News linked to both this project and an event.
"White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity has summarized the capital expenditure guidance from the latest earnings reports of Amazon, Meta, Google, and Microsoft, stating that the four major tech giants are expected to allocate a combined capital expenditure of approximately $720 billion to $745 billion in 2026, exceeding the market's previous expectation of $695 billion to $725 billion. The market has recently experienced significant deleveraging, as well as position liquidations among retail and institutional investors due to margin pressures. While short-term adjustments may persist, it is difficult to maintain a bearish stance on upstream semiconductor companies and next-generation cloud computing infrastructure in the medium to long term.Serenity also proposed the "bottleneck investment" thesis, arguing that when trillions of dollars in capital flow into supply chain segments previously viewed as low-value commodities—such as memory chips and even enterprises in the energy infrastructure sector—these companies may undergo a valuation reshaping. Many currently popular AI supply chain companies were previously overlooked by the market during the telecommunications cycle. However, as AI infrastructure construction enters an acceleration phase and capital expenditure flows into their balance sheets, these enterprises may experience a repricing.
According to the official announcement, the Bitget Trading Bot now supports smart holdings for US stock tokens (rTokens). It has also simultaneously launched multiple recommended portfolios, including the US Stock Top 10 Giants Mag 10, Serenity Holdings, Musk Concept, and more, enabling users to copy holdings with one click and automatically manage positions. Users can navigate to "Trading Bot" and select "Smart Holdings", choose a desired portfolio from the recommendations, enter the investment amount, and establish the position. Alternatively, they can create manually by configuring supported stock rTokens and cryptocurrencies, setting target allocations and rebalancing conditions for each asset, and completing the creation. App users can upgrade to the latest version to experience this feature. It is reported that rTokens, identified by the letter "r" plus the stock ticker (e.g., Nvidia as rNVDA), are issued by Reality, a licensed RWA protocol under Bitget. They connect directly to global liquidity pools such as Nasdaq and NYSE through cooperation with the compliant broker Alpaca. Features include: underlying assets reserved 1:1 and custodied by licensed institutions, stock dividends distributed 1:1 in token form, support for synchronized mapping of corporate actions (stock splits, etc.), and holdings can serve as joint margin for Unified Accounts and USDT-margined contracts, allowing users to flexibly manage funds while holding global stock assets.
, on-chain analyst Ai Yi posted on platform X stating that Serenity (@aleabitoreddit), the US stock call king who achieved a return rate as high as 4,502.45% over 26 years, disclosed his account drawdown ratio. Since the stocks he holds are mostly in areas facing AI bottlenecks and restrictions, primarily small-cap stocks including AXTI, SIVE, AAOI, etc., this decline has had a direct impact on his account, resulting in a drawdown of 49.4%, nearly halved from the peak. Ai Yi stated that considering Serenity's relatively early entry point, it is likely only a narrowing of profits at present. Furthermore, Serenity mentioned that he can tolerate higher volatility and predicts that his income turning point will come in the second half of 2027.
Odaily "White Hair Stock God" Serenity posted on platform X, stating that due to the recent market downturn, his investment portfolio experienced a maximum drawdown of 49.4% this month. However, he still maintains his view on the long-term trend of the AI industry chain.Serenity revealed that his investment portfolio is mainly concentrated in key segments of the AI industry chain, including: semiconductor upstream, memory chips, photonics, humanoid robotics, and AI infrastructure-related companies. Because these areas typically have higher beta attributes, he previously used leveraged investments but has reduced the leverage level after the current round of market decline.Facing market skepticism towards AI-related assets, Serenity stated that recently a large number of investors have begun to believe: "AI is a bubble," "memory chips and the Korean KOSPI market are a bubble," "photonics is a bubble,""humanoid robots will not succeed," and "Neocloud (new AI cloud service providers) will eventually be replaced by hyperscale cloud vendors like Meta." Meanwhile, some retail investors and trading bots have even started advocating for "liquidating everything, the market will not recover."Serenity said he still believes these investment themes are supported by structural revenue growth and technological change. He experienced similar drawdowns in the past when global tariff risks impacted the market, and the market eventually rebounded. His investment horizon is long-term, allowing him to withstand higher volatility, and he will not change his long-term judgment based on short-term price fluctuations. Sharing this drawdown data is also to maintain transparency, allowing the market to see the real risks behind high-volatility growth investments.Serenity added: "If my prediction is that the revenue inflection point will come in the second half of 2027, and it is only 2026 now, then a decline of just a few weeks or months doesn't prove that the investment thesis has failed."
