News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News JPMorgan and Citadel Securities have both issued short-term warnings, advising investors to remain cautious ahead of the upcoming period of dense macro data releases and the Federal Reserve policy meeting, and to utilize option prices currently at yearly lows to strengthen downside risk hedging.After Fed Chair Warsh delivered a clear signal in his highly anticipated speech on August 28, emphasizing that U.S. inflation has not shown any substantial slowdown, the trading team led by JPMorgan's Head of U.S. Market Intelligence, Andrew Tyler, decided to abandon their bullish stance ahead of the September 16 Fed policy decision. Although they expect economic data and corporate earnings to continue providing support, they have downgraded their view on U.S. equities to tactically cautious.Scott Rubner, Head of Equity and Equity Derivatives Strategy at Citadel Securities, noted that retail investor buying activity in September, as tracked by his firm, has been the weakest of the year since 2019. On days when the S&P 500 index declines, average net retail buying volume is only about half of normal levels. (Bloomberg)
The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on September 16 has risen to 57%, with the target rate range potentially rising to 3.75% to 4%; the probability of maintaining the current range of 3.5% to 3.75% stands at 43%.On August 21, the probability of a rate hike was 39.9%, which rose to 57% after the Jackson Hole speech on August 28, and market bets on a September rate cut have essentially disappeared.Polymarket data shows that the probability of the federal funds rate remaining unchanged is 52%, while the probability of a hike is 48%, with related trading volume exceeding $66.6 million. Kalshi data shows that the probabilities of holding rates steady and hiking are 52% and 48%, respectively, with related trading volume exceeding $23.8 million.In his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated that the Fed will adhere to its 2% Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index inflation target, and noted that his commitment is to discipline rather than specific decisions. Data shows that the 12-month PCE inflation rate is 3.7%, and the 6-month reading is 4.1%. (Bitcoin.com News)
According to Crowdfund Insider, Ondo Finance has appointed Allison Parent as Chief Policy Officer to engage with policymakers and regulators and advance regulatory and industry standards for tokenized assets. Parent previously served as an Executive Director at the Global Financial Markets Association (GFMA) for nearly 10 years. Her career also includes roles as Head of Global Policy and Strategy at Barclays, Senior Policy Advisor and Market Legal Counsel at the Bank of England, and General Counsel for the U.S. Senate Committee on the Budget, where she contributed to landmark post-financial crisis legislation such as the Dodd-Frank Act.
Odaily News: Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated that he will ask the Speaker of the Polish Sejm to organize a re-vote on the Crypto Asset Market Bill. The bill was vetoed for the third time by President Karol Nawrocki on June 11.Tusk noted that the Zondacrypto bankruptcy has become one of Poland's largest corruption cases in the crypto sector, with affected clients suffering losses of up to $94 million. He accused the ruling party of accepting cash and other benefits.The president's consecutive vetoes have prevented Poland from implementing the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), and domestic cryptocurrency exchanges are still unable to complete registration. Przemysław Kral, former head of Zondacrypto, had criticized that the bill would harm Poland's crypto industry. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh stated, "Although the PCE and CPI data released this summer were better than expected, they have not convinced me that there has been a meaningful improvement in the underlying trend of inflation." "Market prices reflect the market's belief that we will achieve price stability. I can assure you that the market's judgment is correct."Warsh subsequently stated that with inflation above 2%, the Federal Reserve's "primary focus at present should be on prices." Warsh's highly anticipated remarks come amid criticism of his streamlined communication strategy. Economists and market participants believe this strategy has lacked clear articulation regarding the near-term economic and monetary policy outlook.Warsh's comments appear to address these concerns, as he elaborated more deeply than before on his views of the economic situation and the policy priorities of the Federal Reserve under his leadership. He said, "Let us also be clear about another aspect of our goal: price stability will not be achieved automatically, and inflation will not necessarily return to target on its own. Achieving price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve." It is expected that Warsh will not answer questions raised by central bank officials and economists on site.
