News Heat Trend
Arthur Hayes: OpenAI and Anthropic Have No Value—The Bigger the AI Bubble, the Higher Bitcoin Will Rise
Odaily reports: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said on the Convergence program on October 16 that OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX are all unprofitable, and that AI model companies rely on debt financing, equity financing, and implicit support from the U.S. government.The Nasdaq 100 index fell 2.5%, and chip stocks declined for an eighth consecutive day, marking the longest losing streak since 2008. On October 17, Bitcoin's price was close to $81,400. A Bank of America analyst said the $1 trillion AI investment boom may follow a typical boom-and-bust cycle.Hayes believes that the bigger the AI bubble, the larger the subsequent bailout will be, and the higher Bitcoin's price will go. He also said Bitcoin can reflect wasted capital. He also criticized token issuance methods, saying that retail investors who bought at TGE and then suffered a 95% drop were the ones who got hurt. (Bitcoin.com News)
Arthur Hayes: US May Expand Money Supply to Support AI and Government Debt, Driving Crypto Assets Higher
According to Cointelegraph, BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom CIO Arthur Hayes said during Blockchain Week Korea that U.S. policymakers may need to expand the money supply to support AI data center construction and government debt financing, with the resulting increase in liquidity potentially driving crypto asset prices higher. Hayes noted that AI companies require trillions of dollars in funding to build data centers, and as prices for related services continue to drop, this could ultimately push policymakers to adopt a more accommodating monetary stance. He also highlighted that China's monetary policy may shift from relatively tight conditions to larger-scale stimulus, which he believes could reignite market demand for scarce assets.
Arthur Hayes: Money Printing Could Drive Cryptocurrency Prices Higher
Arthur Hayes stated that U.S. policymakers may support the AI industry and government debt financing through money printing, driving cryptocurrency prices higher; if China shifts from limited tightening to large-scale monetary stimulus, it could also boost demand for scarce assets. He is also monitoring financial stress in France, including BNP Paribas-related credit default swaps and French government bond spreads.Catrina Wang, General Partner at Portal Ventures, said that banks and asset management companies have advantages in on-chain financial markets thanks to their existing client relationships. Todd McDonald, co-founder of R3, pointed out that public blockchains can help institutions reach clients beyond their own networks; Justin Kugel, Executive Vice President of Growth at World Liberty Financial, said that user demand for asset management and investment evaluation still leaves room for intermediaries.Chetan Karkhanis, Senior Vice President of Digital Asset Client Relationships at Franklin Templeton, said the company has no intention of issuing its own stablecoin and hopes tokenized money market funds will provide investment returns. Haonan Li, co-founder and CEO of Codex, said that trade routes connecting Latin America, sub-Saharan Africa, and Asia are driving demand for stablecoin payments; buyers pay eastward for goods, while manufactured products flow westward.Ilya Podoynitsyn, co-founder and CEO of FinHarbor, said that before allocating to crypto assets, companies need to confirm they have long-term idle funds that will not affect daily operations. Michael Camarda, Chief Development Officer of Ethereum treasury company SharpLink, said that both buying back shares and increasing ETH holdings can raise ETH per share; the company has adopted both methods to meet the preferences of institutional and retail investors. (Cointelegraph)
Unitree IPO Imminent | Hyperliquid Valuation 4 Times Higher Than IPO
中国机器人制造商 Unitree 即将科创板上市，Hyperliquid 预 IPO 永续合约隐含估值达 380 亿美元，较 9 亿美元 IPO 估值高出逾 4 倍，杠杆头寸面临清算风险。
Arthur Hayes: Rising Dollar Liquidity Will Drive Bitcoin and Crypto Higher
Odaily Planet Daily Report: Arthur Hayes stated on the X platform that his article "Yen-quake" will introduce how Buffalo Bill Bessent plans to manipulate the dollar-yen exchange rate and restart the money printing press. Arthur Hayes said that over the past decade, the continued weakening of the yen has driven gains in global asset markets, but this situation will eventually come to an end. The yen is the lowest-valued currency globally and is also a point of contention among the United States, China, and Japanese everyday voters. There are three ways to resolve the yen issue, but the U.S. Treasury and Japanese politicians tend to favor only one of them. He will explain the operating mechanisms of each yen appreciation method and why the final option is the preferred approach; he will then discuss how to execute the third option at the political level. He stated that as dollar liquidity rises significantly, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies will rally. The three options include: 1. The Bank of Japan sharply raises interest rates, causing the dollar-yen interest rate differential to disappear, at least on the short end. 2. The government persuades domestic institutions and public bodies such as GPIF to change their investment mandates, selling overseas assets and buying local assets. 3. Preferred option: The Japanese Ministry of Finance conducts repurchase transactions of its U.S. Treasury holdings with the Federal Reserve in exchange for dollars; it then sells dollars and buys yen in the foreign exchange market. Arthur Hayes said that before getting into the details, speculators should consider why yen appreciation is being discussed now. Over the past few decades, many have claimed that the yen was about to appreciate and trigger a global unwinding of carry trades. Two weeks ago, monetary policy officials from the United States and Japan conducted a joint exchange rate manipulation operation, though they euphemistically called it intervention. U.S. Treasury Secretary Buffalo Bill Bessent indicated a desire to raise the counterparty limit for the FIMA repo facility, enabling Japan's Ministry of Finance to use its massive asset reserves to defend the yen. Japan's Ministry of Finance also stated it is working closely with the United States to push the dollar-yen exchange rate lower. Relevant officials are signaling to the market their support for a shift in global currency relations, so the market must pay attention to this.
