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Caixin: SpaceX IPO First Day Free Float Market Cap Could Be Between $440 Billion and $530 Billion
Caixin published an article titled "SpaceX's $1.75 Trillion IPO Approaches: Who Can Buy and Is It Worth It?", which points out: Wall Street has never encountered a listed company with such a massive IPO scale while simultaneously having such a complex relationship with the U.S. government. Nasdaq has previously passed a new "Fast Entry" rule, allowing newly listed companies with a market capitalization ranking among the top 40 of the Nasdaq 100 Index to be quickly included in the Nasdaq 100 within 15 trading days after listing. This rule will officially take effect on May 1, 2026, and is also considered to be designed for the upcoming SpaceX IPO, while potentially paving the way for the listings of OpenAI and Anthropic, which may occur in 2026 or 2027.Assuming SpaceX lists with a $1.75 trillion valuation and a free float ratio of 25% to 30%, the free float market cap on the first day of the IPO would be approximately between $440 billion and $530 billion. Based on the weight calculation of the Nasdaq 100, SpaceX would directly enter the top ten weighted stocks. According to market sources, the S&P 500 is also evaluating some form of "fast inclusion" plan, though details have not yet been disclosed. (Caixin)
Gate Ventures: Tech Stocks Drive Market Recovery, Crypto Assets and Investment & Financing Also Recover in Sync
Odaily Odaily News According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, there are signs of a staged recovery at the macro level. While major stock indices showed divergent performance, the overall trend was upward, and market risk appetite has somewhat improved. Against this backdrop, the crypto market rebounded in tandem, with BTC rising by 6.6% and ETH by 4.7%. They also recorded net spot ETF inflows of approximately $823.7 million and $155 million respectively, indicating a strengthening return of capital. The total market capitalization increased by 5.2%, while the market cap excluding BTC and ETH grew by 2.6%, suggesting that upward momentum is beginning to spread to a broader range of assets, albeit at a relatively moderate pace.In terms of asset and sector dynamics, structural opportunities continue to emerge. The top 30 assets averaged a 4.2% increase. Meanwhile, advancements at the on-chain and industry levels are persisting, including ongoing developments in digital currency infrastructure and asset tokenization. Regarding investment and financing, 12 transactions were completed last week, with a total disclosed financing amount of approximately $54.89 million, representing a month-over-month increase of about 31%. Capital primarily flowed into DeFi and infrastructure sectors. Notably, JPYC secured $17.62 million in funding to advance the infrastructure development of its yen-backed stablecoin. 3F completed a $4 million seed funding round, with participants including Gate Ventures. Against the backdrop of a marginally improving macro environment, investment and financing activity has picked up, with capital still focusing on long-term application scenarios and foundational capability building amidst volatile conditions.
Republic Power Group Announces Strategic Investment to Enter RWA Tokenization and Blockchain Market
According to Chainwire, Nasdaq-listed Republic Power Group Limited (“RPGL”) announced a definitive agreement to acquire a 10% equity stake in NVC Partners Limited and enter into a technology services and platform cooperation agreement with NVTH Limited and its affiliate NVTHK Limited, officially entering the real-world asset (RWA) tokenization and blockchain infrastructure market. Under the agreement, RPGL will gain access to RWA tokenization systems, secondary trading infrastructure, and related technology development, support, and maintenance services. The company stated that this move will accelerate its expansion into institutional-grade digital finance and capital markets solutions, leveraging its customer base in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Southeast Asia to drive real-world application deployment.
SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic to Go Public or Raise Over $240 Billion, Potentially Impacting Crypto Market Liquidity
According to CoinDesk, SpaceX is expected to go public in June and could surpass Saudi Aramco’s $29 billion IPO in 2019 to become the largest IPO in history. Meanwhile, OpenAI and Anthropic are also planning to go public in the second half of this year. Collectively, these three companies are projected to raise over $240 billion—potentially marking a pivotal turning point for liquidity in the crypto market. Market analysts believe these mega-IPOs could significantly drain liquidity from risk assets, with the crypto market sitting in the same funding pool. As mainstream crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum have closely tracked the Nasdaq and U.S. equity risk sentiment in recent years, a large-scale shift of capital toward subscribing to tech giants’ IPOs may weaken buying support for BTC, ETH, and altcoins.
