News linked to both this project and an event.
Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio
BIT tweeted that Strategy’s buying momentum may weaken. However, despite the market’s current widespread focus on Strategy in the crypto space, two principles remain paramount: “trade with the trend” and “follow the money.” When liquidity reverses, it typically signals a shift in the market environment—making premature bottom-fishing highly risky.
Odaily Bitcoin continued its decline this week, recently trading at $60,619, approximately 12.6% lower than its closing price of around $69,355 on November 5, 2024, the day of the US election. It briefly dipped below $60,000 for the first time since 2024, falling nearly 52% from its all-time high. After Trump's re-election in 2024, Bitcoin surged above $75,000 and reached approximately $109,000 in January 2025. In October 2025, Bitcoin hit a high of $126,080 before dropping from above $121,000 to $106,000 amid a $19 billion liquidation event in the crypto market. In January 2026, Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows exceeding $1.5 billion. Michael Saylor's Strategy sold 32 Bitcoins worth approximately $2.5 million at the end of May. Trump recently stated that he would not let the crypto industry down. The GENIUS Act was signed into law last year, while the Clarity Act, which passed a committee vote in May, has yet to complete the legislative process. (Decrypt)
On-chain analyst Yujin posted on Platform X, stating that Michael Saylor's Strategy currently has an unrealized loss of $12.456 billion, representing a 19.5% decline; Tom Lee's Bitmine currently has an unrealized loss of $10.362 billion, representing a 54.9% decline. Bitmine's ETH holdings have seen unrealized losses exceeding half, while Strategy's unrealized loss rate is about 20%, but the absolute amount has already surpassed that of Bitmine.
due to profit-taking in AI concept assets and a decline in market risk appetite, Bitcoin has fallen to around $62,000, down nearly 16% from its high of over $74,000 last week. Market analysts believe that if Bitcoin loses the $60,000 mark, its next key technical support level could be around $55,000. Additionally, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows for 15 consecutive trading days, totaling over $4.7 billion. Meanwhile, Strategy disclosed this week that it has sold Bitcoin for the first time since 2022, which has also dampened market expectations for institutional buying.
Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale Research, stated that the market experienced a new wave of volatility following Strategy's disclosure on June 1st of selling 32 Bitcoin. Although the sale is negligible compared to its holdings of approximately 840,000 Bitcoin (worth about $55 billion), this rare reduction move still impacted market sentiment.Pandl pointed out that the more noteworthy development is the performance of Strategy’s Variable Rate Preferred Stock STRC (Stretch). The product has a design target price of around $100 and currently offers a dividend yield of 11.5%. When the stock price falls below $100, it indicates that investors are demanding a higher rate of return, which may force the company to increase dividend levels. This would increase future cash flow pressure and potentially compel it to sell more Bitcoin for fundraising, further weighing on BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged Bitcoin reserve model is facing challenges. At current STRC and MSTR share price levels, the company's ability to continue large-scale Bitcoin accumulation may be constrained.However, Pandl noted that in the long term, the migration of Bitcoin holdings from highly leveraged digital asset reserve companies to more diversified corporate balance sheets will help enhance market resilience and improve Bitcoin's long-term value support. He expects Bitcoin to resume its upward trend in the coming months, but its near-term performance may lag behind crypto asset sectors that benefit more directly from regulatory clarity.
Lance Vitanza, an analyst at TD Cowen, an investment bank with $15 billion in assets under management, reaffirmed a Buy rating for Strategy (MSTR), a Bitcoin treasury company, with a price target of $400.
According to on-chain analyst PeckShield (@PeckShieldAlert), Strategy sold 32 BTC (average price: $77,135, totaling approximately $2.5 million—0.0038% of its 843,000-BTC holdings) for capital allocation, and concurrently sold 801,994 common shares, raising roughly $128.3 million. This move symbolically broke its “never sell” principle, triggering market volatility: sUSDat—a staked stablecoin fully backed by digital credit (STRC)—briefly dropped nearly 7% to below $0.93 before rebounding to $0.98.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Tom Lee stated the recent market anxiety, including Strategy's small-scale Bitcoin sale, is typical bottoming behavior rather than a sign of deeper systemic issues. Michael Saylor sold 32 Bitcoins at an average price of $77,135, raising approximately $2.5 million to pay preferred stock dividends. This sale accounts for only 0.004% of the company's total Bitcoin holdings of over 843,700 BTC.Furthermore, regarding the 11 consecutive days of outflows totaling $3.4 billion from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, Tom Lee believes capital outflows are a classic lagging indicator of market cycle resets. Bitmine's macro strategy remains unchanged; its plan to purchase 111,942 Ethereum for approximately $237 million is still in progress, bringing its total Ethereum holdings to nearly 5.4 million ETH. (coindesk)
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin fell below $70,000 on Tuesday, hitting its lowest level since April 7. The report states that market sentiment was pressured after Strategy sold $2.5 million worth of Bitcoin; additionally, the firm transferred $30 million worth of Bitcoin to a Coinbase Prime wallet last week, raising market concerns about potential future selling pressure.
