding the 3.6% market expectation. Gasoline prices surged 9.1% during the month, accounting for roughly half of the overall increase. Core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year. In the same period, US September retail sales increased 0.8% month-over-month, beating the ~0.3% forecast, while August data was revised up to 1.3%. However, retail sales excluding gasoline only grew by 0.2%, down from 1.0% in August. The report pointed out that inflation remains elevated and economic demand continues to show resilience, driving a hawkish repricing of Federal Reserve policy that weighed on Bitcoin and the broader digital asset market. Data showed that market sentiment notably weakened following the CPI release, with global digital asset investment products recording $434 million in outflows so far this week. Regarding interest rate expectations, as of October 15, Polymarket data indicated a roughly 75% probability that the Fed would hold rates unchanged at its October meeting and about a 25% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. Following the CPI release, futures markets shifted markedly toward a hawkish stance, with expectations of another rate hike within the year rising significantly.
According to tracking by Trader T, on October 15, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a single-day net inflow of $5.07 million. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT saw a net inflow of $16.8 million; Grayscale's BTC had a net outflow of $7.64 million; Invesco's BTCO had a net outflow of $4.09 million; while Fidelity's FBTC, Grayscale's GBTC, and the remaining 8 ETFs posted a net flow of zero for the day.
According to Bitcoin Magazine, Chainalysis' latest report indicates that the United States became a net inflow country for bitcoin in 2026, marking the first time since 2022. The report notes that US institutional investors have continuously purchased bitcoin this year, while retail investors as a whole have predominantly sold. Chainalysis stated that since the launch of spot bitcoin ETFs in 2024, the US share of global bitcoin activity has consistently risen in each statistical period. Meanwhile, the scale of the US crypto economy is approximately $2.78 trillion, down 2.2% from prior levels. In the stablecoin sector, USD stablecoins continue to expand their usage in overseas payments, peer-to-peer transactions, and cross-border business activities.
Odaily News: On-chain analyst Murphy posted on X that during the recent BTC decline, the scale of BTC transfers to exchanges by short-term holders (STH) increased significantly, with an average of approximately 2,200 BTC transferred per hour within a 4-hour window, reaching the fourth-highest level since the market rally began in August this year. However, the transfer peak on October 15 was already lower than that of October 8, indicating that the potential selling pressure from short-term holders has somewhat weakened.In contrast, long-term holders (LTH) transferred only about 480 BTC per hour to exchanges during the same period, roughly one-fifth of that of short-term holders. Murphy noted that on October 8, long-term holders had a transfer peak of approximately 3,700 BTC per hour, which may have been partly related to asset transfers triggered by a hardware wallet security incident. However, considering that both long-term and short-term holders showed large-scale transfers on that day and BTC prices fell rapidly, actual selling pressure still existed in the market.Murphy believes that during the current decline, those transferring BTC to exchanges are primarily short-term holders, while long-term holders remain relatively stable overall, and the transfer intensity of short-term holders has weakened compared to before, reflecting that the BTC holder structure still possesses a certain degree of resilience.
On-chain analyst Willy Woo stated that while the stock market frequently hits new highs, Bitcoin has already pulled back by 50%, thus possessing strong resilience against potential stock market downturns. He added that the last time a similar situation occurred was after the crash of the Mt. Gox incident in 2014. At that time, U.S. stocks continued to rise while Bitcoin gradually climbed, even as the stock market fell into a bear market. It was only later when the stock market returned to a bull phase that Bitcoin ushered in the major bull run of 2017.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ember Monitoring, over the past day, a certain whale/institution continued to sell 288.9 BTC, exchanged for 23.48 million USDC, and then bought 9,820 ETH. Over the past 5 days, this whale/institution has cumulatively sold 1,601.1 BTC, exchanged for 132 million USDC, and bought 53,095 ETH at an average purchase price of $2,497.
Odaily News: According to Lookonchain monitoring, Bitcoin treasury company Hut 8 holds 10,300 BTC, worth $846 million, and appears to be selling Bitcoin. A wallet associated with Hut 8 (bc1q...xqka) has deposited 1,589 BTC, worth $130 million, to multiple exchanges over the past two days.
