News linked to both this project and an event.
CryptoQuant 分析师 Moreno 建议 Strategy 停止购买比特币并积累现金，以缓解优先股 STRC 跌至历史新低的压力。
Economist and crypto skeptic Peter Schiff posted that market optimism toward Bitcoin is “excessively complacent.” While Strategy’s other end is connected to Wall Street, it is currently under clear pressure: its stock price has fallen roughly 80% from its peak, and dropped another ~20% within just five days; its flagship preferred stock STRC also declined approximately 13%. If short-selling pressure continues to depress Strategy’s stock price, it could trigger an extreme scenario—Strategy may be forced to betray its commitment and sell Bitcoin to repurchase shares. Yet this move may fail to lift the stock price and instead trigger further Bitcoin price declines, creating a negative-feedback death spiral—the very situation that Strategy’s own strategic structure has “trapped Michael Saylor in.”
: According to official sources, MGBX will list AMDB (Advanced Micro Devices), EWYB (iShares MSCI South Korea ETF), INTCB (Intel), and MSTRB (Strategy Inc) for spot trading at 18:00 (SGT) on June 24, 2026.Deposit opening time: 16:00 (SGT) on June 24, 2026Trading opening time: 18:00 (SGT) on June 24, 2026Withdrawal opening time: 19:00 (SGT) on June 25, 2026
According to Wintermute’s market weekly report, a significant macroeconomic shift occurred during the week ending June 22: The U.S. Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate steady at 3.50%–3.75%, but its statement adopted markedly tighter language—removing all references to accommodative policy. The median dot-plot projection rose from 3.4% to 3.8%, and 17 of the 18 FOMC members assessed inflation risks as skewed upward. The probability of a December rate hike surged from roughly 24% one month earlier to approximately 77%. Meanwhile, the Iran nuclear deal—originally scheduled for signing on June 19—collapsed following Israeli airstrikes on Lebanon, prompting Iran to withdraw from negotiations. Qatar is now attempting to extend talks until the end of June. With U.S. equity markets closed for Juneteenth, they failed to react promptly; crypto markets bore the brunt first—BTC peaked near $67,000 midweek before retreating to around $62,000, posting a weekly decline of 3.8%; ETH once again fell below $2,000, dropping into the mid-$1,700 range, down 1.2% for the week; over the weekend, approximately $600 million in long positions were liquidated, while less than $90 million in short positions were cleared—highlighting persistent leverage imbalance. Wintermute noted that the narrative of forced selling by “Strategy” players has dissipated (net BTC purchases totaled 1,587 BTC between June 8–14), yet marginal demand from both ETFs and Strategy participants has clearly weakened compared to prior periods. Capital inflow channels remain unopened, and the market is stabilizing primarily under light positioning and low leverage.
Benchmark-StoneX 分析师 Mark Palmer 指出，Strategy 旗下 STRC 产品虽近期波动，但其机制与导致 Terra 崩溃的算法稳定币存在根本差异。
: According to on-chain analyst EmberCN, Strategy (MSTR) purchased 520 BTC last week at a price of approximately $67,068, valued at $34.87 million. The company currently holds a total of 847,363 BTC, worth approximately $55.01 billion, with an average cost price of $75,651, resulting in an unrealized loss of $9.093 billion.Bitmine (BMNR) purchased 52,203 ETH last week at a price of approximately $1,751, valued at $91.43 million. The company currently holds a total of 5,672,956 ETH, worth approximately $10.007 billion, with an average cost price of $3,407, resulting in an unrealized loss of $9.32 billion.
BIT's analysis today notes that over the past 30 days, the combined capital flows from stablecoins, Strategy, and Bitcoin ETFs have turned net negative, reaching a record high of $8 billion. This indicates that institutional investors are reducing risk exposure ahead of the summer season.Unlike the Q4 2025 period when inflows only slowed slightly, capital flows have now clearly shifted to net outflows. Without a significant positive catalyst (such as the Fed turning dovish), buy-side recovery could prove challenging.This suggests that Bitcoin's decline from $82,000 to $62,000 may have a greater impact than its previous correction from $102,000 to $82,000. Against a backdrop of limited upside potential, short volatility strategies may still present opportunities.
