News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily Planet Daily reports that financial market infrastructure giant, the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC), plans to demonstrate a real-time stock trading process based on blockchain technology this Wednesday. The technology is said to simplify the clearing, settlement, and record-keeping processes behind Wall Street stock trades, thereby improving the operational efficiency of capital markets. This test is seen as an important step for the traditional financial system in exploring on-chain securities infrastructure.However, the initial scale of the project remains relatively limited. After years of research and development, this demonstration by the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, one of the largest securities clearing institutions in the United States, is more of a validation exercise rather than a full-scale push to move the stock market onto the blockchain.Market participants believe that although tokenized securities and on-chain settlement are considered to have the potential to reduce costs and improve trading efficiency, the migration of traditional financial infrastructure to blockchain still faces challenges such as regulation, compliance, system compatibility, and coordination among market participants.This test marks Wall Street's gradual transition from the proof-of-concept stage to practical application and will serve as an important case study for observing whether institutional-grade blockchain infrastructure can achieve large-scale adoption. (The Information)
multiple sources familiar with discussions on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act indicate that U.S. lawmakers plan to release an updated version of the crypto market structure bill this week. The new text incorporates content from bills previously passed by the U.S. Senate Banking Committee and the Agriculture Committee, with consultations between the two committees on multiple provisions. (CoinDesk)
According to The Hill, the U.S. Crypto Market Structure Bill, the CLARITY Act, is facing a critical advancement milestone before the August congressional recess. Senate Majority Leader John Thune plans to push the bill to the Senate floor for consideration during the week of July 20, but it still requires support from at least seven Democratic senators.
Standard Chartered stated that it maintains its Bitcoin price prediction of reaching $100,000 by the end of 2026, believing that the recent market decline triggered by Strategy's (formerly MicroStrategy) related activities is not due to a deterioration in the company's balance sheet, but rather a strategic adjustment that the market has not fully understood.Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, noted in a report that Strategy's recent behavior is disrupting short-term market expectations for Bitcoin. The market had previously accepted the company's narrative of "never selling Bitcoin," but now Strategy appears to be shifting towards a more complex capital operation model. How clearly the company can communicate this change will determine when market pressure eases.Currently, Strategy holds 843,775 Bitcoins, representing approximately over 4% of the total 21 million Bitcoin supply. From 2020 to mid-2025, Strategy's mNAV (Market Value of Enterprise / Bitcoin Asset Value) was consistently above 1, allowing the company to raise funds through stock issuances to purchase Bitcoin and achieve shareholder value growth. The commitment to "never selling Bitcoin" was central to this model gaining market acceptance. However, with the current mNAV approaching 1, the leverage effect of this financing model is weakening.Kendrick believes Strategy is transitioning from a "Bitcoin accumulation tool" to a "Bitcoin credit support tool." This involves using its Bitcoin holdings as the credit basis for its perpetual preferred stock, STRC. Currently sized at approximately $10 billion, STRC is the largest financial instrument launched by Strategy, offering an annualized dividend rate of 12%, paid semi-monthly in cash, and is designed to maintain a price near its $100 par value through interest rate adjustment mechanisms.Standard Chartered indicated that STRC is currently trading around $90, while Strategy's dollar reserve for paying dividends stands at approximately $2.55 billion, covering an estimated 17.4 months of dividend expenses.Kendrick stated that Strategy's policy adjustment allowing for Bitcoin sales does not necessarily mean the company will continuously sell. He believes that as long as the market believes the new capital structure arrangement can stabilize the STRC price, Strategy may not actually need to sell Bitcoin. He compared this mechanism to a central bank's commitment to "do whatever it takes": mere restoration of market confidence may mean actual intervention never occurs. (The Block)
amid growing insider trading concerns surrounding prediction markets, Goldman Sachs has prohibited its employees from trading prediction market contracts related to the bank's own events, elections, financial markets, macroeconomic data, and geopolitics. Financial institutions such as Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, and Bank of America are also formulating or updating relevant policies. Bank of America, in particular, has begun clarifying prohibited practices in prediction market trading to its employees.Previously, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice accused a Google employee of using non-public information to trade "Search of the Year" related contracts on Polymarket, profiting approximately $1.2 million. Legal experts note that the CFTC still lacks well-established case law in enforcing insider trading rules for prediction markets, and the wide variety of prediction market contracts further complicates regulatory oversight.Currently, Kalshi and Polymarket have respectively launched employment verification tools and collaborated with Chainalysis and Palantir to monitor suspicious trading activities. (CNBC)
According to CoinDesk, informed sources revealed that the latest consolidated draft of the U.S. "Digital Asset Market Transparency Act" (Clarity Act) may be released as early as next week, and the Senate is expected to advance deliberations during the week of July 20. The consolidated draft was jointly negotiated by the Senate Banking Committee and the Agriculture Committee, adding over 70 pages of content and strengthening consumer protection provisions. However, the bill still faces multiple obstacles: Democrats insist on restricting business ties between senior government officials (including the President) and the crypto industry, and the parties have not yet reached a compromise on this ethics provision; additionally, issues such as federal preemption and SEC and CFTC commissioner nominations remain unresolved, and the White House has not participated in the latest negotiations. For the bill to pass in the Senate, it must reach the 60-vote threshold, and the time window is extremely limited—with only about four weeks of agenda remaining for the Senate in July and early August, and continued infighting among House Republicans further increases legislative uncertainty.