Odaily News Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is set to deliver one of the most closely watched public speeches since taking office at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium. With the U.S. PCE inflation rate still at 3.7%, notably above the Fed's 2% longer-term target, and Treasury yields remaining elevated, the market still lacks a clear picture of when and under what conditions the Fed will further adjust monetary policy. Warsh has long sought to reduce forward guidance and let the market interpret the data on its own, but what Wall Street most wants to know now is precisely his "reaction function." If this speech continues to focus only on long-term issues such as productivity and demographics, the bond market may interpret the silence itself as a policy signal.Currently, the market estimates about a one-third probability of a Fed rate hike in September. As Warsh has deliberately downplayed traditional forward guidance since taking office, the focus of this speech will center on how he assesses inflation, and what changes in inflation, employment, and economic growth would prompt rate hikes, rate cuts, or maintaining rates unchanged. Market participants believe that if Warsh signals a clearer hawkish stance, it could further push up short-term rates and Treasury yields; if he avoids the current policy path and focuses more on long-term topics like productivity and AI, it may be interpreted by the market as a dovish signal.In addition, AI's impact on inflation could also be a focal point of this speech. Warsh has long been bullish on AI boosting productivity and helping lower long-term inflation, but the market believes the current AI investment boom is also driving up costs for construction labor and computer chips. This Jackson Hole speech could become a key moment for reshaping September policy expectations and global bond market pricing. (The Street)
Odaily News - U.S. President Donald Trump and his family have caused investors at least $4.7 billion in losses through digital asset projects since 2022. Consumer rights advocacy nonprofit Public Citizen stated that the related projects include the World Liberty Financial governance token, NFT trading cards, Official Trump (TRUMP), and Trump Media's digital asset reserve.Among these, TRUMP investors lost approximately $3.2 billion, while USD1 stablecoin investors did not suffer significant losses. Public Citizen noted that the losses from TRUMP primarily reflect a transfer of wealth to a small number of early buyers, rather than funds disappearing outright. Donald Trump also earned $7.2 million from NFT licensing fees and royalties, as well as over $600 million from World Liberty token sales and equity sales.Public Citizen also called for adding ethical standards to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act), requiring the U.S. President and his family to withdraw from related industry projects. Trump met with crypto company executives last week and called for passing a "fair version" of the bill. The Senate is scheduled to vote on a procedural motion on September 15, and advancing the bill requires support from at least 60 senators. (Cointelegraph)
Connecticut filed a lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi, accusing it of offering unlicensed sports betting services in the state; this move further intensifies the cross-state legal and regulatory pressure facing the platform.
Odaily News Bitcoin has rebounded strongly recently. Analysts believe that record-breaking short squeeze activity, along with policy signals from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, may be pushing the market into a new phase of bull market cycle adjustment.Data shows that Bitcoin has risen approximately 23% over the past week, marking its largest weekly gain since the post-U.S. election rally in November 2024. Crypto market trading activity has also recovered in tandem, with spot and perpetual contract trading volume surging 188%. CME Bitcoin futures volume rose 152%, and the annualized futures basis climbed to 11.1%—the highest level since January 2025. Additionally, Bitcoin ETF products recorded net inflows of approximately 31,740 BTC over the week, the strongest capital inflow since the market peak in October 2025.Vetle Lunde, Head of Research at crypto research firm K33 Research, stated that the early phase of this rally was primarily driven by short covering. On August 19, Bitcoin short positions saw a single-day liquidation scale of $1.37 billion, a record high, followed by another $739 million in short liquidations on August 21. The massive short squeeze pushed open interest in perpetual contracts down to 284,000 BTC, the lowest level since May, while market funding rates also returned to neutral.On the macro front, policy signals from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding increased long-term Treasury buybacks are also viewed by analysts as a market catalyst. K33 believes that the Treasury buyback program could lower long-term interest rates and boost demand for scarce assets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's correlation with gold has risen, with the 90-day correlation coefficient reaching 0.52—the highest since October 2020—while its correlation with the Nasdaq index has declined to 0.38, a one-year low.Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at crypto investment firm Bitwise Asset Management, believes that Bessent's recent remarks on sanctions against Iran's financial network have further strengthened Bitcoin's investment thesis: as the global financial system becomes increasingly influenced by geopolitics, the value of assets that are decentralized and do not rely on any single nation's financial system may appreciate further. (The Block)
According to analysis by BIT's official Chinese account (@BITofficial_CN), the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)'s proposed crypto asset regulatory rules may provide securities registration exemptions for qualifying crypto asset financing activities, thereby lowering the compliance threshold for token offerings and improving the industry's financing environment. Under the proposal, eligible issuances may qualify for two types of exemptions: a one-time fundraising exemption capped at $5 million over four years, and another that permits issuers to raise up to $75 million within any consecutive 12-month period. Both categories must fulfill disclosure obligations, while the latter is also required to submit financial statements and make ongoing disclosures.
