News linked to both this project and an event.
According to The Block, the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs has received the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) proposed rulemaking notice on prediction markets and is currently reviewing it. The CFTC stated it will provide further details after the interagency review process concludes. Recently, Trump publicly endorsed CFTC Chair Michael Selig’s position that prediction markets should fall under the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction. Over the past year, the CFTC has consistently reinforced its regulatory claims over prediction markets and has filed lawsuits against five states—Wisconsin, Illinois, Arizona, Connecticut, and New York—seeking to restrict Kalshi and Polymarket. TD Cowen believes Trump’s statement is unlikely to alter the legal dispute surrounding this matter in federal court.
as anticipation builds for several potential major IPOs, "prediction market trading" centered around high-profile pre-IPO companies is rapidly heating up, with users betting on pre-IPO performance through prediction contracts.Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have become primary channels, allowing users to engage in "yes/no" contract trading on key metrics such as valuation ranges and listing timelines. Prices are quoted in cents, settling at $1 if the outcome is correct.Given that ordinary investors cannot directly participate in equity investments in popular private companies like SpaceX and OpenAI before their IPOs, prediction markets are converting related expectations into tradeable, event-driven assets.Analysts believe that as the window for potential "mega IPOs" approaches, prediction markets are leveraging public sentiment and capital attention to turn IPO narratives into short-term volatility opportunities on both on-chain and compliant trading platforms, further expanding their influence in financial speculation and information pricing. (The Information)
: Prediction market Polymarket is facing increased pressure from regulatory and sanctions compliance. It is reported that the platform is pushing traders to undergo identity verification (KYC) to mitigate potential legal and compliance risks.Although Polymarket's betting platform rules do not permit such activities in certain regions, some users have still been participating in market trading through automated trading bots and other methods, forming gray usage pathways in areas such as Russia. Some developers have even utilized tools like Telegram to organize trading traffic and expand their user base. As the platform scales and regulatory scrutiny intensifies, Polymarket is being forced to seek a balance between the decentralized prediction market model and compliance requirements to address potential sanctions and legal risks. (The Information)
the Spanish government is taking action to block Polymarket and Kalshi, stating that the two prediction market platforms are operating in the country without obtaining gambling licenses, allegedly violating the law. Spain's consumer affairs department stated that it has issued preventive blocking orders targeting the websites of Polymarket and Kalshi. Officials will investigate suspected violations of gambling laws, with the relevant procedures expected to last three to four months.The Spanish Gambling Regulatory Authority stated that when prediction platforms allow users to place bets on uncertain outcomes, they carry gambling risks, and companies seeking to offer such services require specific administrative licenses. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi have not responded to requests for comment. (WSJ)
According to Reuters, Indonesia’s Ministry of Communications and Digital Affairs announced on May 25 that it had blocked the prediction market platform Polymarket for violating online gambling regulations. Prior to this, on May 21, the platform launched betting on when Indonesian President Prabowo would “step down early,” drawing widespread attention across Indonesian social media. The Indonesian government stated that Polymarket’s activities “involve wagering and speculative behavior on uncertain events,” contravening local laws, and has begun reviewing all social media accounts associated with the platform.
prediction market platform Kalshi has announced support for the establishment of a new prediction market lobbying organization, Americans for Fair Markets, and has appointed Taylor Budowich, former White House Deputy Chief of Staff under the Trump administration, as a strategic advisor. The organization will confront the sports betting and casino industries, which it alleges are "trying to maintain their monopoly and spread misinformation about prediction markets to policymakers."According to reports, Americans for Fair Markets will push for federal-level regulatory policy for prediction markets and launch paid advocacy campaigns to counter what it calls "false narratives" about the industry. The organization will also join a broader industry lobbying camp, including the Coalition for Prediction Markets, which was founded in December 2025 with support from Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Robinhood.On the same day, the U.S. House of Representatives launched an investigation into Kalshi and its main competitor, Polymarket, focusing on how the platforms handle insider trading issues. As prediction markets face increased scrutiny in the United States and globally, related regulatory controversies continue to escalate.Kalshi stated that the new organization will support the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) regulation of prediction markets and will advocate for KYC requirements, a ban on insider trading, and restrictions on markets related to violence and terrorism under a federal regulatory framework. John Bivona, Head of Government Relations at Kalshi, said: "We will not be outspent or out-organized by established interests trying to protect their monopoly." (Cointelegraph)