daos.fun Founder's Summary: Has Stopped Launching DAO Products, Speculation-Driven Market and Governance Flaws Are Unsustainable
Odaily News daos.fun founder baoskee posted on the X platform stating that the team has ceased further development of DAO products. The reason is that the market is primarily driven by speculation, and the "degen managing a hedge fund" model has structural issues, including behaviors such as dumping after fundraising or self-buying tokens.He pointed out that daos.fun had previously promoted narratives related to DAOs, ICM, and AI, and emphasized that the team did not engage in insider trading or token sniping during operations, creating profits for users.Simultaneously, baoskee mentioned that while the whitelist mechanism is controversial, overall it still constituted an "interesting experiment." He stated he will continue to monitor the development of new projects like pumpcade and megapot, and is optimistic about the innovative potential of the Solana ecosystem in the financial gaming field.
Tom Lee: Crypto Bear Market Nears End, ETH Benefits from Asset Tokenization and AI Narrative
Odaily News Tom Lee, Chairman of Bitmine, stated that market signals indicate the current "crypto winter" is nearing its end. He pointed out that since the low point in early February, ETH has rebounded by approximately 41% and has recently outperformed the S&P 500 index.He believes Ethereum is currently primarily benefiting from two major narrative drivers: the advancement of traditional financial asset tokenization and the rising demand from AI systems for public blockchain infrastructure. Furthermore, he noted that historically, crypto bear markets have often coincided with significant stock market corrections, and the current changes in the macro environment may suggest this cycle is approaching its conclusion. (Prnewswire)
Prediction market pricing shows expectations for Fed rate cuts before 2027 have significantly cooled
pricing on the Kalshi prediction market indicates the market currently sees only about a 50% probability of a Fed rate cut before 2027, a sharp decline from the 80-90% probability seen earlier this year. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) convenes, the market is effectively pricing in a "higher for longer" interest rate environment, reflecting a lack of confidence in near-term monetary policy easing.
Analysis: Bitcoin Holds at $77,000 Range, Powell's "Final FOMC" Adds Market Uncertainty
Odaily Bitcoin remained consolidating above $77,000 on Wednesday, with markets cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. According to market data, Bitcoin fluctuated within the range of approximately $75,689 to $77,837 during the session, and is currently trading around $77,100.This FOMC meeting is seen as a pivotal event. Markets widely expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but the real focus is on whether Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will signal a "higher-for-longer" hawkish stance. Additionally, this meeting may be his last as Fed Chair, with markets simultaneously pricing in uncertainty regarding policy direction and potential power transitions.On the capital front, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a reversal after nine consecutive days of net inflows. SoSoValue data shows that on April 28, ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $89.68 million. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT saw a single-day outflow of about $112 million. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs also logged net outflows of $21.8 million.On-chain data also signals caution. CryptoQuant noted that on April 27, exchange net inflows reached 9,905 BTC, the largest single-day inflow in nearly 30 days. Exchange reserves have also rebounded recently. If these inflows are not quickly absorbed, prices could retest the support range of $74,000–$75,000.On the macroeconomic front, fluctuations in crude oil prices and shifts in the Middle East energy landscape continue to influence inflation expectations. Some analysts believe this could limit the Fed's room for future easing. Meanwhile, market liquidity continues to weaken, with institutional trading volumes and perpetual contract activity both at low levels. This means any policy surprise could amplify price volatility.Overall, Bitcoin remains in a "low liquidity + high event risk" structure and may continue to oscillate within the $72,000 to $80,000 range in the short term, awaiting further clarity on the Fed's policy path. (The Block)
CFTC Chairman: AI to Be Used for Reviewing US Crypto Market Registration Applications and Enhancing Market Surveillance
CFTC Chairman Mike Selig, in an interview with CoinDesk, stated that the CFTC is developing tools leveraging AI to review registration applications for the U.S. crypto market and monitor trading activity. Mike Selig noted that due to federal government layoffs, which have reduced the agency's workforce by more than one-fifth, AI and automation technologies will be used to fill the manpower gap and improve the efficiency of document review. Currently, his employees are undergoing training on Microsoft Copilot, while the agency is also developing internal tools for reviewing swaps data and market surveillance.Furthermore, Mike Selig stated that the digital asset classification guide jointly released by the CFTC and the SEC is the most important initiative during his tenure, aimed at providing regulatory clarity for market participants. Regarding prediction markets, Mike Selig reiterated the CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction and emphasized that strict enforcement actions will be taken against violations such as insider trading.
