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JPMorgan: After KOSPI Plummeted 40%, Deleveraging Nears End, Valuation Enters Repair Window
According to TechFlow Research, JPMorgan's research report on July 29 noted that the South Korea KOSPI Index has fallen nearly 40% from its high on June 22, leveraged ETF size shrank from $50 billion to $17 billion, the hedge fund long/short ratio dropped from 5.7x to 3.2x, and deleveraging progress has exceeded 90%. The KOSPI forward P/E ratio fell to 5x, at a crisis level. Foreign investors have cumulatively net sold over $110 billion, but 90% was concentrated in two memory chip giants. As their weights in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index decreased from 9.5% and 8.3% to 6.5% and 4.5%, passive selling pressure has significantly eased. JPMorgan believes that position clearing combined with cheap valuations means the South Korean stock market has entered a valuation repair window, and it is bullish on wealth effect-related sectors, biopharmaceuticals, preferred stocks, and bank stocks.
JPMorgan Chase: $870 Billion AI Capex Accelerates, Funds Shift from Hardware to Cloud Giants
According to TechFlow Research, JPMorgan's US stock strategy report on July 20 estimates that global AI-related capital expenditure will approach $870 billion in 2026, up 77% year-on-year, with hyperscalers contributing about $750 billion. In 2027, growth rates remain high: Google +54% (approx. $300 billion), Amazon +42% (approx. $300 billion), Meta +42% (approx. $200 billion). Bond financing by the five major tech giants rose from $40 to 50 billion in 2022 to about $190 billion in 2026, and Google completed $85 billion in equity financing in June.
KOSPI Index Rises Nearly 10% Over Two Days; Institutions Say About 75% of Leveraged ETF De-leveraging Completed
South Korea's KOSPI index rose as much as 6.2% during trading on Wednesday, bringing its cumulative gain over the past two trading days to nearly 10%. SK Hynix rose over 9% at one point, while Samsung Electronics gained more than 6%, with chip stocks leading the market rally.A recent report from JPMorgan indicated that approximately 75% of the de-leveraging process for leveraged ETF positions in South Korea has been completed. According to data from the Korea Financial Investment Association, as of July 16, the balance of margin loans in South Korea fell to 33.4 trillion won (approximately $22.6 billion), down 13% from its peak at the end of June.Additionally, as of Wednesday morning, foreign investors had net purchased over $1 billion worth of South Korean stocks, marking the first significant capital inflow in about a month. (Bloomberg)
PayPal Board Believes Stripe and Advent's $53 Billion Acquisition Offer Is Too Low
According to Reuters, the PayPal board believes the $53 billion acquisition offer ($60.50 per share) jointly proposed by Stripe and private equity firm Advent International undervalues the company, and has concerns regarding regulatory approval risks and financing certainty; it has not yet formally responded to the proposal. The PayPal board believes that if management successfully executes the existing transformation strategy, the company's future potential value will far exceed the current offer. Meanwhile, the acquirers have obtained approximately $50 billion in financing support from JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley, with Stripe and Advent contributing a combined $17 billion in equity. Reportedly, if the parties encounter antitrust hurdles, they may consider divesting assets such as PayPal's Braintree to Advent. Despite differences, Stripe and Advent are still regarded as the most serious potential buyers at present, and negotiations are expected to continue for some time. PayPal will release its quarterly earnings report on July 28, and the market will closely monitor the growth of its core checkout business.