According to independent analyst Markus Thielen, Strategy’s recent small-scale Bitcoin sale following its May earnings call was interpreted by the market as a test of market reaction and the flexibility of its capital allocation strategy. Analysts noted that while Strategy remains highly bullish on Bitcoin, the success and expansion of its STRC preferred stock financing instrument may take precedence in its overall financial arrangements. This move breaks the company’s “buy-only, never-sell” market image maintained for nearly six years; given Strategy’s strong influence on Bitcoin demand, this shift is quietly reshaping market expectations.
on-chain analyst Ember CN posted on X, stating that Strategy sold 32 BTC for the first time last week at a price of approximately $77,135, totaling $2.47 million. Currently, it holds a total of 843,706 BTC, valued at $60.936 billion, with an average cost of $75,699, resulting in a floating loss of $2.932 billion, or a decline of 4.6%. BitMNR purchased 26,497 ETH last week at a price of approximately $2,061, totaling $54.61 million. Currently, it holds a total of 5,416,901 ETH, valued at $10.763 billion, with an average cost of $3,485, resulting in a floating loss of $8.116 billion, or a decline of 43%.
According to the UK’s Financial Times, as prices of crypto assets such as Bitcoin weaken, some crypto treasury firms—whose core business is holding crypto assets—have begun pivoting to a new financing instrument dubbed “Digital Credit” following declines in their stock prices. This strategy, promoted by the firm, offers investors high-yield perpetual preferred shares, with proceeds used to continue purchasing Bitcoin. Since its launch roughly 10 months ago, the initiative has attracted approximately $10.5 billion in inflows. Several crypto reserve companies are now planning to emulate this model, including Strive Asset Management, The Smarter Web Company, and Capital B.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability on Polymarket of “Strategy selling Bitcoin before May 31” has dropped to 23%, a 17% decline in 24 hours.Additionally, the probability of a sale before June 30 stands at 67%, down 6% in 24 hours; the probability before December 31 is 88%, down 3% in 24 hours.Strategy withdrew 411 BTC from Coinbase today, exactly the same amount as the deposit made the previous day, seemingly dispelling rumors of a Bitcoin sale.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before the price is set.
On-chain data shows that Strategy has transferred the 411 BTC previously deposited into Coinbase Prime back to its own address, cooling market speculation about its potential Bitcoin sale.
According to monitoring by crypto analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), Strategy withdrew 411 BTC from Coinbase three hours ago, exactly matching the 411 BTC it transferred to Coinbase the previous day.Ai Yi noted that this move may indicate previous market speculation about Strategy selling Bitcoin was unfounded. However, the probability of the prediction event "Strategy will sell BTC before the end of the year" on Polymarket has not significantly declined, and it currently remains at 89%.
Odaily Odaily French semiconductor company Sequans Communications stated on Thursday that it has completed the redemption of all debt related to its Bitcoin treasury, marking its official exit from the previous crypto asset treasury strategy and a refocus on the Internet of Things (IoT) and cellular semiconductor business. The company stated that this debt repayment was mainly completed by selling approximately 80% of its Bitcoin holdings. Sequans currently holds only 658 BTC, which are now “completely unencumbered.” The company said it will gradually “monetize” the remaining Bitcoin in the future, but did not specify whether it will continue selling or use on-chain methods such as collateralization.Sequans CEO Georges Karam stated that this debt cleanup “marks an important turning point,” with the company having strengthened its balance sheet, simplified its capital structure, and will now fully concentrate on the 4G/5G IoT chip business, including applications such as smart metering, asset tracking, connected vehicles, and industrial IoT.In retrospect, Sequans initiated its Bitcoin treasury strategy in June 2025, planning to substantially increase its BTC holdings. However, it gradually reduced its position amid market fluctuations, ultimately exiting the strategy entirely during the current cycle. Although the company's stock price saw a slight increase on the day, it has cumulatively fallen by over 90% from its peak during the Bitcoin boom. (The Block)
Odaily报道, “BTC OG insider whale” Garrett Jin has released his “Weekly Market Strategy Signal.” In his analysis, he points out that the current geopolitical situation and the trajectory of the US dollar are deadlocked: despite US strikes on Iranian-related targets, tensions in the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved. Although US Secretary of State Rubio signaled “positive news,” the peace agreement proposed by Iran has already been vetoed by the White House.Long-term US Treasury yields continue to hover in the 5.07% – 5.18% range, reaching their highest levels in 19 years. The S&P 500 index briefly hit a new high before quickly pulling back. Garrett Jin believes that a single positive or negative catalyst is insufficient to change the market landscape. Only when at least two of the three key factors—the credit environment, Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical conditions—converge can the market experience a substantial shift.On another front, capital expenditure in the AI sector is accelerating its shift from the United States to Asia. ByteDance plans to increase its capital expenditure to as high as $70 billion this year, while Tencent and Alibaba are also ramping up their investments. Competition in the AI arena has now escalated to the level of national competition.
Odaily Planet Daily reports that BIT's chart of the day indicates that the key to market analysis often lies in identifying the core factors driving asset price movements and observing when these factors begin to change.For Bitcoin, the sustained upward trend over the past period has largely depended on the shifting dynamic between institutional demand and market supply. Over the past year, spot Bitcoin ETFs and Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) have been important sources of this demand.When ETF inflows accelerate and Strategy continues to increase its Bitcoin holdings, Bitcoin prices typically rise. Currently, the combined net purchases of ETFs and Strategy have fallen to just $870 million, primarily due to significant capital outflows from ETFs, which have shifted from net buying to net selling.Until ETF inflows stabilize and recover, Bitcoin may continue to oscillate and consolidate in the short term.
10x Research stated its Bitcoin trend model has turned bearish.It noted that the market narrative of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) "never selling Bitcoin" has begun to waver. 10x Research said that Michael Saylor recently hinted the company might sell some of its holdings of 843,000 BTC in the future, and this shift has led to cumulative outflows of approximately $2.7 billion from related Bitcoin ETFs.