: "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity posted on platform X, stating that based on the capital flow direction in China's private VC market, institutions are currently pouring into fields related to Physical AI and World Models on a large scale.Data shows the approximate capital distribution as follows: Large Models/LLMs at about $23.56 billion, AI Infrastructure and Technology Layer at about $15.74 billion, Embodied Intelligence/Physical AI at about $13.36 billion, AIGC Applications at about $8.79 billion, and Autonomous Driving plus other top 20 sub-sectors totaling about $3.82 billion (note: metrics may not be directly comparable).Serenity pointed out that early-stage pure foundational model financing is largely closed, with capital more concentrated in existing leading companies and the World Model direction. He expects this trend to also appear in the US, potentially concentrating further towards leading companies like Anthropic and OpenAI. Regarding AIGC applications, Serenity believes this track's commercialization is already relatively mature, but an absolute winner has yet to emerge, exhibiting a fragmented competitive landscape in both China and the US markets.Overall, Serenity concluded that current AI investments continue to flow into infrastructure and the semiconductor supply chain. Meanwhile, capital is rapidly rotating towards Physical AI and Embodied Intelligence, but the World Model track still lacks direct investment targets.
Serenity stated that OpenAI will launch the GPT-5.6 Sol model on Cerebras hardware in July, viewing this as a significant validation of Cerebras’ technology, and revealed that it has begun purchasing CBRS stock.
Odaily, "White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity posted on X, reviewing his past experiences where his investment views faced skepticism. He stated that many original investment ideas initially face strong opposition, but ultimately the market becomes the standard for judging right and wrong. He has faced significant criticism for being bullish on several companies, for example:$AXTI: Early on, it was questioned as a "scam company," and related discussions even led to a ban from Reddit's WSB forum. However, it later received coverage from Reuters, and the performance of the Indium Phosphide (InP) substrate industry company, along with institutional investor validation, confirmed its logic.$RPI: Initially labeled a "meme stock" by the market, analysts believed it lacked fundamentals. However, earnings reports showed the company's future revenue growth expectation reached 58%, and it was subsequently re-evaluated as a high-growth AI hardware company.$SIVE: Once considered a "meme stock" by numerous investors, it later gained institutional buying support, including attention from Fidelity Research, JPMorgan Chase, and others, and announced partnerships with companies like Jabil and GlobalFoundries.Serenity stated, "The market will ultimately decide what is right or wrong, not the angry comments or posts on X (formerly Twitter)." He added that as each investment thesis gets validated one by one, the eventual market performance overshadows the early noise. He also listed several other cases that were initially doubted but later gained market recognition, including:$AAOI: Near $30, management was questioned as "untrustworthy";$LITE: At $300, the photonics industry was considered to be in a bubble;$RKLB: At $20, it was dismissed as just a low-revenue launch company;$HOOD: At $20, it faced negative sentiment due to the GameStop trading restriction incident;$IQE: Considered just a small UK company lacking partnerships in the photonics field;$SOI: Analysts at a European bank considered its valuation too high;$NBIS: Questioned for having no competitive moat;$INTC: The market thought it couldn't compete with TSMC;$MRVL: The market feared its ASIC market share would be taken by Broadcom;$AEHR: The market misinterpreted its earnings report, thinking the company lacked revenue;$EWY: The market believed the South Korean semiconductor cycle was in a bubble.
"White-Haired Stock God" trader Serenity stated that when he points out a bottleneck in a certain industry, one should simultaneously consider going long on related assets. He recalled previously discussing the MLCC (Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitor) supply chain bottleneck, and related stocks have seen significant gains over the past two months, including:Taiyo Yuden: up approximately 211.38%Vishay Intertechnology: up approximately 146.15%Murata: up approximately 155.43%Serenity noted that this market rally "completed within two months" and joked about missing the opportunity for gains. This case once again reflects the amplifying effect of supply chain tightness expectations in the semiconductor and passive component sectors on stock prices, as well as the high volatility characteristics of event-driven trading within short cycles.