Israel approves first regulated stablecoin pegged to the Shekel
the Israel Capital Market Authority has approved Bits of Gold to issue the country's first shekel-pegged stablecoin, BILS. The token is a regulated asset launched by Bits of Gold after a two-year evaluation and pilot program, with support from the Solana network, Fireblocks, and Ernst & Young. Bits of Gold stated that bringing the shekel on-chain aims to position it alongside currencies such as the euro, the Japanese yen, and the Singapore dollar, which have already entered the blockchain financial system. Currently, the stablecoin market size has exceeded $300 billion. This issuance aims to address the dominance of dollar-pegged tokens in on-chain payments and safeguard digital sovereignty.
April 29th, the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair will be put to a full vote in the Senate
on Sunday that after the Department of Justice concluded its investigation into Powell, Republican Senator Thom Tillis dropped his opposition to Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve Chair nomination confirmation process. The Senate Banking Committee ultimately voted 13 to 11 in favor of sending Kevin Warsh's nomination as Federal Reserve Chair to a full Senate vote. According to the official website of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, the vote is scheduled for April 29th at 10:00 AM Eastern Time.On the same day, the Federal Open Market Committee will also announce its latest interest rate decision. Current Chair Jerome Powell will preside over his 63rd—and potentially final—press conference since taking the helm of the Federal Reserve eight years ago. Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15th, but his term as a Board member runs until January 31, 2028. Whether Powell will also step down from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors has become a key focus for the market.
The European Blockchain Association, together with former European Central Bank officials, released a report calling for reforms to MiCA to enhance the competitiveness of euro-pegged stablecoins.
According to Blockchain for Europe, the European Blockchain Association, together with Dr. Ulrich Bindseil, former Director General of Market Infrastructure and Payments at the European Central Bank, and Erwin Voloder, the Association’s Director of Research and Strategy, jointly released the report “Reforming MiCA to Support Euro Stablecoins” on April 27. The report acknowledges MiCA’s significance as a landmark regulatory framework, while also pointing out that certain design choices may place Europe in an unfavorable zone of the regulatory “Laffer curve”—overly stringent requirements could undermine the competitiveness of EU markets and drive related business activities outside the EU. To address this, the report puts forward a series of targeted, pragmatic reform proposals aimed at enabling MiCA to foster a more competitive, resilient, and globally influential euro stablecoin ecosystem. It further calls on policymakers, industry participants, and all stakeholders to actively engage in discussions to collectively advance the continuous refinement of the MiCA framework.
Analysis: Bitcoin Holds at $77,000 Range, Powell's "Final FOMC" Adds Market Uncertainty
Odaily Bitcoin remained consolidating above $77,000 on Wednesday, with markets cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. According to market data, Bitcoin fluctuated within the range of approximately $75,689 to $77,837 during the session, and is currently trading around $77,100.This FOMC meeting is seen as a pivotal event. Markets widely expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but the real focus is on whether Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will signal a "higher-for-longer" hawkish stance. Additionally, this meeting may be his last as Fed Chair, with markets simultaneously pricing in uncertainty regarding policy direction and potential power transitions.On the capital front, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a reversal after nine consecutive days of net inflows. SoSoValue data shows that on April 28, ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $89.68 million. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT saw a single-day outflow of about $112 million. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs also logged net outflows of $21.8 million.On-chain data also signals caution. CryptoQuant noted that on April 27, exchange net inflows reached 9,905 BTC, the largest single-day inflow in nearly 30 days. Exchange reserves have also rebounded recently. If these inflows are not quickly absorbed, prices could retest the support range of $74,000–$75,000.On the macroeconomic front, fluctuations in crude oil prices and shifts in the Middle East energy landscape continue to influence inflation expectations. Some analysts believe this could limit the Fed's room for future easing. Meanwhile, market liquidity continues to weaken, with institutional trading volumes and perpetual contract activity both at low levels. This means any policy surprise could amplify price volatility.Overall, Bitcoin remains in a "low liquidity + high event risk" structure and may continue to oscillate within the $72,000 to $80,000 range in the short term, awaiting further clarity on the Fed's policy path. (The Block)
Analysis: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volume Hits Lowest Since October 2023, Low Liquidity May Amplify Market Volatility
