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BIT: Strategy Small-Scale BTC Sales Break the “Buy-Only, Never-Sell” Narrative, Shifting Market Expectations Subtly

According to independent analyst Markus Thielen, Strategy’s recent small-scale Bitcoin sale following its May earnings call was interpreted by the market as a test of market reaction and the flexibility of its capital allocation strategy. Analysts noted that while Strategy remains highly bullish on Bitcoin, the success and expansion of its STRC preferred stock financing instrument may take precedence in its overall financial arrangements. This move breaks the company’s “buy-only, never-sell” market image maintained for nearly six years; given Strategy’s strong influence on Bitcoin demand, this shift is quietly reshaping market expectations.

Strategy's Bitcoin position floating loss reaches $2.932 billion, BitMine's Ethereum position floating loss hits $8.116 billion

on-chain analyst Ember CN posted on X, stating that Strategy sold 32 BTC for the first time last week at a price of approximately $77,135, totaling $2.47 million. Currently, it holds a total of 843,706 BTC, valued at $60.936 billion, with an average cost of $75,699, resulting in a floating loss of $2.932 billion, or a decline of 4.6%. BitMNR purchased 26,497 ETH last week at a price of approximately $2,061, totaling $54.61 million. Currently, it holds a total of 5,416,901 ETH, valued at $10.763 billion, with an average cost of $3,485, resulting in a floating loss of $8.116 billion, or a decline of 43%.

Stock prices of multiple crypto treasury firms declined as they pivoted toward exploring digital credit fundraising, but sustainability remains questionable.

According to the UK’s Financial Times, as prices of crypto assets such as Bitcoin weaken, some crypto treasury firms—whose core business is holding crypto assets—have begun pivoting to a new financing instrument dubbed “Digital Credit” following declines in their stock prices. This strategy, promoted by the firm, offers investors high-yield perpetual preferred shares, with proceeds used to continue purchasing Bitcoin. Since its launch roughly 10 months ago, the initiative has attracted approximately $10.5 billion in inflows. Several crypto reserve companies are now planning to emulate this model, including Strive Asset Management, The Smarter Web Company, and Capital B.

Polymarket“Strategy Likely to Sell Bitcoin Before May 31” Probability Drops to 23%, Down 17% in 24 Hours

Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability on Polymarket of “Strategy selling Bitcoin before May 31” has dropped to 23%, a 17% decline in 24 hours.Additionally, the probability of a sale before June 30 stands at 67%, down 6% in 24 hours; the probability before December 31 is 88%, down 3% in 24 hours.Strategy withdrew 411 BTC from Coinbase today, exactly the same amount as the deposit made the previous day, seemingly dispelling rumors of a Bitcoin sale.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before the price is set.

Strategy transfers 411 BTC back from Coinbase; market remains focused on its next moves

On-chain data shows that Strategy has transferred the 411 BTC previously deposited into Coinbase Prime back to its own address, cooling market speculation about its potential Bitcoin sale.

Strategy repurchases 411 BTC, Polymarket’s probability of selling coins this year still stands at 89%

According to monitoring by crypto analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), Strategy withdrew 411 BTC from Coinbase three hours ago, exactly matching the 411 BTC it transferred to Coinbase the previous day.Ai Yi noted that this move may indicate previous market speculation about Strategy selling Bitcoin was unfounded. However, the probability of the prediction event "Strategy will sell BTC before the end of the year" on Polymarket has not significantly declined, and it currently remains at 89%.

Sequans Exits Bitcoin Treasury Strategy, Completes Debt Redemption and Refocuses on IoT Chip Business

Odaily Odaily French semiconductor company Sequans Communications stated on Thursday that it has completed the redemption of all debt related to its Bitcoin treasury, marking its official exit from the previous crypto asset treasury strategy and a refocus on the Internet of Things (IoT) and cellular semiconductor business. The company stated that this debt repayment was mainly completed by selling approximately 80% of its Bitcoin holdings. Sequans currently holds only 658 BTC, which are now “completely unencumbered.” The company said it will gradually “monetize” the remaining Bitcoin in the future, but did not specify whether it will continue selling or use on-chain methods such as collateralization.Sequans CEO Georges Karam stated that this debt cleanup “marks an important turning point,” with the company having strengthened its balance sheet, simplified its capital structure, and will now fully concentrate on the 4G/5G IoT chip business, including applications such as smart metering, asset tracking, connected vehicles, and industrial IoT.In retrospect, Sequans initiated its Bitcoin treasury strategy in June 2025, planning to substantially increase its BTC holdings. However, it gradually reduced its position amid market fluctuations, ultimately exiting the strategy entirely during the current cycle. Although the company's stock price saw a slight increase on the day, it has cumulatively fallen by over 90% from its peak during the Bitcoin boom. (The Block)

“BTC OG Insider Whale” Agent: Only the Convergence of Three Factors – Credit, Fed, Geopolitics – Will Trigger a Market Turning Point

Odaily报道, “BTC OG insider whale” Garrett Jin has released his “Weekly Market Strategy Signal.” In his analysis, he points out that the current geopolitical situation and the trajectory of the US dollar are deadlocked: despite US strikes on Iranian-related targets, tensions in the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved. Although US Secretary of State Rubio signaled “positive news,” the peace agreement proposed by Iran has already been vetoed by the White House.Long-term US Treasury yields continue to hover in the 5.07% – 5.18% range, reaching their highest levels in 19 years. The S&P 500 index briefly hit a new high before quickly pulling back. Garrett Jin believes that a single positive or negative catalyst is insufficient to change the market landscape. Only when at least two of the three key factors—the credit environment, Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical conditions—converge can the market experience a substantial shift.On another front, capital expenditure in the AI sector is accelerating its shift from the United States to Asia. ByteDance plans to increase its capital expenditure to as high as $70 billion this year, while Tencent and Alibaba are also ramping up their investments. Competition in the AI arena has now escalated to the level of national competition.

