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Serenity is a DeDaSP (Decentralized Data Survivability Protocol), a protocol to secure and preserve data in an on-chain framework for decentralized systems using biometric authentication, NFT-based recursive succession, and smart contracts to ensure seamless, long-term ownership transfer.
“White-haired Stock God” Serenity: ESMT May Mirror SanDisk’s Trajectory, Storage Chip Price Hikes Still Have Room to Run
Odaily News "White-haired Stock God" Serenity posted on X, expressing optimism about storage chip maker Elite Semiconductor Memory Technology (ESMT, 3006) over the coming months, suggesting its trajectory could mirror the strong rally seen in SanDisk (SNDK).Serenity noted that a single DDR2 memory chip currently costs around $0.96. If the ASP (average selling price) triples, the cost per chip would increase by roughly $2. While this cost increase remains relatively limited for end products, sustained price hikes in memory products could have a significant impact on ESMT's own profitability. Additionally, SLC NAND is expected to see ASP increases of 120% to 170% in the second half of the year, with NOR Flash and other products also facing pricing upside expectations.Serenity stated that based on July performance, ESMT's current monthly net profit stands at approximately $111 million, with a market cap of around $2.8 billion, and believes there remains substantial room for valuation re-rating. Serenity noted that ESMT's current situation reminds them of early-stage SanDisk, but this opportunity is primarily concentrated in the legacy and specialty memory market.
Serenity questions Sivers' growth strategy: should focus on U.S. investors, otherwise it will be difficult to lift its valuation.
“白毛股神”Serenity 发文质疑 Sivers Photonics（SIVE）发展策略，表示其目前仍将大量精力放在瑞典本土市场的沟通和私募融资上，而不是美国市场，这一策略“令人难以理解”。Serenity 认为，瑞典投资者在交流中更关注“如何止血”“为何不能披露私人客户”“为何专注于收发器”等问题，导致约三分之一的电话会议时间都在解释业务管线和措辞，而非讨论未来增长空间。
Serenity: Unitree's Listing Provides a Valuation Benchmark for Humanoid Robot Companies in the Public Market
"White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated that Unitree (688836) surged significantly after its listing, providing an important valuation benchmark for humanoid robot companies in the public market. As a reference, Agility Robotics, backed by NVIDIA, Amazon, and others, plans to go public via Churchill Capital Corp XI (CCXI), with a pre-money valuation of approximately $2.5 billion. Tesla's market cap has already exceeded $1 trillion, but the Optimus humanoid robot business is only a part of this sprawling company.Serenity noted that Unitree's performance demonstrates that public market demand for "pure-play humanoid robot targets" is far higher than many had previously anticipated.
Serenity: The AI Supply Chain Boom Is Far From Over, With Storage, Packaging, and Power Sectors Poised for Long-Term Demand Surge
Odaily News "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity shared insights on the AI industry chain on the X platform, noting that AI infrastructure demand is driving multiple sectors—including storage, advanced packaging, computing power financing, optical communications, power supply, and electronic components—into a long-term expansion cycle. The AI supply chain remains in a phase of rapid growth.In the storage sector, Serenity cited UBS forecasts indicating that traditional DRAM manufacturers (such as Micron) could see gross margins reach an unprecedented 95% by 2027, potentially even surpassing the gross margin levels of HBM products. Additionally, SanDisk's long-term agreements already cover approximately two-thirds of its 2028 production capacity, with minimum contracted revenue reaching $93 billion. Given its current market cap of around $239 billion, this suggests its future revenue targets could persist for years, making it difficult to simply classify the company as a traditional cyclical stock.On the cloud computing infrastructure front, CoreWeave has signed agreements to use Nvidia A100 GPUs through 2029. This is a positive development for emerging cloud computing companies such as Nebius and Iren, and it also weakens some investors' bearish thesis centered on the rapid depreciation of older GPUs.AI model companies are also continuing to grow at a pace that exceeds expectations. Frontier AI labs are still maintaining extremely rapid growth rates, and a slowdown in growth would actually be a cause for concern. The market projects that Anthropic's 2028 revenue could reach $190 billion to $200 billion.However, advanced packaging and semiconductor infrastructure remain core bottlenecks. The head of advanced packaging at TSMC has stated that in the coming years, the industry may face not only memory shortages but also tight supply of ABF substrates.Serenity concluded that the AI infrastructure supply chain is continuously expanding. From GPUs, storage, and advanced packaging to power, optical communications, and electronic components, every segment is showing a long-term demand growth trend. The AI supply chain is still in a high-speed development stage.