data shows the daily spot trading volume of Bitcoin has fallen to below $8 billion, the lowest level since October 2023, when the BTC price was still below $40,000. Glassnode points out that since the peak of over $25 billion in early February this year, trading volume has continued to decline. A low-volume environment typically implies reduced market depth, making it more sensitive to capital flow changes.Market depth is usually measured by the cumulative bids and asks within a 2% range of the current price. When depth contracts, a few large orders can significantly drive price movements, meaning market volatility may be amplified. However, the options market does not currently fully reflect this risk. The Volmex BVIV index shows that Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility has fallen below 42% annualized, hitting a three-month low, indicating that traders are generally betting on continued market stability.Analysis suggests that with market sentiment cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Bitcoin is currently hovering around $77,800, lacking a clear direction. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance, particularly expressing concerns over rising energy prices and inflation risks, it could prolong the pause in rate cuts or even strengthen expectations of a rate hike, thereby suppressing risk asset performance. (CoinDesk)
BIT: BTC Posts Two Consecutive Monthly Gains, Showing Signs of Market Momentum Recovery
According to chart analysis by independent analyst Markus Thielen, Bitcoin has weakened for five consecutive months since hitting an all-time high in October 2025, only posting positive returns in March 2026. April is not yet over, but this month’s gains are poised to become Bitcoin’s strongest single-month performance since April 2025—potentially marking its second consecutive month of gains. Analysts note that two successive monthly recoveries have already signaled some degree of repair, and when combined with the historically bullish seasonal pattern from May through July, Bitcoin may continue to receive some support going forward. However, a single-month rebound remains insufficient to confirm a trend reversal.
Prediction Market ETFs May Launch Next Week, with Initial Products Focused on U.S. Congressional Election Results
James Seyffart, ETF analyst at Bloomberg, announced in a post that prediction market ETFs are expected to officially launch next week. Roundhill’s related application documents have been submitted, with an effective date set for May 5. The first batch of prediction market ETFs will be based on election outcomes regarding whether the U.S. House of Representatives or Senate will be controlled by the Democratic or Republican Party.
Gate Ventures: Tech Stocks Drive Market Recovery, Crypto Assets and Investment & Financing Also Recover in Sync
Odaily Odaily News According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, there are signs of a staged recovery at the macro level. While major stock indices showed divergent performance, the overall trend was upward, and market risk appetite has somewhat improved. Against this backdrop, the crypto market rebounded in tandem, with BTC rising by 6.6% and ETH by 4.7%. They also recorded net spot ETF inflows of approximately $823.7 million and $155 million respectively, indicating a strengthening return of capital. The total market capitalization increased by 5.2%, while the market cap excluding BTC and ETH grew by 2.6%, suggesting that upward momentum is beginning to spread to a broader range of assets, albeit at a relatively moderate pace.In terms of asset and sector dynamics, structural opportunities continue to emerge. The top 30 assets averaged a 4.2% increase. Meanwhile, advancements at the on-chain and industry levels are persisting, including ongoing developments in digital currency infrastructure and asset tokenization. Regarding investment and financing, 12 transactions were completed last week, with a total disclosed financing amount of approximately $54.89 million, representing a month-over-month increase of about 31%. Capital primarily flowed into DeFi and infrastructure sectors. Notably, JPYC secured $17.62 million in funding to advance the infrastructure development of its yen-backed stablecoin. 3F completed a $4 million seed funding round, with participants including Gate Ventures. Against the backdrop of a marginally improving macro environment, investment and financing activity has picked up, with capital still focusing on long-term application scenarios and foundational capability building amidst volatile conditions.
Bernstein: Bitcoin Bull Market Cycle Will Be Longer, Institutional Capital and Stablecoin Demand Drive Rally
Odaily Bernstein stated in a research report that the cryptocurrency market is currently showing signs of fundamental strengthening. Analysts pointed out that Bitcoin has formed a bottom near $60,000 and is now advancing toward the $80,000 mark. Institutional capital inflows, MicroStrategy's continued accumulation of Bitcoin through STRC products, and the deep integration of blockchain with financial infrastructure collectively create an asymmetric upside potential.Bernstein emphasized that new distribution channels from Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF and Charles Schwab's spot trading platform have broadened participation. Currently, approximately 60% of Bitcoin's supply has not moved in over a year, with institutional demand reinforcing its holding base. Additionally, stablecoin supply has reached a record high of $300 billion, with its payment and settlement demand decoupling from market sentiment. The tokenized real-world asset sector has grown 110% year-over-year to $345 billion. Although quantum computing poses a long-term risk, analysts believe the industry has ample time to undergo a secure transition.