“White-Haired Stock Guru” Serenity posted on X platform, reviewing his bullish stance on SIVE. The company's initial share price was only about 4 Swedish Krona (SEK), and now it has accumulated a surge of 1,900% in roughly three months. His bullish judgment has attracted several U.S. institutions, including JPMorgan and Fidelity, to enter the market and gradually start building positions. Serenity also stated that SIVE is “the second most important investment judgment” in his history, second only to his previous bullish stance on AXTI.
"White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated on platform X that during periods of technological architecture shifts, retail investors often take the lead in positioning, while institutional capital gradually steps in during subsequent phases to dominate market pricing. Taking stocks like SIVE, NBIS, and RKLB as examples, these assets initially had low institutional ownership, but as institutions continued to increase their holdings, their stock prices ultimately reached all-time highs.Serenity believes that the current negative sentiment surrounding companies like Foci and HIMX may be related to certain institutions needing to acquire liquidity and accumulate positions at lower prices. In recent years, when some sell-side institutions have released negative research reports or when the market has been flooded with concentrated bearish news, it has often coincided with a phase of institutional accumulation. Investors need to conduct independent research and establish their own investment logic, and should not be easily swayed by market noise. The modern liquidity cycle of the U.S. capital market essentially often manifests as a transfer of retail holdings to institutions, a process that may not necessarily align with the interests of retail investors.
“White-Hair Stock God” Serenity posted on platform X, stating that the rebound in optical communication concept stocks such as LITE, AAOI, and SIVE is a “repair rally in line with expectations.” Serenity believes that the previous sell-off in these sectors was “purely an overreaction” and did not reflect changes in fundamentals. The current rebound is a normal recovery process as market sentiment returns to rationality.
“New Stock God” Serenity posted on X, stating that JPMorgan’s disclosure of acquiring over 5.25% of $SIVE shares carries far greater market significance than the public anticipated. For U.S. institutions, $135 million is merely a small amount—they have ample capacity to acquire up to 25% of the shares; the main constraint lies in the limited number of freely tradable shares available to retail investors. Nevertheless, JPMorgan’s buying signal is expected to trigger follow-on purchases by other major institutions, creating a chain reaction. Since $SIVE’s freely tradable shares are heavily shorted by Swedish hedge funds and various algorithmic funds, the entry of large U.S. institutions into positions will trigger market short-covering activity. Serenity added that this also validates their strategy: first providing investment ideas to retail investors, then letting institutions follow—thereby capturing opportunities in the next CPO super-cycle.
"New Stock God" Serenity posted on X platform, reminding investors to pay attention to financing structures and the dynamics of outstanding shares, as these are crucial for investment returns, and provided examples:IREN: The financing method approaches infinite dilution, with each rebound met by selling pressure—essentially a "bad stock."NBIS: Up 153% year-to-date, thanks to an optimized financing structure (such as direct offerings, convertible bond combinations, etc.).CRWV: High debt interest; the company uses usurious loans for GPU financing, which erodes free cash flow over the long term.Serenity pointed out that if a company has strong fundamentals, one could consider going long after the original shareholding has been diluted to near zero. However, for equity value appreciation, one should stay away from companies with "toxic" financing structures or crushing debt. The risk is especially high for small-cap companies, such as $SLNH adding a $500 million ATM while its market cap is only $250 million; $BKKT continuously diluting stock for executive compensation. Essentially, these companies are transferring investor funds to the enterprise, masked by media hype or influencer promotion.Serenity emphasized that investors must carefully analyze equity structure, dilution risk, and hidden costs when screening targets, to avoid focusing solely on profits while seeing their actual equity shrink.
Garrett Jin, the agent of “BTC OG Insider Whale,” posted on social media that Serenity—the “new stock god”—“called the green harmonic timing too late” and questioned whether his target was to guide followers to “buy at the top.”
“New Stock God” Serenity and Garrett Jin are debating the timing for entering the A-share robotics track. Serenity previously posted on platform X, stating that humanoid robotics is the most favored Chinese listed target, but Garrett Jin, the proxy for the “1011 Insider Whale,” believes it is now too late to call it out, suggesting Serenity might be trying to get followers to buy at the top. This morning, Serenity made the first call for A-share stock “Leaderdrive,” and its share price has already hit the daily limit (20%).