Serenity: Unitree's IPO Sees Over 8,000x Oversubscription from Retail Investors, May Benefit Peers Like Agility Robotics
"White-Haired Stock God" Serenity posted on X, stating that Unitree Technology's IPO has seen over 8,000x oversubscription from retail investors, reflecting an "extremely huge" market demand for pure humanoid robot companies. Serenity currently holds a bullish view on investment opportunities related to the U.S. humanoid robot company Agility Robotics, a project backed by SoftBank, NVIDIA ($NVDA), Amazon ($AMZN), Foxconn, and others, with a pre-money valuation of approximately $2.5 billion.Serenity stated that Unitree Technology's perpetual contract market valuation before its IPO already indicated relatively high expectations. If the company's market cap exceeds $30 billion after listing, it could further boost market attention on leading U.S. humanoid robot companies in the next one to two weeks. Regardless of the final outcome, the market demand demonstrated by Unitree's IPO is "truly astonishing," and the humanoid robot sector is emerging as a new hotspot for global capital attention.
Serenity: Tech Giants' 2026 CapEx May Exceed Expectations; Bottleneck Assets Like Memory Chips Poised for Valuation Reshaping
"White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity has summarized the capital expenditure guidance from the latest earnings reports of Amazon, Meta, Google, and Microsoft, stating that the four major tech giants are expected to allocate a combined capital expenditure of approximately $720 billion to $745 billion in 2026, exceeding the market's previous expectation of $695 billion to $725 billion. The market has recently experienced significant deleveraging, as well as position liquidations among retail and institutional investors due to margin pressures. While short-term adjustments may persist, it is difficult to maintain a bearish stance on upstream semiconductor companies and next-generation cloud computing infrastructure in the medium to long term.Serenity also proposed the "bottleneck investment" thesis, arguing that when trillions of dollars in capital flow into supply chain segments previously viewed as low-value commodities—such as memory chips and even enterprises in the energy infrastructure sector—these companies may undergo a valuation reshaping. Many currently popular AI supply chain companies were previously overlooked by the market during the telecommunications cycle. However, as AI infrastructure construction enters an acceleration phase and capital expenditure flows into their balance sheets, these enterprises may experience a repricing.
"White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity: The probability of OpenAI and Anthropic slowing down frontier AI R&D is essentially zero
Odaily reports: "White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity posted on X platform, stating that in their view, the probability of Anthropic and OpenAI genuinely slowing down frontier AI development is "essentially zero," and that some regulatory measures pushed by leading AI companies are more likely aimed at raising competitive barriers to restrict the development of competitors.They stated that OpenAI and Anthropic will not voluntarily cede their lead to competitors like Gemini, xAI, and Meta, and that given all countries are continuously advancing AI technology development, it would be very difficult for the United States to meaningfully slow down frontier AI R&D. Currently, all parties are still competing for scarce resources such as storage and AI chips. They believe that demand for AI-related infrastructure will remain strong, and rebutted the view that AI-related stocks such as Nvidia (NVDA), TSMC (TSM), and Micron (MU) will experience significant declines as a result.Previously, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published a long article stating that the AI industry must slow down the pace of improving model capabilities, but this does not mean stopping model training or technological progress — rather, it means ensuring companies have enough time for model alignment and safety safeguards. OpenAI founder Sam Altman expressed agreement, saying "we need to control the progress of frontier models," and stated that OpenAI will also consider giving independent evaluators access similar to that of employees.