Analysis: Micron May Be Entering a New Valuation Structure Logic of "Higher Earnings, Higher Valuation"
Odaily reports, Deep Value Memetics posted an analysis on X platform, pointing out that Micron Technology may currently be exhibiting an atypical semiconductor valuation structure: as earnings per share (EPS) rise, the valuation multiple the market assigns is simultaneously expanding.Currently, Micron trades at approximately 22 times PE, below the S&P 500 (SPY) average of about 22 times, and also significantly lower than the semiconductor index (SOX) at roughly 26 times. In previous cycles, analysts typically assigned lower valuation multiples during the peak earnings phase. However, as the "de-risking" process advances, this "show-me" narrative is shifting. The market may be entering a new phase of "EPS growth → valuation multiple expansion," leading to exponential valuation revaluation. If EPS reaches $200 and is assigned a 20 times valuation, Micron's stock price could point toward the $4,000 level.
Bitcoin Rebounds Above $82,000 as Fed's October Rate Hike Odds Fall to 12%
Odaily Report: Bitcoin News posted on X that Bitcoin rose about 2.4%, hitting a five-day high near $82,830 and rebounding from a low near $80,600 caused by weekend selling. Market expectations for another Fed rate hike have declined significantly, with traders now pricing in about a 12% probability that the Fed will raise rates at its October 28 meeting. Higher-than-expected U.S. inflation data last week had briefly sparked concerns about further monetary tightening; meanwhile, falling oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields improved investor sentiment.
Arthur Hayes: US May Expand Money Supply to Support AI and Government Debt, Driving Crypto Assets Higher
According to Cointelegraph, BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom CIO Arthur Hayes said during Blockchain Week Korea that U.S. policymakers may need to expand the money supply to support AI data center construction and government debt financing, with the resulting increase in liquidity potentially driving crypto asset prices higher. Hayes noted that AI companies require trillions of dollars in funding to build data centers, and as prices for related services continue to drop, this could ultimately push policymakers to adopt a more accommodating monetary stance. He also highlighted that China's monetary policy may shift from relatively tight conditions to larger-scale stimulus, which he believes could reignite market demand for scarce assets.