AI dining platform Wonder completes $650 million financing, with ARK Invest and others participating
: AI dining platform Wonder announced the completion of a $650 million financing round, with participation from Accel, Google Ventures (GV), and NEA. New investors include ARK Invest, AllianceBernstein, and Kayne Anderson, with Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, and JPMorgan serving as placement agents. The company is developing an AI platform called "MEL," which automatically plans and orders meals tailored to individual needs by analyzing users' biometric indicators and physical conditions. It is reported that Wonder's post-money valuation has reached $9 billion, and the company plans to launch its initial public offering (IPO) early next year. (Fortune)
Anthropic is Reportedly Targeting October for IPO, Investment Banks Have Arranged Pre-Communications with Investors
OdailyOdaily Planet Daily reports that Anthropic, the developer of the AI model Claude, is advancing plans for a large-scale IPO. Underwriter investment banks including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase have arranged preliminary meetings between the company's management and investors to gauge institutional investor interest and investment scale. Anthropic's goal is to go public as early as October. If the listing proceeds as planned, the company could enter the securities market ahead of its competitor, OpenAI. Anthropic raised $65 billion in its Series H financing in May, with a post-money valuation of $965 billion; its valuation in the over-the-counter market has already reached approximately $1.2 trillion. Measures by the U.S. government remain a variable factor.The U.S. Department of War listed Anthropic as a national security "supply chain risk" enterprise in March, and Anthropic has sued the federal government over the measure; the U.S. Department of Commerce restricted foreign access to the top-tier AI models Fable 5 and Mythos 5 in June, lifting the export controls 18 days later.
JPMorgan: Probability of Clarity Act Passing This Year Drops to 37%, Some Provisions May Inhibit Institutional Participation
According to The Block, the JPMorgan analyst team (led by Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou) released a report on July 30 stating that the probability of the "Clarity Act" (Crypto Market Structure Act) passing in the US Senate within the year has dropped to a historic low. The Kalshi prediction market shows a passing probability of only 37%, while Polymarket is even lower at 26%. Analysts pointed out that disagreements on core issues such as ethical provisions, enforcement standards, stablecoin yields, decentralized finance, and illicit finance remain unresolved. Voting is expected to be difficult to complete before the Senate summer recess, and may be postponed until after senators return in mid-September.
JPMorgan: Probability of Clarity Act Passing Within the Year Decreases, Potentially Undermining Crypto Market Prospects
analysts at JPMorgan stated that the probability of the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the Clarity Act, passing the Senate by the end of this year has decreased, posing a headwind for the cryptocurrency market. Analysts pointed out that prediction markets show the likelihood of the bill passing this year has dropped to its lowest point of the year, with Kalshi at 37% and Polymarket at 26%.JPMorgan noted that the Senate prioritized other legislative matters before the summer recess. Additionally, unresolved issues such as ethical clauses, enforcement authority, stablecoin yields, DeFi, and illicit finance have made the bill's advancement prospects more uncertain. The bank had previously viewed the Clarity Act as a potential positive catalyst for the crypto market, as it would establish a clearer regulatory framework for the digital asset industry: digital commodities would be regulated by the CFTC, while digital securities would continue to fall under the SEC's jurisdiction.Analysts believe that if the bill is ultimately passed, it would help develop more institutionalized market infrastructure, ease regulatory restrictions on DeFi and stablecoin issuers, boost domestic liquidity and trading volumes in the U.S., and lower the barriers to entry for brokerages, exchanges, market makers, custodians, and bank-related platforms seeking to participate in the crypto industry.
JPMorgan: Decreased Likelihood of Clarity Act Passing This Year Hampers Crypto Market Prospects
JPMorgan has stated the decreased probability of the Clarity Act passing this year poses an obstacle to the crypto market and institutional adoption. JPMorgan indicated that the legislation would provide regulatory clarity, encouraging banks and asset management firms to expand into the digital asset space. Related delays could shift tokenization towards traditional financial infrastructure rather than public blockchain networks.