Serenity: U.S. Policy Focus on Space, Mining, and Supply Chains May Bring Investment Opportunities in Related Industries
Odaily News, "White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity stated on the X platform that following a series of Fact Sheets released by the U.S. government recently, the country's future priority industries and strategic directions can now be seen more clearly.Serenity pointed out that this week, the U.S. government released policy documents related to the "Golden Age of Space Transportation," with the space industry becoming a key area of focus. She believes that relevant policy goals will drive the development of the launch industry and may benefit space supply chain companies, including rocket manufacturers and other enterprises.The U.S. government has proposed a target of achieving 1,000 launch and reentry missions per year by 2030, with rocket companies such as Rocket Lab (RKLB) expected to be beneficiaries. In addition, Serenity stated that other policy areas of U.S. focus this month include: tariffs on drone components; cooperation on U.S. mining and critical mineral resources; adjustments to polysilicon supply chain tariffs; and other strategic industrial policies. By continuously monitoring U.S. government policy documents, it is possible to more directly assess the industry sectors that capital markets will focus on in the future, helping investors identify potential industrial opportunities.
Bitget Trading Bots Now Support US Stock Tokens (rToken) Smart Positioning Feature
According to the official announcement, the Bitget Trading Bot now supports smart holdings for US stock tokens (rTokens). It has also simultaneously launched multiple recommended portfolios, including the US Stock Top 10 Giants Mag 10, Serenity Holdings, Musk Concept, and more, enabling users to copy holdings with one click and automatically manage positions. Users can navigate to "Trading Bot" and select "Smart Holdings", choose a desired portfolio from the recommendations, enter the investment amount, and establish the position. Alternatively, they can create manually by configuring supported stock rTokens and cryptocurrencies, setting target allocations and rebalancing conditions for each asset, and completing the creation. App users can upgrade to the latest version to experience this feature. It is reported that rTokens, identified by the letter "r" plus the stock ticker (e.g., Nvidia as rNVDA), are issued by Reality, a licensed RWA protocol under Bitget. They connect directly to global liquidity pools such as Nasdaq and NYSE through cooperation with the compliant broker Alpaca. Features include: underlying assets reserved 1:1 and custodied by licensed institutions, stock dividends distributed 1:1 in token form, support for synchronized mapping of corporate actions (stock splits, etc.), and holdings can serve as joint margin for Unified Accounts and USDT-margined contracts, allowing users to flexibly manage funds while holding global stock assets.
Serenity: Humanoid Robots May Reach Labor Substitution Tipping Point, VCs and Tech Giants Begin Adjusting Strategies
"White Hair Stock God" Serenity stated that when he first used ChatGPT in 2023, he believed large language models "performed poorly" in programming capabilities. However, three years later, the related technology has undergone a qualitative transformation. Modern cybersecurity and AI systems, represented by Mythos, now possess "weapon-level" capabilities. He believes the industry is currently entering a critical "inflection point," where humanoid robots and automation technologies are approaching the tipping point for large-scale replacement of human labor.Serenity noted that although outsiders often question whether humanoid robots can currently perform complex tasks such as pipe repair or electrical wiring, the direction of technological evolution is already very clear, with continued breakthroughs expected in the coming years. Market participants, including VCs and large tech companies, have begun adjusting their strategies. Some companies have internal plans to replace a significant amount of human labor with robots to reduce operational costs, referencing previous rumors about Amazon reducing hundreds of thousands of job openings through robotics.Serenity believes that highly regulated industries such as healthcare, ultra-high-skill professional positions, and service sectors relying on human emotional connections may still retain some resistance to substitution. However, the overall trend still points towards a "restructuring of labor." As competition between China and the U.S. intensifies in cutting-edge technology fields, humanoid robots and automation may enter a stage of national-level technological competition. He believes China already holds a leading position in certain areas.