Arthur Hayes: Money Printing Could Drive Cryptocurrency Prices Higher
Arthur Hayes stated that U.S. policymakers may support the AI industry and government debt financing through money printing, driving cryptocurrency prices higher; if China shifts from limited tightening to large-scale monetary stimulus, it could also boost demand for scarce assets. He is also monitoring financial stress in France, including BNP Paribas-related credit default swaps and French government bond spreads.Catrina Wang, General Partner at Portal Ventures, said that banks and asset management companies have advantages in on-chain financial markets thanks to their existing client relationships. Todd McDonald, co-founder of R3, pointed out that public blockchains can help institutions reach clients beyond their own networks; Justin Kugel, Executive Vice President of Growth at World Liberty Financial, said that user demand for asset management and investment evaluation still leaves room for intermediaries.Chetan Karkhanis, Senior Vice President of Digital Asset Client Relationships at Franklin Templeton, said the company has no intention of issuing its own stablecoin and hopes tokenized money market funds will provide investment returns. Haonan Li, co-founder and CEO of Codex, said that trade routes connecting Latin America, sub-Saharan Africa, and Asia are driving demand for stablecoin payments; buyers pay eastward for goods, while manufactured products flow westward.Ilya Podoynitsyn, co-founder and CEO of FinHarbor, said that before allocating to crypto assets, companies need to confirm they have long-term idle funds that will not affect daily operations. Michael Camarda, Chief Development Officer of Ethereum treasury company SharpLink, said that both buying back shares and increasing ETH holdings can raise ETH per share; the company has adopted both methods to meet the preferences of institutional and retail investors. (Cointelegraph)
BIT: Fed Expected to Hold Rates Steady, U.S. Stocks May Trend Higher Amid Volatility in September
According to an analysis by BIT official Chinese (@BITofficial_CN), US stocks historically tend to enter a consolidation phase in September, particularly ahead of midterm elections. Despite market concerns over a potential Federal Reserve rate hike next week, BIT anticipates that the Fed is more likely to keep interest rates unchanged, helping markets downplay the impact of short-term monetary policy and political uncertainties. The S&P 500 Index currently trades slightly above its 30-day moving average, and the overall uptrend remains intact, with trend-following funds continuing to maintain long exposure. Absent any major risk events, US stocks are still expected to trend higher amid fluctuations. While tensions surrounding Iran and oil price risks continue to unsettle markets, US equities as a whole display strong resilience.
Arthur Hayes: Rising Dollar Liquidity Will Drive Bitcoin and Crypto Higher
Odaily Planet Daily Report: Arthur Hayes stated on the X platform that his article "Yen-quake" will introduce how Buffalo Bill Bessent plans to manipulate the dollar-yen exchange rate and restart the money printing press. Arthur Hayes said that over the past decade, the continued weakening of the yen has driven gains in global asset markets, but this situation will eventually come to an end. The yen is the lowest-valued currency globally and is also a point of contention among the United States, China, and Japanese everyday voters. There are three ways to resolve the yen issue, but the U.S. Treasury and Japanese politicians tend to favor only one of them. He will explain the operating mechanisms of each yen appreciation method and why the final option is the preferred approach; he will then discuss how to execute the third option at the political level. He stated that as dollar liquidity rises significantly, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies will rally. The three options include: 1. The Bank of Japan sharply raises interest rates, causing the dollar-yen interest rate differential to disappear, at least on the short end. 2. The government persuades domestic institutions and public bodies such as GPIF to change their investment mandates, selling overseas assets and buying local assets. 3. Preferred option: The Japanese Ministry of Finance conducts repurchase transactions of its U.S. Treasury holdings with the Federal Reserve in exchange for dollars; it then sells dollars and buys yen in the foreign exchange market. Arthur Hayes said that before getting into the details, speculators should consider why yen appreciation is being discussed now. Over the past few decades, many have claimed that the yen was about to appreciate and trigger a global unwinding of carry trades. Two weeks ago, monetary policy officials from the United States and Japan conducted a joint exchange rate manipulation operation, though they euphemistically called it intervention. U.S. Treasury Secretary Buffalo Bill Bessent indicated a desire to raise the counterparty limit for the FIMA repo facility, enabling Japan's Ministry of Finance to use its massive asset reserves to defend the yen. Japan's Ministry of Finance also stated it is working closely with the United States to push the dollar-yen exchange rate lower. Relevant officials are signaling to the market their support for a shift in global currency relations, so the market must pay attention to this.
Analysis: On-chain data sends bearish signals, Bitcoin rebound faces sustained selling pressure
Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio
Bitcoin Rebounds Above $82,000 as Fed's October Rate Hike Odds Fall to 12%
Odaily Report: Bitcoin News posted on X that Bitcoin rose about 2.4%, hitting a five-day high near $82,830 and rebounding from a low near $80,600 caused by weekend selling. Market expectations for another Fed rate hike have declined significantly, with traders now pricing in about a 12% probability that the Fed will raise rates at its October 28 meeting. Higher-than-expected U.S. inflation data last week had briefly sparked concerns about further monetary tightening; meanwhile, falling oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields improved investor sentiment.