高盛 CEO 力挺 Clarity Act，与华尔街主流立场分歧
据 Decrypt 报道，高盛董事长兼 CEO 大卫·所罗门公开表态支持加密货币市场结构法案（Clarity Act），称其有助于"建立公平竞争环境、提升市场稳定性并推动创新"。此举与摩根大通 CEO 杰米·戴蒙及多家银行业协会的立场明显相左——后者强烈反对法案中允许稳定币提供收益的条款，认为此举将吸走传统银行存款。 目前，参议院共和党人正在流传最新法案草案，新增了限制总统及其家人参与加密业务的伦理条款，但该限制将于 2029 年到期且不适用于特朗普之子，遭民主党批评力度不足。法案能否在八月休会前完成参议院投票，前景仍不明朗。
Goldman Sachs Endorses CLARITY Act, Stating It Will Establish a Fair Regulatory Framework for the Crypto Market
Goldman Sachs Group CEO David Solomon stated that while the CLARITY Act is not perfect, he supports its advancement, believing it will establish a clearer and fairer regulatory framework for the digital asset market, enhance market stability, and promote innovation.Solomon said the most significant implication of the CLARITY Act is "creating a level playing field, allowing the market to develop healthily." This stance contrasts sharply with that of some banking executives, such as JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon. They argue that the bill, by allowing crypto companies to offer stablecoin products similar to interest-bearing deposits without assuming the same regulatory requirements as banks, could weaken the competitiveness of traditional banks.Currently, Republican senators in the U.S. have released a revised text of the CLARITY Act, which could be submitted to the Senate for a vote as early as next week. The bill aims to clarify the division of responsibilities between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in regulating digital assets, and will continue negotiations on terms related to stablecoin issuance, consumer protection, and yield-bearing stablecoins. (CoinDesk)
PayPal Board Believes Stripe and Advent's $53 Billion Acquisition Offer Is Too Low
According to Reuters, the PayPal board believes the $53 billion acquisition offer ($60.50 per share) jointly proposed by Stripe and private equity firm Advent International undervalues the company, and has concerns regarding regulatory approval risks and financing certainty; it has not yet formally responded to the proposal. The PayPal board believes that if management successfully executes the existing transformation strategy, the company's future potential value will far exceed the current offer. Meanwhile, the acquirers have obtained approximately $50 billion in financing support from JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley, with Stripe and Advent contributing a combined $17 billion in equity. Reportedly, if the parties encounter antitrust hurdles, they may consider divesting assets such as PayPal's Braintree to Advent. Despite differences, Stripe and Advent are still regarded as the most serious potential buyers at present, and negotiations are expected to continue for some time. PayPal will release its quarterly earnings report on July 28, and the market will closely monitor the growth of its core checkout business.
JPMorgan: Probability of Clarity Act Passing This Year Drops to 37%, Some Provisions May Inhibit Institutional Participation
According to The Block, the JPMorgan analyst team (led by Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou) released a report on July 30 stating that the probability of the "Clarity Act" (Crypto Market Structure Act) passing in the US Senate within the year has dropped to a historic low. The Kalshi prediction market shows a passing probability of only 37%, while Polymarket is even lower at 26%. Analysts pointed out that disagreements on core issues such as ethical provisions, enforcement standards, stablecoin yields, decentralized finance, and illicit finance remain unresolved. Voting is expected to be difficult to complete before the Senate summer recess, and may be postponed until after senators return in mid-September.
JPMorgan: Probability of Clarity Act Passing Within the Year Decreases, Potentially Undermining Crypto Market Prospects
analysts at JPMorgan stated that the probability of the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the Clarity Act, passing the Senate by the end of this year has decreased, posing a headwind for the cryptocurrency market. Analysts pointed out that prediction markets show the likelihood of the bill passing this year has dropped to its lowest point of the year, with Kalshi at 37% and Polymarket at 26%.JPMorgan noted that the Senate prioritized other legislative matters before the summer recess. Additionally, unresolved issues such as ethical clauses, enforcement authority, stablecoin yields, DeFi, and illicit finance have made the bill's advancement prospects more uncertain. The bank had previously viewed the Clarity Act as a potential positive catalyst for the crypto market, as it would establish a clearer regulatory framework for the digital asset industry: digital commodities would be regulated by the CFTC, while digital securities would continue to fall under the SEC's jurisdiction.Analysts believe that if the bill is ultimately passed, it would help develop more institutionalized market infrastructure, ease regulatory restrictions on DeFi and stablecoin issuers, boost domestic liquidity and trading volumes in the U.S., and lower the barriers to entry for brokerages, exchanges, market makers, custodians, and bank-related platforms seeking to participate in the crypto industry.