According to Bitcoin.com, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated that the bullish thesis for 2026 is more fundamentally grounded than the crypto market cycles of 2014, 2018, and 2022, primarily driven by five structural changes: the advancement of regulatory frameworks, the scaling of stablecoin adoption, the tokenization of real-world assets, protocol tokens generating genuine revenue supported by buyback and burn mechanisms, and the demand for currency debasement triggered by expanding sovereign debt. Hougan noted that the total stablecoin market capitalization surpassed $300 billion by mid-2026, with steady usage across trading, payments, cross-border remittances, and settlements; meanwhile, asset tokenization is progressively transitioning from experimental phases into regulated financial infrastructure. He also highlighted Hyperliquid as a prime example, noting that the protocol generated over $800 million in revenue last year, allocating roughly 99% of it toward buybacks and burns of the HYPE token. On Bitcoin, Hougan suggested that rising government borrowing levels could further cement its role as a hedge against currency debasement, though he emphasized that the associated valuation models represent scenario analyses rather than definitive price forecasts.
Odaily News: Dunamu, the operator of Korean cryptocurrency exchange Upbit, has responded to rumors of a US listing, stating that the company has indeed been in contact with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). However, it has not yet confirmed plans for a US listing, nor has it converted its financial reporting standards to U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (US GAAP).Dunamu stated that it is currently working with Naver Financial to complete a share swap by December 31. The two companies are valued at 15 trillion KRW and 5 trillion KRW respectively, with a swap ratio of 1 share of Dunamu for approximately 2.54 shares of Naver Financial. Upon completion of the transaction, both parties plan to establish an IPO committee within one year and proceed with listing efforts.Market observers believe Nasdaq could be a potential listing venue, mainly because Naver is already listed on the Korean exchange. If the two companies are subsequently listed on a secondary exchange in Korea as subsidiaries, they may face regulatory restrictions on "parent-subsidiary dual listings." If Dunamu ultimately pursues a US listing, it may do so via American Depositary Receipts (ADRs). The Korean legal entity and Upbit business would remain intact, and services such as KRW deposits and withdrawals for users are not expected to be directly impacted. (Etoday)
US Army soldiers face disciplinary action for betting on the prediction platform Polymarket, highlighting a compliance conflict between the US military's gambling ban and crypto prediction markets.
Monitoring from the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that in the Polymarket "Will the CLARITY Act be signed into law by 2026" prediction event, a new account (0xf53e7cc2894cba22dcdc40de936513a502ef16e3) purchased approximately $825,000 worth of "CLARITY Act will not be signed into law by 2026" shares. The account made two purchases, first buying $599,400 and then $226,000, at prices of 78¢ and 77¢ respectively, acquiring approximately 1,052,900 shares in total.According to market rules, if the CLARITY Act passes both the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives before 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2026, and is signed into law by the President, the prediction market will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No."Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize the opportunity.