OdailyOdaily Planet Daily News Some career officials at the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) were purged after raising compliance concerns about Polymarket, Crypto.com, and Gemini Titan, all of which are alleged to have business ties to the Trump family.The report states that then-acting CFTC Chairman Caroline Pham and Senior Legal Advisor Brigitte Weyls intervened in the relevant review process, helping these companies obtain approvals or avoid further investigations. The two later joined MoonPay and Gemini Titan, respectively.It is understood that the officials in question had previously expressed concerns that Crypto.com was not treating small retail investors fairly, that Polymarket's anti-fraud mechanisms were insufficient, and that Gemini Titan had not completed the review required for its launch.Furthermore, the report notes that during Trump's second term, the CFTC has dropped at least five crypto investigations and has only made public two enforcement cases involving digital assets, both targeting individual operators. In contrast, there were over 80 such cases during the Biden administration. (The New York Times)
Odaily Odaily報道， multiple senior officials at the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) who had raised compliance concerns regarding prediction market platforms were subsequently suspended, subjected to internal investigations, and ultimately forced to leave their positions. The report states that these officials had expressed concerns about the following companies: Polymarket lacking adequate anti-fraud mechanisms; Crypto.com not treating small bettors fairly; and a Gemini-affiliated company having not yet completed necessary regulatory reviews.The investigation noted that all the aforementioned companies are believed to have business ties with the Trump family. Sources said that the then-acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham and her senior advisor intervened to help these companies secure regulatory approvals.As of the end of 2025, two officials who raised the questions were placed on administrative suspension and subjected to internal investigations, while three other officials responsible for crypto enforcement faced similar treatment, none of whom were informed of the specific reasons. The report suggests this has created a signal within the CFTC to "avoid creating trouble for the relevant industry."The CFTC significantly scaled back crypto enforcement during the Trump era: the agency initiated over 80 crypto enforcement actions during the Biden administration, but only two during the Trump administration, both targeting individual operators rather than large corporations. Furthermore, Caroline Pham left the CFTC to join MoonPay, which has a partnership with Polymarket; her former senior advisor, Brigitte Weyls, joined Gemini Titan as General Counsel. The current CFTC Chair, Michael Selig, previously worked as a corporate lawyer for several crypto companies. (Cointelegraph)
Kalshi and Polymarket have lost their bid to block gambling-related lawsuits filed by the states of Nevada and Washington. A panel of the U.S. Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals stated that federal derivatives regulation does not automatically shield prediction market platforms from enforcement of state gambling laws.The appeals court rejected the companies' request to halt the remand of the disputes back to state courts, with the judge stating that Kalshi and Polymarket failed to prove their claim that the cases fall under federal jurisdiction. This ruling deepens the legal divide over whether sports event contracts offered by prediction market companies are federally regulated derivatives or illegal gambling products under state law. (financefeeds)
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit rejected requests from Kalshi and Polymarket, allowing gambling-related cases against the two prediction market platforms in Nevada and Washington state to move forward, and remanded the cases to state court.The court ruled that the two companies failed to demonstrate that the cases should be under federal court jurisdiction. The platforms' assertion that the Commodity Exchange Act has preemptive effect is not sufficient to automatically establish federal jurisdiction.Kalshi and Polymarket previously argued that contracts on events such as sports and politics are federal derivatives regulated by the CFTC, and that states have no authority to enforce gambling laws against them. However, Nevada and Washington state contend that such contracts constitute unlicensed gambling products.This ruling highlights a growing divide among U.S. courts over whether prediction markets qualify as federally regulated swap contracts or as illegal gambling products under state law.
According to CNBC, James Comer, Chairman of the U.S. House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, has launched an investigation into prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, demanding that both companies detail their measures to prevent insider trading—including identity verification, enforcement of geographic restrictions, and mechanisms for detecting anomalous trading activity. Comer stated that internal records from these platforms are critical for identifying improper traders and assessing whether the platforms have fulfilled their legal obligations. Previously, Polymarket was reported to have hosted suspicious trades related to U.S. actions concerning Iran and Venezuela; Kalshi had also suspended the accounts of three congressional candidates who placed bets on their own election outcomes. Comer has directed both companies to submit the relevant documents by June 5.
According to Cointelegraph, prediction market platform Polymarket is seeking entry into the Japanese market and aims to obtain regulatory approval for prediction markets from the Japanese government by 2030. The report states that Polymarket has appointed Mike Eidlin, Japan Head of crypto firm Jupiter, to lead its local operations in Japan and advance related compliance efforts. Japan maintains strict regulation over online gambling, permitting only a limited number of government-authorized activities—such as horse racing and public lotteries. Although Polymarket has not yet received authorization to operate in Japan, its Japanese regional X (formerly Twitter) account has already amassed over 53,000 followers. Meanwhile, under regulatory pressure and amid competition from platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket’s monthly nominal trading volume declined nearly 15% month-on-month in April.