US spot Ethereum ETFs total net inflows exceed $11.23 billion; Ethereum Foundation undergoes organizational restructuring
During the 11th year of Ethereum, the Ethereum Foundation underwent organizational restructuring, including leadership departures, layoffs, the introduction of a new CROPS mandate, and the spin-off of EthLabs, Ethereum Systems, and Ethereum Institutional as independent entities. The Ethereum Foundation seeks to further decentralize its role within the ecosystem. Concurrently, Ethereum continued to advance its technology and institutional adoption, launching the Fusaka upgrade and attracting participation from Wall Street institutions such as BlackRock and JPMorgan; cumulative inflows into US spot Ethereum ETFs have exceeded $11.23 billion.
JPMorgan: Semiconductors Nearly Oversold, Suggest Phased Allocation in Summer
According to Chaoxiang Research, JPMorgan's equity strategy report on July 20 noted that AI-related stocks have suffered heavy selling over the past few weeks. The Korean stock market has fallen 25% from its highs, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has dropped 20%, and individual stocks such as Samsung and Micron have declined between 20% and 50%. The report believes the core drivers of this decline are technical factors and position clearing, with no deterioration in fundamentals. The gap between semiconductor relative prices and relative earnings trends continues to widen, but the tight supply-demand balance for DRAM and NAND will persist until 2028. DRAM spot prices remain high, and Micron has also raised its earnings guidance, judging that supply-demand tightness will last at least until 2027. The RSI of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has approached the oversold zone, and momentum gains accumulated year-to-date have been largely erased. JPMorgan judges that once oversold signals are confirmed, a rebound window will open, suggesting investors build semiconductor positions in tranches during the summer. The proportion of Q2 earnings reports beating expectations reached 97%, and S&P 500 companies beating expectations outperformed the market by an average of 1.7 percentage points on the day of their earnings releases. In terms of allocation, JPMorgan has increased equity allocation from 60% to 65%, and the Eurozone allocation from 8.7% to 11%. At the industry level, it overweights semiconductors, mining, capital goods, automobiles, insurance, and banks, and underweights software, commercial services, media, and other "AI Cannibalization Group" sectors. Regarding geopolitical conflicts, the report believes that the "buy the dip" strategy since the end of March remains effective.
JPMorgan: AI Sector Crowding Remains at High Levels, Models Signal It's Not Yet Time to Bottom-Fish
According to TechFlow Research, JPMorgan's quantitative report on July 16 noted that the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has cumulatively declined by approximately 19% since its high on June 22, but quantitative models indicate that the unwinding of crowding in AI-related sectors is not yet complete. The "AI Bubble Interest Score" tracked by the model remains in the historical highest range; at this level, the probability of SOX falling another 8% or more in the short term exceeds 50%. JPMorgan provided a quantifiable entry signal: only when the score falls out of the historical highest range is it truly time to consider scaling in. Before this, every rebound may be pressed back by panic narratives. For US stock investors, now is not the time to add positions; it is recommended to wait for the window in mid-August, or use put options and defensive sectors to hedge. For A-share investors, the volatility of the domestic AI sector is higher; the same logic can be applied, waiting for clearer right-side signals, with the August earnings period being the key window.