Bitcoin has dropped approximately 40% since Strategy launched its Bitcoin financing instrument, STRC, which has now fallen below its $100 issuance par value. This has sparked market debate over the sustainability of Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin “flywheel” model. Strategy currently holds over 846,000 BTC, but its purchase pace has notably slowed recently. Data shows that during the week ending June 8, the company added 1,550 BTC, worth approximately $101 million. The following week, ending June 15, it added another 1,587 BTC, valued at about $100 million. In contrast, during a single week in April 2026, the firm bought 34,164 BTC for $2.54 billion, indicating a significant decline in its recent capital deployment.Meanwhile, Strategy previously sold 32 BTC to meet dividend obligations. While minimal relative to its total holdings, the market views this as a sign that cash flow pressures could intensify if STRC’s funding efficiency declines. STRC was originally designed as a preferred stock instrument trading near its $100 par value, using dividend adjustments to attract investors and help Strategy raise capital for Bitcoin purchases. STRC has now fallen to historic lows, once dropping to $82.53 before closing at $88.59—roughly 13% below par value.Critics argue that STRC’s dip below par indicates mounting pressure on Strategy’s funding channels. Peter Schiff, a long-time Bitcoin critic, labeled STRC “a typical centralized Ponzi scheme,” claiming the model relies on continuous financing or Bitcoin sales to sustain itself. Crypto trader DonAlt also questioned STRC’s recent performance, describing its trading behavior as resembling a “Ponzi scheme.”However, some analysts believe STRC’s decline is more due to leverage liquidations than a fundamental deterioration of Strategy. STRC had long traded around $99 to $100, attracting leveraged traders. When the price broke below a key level, forced liquidations were triggered, exacerbating the drop.Analyst Scott Melker noted that STRC’s current yield has actually improved due to the discount. Since dividends are calculated based on the $100 liquidation preference, at an STRC price of $90, the 11.5% annualized dividend translates to an actual yield of about 12.8%. If the price falls to $85, the yield could exceed 13%.Strategy is expected to announce its next STRC dividend adjustment by June 30. The market is now focused on whether the STRC discount will persist and whether Strategy’s model of using capital market financing to continuously accumulate BTC can remain stable. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily News Analyst Ansem posted on X platform, stating that a "quite astonishing data point" shows that compared to the strategy of holding a single long HYPE position against the US dollar, a paired trading strategy of going long Hyperliquid (HYPE) while simultaneously shorting Bitcoin (BTC) has actually delivered better performance so far this year. This result suggests that in the current market structure, relative strength trading may offer higher returns than directional bets on a single asset. It also reflects the intensified rotation and beta divergence within the crypto space, with the return structure between BTC and high-volatility altcoins showing clear stratification.
Bitcoin continues to face pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and institutional wait-and-see sentiment, hovering around $64,500, down approximately 2% on the day. The market is awaiting the outcome of the Fed FOMC meeting, which will be chaired by Kevin Warsh for the first time, with widespread expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged in the 3.50%–3.75% range.Analysts point out that the focus of this meeting has shifted from "whether to cut rates" to "policy path and inflation signals." Current US inflation is believed to remain near three-year highs, with energy prices and geopolitical developments keeping the market cautious about the future policy direction.Pressure is also emerging simultaneously on the chain and institutional levels. Structural concerns surrounding Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continue to escalate, with its preferred stock STRC falling to $91.79 on June 16, over 8% below its $100 par value, seen as a sign of weakening corporate Bitcoin buying power.Although spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of approximately $10.1 million on June 16, with BlackRock's IBIT contributing the majority, the capital scale remains significantly lower than in previous periods, indicating limited buying momentum.Market research firms Bitfinex and QCP note that the recent Bitcoin rebound appears more like a "technical recovery driven by exhausted selling pressure" rather than being fueled by new demand. In the derivatives market, rising implied volatility in options and a skew towards put protection suggest traders are pricing in tail risks.In terms of price structure, Bitcoin is considered to be oscillating in the short term within the $60,000 to $68,000 range. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance or institutional buying weakens further, a pullback to the $62,000–$63,000 range is possible.Overall, the current market presents a combination of "macro wait-and-see, marginal institutional weakening, and heightened derivatives defense." The short-term direction still depends on FOMC policy signals and the potential return of ETF and corporate capital flows. (The Block)
Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Ember monitoring, Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR) purchased 1,587 BTC ($100 million) last week at approximately $63,024. They now hold a total of 846,842 BTC ($56.09 billion) with an average cost of $75,656, reflecting an unrealized loss of $7.979 billion (-12.4%).Ethereum treasury company Bitmine (BMNR) purchased 76,881 ETH ($129 million) last week at approximately $1,681. They now hold a total of 5,620,754 ETH ($9.909 billion) with an average cost of $3,422, reflecting an unrealized loss of $9.327 billion (-48.5%). Bitmine is only 400,000 ETH away from its target of holding 5% of the ETH supply, and at the current pace, this goal should be achievable next month.
