News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: Investment research firm Morningstar stated in a report on July 30 that it has set Nvidia's fair value estimate at $280 per share, 44% higher than the current level of approximately $194. The firm believes that Nvidia's 17% decline since mid-May has begun to diverge from its fair value estimate.Morningstar also assigned Nvidia a "very high" uncertainty rating. The risks it listed include the possibility of hyperscale cloud providers developing their own AI hardware in the future, as well as related customers cutting spending in response to investor demands.Morningstar Senior Equity Analyst Brian Colello stated that the likelihood of strong AI capital expenditure in the near and medium term remains high, and Nvidia's growth prospects are being underestimated. He also noted that the stock appears to exhibit undervaluation characteristics.
According to Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, June CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month, the largest single-month drop since April 2020, overall inflation decreased from 4.2% to 3.5%, the market immediately priced in a hold for the July FOMC, and the probability of a rate hike in September also dropped from over 75% to 63%. However, the US restarted a naval blockade on Iranian ports and conducted air strikes for the fourth consecutive night, Brent crude surged 15.54% in a single week, reaching a high of $87 per barrel, pressure for energy inflation to rebound is accumulating, casting doubt on the sustainability of this CPI decline. Meanwhile, China's Moonshot released the open-source model Kimi K3, claiming performance comparable to frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic, directly impacting the AI compute narrative, TSMC fell 7% in a single day, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index recorded its worst weekly performance in 15 months, the Nasdaq dropped 4.16%, and Nvidia temporarily ceded the top spot in global market cap to Apple. The crypto market, however, strengthened against the trend, becoming the best-performing risk asset of the week. Within minutes of the CPI data release, BTC surged from around $62,000 to $64,900, ETH jumped 7% in a single day to $1,884, CoinGlass data showed approximately $134 million in short positions were liquidated within the first hour. BTC ETF
Citrini analyst Jukan stated in a post that, according to the latest channel research, the global DRAM market average selling price (ASP) for the third quarter is expected to rise 21% quarter-over-quarter. This expectation is higher than TrendForce's previous forecast of a 13% to 18% increase in traditional DRAM prices and an overall increase of 8% to 13% including HBM.
: Citrini analyst jukan posted on X platform, stating that Lenovo considers memory price increases the "new normal." DRAM and NAND flash memory prices have entered a structural upward cycle. Even if major suppliers continue to expand production, prices are unlikely to return to early 2025 levels. Higher costs are being passed through the entire industry. In the future, various electronic devices, including PCs and smartphones, are expected to face continued price pressure, with higher prices becoming the "new normal" after 2030.
Odaily reports, Deep Value Memetics posted an analysis on X platform, pointing out that Micron Technology may currently be exhibiting an atypical semiconductor valuation structure: as earnings per share (EPS) rise, the valuation multiple the market assigns is simultaneously expanding.Currently, Micron trades at approximately 22 times PE, below the S&P 500 (SPY) average of about 22 times, and also significantly lower than the semiconductor index (SOX) at roughly 26 times. In previous cycles, analysts typically assigned lower valuation multiples during the peak earnings phase. However, as the "de-risking" process advances, this "show-me" narrative is shifting. The market may be entering a new phase of "EPS growth → valuation multiple expansion," leading to exponential valuation revaluation. If EPS reaches $200 and is assigned a 20 times valuation, Micron's stock price could point toward the $4,000 level.
Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio
Odaily, CryptoQuant.com posted on X platform, stating that BTC’s current pullback remains higher than the previous panic selling lows. This does not guarantee further declines, but the current situation still shows a substantial difference from past cyclical lows.
Odaily Odaily News: BIT Official's daily chart analysis indicates that spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net inflows for nine consecutive trading days, with institutional buying power accumulating steadily and providing support for prices.It notes that Strategy has invested approximately $11 billion this year to increase its Bitcoin holdings. The combination of ETF inflows and corporate buying is helping to strengthen market absorption capacity. The analysis suggests that, in the absence of significant risk event disruptions, the current market structure remains supportive of Bitcoin's gradual upward trend.