Following a post by CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_, on-chain data shows that excluding exchange and mining pool addresses, the total holdings of Bitcoin whales have increased from approximately 2.94 million BTC in late August to nearly 3 million BTC, representing a net growth of roughly 60,000 BTC (about 2%) and setting a new annual high. This accumulation pattern has been intermittent: growth slowed in September before accelerating again from late September to early October. This rhythm indicates that large holders are expanding their exposure only after the price begins to rebound, rather than positioning ahead of time. The concurrent rise in price and holdings reflects steady absorption of market supply. If this trend continues, it will help digest profit-taking pressure and likely push the market from a short-term rebound into a more sustained upward trajectory.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, a whale opened max-leverage long positions on BTC and ETH worth $187 million 4 hours ago. The BTC long position is 1,822 coins, valued at $150 million, with an entry price of $82,409 and a liquidation price of $80,634; the ETH long position is 15,270 coins, valued at $37.33 million, with an entry price of $2,455 and a liquidation price of $2,406. The whale's most successful previous trade yielded a profit of $14.8 million: going long on NEAR at $2.14 in late August and taking profit at $4.88 in late September.
Odaily News: MSCI has announced the formal adoption of its Non-Operating Company Index Exclusion Rules, which will be implemented during the November 2026 index review and take effect after the close of trading on November 30. Under the new rules, MSCI will first assess whether a company holds substantial operating assets; companies that fail the initial screening will undergo five financial ratio tests; if at least four exclusion criteria are triggered, the company will be ineligible for index inclusion. Bitcoin treasury companies Strategy and Metaplanet face potential removal, with the final list to be announced on November 11. JPMorgan previously estimated that if Strategy is removed from the MSCI index, it could face approximately $2.8 billion in selling pressure.
Bitcoin News posted on X that MSCI is advancing a proposed methodology that would classify Michael Saylor's Strategy, Japan's Metaplanet, and other digital asset treasury companies as "non-operating" enterprises, potentially excluding them from the MSCI Global Investable Market Indexes. JPMorgan estimates that passive funds tracking MSCI indexes may be forced to sell $2.8 billion worth of MSTR shares; if other index providers adopt similar rules, the broader capital outflow could reach $8.8 billion. Strategy's reverse analysis shows that MSCI-tracking funds hold approximately 3.1% of its outstanding shares; a final decision is expected around October 16, with implementation potentially beginning on November 30.
— In the theft incident involving crypto hardware wallet manufacturer Ledger, one of the biggest victims was also a scammer, who lost over 60 BTC worth approximately $4.8 million. The funds in question came from a task scam: participants were hired to fake sales and reviews for real products. A "negative balance" then appeared, and participants were told they had to put in their own funds in order to get paid. On September 22, the operator behind the scam transferred the proceeds to 3 separate Ledger addresses. On October 9, thieves emptied these 3 addresses, each transferring funds to the same wallet via a single transaction. The receiving wallet has been reported as being involved with stolen funds.
Odaily News - Financial services company Charles Schwab has completed the rollout of direct Bitcoin and Ethereum trading for eligible retail clients. The company manages approximately $13.33 trillion in client assets and has 40.3 million active brokerage accounts.Charles Schwab CEO Rick Wurster stated that the company is gradually rolling out cryptocurrency deposit and withdrawal functionality, and plans to add trading for Solana, Avalanche, and Chainlink by the end of 2026. Currently, transfers support the Bitcoin network and the Ethereum network, and withdrawal addresses must be pre-registered.Schwab Crypto charges a 0.75% trading fee, with a minimum transaction amount of $1 and a maximum of $2 million. Rick Wurster stated that cryptocurrency trading will become one of the new transaction-based revenue streams; the platform is currently not available in New York State, Louisiana, U.S. territories, or international markets. (Bitcoin.com News)
the crypto market is caught in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears: on one hand, digital asset analysts remain bullish; on the other hand, the speculative market as a whole is turning defensive, with risk appetite under continued pressure. Bitcoin briefly fell below $80,000 for the first time in nearly a month. Dragged down by the sell-off in the U.S. stock market's AI sector, risk assets broadly retreated, and the bullish sentiment the crypto market had previously attempted to rebuild was once again undermined.Jeff Anderson, head of STS Digital's U.S. division, said inflation data will "deal a severe blow to risk appetite," while the market is entering a quiet period ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, with rate expectations still shrouded in uncertainty. Nick Forster, founder of Derive.xyz, said that over the past 24 hours, the market-implied probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by Christmas dropped 2.8 percentage points to 9.7%. He noted that the rapid retreat of long-term bullish bets and the surge in short-term hedging demand indicate that institutional participants are rapidly reassessing macro risk exposure as the interest rate outlook once again becomes murky. (Bloomberg)
Odaily News: CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju posted on X that CryptoQuant has launched Analyst Consensus, aggregating over 1.3 million opinions from 878 analysts across platforms including X, Substack, and Seeking Alpha, among which 140,000 are Bitcoin opinions. AI reads each opinion, labels it as bullish or bearish and assigns a score, ultimately generating a single line that shows the overall view of the current analyst community. The feature also covers major altcoins and some stocks, is free and has no paywall, and more assets and analysts will be added in the future.