JPMorgan: Strategy Cash Reserve Boost and Futures Demand Increase Are "Positive Signal" for Bitcoin Outlook
According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts pointed out in the latest report that although recent spot Bitcoin ETF fund inflows have fluctuated significantly, Strategy's increase of USD reserves from $2.55 billion to $3 billion (covering approximately 20 months of preferred stock dividends), as well as Bitcoin futures (including CME futures and perpetual contracts) recording positive fund inflows this week, are both "positive signals" for Bitcoin's prospects. The analysts also noted that leveraged ETF inflows linked to Strategy have remained stable for seven consecutive weeks, mainly driven by retail investors, effectively supporting its stock price. Meanwhile, Strategy President and CEO Phong Le stated that the company is "very confident" in its balance sheet, will only consider debt risk if Bitcoin prices fall to the $8,000 to $10,000 range, and plans to continue issuing additional shares after the STRC preferred stock returns to a $100 par value, with the proceeds potentially used to purchase more Bitcoin.
Bank of America CEO joins ranks of banking leaders warning about 'Mythos' AI risk
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan has joined a group of Wall Street leaders in expressing serious concerns about artificial intelligence models such as "Mythos" developed by Anthropic. "This marks a significant shift in workload, as well as the speed at which these tools can impact system vulnerabilities, and how quickly we must respond," Moynihan stated. In recent months, the rapid evolution of AI models has prompted the financial industry and the U.S. government to begin assessing potential threats.Anthropic claims that the Mythos model, launched earlier this year, has demonstrated excellent performance in identifying system vulnerabilities. Bank of America is among the Wall Street institutions authorized to use Mythos, employing the model to test its own systems and share information with peers. Currently, the model has not been made available to the public; JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned earlier this week that broadly opening the system to the public would be as dangerous as "giving a ballistic missile to an individual." (Bloomberg)
JPMorgan: Frequent DeFi hacks and stagnant TVL continue to suppress institutional participation
According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts noted in their latest report that ongoing DeFi security vulnerabilities and stagnant growth in total value locked (TVL) continue to constrain institutional enthusiasm for the DeFi sector. Recently, Kelp DAO’s cross-chain bridge suffered a major attack, during which the attacker minted $292 million worth of uncollateralized rsETH tokens and borrowed real ETH on Aave, resulting in approximately $230 million in bad debt. This caused DeFi TVL to evaporate by roughly $20 billion within several days. LayerZero and blockchain security researchers have attributed this attack to the North Korean hacker group Lazarus Group; some of the stolen funds have been frozen, while the rest remain in circulation. Analysts also pointed out that DeFi TVL denominated in ETH has remained range-bound for an extended period, raising market concerns about whether DeFi can achieve organic growth sufficient to support institutional adoption. Furthermore, following each security incident, users tend to shift funds into USDT as a safe-haven asset—yet this trend has not yet significantly driven USDT’s market capitalization growth.
Bybit Lists UNH, GE, JPM, GILD, AMGN, REGN US Stock Perpetual Contracts Today
Bybit today added 6 US stock perpetual contracts: UnitedHealth Group (UNHUSDT), General Electric (GEUSDT), JPMorgan Chase (JPMUSDT), Gilead Sciences (GILDUSDT), Amgen (AMGNUSDT), and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGNUSDT), supporting up to 25x leverage.
JPMorgan: Probability of Clarity Act Passing This Year Drops to 37%, Some Provisions May Inhibit Institutional Participation
According to The Block, the JPMorgan analyst team (led by Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou) released a report on July 30 stating that the probability of the "Clarity Act" (Crypto Market Structure Act) passing in the US Senate within the year has dropped to a historic low. The Kalshi prediction market shows a passing probability of only 37%, while Polymarket is even lower at 26%. Analysts pointed out that disagreements on core issues such as ethical provisions, enforcement standards, stablecoin yields, decentralized finance, and illicit finance remain unresolved. Voting is expected to be difficult to complete before the Senate summer recess, and may be postponed until after senators return in mid-September.