Odaily News: Fintech institution Responsible Fintech Institute (RFI) and crypto asset custody infrastructure provider Safeheron have announced the launch of a pilot for quantum-resistant digital asset wallets and on-chain transfers, with participants from Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. The pilot runs on the quantum-resistant NEAR testnet and utilizes a multi-party computation protocol supporting the ML-DSA-65 standard.Participating regulators include Abu Dhabi Global Market, Bhutan's Gelephu Financial Services Office, and Malta's Financial Services Authority, with Bison Bank and DK Bank participating as financial institutions. Banks will test wallet generation and transfers in a shared application environment, with regulators observing in the initial phase and later participating in governance workflows.The organizers plan to publish a whitepaper covering research, protocol design, and test results, and will gradually open-source the underlying technology. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority plans to fully prepare Hong Kong's banking sector for quantum security risks by 2030, while a 2025 report from the Bank for International Settlements recommends that financial institutions migrate to quantum-resistant systems in phases. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily News - Investment manager Lawrence Lepard, author of The Big Print, stated that even if the CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) passes the Senate with 60 votes, stablecoin demand will not be sufficient to improve the current state of the U.S. Treasury market.He noted that the current stablecoin market cap stands at approximately $255 billion, primarily backed by U.S. Treasuries purchased by Circle and Tether, down from $263 billion in January. The U.S. Treasury needs to roll over more than $8 trillion in debt annually, with stablecoins covering only about 3% of that amount.In 2025, the share of U.S. debt held by foreign entities has dropped to 32%, down from 57% after the financial crisis. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad stated that dollar-backed stablecoins could convert overseas demand for digital dollars into demand for U.S. Treasuries. (Bitcoin.com News)
Monitoring by PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that the probability of "Trump will declare a national emergency over election interference by year-end" on Polymarket has risen to 35%, up 15% in 24 hours.Trump has previously not ruled out declaring a national emergency over election interference and stated that he may take further action if Congress fails to pass relevant voter eligibility legislation. The prediction market currently places roughly a 35% probability on Trump formally declaring a national emergency before year-end. Going forward, attention will focus on Senate legislative progress and statements from the Trump administration. Slightly revised.This event predicts whether Trump will formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act on the grounds that U.S. elections or election processes have been interfered with, prior to December 31, 2026. Statements, speeches, social media posts, or executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency will not be counted.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize the initiative.
Odaily News, Tom Lee stated that next week could become an important "clearing event" for the US stock market, with the market reassessing enthusiasm for artificial intelligence (AI) investment and uncertainty surrounding Fed policy.Tom Lee pointed out that the core question for the market right now is whether investor confidence can be restored after the recent cooling of AI trading. AI-related stocks have seen stagnating performance recently, influenced by two main factors: on one hand, concerns over data center investment demand and profitability returns; on the other hand, certain political factors have added to the uncertainty in AI industry development.However, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang could be the key figure in reigniting market confidence. If Nvidia can demonstrate that demand for AI infrastructure remains strong, sustained order growth and market demand could drive capital back into the AI sector.Meanwhile, Tom Lee noted that uncertainty over the Fed's policy outlook continues to rise, and upcoming speeches by officials will be important signals for the market to gauge the interest rate path.Market participants believe that Nvidia-related news and Fed officials' statements next week could serve as key catalysts affecting tech stocks and overall risk assets. Investors will be watching whether the AI rally can regain upward momentum.
Odaily News: The Bank Policy Institute (BPI), an organization representing major banks including JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citi, has proposed that the U.S. Treasury's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) expand Customer Identification Program (CIP) requirements to stablecoin secondary markets, covering exchanges and other platforms that establish direct account relationships with retail customers.BPI stated that relevant exchanges and platforms handle a substantial volume of purchasing and selling activity within the payment stablecoin ecosystem, and that the majority of stablecoin-related illicit activity occurs in this space. Should the proposal be incorporated into the rules, affected platforms would be required to collect customer information under the Bank Secrecy Act, and decentralized exchanges could also fall within the regulatory scope.FinCEN's proposed rule notes that secondary market transactions of stablecoins on the blockchain typically involve anonymous or pseudonymous identities, with no centralized node collecting identity information, and that issuers have limited ability to gather customer data from secondary markets. BPI has also joined other banking organizations in opposing the current version of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News: Zach Pandl, Head of Research at digital asset management firm Grayscale, stated that Bitcoin's structural adoption trend continues, the current bear market has entered a deeper stage, and the macro outlook is generally favorable. These three factors may provide a basis for long-term investors to enter, though prices could still decline.Grayscale noted that Bitcoin's adoption growth is primarily driven by government deficits, the expanding application of blockchain technology in the financial services sector, and generational shifts in investor asset allocation. The current bear market has lasted 10 months, approaching the average and median duration of 11 to 12 months observed across the previous four cyclical bear markets.Macro risks mainly depend on real interest rates and Federal Reserve policy. The Federal Open Market Committee held the federal funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% in July, and future rate hikes could push Bitcoin lower. Bitcoin briefly rose to $79,461 on August 21 before pulling back to around $77,000. (Bitcoin.com News)