Polymarket staff member Shantikiran Chanal posted on platform X, stating that they have taken note of the security reports related to reward distribution, and that user funds and market settlements remain safe. The investigation indicates that a private key leak occurred in a wallet used for internal operations, and the issue is not related to contracts or core infrastructure. Further updates will be provided.Previous report: ZachXBT stated that the Polymarket UMA CTF Adapter contract allegedly came under attack on Polygon, with over $520,000 having been drained.
According to Bloomberg, South Korea’s Korea Communications Standards Commission has launched a formal investigation into prediction market platform Polymarket to determine whether it offers illegal gambling content and violates South Korean law. The report states that South Korea will hold local elections in June, and several Polymarket trading markets related to the election results have already emerged, enabling users to place bets on outcomes using cryptocurrency assets. South Korea enforces strict anti-gambling regulations, permitting only government-licensed forms of betting, such as horse racing and sports betting. Polymarket previously stated that its market prices are formed through participant trading, and the platform itself does not set odds.
the prediction market platform Polymarket is seeking approval from the Japanese government and plans to operate its prediction market business in Japan by 2030. It has already appointed local representatives to carry out lobbying efforts.According to reports, Polymarket views Japan as a significant yet underdeveloped market. Due to Japan's strict gambling regulations, Polymarket currently blocks Japanese users from participating in prediction market transactions.Under Japanese criminal law, habitual gambling is punishable by up to three years in prison, while operating a gambling business can lead to a maximum of five years in prison. A Polymarket spokesperson stated that the company has observed "substantial organic interest" from users in Japan and the Asia region and continues to evaluate opportunities to expand global market access in a compliant manner. (Bloomberg)
Legal professionals pointed out that if the review concludes that Polymarket has violated regulations, it could face the risk of being blocked—or even forced to exit the market—in South Korea. Currently, several countries—including France, Germany, and Italy—have designated Polymarket as an illegal gambling website and blocked access to it.
: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with the National Hockey League (NHL) to strengthen the regulation of prediction markets. The two parties will enhance information sharing and collaboration to safeguard the fairness and integrity of the market for contracts related to professional hockey games and related events. This includes strengthening their existing event integrity monitoring systems and improving their ability to identify, prevent, and respond to potential risks. As platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket continue to gain traction, especially following the 2024 U.S. election cycle, sports and event-based prediction markets are increasingly moving into the mainstream financial and regulatory spotlight. (The Block)
Odaily reports, In a recent video interview with Cointelegraph, Gate Founder and CEO Dr. Han stated that the crypto industry is transitioning from a primarily speculation-driven market towards a phase focused on infrastructure development and real-world applications. Dr. Han pointed out that stablecoins, RWA, AI, and asset tokenization are becoming core directions for the industry, and that clearer regulatory frameworks (such as the CLARITY Act) are expected to further drive innovation in DeFi, payments, and on-chain finance.Dr. Han also mentioned that high user entry barriers, security risks, and liquidity fragmentation remain significant challenges facing the industry. In the future, the crypto industry will further integrate with traditional finance, playing a more important role in areas such as payments, settlement, and the circulation of digital assets.Gate continues to deepen its multi-asset and TradFi strategy. In addition to expanding into assets such as stocks, metals, forex, indices, and commodities, it has also launched Pre-IPOs with the first project, SpaceX (SPCX). At the same time, as one of the first CEX platforms to integrate Polymarket, Gate is continuously promoting the development of the prediction market ecosystem, accelerating the construction of a comprehensive trading platform that spans crypto and traditional finance.
Odaily Odaily The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a lawsuit against Minnesota, Governor Tim Walz, Attorney General Keith Ellison, and Public Safety Director Jon Anglin. The lawsuit stems from Minnesota's legislative approval of SF 4760, which imposes a comprehensive ban on prediction markets.The bill prohibits advertising, creating, operating, or promoting prediction market platforms, classifying event contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket as wagers and banning them, with an original effective date of August 1. In the lawsuit, the CFTC argues that under the Commodity Exchange Act, it has exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets, and is seeking a court order to block the state law. (cointelegraph)
the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice have filed a lawsuit against the state of Minnesota and Governor Tim Walz, opposing the state's newly signed ban on prediction markets.The new Minnesota law, set to take effect on August 1, prohibits users from engaging in prediction market trading related to outcomes in sports, weather, company valuations, and government events. In the lawsuit, the CFTC stated this is the first state-level law in the U.S. to explicitly impose a comprehensive ban on prediction markets.The CFTC and the Department of Justice argue that the relevant products fall under federally regulated derivatives and "swap" contracts, over which the CFTC holds exclusive regulatory authority, and that state governments are not permitted to classify them as illegal gambling or prohibit them.This lawsuit further escalates the jurisdictional conflict between federal regulators and state-level gambling oversight authorities. Previously, the CFTC had sued states such as Illinois, Arizona, and Connecticut to oppose their attempts to shut down prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.