Serenity: US AI Companies Lower Inference Costs to Counter the "Model Distillation" Challenge
"White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity stated that while some observations in the UBS report hold anecdotal truth, the more noteworthy trend is the increasing number of Chinese-language reports regarding the distillation of Anthropic's models. Currently, many US startups and tech companies are opting to use cheaper Chinese models (such as DeepSeek) in their AI applications, as their unit task costs are significantly lower than those of inference models from Gemini, OpenAI, and Anthropic.Serenity believes this trend, driven by capitalism, creates a "typical paradox"—companies naturally gravitate towards lower-cost solutions, thereby eroding the leading advantage of US models. He proposes that the US needs to address this on two fronts:First, build stronger access control and authentication systems, such as "heavy KYC frontier models" for domestic US use and tiered access mechanisms for allies, to reduce the risk of model distillation and misuse. This could also be accompanied by introducing an identity verification system akin to "AI-grade banking authentication" (e.g., biometrics + short-lived permission tokens) to raise the barrier for model calls, and using regulatory measures to restrict account sharing and access resale.Second, enhance the cost efficiency of inference models, allowing them to comprehensively outperform competitors like DeepSeek in both price and performance.Serenity also noted that some high-end models are currently frequently targeted for "distillation exploitation." Ideally, access to models nearing the AGI level should involve increased friction costs. In summary, the core challenge for the US AI industry lies in achieving both "low-cost inference capabilities" and establishing model access security mechanisms comparable to those in the financial system.
New stock god Serenity: COIN, HOOD, and CRCL valuations may become attractive again
a new stock guru, Serenity, posted on X platform, stating that with the progress of US crypto regulatory policies, crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase (COIN), Robinhood (HOOD), and Circle (CRCL) may once again attract attention.Serenity believes that if the CLARITY Act advances in its current direction, it may be more favorable for the traditional banking system, potentially limiting certain innovations in the crypto space and products that compete with banking services. Additionally, related policies could impact market liquidity, but may strengthen the position of the US dollar.Serenity stated that for swing traders, the current valuation levels of these stocks appear to be attractive once again.
Serenity: Still Bullish on Memory Stocks, Photonics Sector Focus Shifts Back to AXTI and LITE
Odaily Planet Daily Report: "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated on the X platform that he remains bullish on memory stocks such as MU and Samsung. In addition, this week, the focus in the photonics sector has shifted back to AXT and Lumentum. The photonics industry has previously shown signs of supply tightness, with Coherent ($COHR) and Lumentum ($LITE) laser production capacity for the next two years already sold out. AAOI's recent earnings report also showed continued strong demand for optical modules.Meanwhile, a large number of retail investors have been panic-selling in the storage sector. There are indeed some changes in the market at present, such as Nvidia's Rubin Ultra optimizing for memory, and memory prices no longer rising as significantly as previously expected. However, at current prices, the operating profit of storage companies relative to their market capitalization remains extremely compelling, especially given the structural growth in storage demand. Moreover, the supply-demand imbalance next year could become even more severe.Serenity noted that the market tends to panic when an industry declines and follows new narratives. For example, helium during the Iran war, the LNG market, and SpaceX's earnings call, which once again emphasized storage supply tightness. Many times, industry bottlenecks and fundamentals haven't changed significantly, but market sentiment has already undergone a massive shift.
Serenity: Tech Giants' 2026 CapEx May Exceed Expectations; Bottleneck Assets Like Memory Chips Poised for Valuation Reshaping
"White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity has summarized the capital expenditure guidance from the latest earnings reports of Amazon, Meta, Google, and Microsoft, stating that the four major tech giants are expected to allocate a combined capital expenditure of approximately $720 billion to $745 billion in 2026, exceeding the market's previous expectation of $695 billion to $725 billion. The market has recently experienced significant deleveraging, as well as position liquidations among retail and institutional investors due to margin pressures. While short-term adjustments may persist, it is difficult to maintain a bearish stance on upstream semiconductor companies and next-generation cloud computing infrastructure in the medium to long term.Serenity also proposed the "bottleneck investment" thesis, arguing that when trillions of dollars in capital flow into supply chain segments previously viewed as low-value commodities—such as memory chips and even enterprises in the energy infrastructure sector—these companies may undergo a valuation reshaping. Many currently popular AI supply chain companies were previously overlooked by the market during the telecommunications cycle. However, as AI infrastructure construction enters an acceleration phase and capital expenditure flows into their balance sheets, these enterprises may experience a repricing.