Standard Chartered: rsETH Security Incident Does Not Alter RWA Growth Thesis, Maintaining $2 Trillion Market Size Forecast
Standard Chartered Bank's latest report indicates that while the theft of KelpDAO's rsETH has severely impacted the DeFi ecosystem, it is insufficient to change the long-term growth trend of Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization. The bank maintains its forecast that the RWA tokenization market will grow from $35 billion in October 2025 to $2 trillion by the end of 2028, with the core drivers remaining the continued expansion of the DeFi banking system and stablecoin liquidity.Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, stated that this incident is more like DeFi being "bent, not broken," and could even serve as a significant turning point for the industry to move towards a more resilient structure. (The Block)
QCP: BTC Monthly Gain Exceeds 14%; Geopolitical and Security Incidents Disrupt Market Sentiment
QCP Group’s analysis states that U.S.-Iran negotiations have once again collapsed, while the Middle East ceasefire continues, leaving the overall geopolitical landscape relatively static. A shooting incident occurred at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, with Trump suspected as the target. Following Asia’s market open, BTC briefly surged past $79,000 and ETH above $2,400—but gains quickly reversed amid concerns triggered by news of Iran’s Foreign Minister traveling to Russia for talks with Putin. Since early April, BTC has rallied over 14% cumulatively, marking four consecutive weeks of positive closes. Spot ETFs recorded nine straight days of net inflows totaling approximately $2.11 billion. Strategy funds added over $3.8 billion worth of BTC in the past month. The current key resistance level for BTC lies near the CME gap around $82,000. BTC perpetual contract funding rates remain persistently negative; a breakout above this level could trigger short-covering. Implied volatility continues declining, and risk-reversal skew has narrowed somewhat, signaling gradually rising market interest in upside exposure. Key events this week: - April 29: Earnings reports from Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google, plus the FOMC interest-rate decision. - April 30: Apple earnings report, U.S. Q1 GDP data, and March PCE inflation data.
Hyperliquid Eyes Prediction Market, Plans to Explore Zero Opening Fee Model to Challenge Polymarket
Hyperliquid is accelerating its entry into the prediction market arena, planning to compete with platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi through a newly launched "outcome tokens" mechanism.According to the recently disclosed fee structure, Hyperliquid adopts a "zero fee for opening positions, fees for closing or settlement" model for event trading, covering scenarios such as minting, trading, burning, and settlement. The platform also offers lower transaction costs for "aligned quote tokens," including market-making rebate increases and fee discount mechanisms. This feature will be introduced through the HIP-4 upgrade, enabling users to trade binary contracts based on real-world events within a single account, integrated with the existing spot and perpetual contract system to form a unified trading environment.The prediction market has grown rapidly in recent years, with total trading volume exceeding $63.5 billion in 2025. Hyperliquid's previously launched HIP-3 has driven its permissionless perpetual contract market to account for over 35% of the platform's trading volume. Currently, event tokens are still in the testnet phase, and the mainnet launch date has not yet been announced. However, the industry widely expects this to become a crucial infrastructure for Hyperliquid to challenge the existing prediction market landscape. (CoinDesk)
Galaxy Reports Q1 Earnings: Net Loss of $216 Million Amid Crypto Market Downturn
Galaxy Digital has released its financial results for the first quarter of 2026, showing a net loss of $216 million for Q1, impacted by the downturn in the crypto asset market during the quarter. The diluted and adjusted loss per share was $0.49. Adjusted gross loss for the period was $88 million, and adjusted EBITDA loss was $188 million. As of March 31, Galaxy Digital's total equity stood at $2.8 billion, holding $2.6 billion in cash and stablecoins.In terms of digital asset business, Galaxy's assets under management reached $5 billion, with staked assets totaling $3.2 billion. BlackRock has selected Galaxy as the validator for its staked Ethereum exchange-traded fund, the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF. Additionally, Galaxy has delivered the first data hall at the Helios data center to CoreWeave, officially beginning revenue recognition, and expects to complete the delivery of the first phase's 133 megawatts of critical IT load by the end of Q2 2026. (PRNewswire)
XBIT Surpasses $36 Million in Trading Volume Within Just One Month of Launch, Ranking Top 4 Among Polymarket Builders
as of the end of April, crypto trading aggregation platform XBIT ranked 4th on the official Polymarket Builder leaderboard with a monthly trading volume of $36.12 million.The project was officially launched in early April, and XBIT has recently passed the official Polymarket Builder review.Currently, XBIT has launched two core categories: Prediction Market and Perpetual Contracts (Perp DEX). Its next step is to launch a leveraged prediction market, further enriching the aggregated trading experience.