BIS-Led Project Agorá Completes Million-Dollar Cross-Border Tokenized Payment Test
According to CoinDesk, Project Agorá, led by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), recently completed a cross-border payment test with real funds. Participants included 28 commercial banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Deutsche Bank, and Standard Chartered, as well as five central banks. The test processed approximately $1 million (about 800,000 Swiss francs) in real transactions, covering six currencies: the US dollar, euro, pound sterling, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and South Korean won. The test utilized tokenized central bank reserves and commercial bank deposits, settling funds on a shared ledger with an average settlement time of about 80 seconds. Unlike traditional cross-border payments that require intermediation by multiple correspondent banks, the platform achieved shared single ownership records and supports synchronized settlement of bilateral foreign exchange, effectively reducing principal risk. The BIS stated that the platform can operate in parallel with existing payment systems, rather than replacing them.
US spot Ethereum ETFs total net inflows exceed $11.23 billion; Ethereum Foundation undergoes organizational restructuring
During the 11th year of Ethereum, the Ethereum Foundation underwent organizational restructuring, including leadership departures, layoffs, the introduction of a new CROPS mandate, and the spin-off of EthLabs, Ethereum Systems, and Ethereum Institutional as independent entities. The Ethereum Foundation seeks to further decentralize its role within the ecosystem. Concurrently, Ethereum continued to advance its technology and institutional adoption, launching the Fusaka upgrade and attracting participation from Wall Street institutions such as BlackRock and JPMorgan; cumulative inflows into US spot Ethereum ETFs have exceeded $11.23 billion.
South Korea's KB Kookmin Bank to Integrate JPMorgan’s Kinexys, Launching Blockchain-Based Cross-Border Payment Services
South Korean bank KB Kookmin Bank will launch a blockchain-based corporate cross-border payment service next month, integrating J.P. Morgan’s Kinexys blockchain payment network. This makes it the first financial institution in South Korea to utilize the Kinexys network for corporate import and export settlement services.According to reports, the service will be offered through KB Kookmin Bank's domestic branches in South Korea and its Singapore branch. Initially, it will prioritize supporting USD cross-border remittances, covering 10 countries including South Korea, the United States, Singapore, Saudi Arabia, India, Thailand, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and South Africa. Kinexys is J.P. Morgan's blockchain business platform, providing institutional clients with programmable payments, asset tokenization, and near real-time settlement services. (The Block)
高盛 CEO 力挺 Clarity Act，与华尔街主流立场分歧
据 Decrypt 报道，高盛董事长兼 CEO 大卫·所罗门公开表态支持加密货币市场结构法案（Clarity Act），称其有助于"建立公平竞争环境、提升市场稳定性并推动创新"。此举与摩根大通 CEO 杰米·戴蒙及多家银行业协会的立场明显相左——后者强烈反对法案中允许稳定币提供收益的条款，认为此举将吸走传统银行存款。 目前，参议院共和党人正在流传最新法案草案，新增了限制总统及其家人参与加密业务的伦理条款，但该限制将于 2029 年到期且不适用于特朗普之子，遭民主党批评力度不足。法案能否在八月休会前完成参议院投票，前景仍不明朗。
Related news
BIS Project Agorá Completes $1 Million Tokenized Cross-Border Payment Test
Odaily News The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) stated that Project Agorá has completed a real-value test of tokenized wholesale cross-border payments, with 28 financial institutions and central banks settling approximately 800,000 Swiss francs (around $1 million) across 17 transaction scenarios. The test utilized tokenized central bank reserves and commercial bank deposits, with settlement currencies including the Swiss franc, euro, pound sterling, Japanese yen, Korean won, and US dollar, and an average settlement time of approximately 80 seconds. Participants included the Bank of England, Banque de France, Bank of Japan, Bank of Korea, and Swiss National Bank, as well as commercial banks such as JPMorgan, Citi, Deutsche Bank, BNP Paribas, UBS, Standard Chartered, and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group. Project Agorá is an initiative launched by the BIS in 2024, aimed at exploring how tokenized commercial bank deposits and central bank reserves can improve wholesale cross-border payments. The BIS stated that the July test was an important milestone, and testing will continue as Project Agorá progresses.