Bitget Trading Bots Now Support US Stock Tokens (rToken) Smart Positioning Feature
According to the official announcement, the Bitget Trading Bot now supports smart holdings for US stock tokens (rTokens). It has also simultaneously launched multiple recommended portfolios, including the US Stock Top 10 Giants Mag 10, Serenity Holdings, Musk Concept, and more, enabling users to copy holdings with one click and automatically manage positions. Users can navigate to "Trading Bot" and select "Smart Holdings", choose a desired portfolio from the recommendations, enter the investment amount, and establish the position. Alternatively, they can create manually by configuring supported stock rTokens and cryptocurrencies, setting target allocations and rebalancing conditions for each asset, and completing the creation. App users can upgrade to the latest version to experience this feature. It is reported that rTokens, identified by the letter "r" plus the stock ticker (e.g., Nvidia as rNVDA), are issued by Reality, a licensed RWA protocol under Bitget. They connect directly to global liquidity pools such as Nasdaq and NYSE through cooperation with the compliant broker Alpaca. Features include: underlying assets reserved 1:1 and custodied by licensed institutions, stock dividends distributed 1:1 in token form, support for synchronized mapping of corporate actions (stock splits, etc.), and holdings can serve as joint margin for Unified Accounts and USDT-margined contracts, allowing users to flexibly manage funds while holding global stock assets.
Account drawdown of 49.4%, US stock call king with 4,502.45% return over 26 years discloses drawdown ratio
, on-chain analyst Ai Yi posted on platform X stating that Serenity (@aleabitoreddit), the US stock call king who achieved a return rate as high as 4,502.45% over 26 years, disclosed his account drawdown ratio. Since the stocks he holds are mostly in areas facing AI bottlenecks and restrictions, primarily small-cap stocks including AXTI, SIVE, AAOI, etc., this decline has had a direct impact on his account, resulting in a drawdown of 49.4%, nearly halved from the peak. Ai Yi stated that considering Serenity's relatively early entry point, it is likely only a narrowing of profits at present. Furthermore, Serenity mentioned that he can tolerate higher volatility and predicts that his income turning point will come in the second half of 2027.
Serenity responds to AI stock crash: portfolio has already retraced 49% in a single month, but long-term thesis remains unchanged
Odaily "White Hair Stock God" Serenity posted on platform X, stating that due to the recent market downturn, his investment portfolio experienced a maximum drawdown of 49.4% this month. However, he still maintains his view on the long-term trend of the AI industry chain.Serenity revealed that his investment portfolio is mainly concentrated in key segments of the AI industry chain, including: semiconductor upstream, memory chips, photonics, humanoid robotics, and AI infrastructure-related companies. Because these areas typically have higher beta attributes, he previously used leveraged investments but has reduced the leverage level after the current round of market decline.Facing market skepticism towards AI-related assets, Serenity stated that recently a large number of investors have begun to believe: "AI is a bubble," "memory chips and the Korean KOSPI market are a bubble," "photonics is a bubble,""humanoid robots will not succeed," and "Neocloud (new AI cloud service providers) will eventually be replaced by hyperscale cloud vendors like Meta." Meanwhile, some retail investors and trading bots have even started advocating for "liquidating everything, the market will not recover."Serenity said he still believes these investment themes are supported by structural revenue growth and technological change. He experienced similar drawdowns in the past when global tariff risks impacted the market, and the market eventually rebounded. His investment horizon is long-term, allowing him to withstand higher volatility, and he will not change his long-term judgment based on short-term price fluctuations. Sharing this drawdown data is also to maintain transparency, allowing the market to see the real risks behind high-volatility growth investments.Serenity added: "If my prediction is that the revenue inflection point will come in the second half of 2027, and it is only 2026 now, then a decline of just a few weeks or months doesn't prove that the investment thesis has failed."