According to the Federal Reserve's official website, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh announced on July 9 the establishment of five monetary policy task forces, led jointly by external economists, business leaders, and former central bank officials, operating independently and providing research results to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The research directions of the five task forces are as follows: • Communication Mechanism: Led by former Governor of the Bank of England Mervyn King and others • Balance Sheet Policy: Led by Harvard University Professor Karen Dynan, University of Chicago Professor Raghuram Rajan, and others • Quality of Economic Data: Led by Harvard University Professor Raj Chetty, former Walmart CEO Doug McMillon, and others • Productivity and Employment: Led by a16z Co-founder Marc Andreessen, Microsoft Xbox CEO Asha Sharma, and others • Inflation Framework: Led by Harvard University Professor and former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers Greg Mankiw, Nobel Laureate in Economics Thomas Sargent, and others Warsh stated that the Federal Reserve's commitment to price stability and maximum employment is unwavering, and these task forces aim to evaluate and optimize policy tools and analytical methods to address the current important economic situation.
Odaily News: U.S. Senator Ron Wyden has sent a letter to Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, urging that any version of the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" considered by the Senate retain Section 604 to protect non-custodial blockchain developers who do not control user assets. Ron Wyden stated that developers should not be considered money transmitters simply because they create or publish software that allows users to manage their own digital assets. Coin Center Executive Director Peter Van Valkenburgh, the DeFi Education Fund, and Galaxy Digital Head of Research Alex Thorn have expressed support for this stance. Alex Thorn also noted that supporting developer protections does not mean Ron Wyden will endorse the entire CLARITY Act. Ron Wyden further stated that the provision does not protect developers involved in illegal activities and can direct law enforcement resources toward criminals and unlicensed money transmission businesses, rather than neutral software developers. (Bitcoin.com News).
: Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has formed five working groups to conduct a comprehensive review of the Fed's monetary policy operational mechanism, covering areas such as balance sheet management, policy tools, and the impact of AI. Each working group will operate independently, conduct fact-based research, and submit analysis results to the Federal Open Market Committee. The team members include multiple economists and former central bank officials. Among them, Harvard University economist Raj Chetty will co-lead the data working group, tech investor Marc Andreessen will be responsible for the productivity and employment working group, and former White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Greg Mankiw will co-lead the inflation working group.
crypto venture capital fund Pantera Capital stated in a post that Hyperliquid's total addressable market is approximately $10 trillion in daily notional trading volume, including around $200 billion in 0DTE options and leveraged ETF trading, approximately $2 trillion in commodity derivatives trading, and around $8 trillion in foreign exchange derivatives trading.Pantera indicated that if Hyperliquid can consistently capture a low-single-digit percentage share of the aforementioned markets, its revenue potential could reach five times current levels. According to estimates, if the HIP-3 market achieves an annualized notional trading volume of $3.65 quadrillion and captures a 1% market share, under the assumptions of a combined fee rate of 2 basis points and Hyperliquid's economic split of 50%, the platform's revenue could reach approximately $3.7 billion.However, Pantera pointed out that regulation remains the biggest risk for Hyperliquid. Perpetual contracts are currently not fully open in the United States, and if the US promotes the legalization of related products in the future and introduces regulated platforms, Hyperliquid could face more intense competition, with some US user trading volume potentially shifting to compliant trading venues. Pantera believes Hyperliquid could also launch a regulated version targeting the US market in the future.