Arthur Hayes: OpenAI and Anthropic Have No Value—The Bigger the AI Bubble, the Higher Bitcoin Will Rise
Odaily reports: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said on the Convergence program on October 16 that OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX are all unprofitable, and that AI model companies rely on debt financing, equity financing, and implicit support from the U.S. government.The Nasdaq 100 index fell 2.5%, and chip stocks declined for an eighth consecutive day, marking the longest losing streak since 2008. On October 17, Bitcoin's price was close to $81,400. A Bank of America analyst said the $1 trillion AI investment boom may follow a typical boom-and-bust cycle.Hayes believes that the bigger the AI bubble, the larger the subsequent bailout will be, and the higher Bitcoin's price will go. He also said Bitcoin can reflect wasted capital. He also criticized token issuance methods, saying that retail investors who bought at TGE and then suffered a 95% drop were the ones who got hurt. (Bitcoin.com News)
Analysts: Aging BTC Regains Activity, On-Chain Migration Wave May Push Moving Averages Higher
According to monitoring by CryptoQuant analyst nocoffeenobrain, coins with a holding age of 1–3 years and over 3 years began showing signs of activity as early as late September, coinciding with BTC prices rising from the mid-$70,000 range to the mid-$80,000 range. Following the recent Ledger hack, which prompted numerous users to migrate assets to new signing devices and replace their seed phrases, the 7-day moving average is expected to climb further over the next few days. The analyst noted that a similar pattern occurred previously: during January to February this year, when BTC dropped from $90,000 to the mid-$60,000 range, and between July and August while BTC consolidated around the mid-$60,000 range, both of these holding age cohorts exhibited synchronized activity.
Bonkguy: USELESS Will Become the Leading Meme Coin This Cycle, with Higher Conviction Than All Previous Trades
Odaily News Trader Bonkguy (unipcs) stated on the X platform that his publicly recorded Meme coin trades from the previous cycle include: BONK growing from $16,000 to over $20 million, WIF growing from $6,000 to over $1 million, FARTCOIN growing from approximately $300,000 to over $8 million, PNUT and POPCAT each growing from low six-figure USD amounts to over $1 million, and MAGA, DOGEGOV, and Roaring Kitty-themed tokens collectively growing from low five-figure and six-figure USD amounts to over $5-10 million.Unipcs stated that despite constant ridicule and claims that he would fail, his judgment has been repeatedly validated. Additionally, Unipcs said he believes USELESS will become the leading Meme coin this cycle, becoming the next DOGE or SHIB with a market cap in the tens of billions, and stated that his conviction in USELESS is stronger than in any previous trade. This is his most representative Meme coin trade of the cycle and the one he is most willing to stake his reputation on.
QCP: Long-Term Interest Rate Volatility and ETF Inflows Drive Crypto Market Higher
QCP reported that Bitcoin's rise is linked to declining US long-term Treasury yields and a weakening US dollar, following the US Treasury's announcement to expand the scale of its long-term Treasury liquidity support repurchase agreements starting September 9. Markets will now focus on the US July PCE data on August 26, the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium from August 27 to 29, and the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on September 15–16. QCP believes that the key factor for the current cryptocurrency market is whether spot demand can sustain itself following initial position adjustments, particularly amid the backdrop of rising leverage.
Analyst: Bitcoin May Be Bottoming Out in a "Boring Market," ETF Inflows Fail to Push Price Higher
According to Odaily, despite spot Bitcoin ETFs recording net inflows of $211.5 million on Tuesday, the price of Bitcoin remained largely flat, hovering around $64,000. Analysts believe this movement resembles the market being compressed into a low-volatility state, rather than signaling an impending sharp decline.On the same day, spot Ethereum ETFs also recorded net inflows of $53.8 million. In the broader macro market, the S&P 500 index closed at a record high of 7,737 points on August 4, the Nasdaq rose 2.6% driven by AI earnings, and Brent crude oil fell below $80 due to easing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.Wintermute OTC trader Jasper De Maere stated that ETF buying entering the market but failing to push Bitcoin's price higher is itself a key signal, indicating that marginal buyers in the spot market are not truly one-sided bulls. He believes that for Bitcoin to sustain its recovery narrative, it needs a clear breakout above $65,000 in the short term.Overall, analysts are interpreting the current Bitcoin price action as a form of "boring bottoming": no obvious panic selling, yet lacking strong upward momentum. ETF inflows provide support, but the price remains suppressed below key resistance, suggesting the market is still waiting for a clearer directional catalyst.