“White-Haired Stock God” Serenity: Chinese VC Funds Are Accelerating Their Flow into Physical AI and World Model Tracks
: "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity posted on platform X, stating that based on the capital flow direction in China's private VC market, institutions are currently pouring into fields related to Physical AI and World Models on a large scale.Data shows the approximate capital distribution as follows: Large Models/LLMs at about $23.56 billion, AI Infrastructure and Technology Layer at about $15.74 billion, Embodied Intelligence/Physical AI at about $13.36 billion, AIGC Applications at about $8.79 billion, and Autonomous Driving plus other top 20 sub-sectors totaling about $3.82 billion (note: metrics may not be directly comparable).Serenity pointed out that early-stage pure foundational model financing is largely closed, with capital more concentrated in existing leading companies and the World Model direction. He expects this trend to also appear in the US, potentially concentrating further towards leading companies like Anthropic and OpenAI. Regarding AIGC applications, Serenity believes this track's commercialization is already relatively mature, but an absolute winner has yet to emerge, exhibiting a fragmented competitive landscape in both China and the US markets.Overall, Serenity concluded that current AI investments continue to flow into infrastructure and the semiconductor supply chain. Meanwhile, capital is rapidly rotating towards Physical AI and Embodied Intelligence, but the World Model track still lacks direct investment targets.
Serenity Strongly Backs AI Stock Guru Leopold: SK Hynix and Other Targets May See a "Reverse Jim Cramer" Trend
On the X platform, stock guru "White-Haired" Serenity posted that Jim Cramer recently advocated shorting SanDisk (SNDK), DRAM, and SK Hynix-related names favored by Leopold, while simultaneously labeling CrowdStrike (CRWD) a "must-buy." Serenity contended that AI capex beneficiaries favored by Leopold possess more compelling fundamentals, with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix projected to command just a 2.8x to 3x forward P/E multiple for fiscal 2027. Samsung has secured long-term agreements extending to 2031 covering roughly 70% of its production capacity; SK Hynix operates with contractual price floors, while SanDisk is anticipated to achieve a 50% free cash flow margin and an 80% gross margin by 2030.
Serenity: NVIDIA Taking a Stake in MediaTek May Be "Picking" the Next-Generation ASIC Winner
In a post, "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated that following NVIDIA's $3.5 billion investment in MediaTek, NVIDIA seems to be actively "picking" potential winners in the next-generation ASIC (application-specific integrated circuit) space through capital and strategic partnerships, with Marvell and MediaTek poised to represent this cohort. NVIDIA's strategy mirrors its earlier backing of Neocloud's Nebius and CoreWeave. By fostering the growth of potential industry leaders and subsequently forging deep financial and strategic alliances with them, NVIDIA aims to cement its dominance within the AI infrastructure value chain. This strategy could exert a "second-order impact" on Broadcom, eroding its relative edge in the ASIC domain, while simultaneously incentivizing AMD, Broadcom, and select major cloud providers to deepen their collaborative efforts. Serenity argues that NVIDIA's moves warrant particular attention, as they will further solidify its strategic foothold in the AI inference market and potentially undermine the prior bearish thesis that hyperscalers' in-house ASIC development would pose a long-term challenge to NVIDIA.
Serenity: U.S. Policy Focus on Space, Mining, and Supply Chains May Bring Investment Opportunities in Related Industries
Odaily News, "White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity stated on the X platform that following a series of Fact Sheets released by the U.S. government recently, the country's future priority industries and strategic directions can now be seen more clearly.Serenity pointed out that this week, the U.S. government released policy documents related to the "Golden Age of Space Transportation," with the space industry becoming a key area of focus. She believes that relevant policy goals will drive the development of the launch industry and may benefit space supply chain companies, including rocket manufacturers and other enterprises.The U.S. government has proposed a target of achieving 1,000 launch and reentry missions per year by 2030, with rocket companies such as Rocket Lab (RKLB) expected to be beneficiaries. In addition, Serenity stated that other policy areas of U.S. focus this month include: tariffs on drone components; cooperation on U.S. mining and critical mineral resources; adjustments to polysilicon supply chain tariffs; and other strategic industrial policies. By continuously monitoring U.S. government policy documents, it is possible to more directly assess the industry sectors that capital markets will focus on in the future, helping investors identify potential industrial opportunities.