Venus Protocol Announces Closure of vSXP Market on May 11
Venus Protocol announced that, due to insufficient oracle support and continuously declining liquidity, the vSXP market will be unable to price assets after May 11, and Venus Protocol has officially decided to shut down this market. Venus Protocol urges users to close all positions in this market before May 11. According to the official statement, Venus Protocol will bear no responsibility for any funds remaining unwithdrawn by that date.
Prediction Market ETFs May Launch Next Week, with Initial Products Focused on U.S. Congressional Election Results
James Seyffart, ETF analyst at Bloomberg, announced in a post that prediction market ETFs are expected to officially launch next week. Roundhill’s related application documents have been submitted, with an effective date set for May 5. The first batch of prediction market ETFs will be based on election outcomes regarding whether the U.S. House of Representatives or Senate will be controlled by the Democratic or Republican Party.
CFTC Chairman: AI to Be Used for Reviewing US Crypto Market Registration Applications and Enhancing Market Surveillance
CFTC Chairman Mike Selig, in an interview with CoinDesk, stated that the CFTC is developing tools leveraging AI to review registration applications for the U.S. crypto market and monitor trading activity. Mike Selig noted that due to federal government layoffs, which have reduced the agency's workforce by more than one-fifth, AI and automation technologies will be used to fill the manpower gap and improve the efficiency of document review. Currently, his employees are undergoing training on Microsoft Copilot, while the agency is also developing internal tools for reviewing swaps data and market surveillance.Furthermore, Mike Selig stated that the digital asset classification guide jointly released by the CFTC and the SEC is the most important initiative during his tenure, aimed at providing regulatory clarity for market participants. Regarding prediction markets, Mike Selig reiterated the CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction and emphasized that strict enforcement actions will be taken against violations such as insider trading.
Related news
Hyperliquid Eyes Prediction Market, Plans to Explore Zero Opening Fee Model to Challenge Polymarket
Hyperliquid is accelerating its entry into the prediction market arena, planning to compete with platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi through a newly launched "outcome tokens" mechanism.According to the recently disclosed fee structure, Hyperliquid adopts a "zero fee for opening positions, fees for closing or settlement" model for event trading, covering scenarios such as minting, trading, burning, and settlement. The platform also offers lower transaction costs for "aligned quote tokens," including market-making rebate increases and fee discount mechanisms. This feature will be introduced through the HIP-4 upgrade, enabling users to trade binary contracts based on real-world events within a single account, integrated with the existing spot and perpetual contract system to form a unified trading environment.The prediction market has grown rapidly in recent years, with total trading volume exceeding $63.5 billion in 2025. Hyperliquid's previously launched HIP-3 has driven its permissionless perpetual contract market to account for over 35% of the platform's trading volume. Currently, event tokens are still in the testnet phase, and the mainnet launch date has not yet been announced. However, the industry widely expects this to become a crucial infrastructure for Hyperliquid to challenge the existing prediction market landscape. (CoinDesk)
Prediction market pricing shows expectations for Fed rate cuts before 2027 have significantly cooled
pricing on the Kalshi prediction market indicates the market currently sees only about a 50% probability of a Fed rate cut before 2027, a sharp decline from the 80-90% probability seen earlier this year. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) convenes, the market is effectively pricing in a "higher for longer" interest rate environment, reflecting a lack of confidence in near-term monetary policy easing.