Google has updated its Chrome Web Store developer policy, explicitly listing Prediction Markets as a prohibited product. According to the new regulations, any Chrome extension that promotes or supports real-money transactions based on predicted outcomes is not allowed for publication on the Chrome Web Store. This update also strengthens requirements for transparency in user data collection and privacy protection. The new policy will officially take effect on August 1, 2026.
According to the official announcement by Bitcoin Suisse AG, its Middle East subsidiary BTCS (Middle East) Ltd. has obtained the Financial Services Permission (FSP) issued by the Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) of the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), authorizing it to provide regulated digital asset financial services to qualified clients, covering services such as institutional-grade custody, spot trading, and derivatives hedging. With this, Bitcoin Suisse now holds compliant licenses in four jurisdictions: Switzerland, Bermuda, the European Economic Area (MiCAR), and Abu Dhabi, further advancing its global crypto wealth management strategic layout. Ceyda Majcen will serve as the Chief Executive Officer for the Middle East region.
According to PRNewswire, Bitcoin mining company Canaan Inc. announced that its American Depositary Shares (ADS) have officially transferred from the Nasdaq Global Market to the Nasdaq Capital Market. The stock ticker CAN remains unchanged, and the transfer will not affect its normal trading.
the Bank of Korea has disclosed in a written document submitted to the National Assembly that the rapid expansion of single-stock leveraged ETFs targeting Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix may be amplifying structural "herding" and volatility risks in the Korean stock market. The combined market capitalization and trading volume share of these two companies in the Korean stock market have risen sharply, with the market cap share increasing from approximately 36.1% at the end of last year to over 55% recently, and the trading volume share jumping from 27.9% to 63.5%.South Korea's financial regulatory authorities have also expressed similar concerns, emphasizing the need for continuous monitoring of the potential impact of these products on market stability and systemic risk. Under changing market sentiment, single-stock leveraged ETFs may exacerbate unidirectional capital flows. If market trends reverse, combined with intraday rebalancing and derivative hedging mechanisms, this could further amplify price volatility. (Etoday)
Odaily, July 5th - The cryptocurrency market continued its stabilization trend, with Bitcoin rising nearly 7% in the week ending July 5th, recording its strongest weekly performance since March. This rally was primarily fueled by declining inflation expectations. The breakeven inflation rate, a measure of market inflation expectations, has dropped notably recently. The two-year indicator has fallen below 2%, approaching the Federal Reserve's inflation target level, while long-term inflation expectations have also weakened. Meanwhile, WTI crude oil prices have fallen in tandem with inflation expectations, returning to levels close to those seen before the geopolitical conflicts in February, prompting the market to reassess inflation pressures, interest rate cut expectations, and the dollar's trajectory.Some analysts suggest that if the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakens, it could further lower resistance for Bitcoin’s upward movement, as the two typically exhibit a negative correlation. However, other viewpoints caution that services inflation remains sticky, and falling oil prices do not necessarily imply a reversal of the overall inflation trend. Monetary policy may continue to maintain a "higher for longer" stance.The next key milestone for the market is the US June CPI data due on July 14th, which could serve as a crucial catalyst for determining the inflation path and the direction of risk assets. (CoinDesk)
Sberbank, Russia's largest bank, plans to launch a cryptocurrency wallet and digital custody services, with the earliest launch expected in December. The services will be integrated into the "Sberbank Online" and "SberInvestments" platforms, pending the official implementation of Russia's forthcoming "Digital Currency and Digital Rights Law" in September.The bill is expected to establish a licensing framework for transactions, custody, fiat exchange, and cross-border settlements involving crypto assets, while also allowing eligible investors to participate in trading within set limits.Sberbank stated that users will be able to access authorized crypto assets directly within the bank's application, and a digital asset custody system will also be launched for token storage and ledger management.Against the backdrop of advancing regulations, financial institutions including the Moscow Exchange and VTB are also accelerating their deployment in digital asset-related businesses, as Russia's financial system gradually opens up to the compliant crypto market. (CoinDesk)
According to CoinDesk, the U.S. Crypto Market Structure Bill Clarity Act failed to be signed within the previously expected timeframe. As Congress approaches its summer recess, pressure is mounting for the bill to be enacted within 2026. However, several observers following the legislative process remain cautiously optimistic about its passage within the year, believing that current key coordination efforts are still ongoing, including the consolidation of content between the Senate Agriculture Committee and Banking Committee versions.