Bitcoin Hashrate Returns to Uptrend, CryptoQuant Founder Says Public Mining Companies Backed by Traditional Finance Giants
CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju posted on X that Bitcoin's hashrate has returned to an uptrend, with miners operating at full capacity. Higher hashrate means enhanced network security and further strengthens Bitcoin's fundamentals as a store of value. Ki Young Ju stated that public mining companies have gained support from traditional finance giants, which he views as an indirect bullish signal from institutional investors.
Arthur Hayes: OpenAI and Anthropic Have No Value—The Bigger the AI Bubble, the Higher Bitcoin Will Rise
Odaily reports: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said on the Convergence program on October 16 that OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX are all unprofitable, and that AI model companies rely on debt financing, equity financing, and implicit support from the U.S. government.The Nasdaq 100 index fell 2.5%, and chip stocks declined for an eighth consecutive day, marking the longest losing streak since 2008. On October 17, Bitcoin's price was close to $81,400. A Bank of America analyst said the $1 trillion AI investment boom may follow a typical boom-and-bust cycle.Hayes believes that the bigger the AI bubble, the larger the subsequent bailout will be, and the higher Bitcoin's price will go. He also said Bitcoin can reflect wasted capital. He also criticized token issuance methods, saying that retail investors who bought at TGE and then suffered a 95% drop were the ones who got hurt. (Bitcoin.com News)
Anthropic Head of International Business: Open-Weight Models Carry Higher Risks
Guillaume Princen, Head of International Business at Anthropic, stated at the International AI Summit in Dublin that open-weight AI models carry higher security risks by definition. In his remarks on Wednesday, he noted that while he cannot speak on behalf of open models, they inherently carry higher risks by definition. Princen’s core concern revolves around control: once open weights are released, safeguards can be removed, and copies can operate on private systems where developers cannot monitor or recall them.
Arthur Hayes: US May Expand Money Supply to Support AI and Government Debt, Driving Crypto Assets Higher
According to Cointelegraph, BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom CIO Arthur Hayes said during Blockchain Week Korea that U.S. policymakers may need to expand the money supply to support AI data center construction and government debt financing, with the resulting increase in liquidity potentially driving crypto asset prices higher. Hayes noted that AI companies require trillions of dollars in funding to build data centers, and as prices for related services continue to drop, this could ultimately push policymakers to adopt a more accommodating monetary stance. He also highlighted that China's monetary policy may shift from relatively tight conditions to larger-scale stimulus, which he believes could reignite market demand for scarce assets.
Arthur Hayes: Money Printing Could Drive Cryptocurrency Prices Higher
Arthur Hayes stated that U.S. policymakers may support the AI industry and government debt financing through money printing, driving cryptocurrency prices higher; if China shifts from limited tightening to large-scale monetary stimulus, it could also boost demand for scarce assets. He is also monitoring financial stress in France, including BNP Paribas-related credit default swaps and French government bond spreads.Catrina Wang, General Partner at Portal Ventures, said that banks and asset management companies have advantages in on-chain financial markets thanks to their existing client relationships. Todd McDonald, co-founder of R3, pointed out that public blockchains can help institutions reach clients beyond their own networks; Justin Kugel, Executive Vice President of Growth at World Liberty Financial, said that user demand for asset management and investment evaluation still leaves room for intermediaries.Chetan Karkhanis, Senior Vice President of Digital Asset Client Relationships at Franklin Templeton, said the company has no intention of issuing its own stablecoin and hopes tokenized money market funds will provide investment returns. Haonan Li, co-founder and CEO of Codex, said that trade routes connecting Latin America, sub-Saharan Africa, and Asia are driving demand for stablecoin payments; buyers pay eastward for goods, while manufactured products flow westward.Ilya Podoynitsyn, co-founder and CEO of FinHarbor, said that before allocating to crypto assets, companies need to confirm they have long-term idle funds that will not affect daily operations. Michael Camarda, Chief Development Officer of Ethereum treasury company SharpLink, said that both buying back shares and increasing ETH holdings can raise ETH per share; the company has adopted both methods to meet the preferences of institutional and retail investors. (Cointelegraph)
Lido Adjusts EarnETH Fee Structure: Management Fee Cut 80% with Shift Toward Higher Performance Fee Ratio
Odaily News - Liquid staking protocol Lido has announced an update to the EarnETH Vault fee structure, adopting a more flexible performance-linked fee model to reduce holding costs for users and strengthen the alignment between yield distribution and product performance.Under the new structure, EarnETH fees will shift from the previous "1% AUM fee + 10% performance fee" to a maximum of "0.5% AUM + 20% performance fee" model. The new fee structure will launch with "0.2% AUM + 15% performance fee," with any future adjustments to be announced separately.Lido stated that reducing the management fee from 1% to 0.2% will lower the cost of holding EarnETH for users in low-yield environments, while the increased performance fee ratio will better tie protocol revenue to the Vault's actual performance. All currently effective fees will be transparently displayed on the EarnETH Vault interface.This adjustment aims to optimize the fee mechanism of the EarnETH yield product, enhance fee flexibility, and strengthen alignment between users and the product's yield performance.