According to Lookonchain monitoring, today U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of 3,209 BTC, with a 7-day net outflow of 5,250 BTC; Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of 38,915 ETH, with a 7-day net outflow of 133,537 ETH.
Odaily News: Trader Killa posted that Bitcoin has about 7% downside room to $75,000, while it has about 56% upside room to $126,000. The market may retest $75,000, or it may not happen at all—no one can be 100% certain. He reminded investors not to miss out on potential upside by waiting for a lower entry price. He noted that when Bitcoin was previously at $60,000, many investors missed the entire subsequent rally because they were waiting for $50,000. The market does not necessarily offer investors their ideal entry price, and even if the price reaches the target, investors may continue to raise their expectations.
: According to Bitcoin News monitoring, an address had held 4,581.94 bitcoins since March 3, 2020, and transferred them all out in a single transaction on October 12. When these bitcoins were received, the price was approximately $8,830, worth about $40.5 million; at the time of this transfer, the price was approximately $82,350, corresponding to a value of about $377 million. Four new addresses each received 1,000 bitcoins, and a fifth address received 581.94 bitcoins, with a transaction fee of 732 satoshis. As of the next day, none of the five addresses had transferred any funds out. This address had also previously ignored 22 dust transfers, including one similar-address poisoning attempt.
Odaily Report: Thailand's listing rules for Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will take effect on Friday. James Butterfill, head of research at digital asset investment firm CoinShares, said initial inflows for the first batch of products are expected to be in the tens of millions of dollars, and expectations of reaching billions are unrealistic.Once the new rules take effect, Thai retail investors will be able to gain exposure to the relevant assets through locally listed crypto ETFs; investing in overseas crypto ETFs through domestic brokers will be limited to institutional investors and ultra-high-net-worth investors. The first batch of Thai crypto funds will still need to obtain regulatory approval and complete custody and distribution arrangements before they can trade.Butterfill compared the situation to Hong Kong. As of the end of September, global crypto exchange-traded product (ETP) assets under management stood at $172.9 billion, of which Hong Kong accounted for $733 million, or 0.42%.He said some investors have already gained Bitcoin exposure through overseas funds or direct trading, which could limit demand for local ETFs. MFC Asset Management launched the Bitcoin ETF Tracker Fund (MBTCETF-UI) in 2024, which invests in BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT); ONE Asset Management became the first Thai asset management company approved for a Bitcoin ETF-linked fund in the same year. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily News: Analyst Murphy posted on X platform stating that as of October 15, 2026, Bitcoin had pulled back to around $81,000 three times on October 9, 12, and 15, repeatedly testing the same support zone. The latest decline was compounded by factors including higher-than-expected U.S. inflation, rising market concerns over further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, and weakening U.S. equities, putting overall pressure on risk assets.Murphy noted that based on on-chain entity-adjusted realized loss data, the loss magnitude corresponding to the three dips shows a declining pattern: October 12 was less than October 9, and although October 15 saw a slight expansion compared to October 12, it remained below October 9. October 9 appeared to be a peak where short-term price-sensitive holdings exited in concentrated fashion; during the second retest, the market was largely in a wait-and-see mode with weak selling intent; the third decline, under the influence of macro headwinds, once again forced some weak hands to stop out. Therefore, the current market is closer to a gradual flushing out of weak hands rather than full-blown panic selling. If the loss ratio of short-term holders remains at approximately 31%, below the historical cumulative average of 42.7%, it indicates that the flushing out of holdings may not yet be complete, and further volatility and selling pressure could still emerge.Going forward, the key is to observe whether the scale of realized losses continues to converge: if prices remain near the current support zone and loss realization gradually diminishes, it would suggest that passive selling is decreasing and the interim correction may be nearing its end; if the scale of losses expands significantly again, it would indicate that the market still needs to undergo a more thorough turnover of holdings.