White House advisor Patrick Witt stated in May that he hoped the Clarity Act would be signed into law on July 4th, but the bill did not meet this deadline. CoinDesk reports that the biggest risk now actually comes from the House of Representatives. Recently, the U.S. House of Representatives has faced resistance in advancing multiple agendas, including important bills like the budget proposal. Market concerns are growing that declining legislative efficiency could further slow down the progress of the CLARITY Act.Additionally, the market believes that August 7th (the last working day before the Senate's summer recess) will become an important time window for advancing the bill. (CoinDesk).
The PPP Prediction Market tool monitors that Polymarket has listed a new event: "Will the US government revoke public access to another major AI model?" The current probability is reported at 33%.The settlement rules state: If the US federal government, by the end of 2026, passes relevant legislation, issues an executive order, implements export controls, or takes any other action that substantially restricts US public access to a major AI model, the market outcome will be "Yes." Otherwise, the outcome will be "No." A "qualifying action" refers to a formal measure taken by the US government, the effect of which is equivalent to completely prohibiting the public from accessing a specific AI model within the United States. Furthermore, the settlement rules emphasize that regardless of the action's true purpose or nominal goal; if the action effectively results in the public being unable to access the model within the US—for example, prohibiting the model from being provided to foreign citizens or governments, as long as the general public cannot access the model through conventional channels within the US—it meets the qualification requirements. Merely excluding access to the model from a single channel is insufficient. Removals of public access that are not caused by any formal action of the US government are not eligible."Mainstream AI model" refers to the flagship, general-purpose large language model or multimodal foundation model developed by one of the following companies: OpenAI, Anthropic, Google (including Google DeepMind), Meta, xAI, Microsoft, Amazon, Mistral AI, DeepSeek, Alibaba, ByteDance, Moonshot AI, and Zhipu AI (Z.ai). Models designed for specific tasks, or those that are outdated, used solely for research or preview purposes, do not meet this criterion.The action can target a single model or a group of models, as long as at least one major AI model becomes inaccessible to the public within the US as a result. A temporary suspension of public access to a model meets this condition. However, if an action has been implemented or a related resolution has been issued, but the public can still access the model before the resolution takes effect, that action does not meet the condition.The information sources for this market are official announcements and information from the US government and the relevant AI companies. However, reliable media reports may also be referenced to form a consensus.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before prices are set.
"White Hair Stock God" Serenity stated that when he first used ChatGPT in 2023, he believed large language models "performed poorly" in programming capabilities. However, three years later, the related technology has undergone a qualitative transformation. Modern cybersecurity and AI systems, represented by Mythos, now possess "weapon-level" capabilities. He believes the industry is currently entering a critical "inflection point," where humanoid robots and automation technologies are approaching the tipping point for large-scale replacement of human labor.Serenity noted that although outsiders often question whether humanoid robots can currently perform complex tasks such as pipe repair or electrical wiring, the direction of technological evolution is already very clear, with continued breakthroughs expected in the coming years. Market participants, including VCs and large tech companies, have begun adjusting their strategies. Some companies have internal plans to replace a significant amount of human labor with robots to reduce operational costs, referencing previous rumors about Amazon reducing hundreds of thousands of job openings through robotics.Serenity believes that highly regulated industries such as healthcare, ultra-high-skill professional positions, and service sectors relying on human emotional connections may still retain some resistance to substitution. However, the overall trend still points towards a "restructuring of labor." As competition between China and the U.S. intensifies in cutting-edge technology fields, humanoid robots and automation may enter a stage of national-level technological competition. He believes China already holds a leading position in certain areas.