Serenity: Unitree's Listing Provides a Valuation Benchmark for Humanoid Robot Companies in the Public Market
"White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated that Unitree (688836) surged significantly after its listing, providing an important valuation benchmark for humanoid robot companies in the public market. As a reference, Agility Robotics, backed by NVIDIA, Amazon, and others, plans to go public via Churchill Capital Corp XI (CCXI), with a pre-money valuation of approximately $2.5 billion. Tesla's market cap has already exceeded $1 trillion, but the Optimus humanoid robot business is only a part of this sprawling company.Serenity noted that Unitree's performance demonstrates that public market demand for "pure-play humanoid robot targets" is far higher than many had previously anticipated.
Serenity: The AI Supply Chain Boom Is Far From Over, With Storage, Packaging, and Power Sectors Poised for Long-Term Demand Surge
Odaily News "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity shared insights on the AI industry chain on the X platform, noting that AI infrastructure demand is driving multiple sectors—including storage, advanced packaging, computing power financing, optical communications, power supply, and electronic components—into a long-term expansion cycle. The AI supply chain remains in a phase of rapid growth.In the storage sector, Serenity cited UBS forecasts indicating that traditional DRAM manufacturers (such as Micron) could see gross margins reach an unprecedented 95% by 2027, potentially even surpassing the gross margin levels of HBM products. Additionally, SanDisk's long-term agreements already cover approximately two-thirds of its 2028 production capacity, with minimum contracted revenue reaching $93 billion. Given its current market cap of around $239 billion, this suggests its future revenue targets could persist for years, making it difficult to simply classify the company as a traditional cyclical stock.On the cloud computing infrastructure front, CoreWeave has signed agreements to use Nvidia A100 GPUs through 2029. This is a positive development for emerging cloud computing companies such as Nebius and Iren, and it also weakens some investors' bearish thesis centered on the rapid depreciation of older GPUs.AI model companies are also continuing to grow at a pace that exceeds expectations. Frontier AI labs are still maintaining extremely rapid growth rates, and a slowdown in growth would actually be a cause for concern. The market projects that Anthropic's 2028 revenue could reach $190 billion to $200 billion.However, advanced packaging and semiconductor infrastructure remain core bottlenecks. The head of advanced packaging at TSMC has stated that in the coming years, the industry may face not only memory shortages but also tight supply of ABF substrates.Serenity concluded that the AI infrastructure supply chain is continuously expanding. From GPUs, storage, and advanced packaging to power, optical communications, and electronic components, every segment is showing a long-term demand growth trend. The AI supply chain is still in a high-speed development stage.
Serenity: AI Data Center InP Laser Supply Gap May Exceed Memory Chips, Highlighting the Value of Optical Communication Bottlenecks
Odaily News, "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated that Lumentum CEO Michael Hurlston has issued a warning that the indium phosphide (InP) laser supply chain for AI data centers is facing a more severe supply gap than memory chips. Even with Lumentum's five InP wafer fabs, product shipments could still fall more than 30% short of customer demand, indicating that AI infrastructure expansion is encountering a critical bottleneck in key optical communication components.Serenity pointed out that current supply pressure is mainly concentrated in the EML (electro-absorption modulated laser) segment, but the InP laser shortage could continue to spread. He remains bullish on the "bottleneck investment" opportunities in the optical communication laser supply chain, keeping an eye on companies including Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI), Sivers Semiconductors (SIVE), Lumentum (LITE), and Coherent (COHR). As AI data center capital expenditures continue to rise, optical modules, lasers, and other infrastructure segments that were previously undervalued by the market are now undergoing repricing, and the InP laser supply bottleneck could become a key limiting factor in the expansion of AI computing power.
Related news
Serenity Strongly Backs AI Stock Guru Leopold: SK Hynix and Other Targets May See a "Reverse Jim Cramer" Trend
On the X platform, stock guru "White-Haired" Serenity posted that Jim Cramer recently advocated shorting SanDisk (SNDK), DRAM, and SK Hynix-related names favored by Leopold, while simultaneously labeling CrowdStrike (CRWD) a "must-buy." Serenity contended that AI capex beneficiaries favored by Leopold possess more compelling fundamentals, with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix projected to command just a 2.8x to 3x forward P/E multiple for fiscal 2027. Samsung has secured long-term agreements extending to 2031 covering roughly 70% of its production capacity; SK Hynix operates with contractual price floors, while SanDisk is anticipated to achieve a 50% free cash flow margin and an 80% gross margin by 2030.