Bybit Lists UNH, GE, JPM, GILD, AMGN, REGN US Stock Perpetual Contracts Today
Bybit today added 6 US stock perpetual contracts: UnitedHealth Group (UNHUSDT), General Electric (GEUSDT), JPMorgan Chase (JPMUSDT), Gilead Sciences (GILDUSDT), Amgen (AMGNUSDT), and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGNUSDT), supporting up to 25x leverage.
JPMorgan: Probability of Clarity Act Passing This Year Drops to 37%, Some Provisions May Inhibit Institutional Participation
According to The Block, the JPMorgan analyst team (led by Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou) released a report on July 30 stating that the probability of the "Clarity Act" (Crypto Market Structure Act) passing in the US Senate within the year has dropped to a historic low. The Kalshi prediction market shows a passing probability of only 37%, while Polymarket is even lower at 26%. Analysts pointed out that disagreements on core issues such as ethical provisions, enforcement standards, stablecoin yields, decentralized finance, and illicit finance remain unresolved. Voting is expected to be difficult to complete before the Senate summer recess, and may be postponed until after senators return in mid-September.
BIS-Led Project Agorá Completes Million-Dollar Cross-Border Tokenized Payment Test
According to CoinDesk, Project Agorá, led by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), recently completed a cross-border payment test with real funds. Participants included 28 commercial banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Deutsche Bank, and Standard Chartered, as well as five central banks. The test processed approximately $1 million (about 800,000 Swiss francs) in real transactions, covering six currencies: the US dollar, euro, pound sterling, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and South Korean won. The test utilized tokenized central bank reserves and commercial bank deposits, settling funds on a shared ledger with an average settlement time of about 80 seconds. Unlike traditional cross-border payments that require intermediation by multiple correspondent banks, the platform achieved shared single ownership records and supports synchronized settlement of bilateral foreign exchange, effectively reducing principal risk. The BIS stated that the platform can operate in parallel with existing payment systems, rather than replacing them.
JPMorgan: Probability of Clarity Act Passing Within the Year Decreases, Potentially Undermining Crypto Market Prospects
analysts at JPMorgan stated that the probability of the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the Clarity Act, passing the Senate by the end of this year has decreased, posing a headwind for the cryptocurrency market. Analysts pointed out that prediction markets show the likelihood of the bill passing this year has dropped to its lowest point of the year, with Kalshi at 37% and Polymarket at 26%.JPMorgan noted that the Senate prioritized other legislative matters before the summer recess. Additionally, unresolved issues such as ethical clauses, enforcement authority, stablecoin yields, DeFi, and illicit finance have made the bill's advancement prospects more uncertain. The bank had previously viewed the Clarity Act as a potential positive catalyst for the crypto market, as it would establish a clearer regulatory framework for the digital asset industry: digital commodities would be regulated by the CFTC, while digital securities would continue to fall under the SEC's jurisdiction.Analysts believe that if the bill is ultimately passed, it would help develop more institutionalized market infrastructure, ease regulatory restrictions on DeFi and stablecoin issuers, boost domestic liquidity and trading volumes in the U.S., and lower the barriers to entry for brokerages, exchanges, market makers, custodians, and bank-related platforms seeking to participate in the crypto industry.
JPMorgan: Decreased Likelihood of Clarity Act Passing This Year Hampers Crypto Market Prospects
JPMorgan has stated the decreased probability of the Clarity Act passing this year poses an obstacle to the crypto market and institutional adoption. JPMorgan indicated that the legislation would provide regulatory clarity, encouraging banks and asset management firms to expand into the digital asset space. Related delays could shift tokenization towards traditional financial infrastructure rather than public blockchain networks.