Odaily News The prediction market platform Polymarket issued a "resolution clarification" that overturned a market result that had already appeared to be settled. This led to a 20-year-old student's $35,000 bet being declared invalid, while a total of approximately $3.8 million in positions across 1,838 accounts on the platform were liquidated.This clarification clause was written into the platform's rulebook, allowing for retroactive interpretative corrections to market settlement results, thereby altering the final payout. The incident has sparked strong dissatisfaction among traders, who argue that this "post-hoc ruling" mechanism undermines the certainty of market rules, and has ignited widespread controversy within the Polymarket and Kalshi communities.According to user disclosures, the incident originates from a case made public on June 13, where a market result that had ostensibly been settled was later reversed due to a change in rule interpretation.Industry analysts believe that this type of mechanism introduces "settlement clarification risk" into prediction markets, which is a type of tail risk event that cannot be hedged. If such operations occur frequently, they could drive high-risk liquidity away from the current platform towards trading venues regulated by the CFTC or those with formal arbitration mechanisms.Furthermore, this event is seen as one in a recent series of controversies, including settlement disputes surrounding the UMA oracle and Strategy's Bitcoin-related markets, which continue to test market participants' trust in the "finality" of prediction markets. (Cryptobriefing)
According to SoSo Value data, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of nearly $86 million last Friday, equivalent to approximately 1,350 BTC, with BlackRock's IBIT alone seeing net inflows of nearly $58 million. Standard Chartered's Head of Global Digital Assets Research, Geoffrey Kendrick, suggested that the recent ETF sell-off may be partly driven by some holders liquidating positions to free up cash for participation in SpaceX's IPO. Since October last year, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated net outflows of $7.6 billion, including $3 billion in the first six months of 2026. Strategy remains the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with over 800,000 BTC in its treasury. Michael Saylor resumed Bitcoin purchases in early June, following sales by Strategy at the end of May.
Bybit’s latest options weekly report states that all four directional predictions for this week were fulfilled: BTC hit a low of $59,130—surpassing the prior target range of $65,000–$67,000. Opening last week at $73,760 and plunging to $59,130, BTC recorded its largest single-week decline since the FTX collapse (roughly −20%). It has since rebounded to $63,000. Three bearish catalysts recently converged: stronger-than-expected NFP data reigniting rate-hike expectations; SpaceX’s IPO siphoning liquidity; and Strategy selling BTC for the first time in four years. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a record net outflow of $1.7 billion for the week. ETH’s daily RSI plunged to a historic low of 12.78, while BTC’s daily RSI dropped to 15.45—raising the probability of a technical rebound, though trend reversal remains unconfirmed. DVOL surged from its historical low of 35 to 55 before retreating to 48; put options have already been profitably closed. Currently, chasing long positions is discouraged. BTC faces significant resistance between $63,000 and $65,000. Entry should await either the June 10 CPI release or DVOL falling back to 40—or until BTC convincingly closes above $65,000.
: BitcoinTreasuries.NET posted on X that Lance Vitanza, an analyst at $150 billion investment bank TD Cowen, reaffirmed a Buy rating on Strategy (MSTR), a bitcoin treasury company, with a price target of $400.
According to CoinDesk, Wall Street brokerage Bernstein released a research report stating that the primary driver behind Bitcoin’s price weakness in 2026 will be slowing capital flows—not the quantum computing threat feared by the market. The report notes that Bitcoin treasury companies and ETFs combined attracted approximately $12 billion in inflows this year, a sharp decline from $60 billion in 2025; meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs—holding $75 billion in assets—recorded roughly $2.6 billion in net outflows, with new demand coming mainly from corporate buyers such as MicroStrategy (MSTR). Bernstein analysts attribute the slowdown in capital flows to retail investors’ massive shift into AI-related assets. This year, the strongest-performing segments of the crypto market have been tokenized equities and commodities. Nevertheless, analysts view the ETF outflows as relatively moderate. Bitcoin’s investor base has evolved from one dominated by retail participants to a more diversified group—including ETFs, corporate treasuries, wealth management platforms, pension funds, and sovereign investors—resulting in a healthier market structure. The long-term value-storage thesis for Bitcoin remains intact.