Related news
Bitcoin Hashrate Returns to Uptrend, CryptoQuant Founder Says Public Mining Companies Backed by Traditional Finance Giants
CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju posted on X that Bitcoin's hashrate has returned to an uptrend, with miners operating at full capacity. Higher hashrate means enhanced network security and further strengthens Bitcoin's fundamentals as a store of value. Ki Young Ju stated that public mining companies have gained support from traditional finance giants, which he views as an indirect bullish signal from institutional investors.
Higher-Than-Expected Inflation: HTX to Live Stream Discussion on BTC Long-Short Battle Amid Rate Hike Risks
According to official social media announcements, HTX will host a live stream today at 20:00 titled “The Battle for $80K BTC: Are Bulls Buying the Dip or Are Shorts Harvesting?” During the session, crypto KOLs including Zhengrong Shuo, Damo Ge, Crypto.0824, and Ray Lanyangyang will discuss the long-short dynamics around BTC at the $80,000 mark. Drawing on the macroeconomic landscape, capital flows, and market sentiment, they will analyze support strength at key price levels, potential rebound signals, and downside risks. The event will also facilitate discussions on position management and risk response strategies during market volatility from the perspective of retail investors.
Bitcoin Rebounds Above $82,000 as Fed's October Rate Hike Odds Fall to 12%
Odaily Report: Bitcoin News posted on X that Bitcoin rose about 2.4%, hitting a five-day high near $82,830 and rebounding from a low near $80,600 caused by weekend selling. Market expectations for another Fed rate hike have declined significantly, with traders now pricing in about a 12% probability that the Fed will raise rates at its October 28 meeting. Higher-than-expected U.S. inflation data last week had briefly sparked concerns about further monetary tightening; meanwhile, falling oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields improved investor sentiment.
Arthur Hayes: OpenAI and Anthropic Have No Value—The Bigger the AI Bubble, the Higher Bitcoin Will Rise
Odaily reports: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said on the Convergence program on October 16 that OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX are all unprofitable, and that AI model companies rely on debt financing, equity financing, and implicit support from the U.S. government.The Nasdaq 100 index fell 2.5%, and chip stocks declined for an eighth consecutive day, marking the longest losing streak since 2008. On October 17, Bitcoin's price was close to $81,400. A Bank of America analyst said the $1 trillion AI investment boom may follow a typical boom-and-bust cycle.Hayes believes that the bigger the AI bubble, the larger the subsequent bailout will be, and the higher Bitcoin's price will go. He also said Bitcoin can reflect wasted capital. He also criticized token issuance methods, saying that retail investors who bought at TGE and then suffered a 95% drop were the ones who got hurt. (Bitcoin.com News)
Anthropic Head of International Business: Open-Weight Models Carry Higher Risks
Guillaume Princen, Head of International Business at Anthropic, stated at the International AI Summit in Dublin that open-weight AI models carry higher security risks by definition. In his remarks on Wednesday, he noted that while he cannot speak on behalf of open models, they inherently carry higher risks by definition. Princen’s core concern revolves around control: once open weights are released, safeguards can be removed, and copies can operate on private systems where developers cannot monitor or recall them.
Analysts: Aging BTC Regains Activity, On-Chain Migration Wave May Push Moving Averages Higher
According to monitoring by CryptoQuant analyst nocoffeenobrain, coins with a holding age of 1–3 years and over 3 years began showing signs of activity as early as late September, coinciding with BTC prices rising from the mid-$70,000 range to the mid-$80,000 range. Following the recent Ledger hack, which prompted numerous users to migrate assets to new signing devices and replace their seed phrases, the 7-day moving average is expected to climb further over the next few days. The analyst noted that a similar pattern occurred previously: during January to February this year, when BTC dropped from $90,000 to the mid-$60,000 range, and between July and August while BTC consolidated around the mid-$60,000 range, both of these holding age cohorts exhibited synchronized activity.