Analysis: Bitcoin Holds at $77,000 Range, Powell's "Final FOMC" Adds Market Uncertainty
Odaily Bitcoin remained consolidating above $77,000 on Wednesday, with markets cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. According to market data, Bitcoin fluctuated within the range of approximately $75,689 to $77,837 during the session, and is currently trading around $77,100.This FOMC meeting is seen as a pivotal event. Markets widely expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but the real focus is on whether Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will signal a "higher-for-longer" hawkish stance. Additionally, this meeting may be his last as Fed Chair, with markets simultaneously pricing in uncertainty regarding policy direction and potential power transitions.On the capital front, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a reversal after nine consecutive days of net inflows. SoSoValue data shows that on April 28, ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $89.68 million. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT saw a single-day outflow of about $112 million. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs also logged net outflows of $21.8 million.On-chain data also signals caution. CryptoQuant noted that on April 27, exchange net inflows reached 9,905 BTC, the largest single-day inflow in nearly 30 days. Exchange reserves have also rebounded recently. If these inflows are not quickly absorbed, prices could retest the support range of $74,000–$75,000.On the macroeconomic front, fluctuations in crude oil prices and shifts in the Middle East energy landscape continue to influence inflation expectations. Some analysts believe this could limit the Fed's room for future easing. Meanwhile, market liquidity continues to weaken, with institutional trading volumes and perpetual contract activity both at low levels. This means any policy surprise could amplify price volatility.Overall, Bitcoin remains in a "low liquidity + high event risk" structure and may continue to oscillate within the $72,000 to $80,000 range in the short term, awaiting further clarity on the Fed's policy path. (The Block)
Standard Chartered: rsETH Security Incident Does Not Alter RWA Growth Thesis, Maintaining $2 Trillion Market Size Forecast
Standard Chartered Bank's latest report indicates that while the theft of KelpDAO's rsETH has severely impacted the DeFi ecosystem, it is insufficient to change the long-term growth trend of Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization. The bank maintains its forecast that the RWA tokenization market will grow from $35 billion in October 2025 to $2 trillion by the end of 2028, with the core drivers remaining the continued expansion of the DeFi banking system and stablecoin liquidity.Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, stated that this incident is more like DeFi being "bent, not broken," and could even serve as a significant turning point for the industry to move towards a more resilient structure. (The Block)
Galaxy Reports Q1 Earnings: Net Loss of $216 Million Amid Crypto Market Downturn
Galaxy Digital has released its financial results for the first quarter of 2026, showing a net loss of $216 million for Q1, impacted by the downturn in the crypto asset market during the quarter. The diluted and adjusted loss per share was $0.49. Adjusted gross loss for the period was $88 million, and adjusted EBITDA loss was $188 million. As of March 31, Galaxy Digital's total equity stood at $2.8 billion, holding $2.6 billion in cash and stablecoins.In terms of digital asset business, Galaxy's assets under management reached $5 billion, with staked assets totaling $3.2 billion. BlackRock has selected Galaxy as the validator for its staked Ethereum exchange-traded fund, the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF. Additionally, Galaxy has delivered the first data hall at the Helios data center to CoreWeave, officially beginning revenue recognition, and expects to complete the delivery of the first phase's 133 megawatts of critical IT load by the end of Q2 2026. (PRNewswire)
Analysis: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volume Hits Lowest Since October 2023, Low Liquidity May Amplify Market Volatility
data shows the daily spot trading volume of Bitcoin has fallen to below $8 billion, the lowest level since October 2023, when the BTC price was still below $40,000. Glassnode points out that since the peak of over $25 billion in early February this year, trading volume has continued to decline. A low-volume environment typically implies reduced market depth, making it more sensitive to capital flow changes.Market depth is usually measured by the cumulative bids and asks within a 2% range of the current price. When depth contracts, a few large orders can significantly drive price movements, meaning market volatility may be amplified. However, the options market does not currently fully reflect this risk. The Volmex BVIV index shows that Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility has fallen below 42% annualized, hitting a three-month low, indicating that traders are generally betting on continued market stability.Analysis suggests that with market sentiment cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Bitcoin is currently hovering around $77,800, lacking a clear direction. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance, particularly expressing concerns over rising energy prices and inflation risks, it could prolong the pause in rate cuts or even strengthen expectations of a rate hike, thereby suppressing risk asset performance. (CoinDesk)