"White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity: The probability of OpenAI and Anthropic slowing down frontier AI R&D is essentially zero
Odaily reports: "White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity posted on X platform, stating that in their view, the probability of Anthropic and OpenAI genuinely slowing down frontier AI development is "essentially zero," and that some regulatory measures pushed by leading AI companies are more likely aimed at raising competitive barriers to restrict the development of competitors.They stated that OpenAI and Anthropic will not voluntarily cede their lead to competitors like Gemini, xAI, and Meta, and that given all countries are continuously advancing AI technology development, it would be very difficult for the United States to meaningfully slow down frontier AI R&D. Currently, all parties are still competing for scarce resources such as storage and AI chips. They believe that demand for AI-related infrastructure will remain strong, and rebutted the view that AI-related stocks such as Nvidia (NVDA), TSMC (TSM), and Micron (MU) will experience significant declines as a result.Previously, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published a long article stating that the AI industry must slow down the pace of improving model capabilities, but this does not mean stopping model training or technological progress — rather, it means ensuring companies have enough time for model alignment and safety safeguards. OpenAI founder Sam Altman expressed agreement, saying "we need to control the progress of frontier models," and stated that OpenAI will also consider giving independent evaluators access similar to that of employees.
"White-haired Stock God" Serenity: "Big Short" GPU Depreciation Thesis Gets Debunked, Oracle Renewal Price Up 20%
Serenity, dubbed the "white-haired stock guru," posted on X that a detail from Oracle's (ORCL) earnings report is favorable for Nebius (NBIS) and IREN (IREN). Oracle stated that all GPU compute capacity from renewed contracts has been resold at prices 20% higher than prior agreements, with the majority of the related hardware already in operation for over four years. Serenity noted that this further refutes short-seller Michael Burry's thesis on the rapid depreciation of GPUs, while simultaneously benefiting NVIDIA (NVDA) and the Neocloud computing sector.
"White-haired Stock God" Serenity Blasts X: Beware of Becoming a "Paid Engagement Farming" Marketing Network
Odaily News: "White-haired Stock God" Serenity published a post blasting social media platform X, stating that X should crack down on all "engagement networks" that pay others to quote or comment on their posts. Some companies pay influencers to comment on or quote the company's posts; they also mass-create new associated accounts with "Finance" or country names, and once these accounts reach a certain scale, they boost engagement metrics through methods such as cross-referencing each other's posts.Serenity added that these associated accounts could eventually accumulate tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of followers, and further leverage their influence to boost the visibility of other associated accounts. If this model continues to develop, X could ultimately be dominated by "engagement networks" marketing around company products, while independent, authentic voices on the platform would be squeezed out.
“White-Haired Stock God” Serenity Suggests Nike Collaborate with Niu Lai to Save Brand Image
Odaily News “White-Haired Stock God” Serenity posted on X platform, stating that Nike only needs to do one thing to save its brand image, accompanied by an image of Nike and Niu Lai co-branded apparel.
“White-haired Stock God” Serenity: ESMT May Mirror SanDisk’s Trajectory, Storage Chip Price Hikes Still Have Room to Run
Odaily News "White-haired Stock God" Serenity posted on X, expressing optimism about storage chip maker Elite Semiconductor Memory Technology (ESMT, 3006) over the coming months, suggesting its trajectory could mirror the strong rally seen in SanDisk (SNDK).Serenity noted that a single DDR2 memory chip currently costs around $0.96. If the ASP (average selling price) triples, the cost per chip would increase by roughly $2. While this cost increase remains relatively limited for end products, sustained price hikes in memory products could have a significant impact on ESMT's own profitability. Additionally, SLC NAND is expected to see ASP increases of 120% to 170% in the second half of the year, with NOR Flash and other products also facing pricing upside expectations.Serenity stated that based on July performance, ESMT's current monthly net profit stands at approximately $111 million, with a market cap of around $2.8 billion, and believes there remains substantial room for valuation re-rating. Serenity noted that ESMT's current situation reminds them of early-stage SanDisk, but this opportunity is primarily concentrated in the legacy and specialty memory market.