“New Stock God” Serenity posted on X platform to clarify that he does not currently hold any shares of Harmonic Drive, and the related views are solely public research sharing. He further added that Harmonic Drive holds a key position in the humanoid robot industry chain, with its products expected to cover a significant portion of the manufacturing processes for humanoid robots. Currently, companies like AGIBot and Unitree have just entered the scale-up stage, with AGIBot’s cumulative shipments reaching only about 10,000 units. Therefore, the P/E valuations of related companies are generally high at this stage.However, Serenity pointed out that capital markets typically price in future growth expectations in advance. If manufacturers like Tesla Optimus and Unitree achieve mass production of tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of robots in the coming years, and with trillions of dollars flowing into the humanoid robot industry, even if Harmonic Drive only captures about a 5% market share of core robot components, its valuation could be significantly higher than its current market capitalization.Based on comprehensive research of the industry chain, Serenity stated that Harmonic Drive is currently one of the highest-exposure targets he has identified related to the development of the humanoid robot industry.
"new stock god" Serenity posted on X platform, stating that its number of X platform subscribers exceeded 47,000, surpassing Musk to claim the top spot. Serenity is a highly influential veteran trader on the WallStreetBets (WSB) subreddit. All core research findings are consistently made public for free, with the research framework focused on the key supporting links within the NVIDIA AI chip supply chain. By thoroughly analyzing the indispensable "screw" type components in the chip manufacturing and packaging process, Serenity precisely identifies critical bottleneck points (Chokepoints) in the supply chain, and accordingly uncovers upstream targets with scarcity and pricing power for strategic positioning.
Serenity stated that the current sell-off in the photonics market is primarily algorithmic “follow-the-leader” selling. The stock movements of most laser- and optics-related companies—from AAOI to SIVE—appear to be tied to LITE’s performance, even though fundamentals are improving for some companies, such as discussions linking AOI with AMD and NVDA.
: Jonas Myrdal, a prosecutor at the Swedish Economic Crime Authority, stated that regarding a post on social platform X about Sivers Semiconductors (SIVE) considering a dual listing in the US leaking out early and being officially confirmed by the company approximately 48 hours later, he believes this is not a coincidence but highly likely involves an information leak.Jonas Myrdal pointed out that the relevant information was published and continuously promoted on platform X by an anonymous account with approximately 200,000 followers before its official disclosure. This subsequently triggered a sharp, several-fold increase in the company's stock price within a short period. This behavior pattern is similar to a previous case involving "pump-and-dump" manipulation, in which three individuals were convicted of serious market manipulation offenses. He further recommended that Nasdaq should investigate this incident and assess whether it violates the EU Market Abuse Regulation (MAR). Currently, the source of the suspected information leak is still under investigation.Previously, "New Stock God" Serenity posted on platform X seemingly "touting" Sivers, and stated that after further reviewing Sivers Semiconductors' latest earnings conference call, they are optimistic about its prospects. The company's management indicated that "in a super-cycle where demand far exceeds supply, viewing ecosystem partners as competitors is not the correct approach," reflecting the current strong demand in the photonics industry. Additionally, the photonics business pipeline has grown rapidly over the past five months, driving an overall revenue pipeline increase of 77%. (Marketscreener)
Serenity, hailed as the "New Stock God," recently commented on its heavily weighted position SIVE. Ayar Labs and Wiwynn announced a partnership today, a move that could profoundly impact Sivers Semiconductors' (SIVE) efforts to drive the implementation of Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) technology at the rack level.Wiwynn services top-tier cloud providers such as Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft, and is also in talks with Google regarding TPU-related deployments. According to the reference architecture, a single rack needs to be equipped with over 512 Supernova light sources. If SIVE successfully becomes the primary laser array supplier, even a medium-scale rack deployment would bring significant revenue growth to the company.Serenity admitted that the current tri-party rack-level commercialization layout is still in its early stages, and related results have not yet been reflected in financial reports. However, this cooperation has already unlocked key pathways for the large-scale application of CPO, serving as a positive signal from the supply chain that deserves continued market attention.SIVE is currently listed on Nasdaq Stockholm in Sweden. The company is evaluating plans for a dual listing on the US Nasdaq and has not yet debuted on the US main board. The stock dropped sharply by 15.49% in the previous trading session. In response, Serenity stated that the pullback in the optical AI sector and SIVE is merely normal volatility during an upward trend, and it continues to increase its holdings.