market maker Wintermute released a weekly market analysis report stating that Bitcoin fell below $62,000 last week, with a weekly decline of approximately 14%, hitting a new low since September 2024. Wintermute believes that although Strategy founder Michael Saylor disclosed the sale of 32 BTC, drawing market attention, the scale of this transaction is negligible. The real reason for the market's weakness is the continuous reduction of positions by U.S. institutional investors and the outflow of funds from spot Bitcoin ETFs.Wintermute pointed out that the U.S. added 172,000 non-farm jobs in May, far exceeding the market expectation of approximately 80,000. Meanwhile, job openings rose to a near two-year high, and the service price index hit a new high since August 2022. Strong economic data has weakened market expectations for a Fed rate cut, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.55%, creating a "good news is bad news" macro environment that pressures risk assets.Meanwhile, the rally in AI concept stocks has shown signs of weakening, with the Nasdaq index falling 4.7% for the week and the S&P 500 recording its first weekly decline since March. Wintermute believes that the pullback in the AI sector, rising yields, and the upcoming SpaceX IPO have collectively dampened market risk appetite.In the crypto market, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced net outflows for 10 consecutive trading days as of May 30, with total outflows of approximately $2.97 billion. The net outflow in May reached $2.43 billion, marking the worst monthly performance since 2026. Wintermute OTC data shows that retail funds continue to flow into U.S. stocks, while U.S. institutional investors have recently turned bearish and are leading the selling.However, Wintermute believes there are also positive signals in the market, including long-term capital gradually building positions at current price levels. From a perspective of more than one year, Bitcoin's risk-reward ratio is becoming more attractive. The report stated that the SpaceX IPO on June 12 will serve as an important barometer for observing market risk appetite. If the issuance is smoothly absorbed, it could help boost market sentiment; conversely, it may exacerbate the pressure on risk assets.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated that the core driver behind Bitcoin's drop below $60,000 is not the market's feared Strategy sell-off, but sustained ETF outflows triggered by rising US inflation. Data shows that since US inflation data exceeded expectations in April, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated net redemptions of approximately $5.4 billion. Over the same period, MicroStrategy actually increased its BTC holdings by around $2 billion, becoming one of the few net buyers.Markus Thielen noted: "The market has misjudged this decline. Strategy is not the issue; the real driver is institutional ETF selling." The market's current focus should shift to the CPI data to be released this Wednesday. If inflation comes in higher than expected, it could reinforce the "higher for longer" interest rate expectation, continuing to pressure risk assets. His model predicts US inflation could rise to 4.3%, higher than the market consensus.10x Research emphasized that market liquidity remains weak: stablecoins saw a net outflow of approximately $5.5 billion last month, and futures open interest has declined, indicating that capital is withdrawing from the crypto market. ETF flows remain the core variable for Bitcoin's price. "Follow the flows, not the narrative." (CoinDesk)
Analyst Aylo stated that Bitcoin’s current price rebound is not driven by the recent buying news but rather a technical correction following severe overselling. The current price level has cleared the February lows, creating conditions for a rebound, and this purchase has alleviated market concerns about “Saylor turning into a seller.” Aylo also cautioned that if U.S. equities experience greater volatility, there remains a possibility—particularly in June—of forming a slightly lower new low before rebounding, and predicted that the year’s final bottom will emerge later this year. Additionally, Aylo believes external concerns over Strategy’s large-scale BTC sell-offs are an overinterpretation: while the company may sell a small amount of BTC to repay debt, the likelihood of a substantial sell-off is extremely low.
: According to on-chain analyst Yujin's monitoring, last week, Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR) purchased 1,550 BTC ($101 million) at a price of approximately $65,332. They currently hold a total of 845,256 BTC ($53.251 billion), with an average cost price of $75,680, resulting in an unrealized loss of $10.718 billion (-16.7%).Ethereum treasury company Bitmine (BMNR) purchased 126,971 ETH ($227 million) last week at a price of approximately $1,788. They currently hold a total of 5,543,872 ETH ($9.286 billion), with an average cost price of $3,446, resulting in an unrealized loss of $9.818 billion (-51.4%).