BIT: ETF Sees Significant Capital Outflows, Bitcoin May Continue to Consolidate in the Short Term

Odaily Planet Daily reports that BIT's chart of the day indicates that the key to market analysis often lies in identifying the core factors driving asset price movements and observing when these factors begin to change.For Bitcoin, the sustained upward trend over the past period has largely depended on the shifting dynamic between institutional demand and market supply. Over the past year, spot Bitcoin ETFs and Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) have been important sources of this demand.When ETF inflows accelerate and Strategy continues to increase its Bitcoin holdings, Bitcoin prices typically rise. Currently, the combined net purchases of ETFs and Strategy have fallen to just $870 million, primarily due to significant capital outflows from ETFs, which have shifted from net buying to net selling.Until ETF inflows stabilize and recover, Bitcoin may continue to oscillate and consolidate in the short term.

10x Research: Bitcoin Trend Model Turns Bearish

10x Research stated its Bitcoin trend model has turned bearish.It noted that the market narrative of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) "never selling Bitcoin" has begun to waver. 10x Research said that Michael Saylor recently hinted the company might sell some of its holdings of 843,000 BTC in the future, and this shift has led to cumulative outflows of approximately $2.7 billion from related Bitcoin ETFs.

Strategy's counterparty ETH long positions fully liquidated, BTC short positions partially liquidated

according to Hyperbot data, all newly opened ETH long positions held by the counterparty of Strategy were fully liquidated this morning. Its 40x leverage BTC short positions were partially liquidated and reduced. Currently, it holds only 8.332 BTC, and the overall position has turned from profit to loss, with a current return on investment of -73.05%.

Gate Research Institute: Multi-Agent LLM Trading Framework Significantly Outperforms Buy & Hold Strategy in BTC Backtesting

Odaily Odaily News: A recent report released by Gate Research Institute, titled "Research and Backtesting Analysis of BTC Trading Framework Based on Multi-Agent LLM," points out that compared to a single LLM directly generating trading signals, the Multi-Agent LLM architecture more closely mirrors the research and investment process of real financial institutions. By leveraging collaboration and debate among analysts, researchers, traders, and risk control teams, it enhances the transparency and risk control capabilities of trading decisions. The research, based on the TradingAgents framework, constructs an AI trading system applicable to the crypto scenario for the BTC market, introducing multiple agent roles such as technical analysis, news analysis, sentiment analysis, and macro/on-chain analysis.Using BTC/USDT 1-hour data, the study conducted historical backtesting of the TradingAgents-BTC strategy. The results show that the strategy achieved a total return of +20.25% during the testing period, significantly outperforming the Buy & Hold strategy's -7.89% over the same period. Furthermore, its maximum drawdown was controlled at -17.41%, lower than the Buy & Hold's -27.06%. The research suggests that during periods of consolidation and decline, the multi-agent framework can reduce some risk exposure through Sell/Underweight and Flat states, and re-enter long positions during market rebounds, thereby improving overall risk-adjusted returns.The report indicates that the Multi-Agent LLM framework shows certain application potential in crypto trading scenarios. However, the current backtesting period covers only about three months, and 1-hour level trading may still be affected by transaction fees, slippage, and signal latency. Future work requires further validation of the strategy's stability and generalization capabilities over longer historical periods, different market conditions, and across a wider range of asset classes.

Goldman Sachs Fully Exited XRP and Solana-Related ETFs in Q1 and Reduced Holdings in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs

Goldman Sachs’ Q1 2026 13F filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) shows a significant reduction in its holdings of crypto asset ETFs: it has fully exited all XRP-related ETFs and all Solana ETFs offered by Grayscale, Bitwise, and Fidelity. Its Bitcoin ETF holdings still include approximately $690 million in BlackRock’s IBIT and roughly $25 million in Fidelity’s FBTC—both down about 10% quarter-over-quarter. Ethereum ETF holdings declined more sharply: its position in the iShares Ethereum ETF (ETHA) was cut by approximately 70%, leaving about $114 million. Additionally, Goldman Sachs increased its stakes in Circle, Galaxy Digital, Coinbase, Robinhood, and PayPal during the same period, while reducing positions in Strategy and Riot Platforms.

Goldman Sachs Liquidates XRP and Solana ETF Positions in Q1, Still Holds Over $700 Million in Bitcoin ETFs

Goldman Sachs significantly reduced its crypto ETF exposure in the first quarter of 2026 and has completely exited its holdings in XRP and Solana-related ETFs.Filings show that in the fourth quarter of 2025, Goldman Sachs held approximately $154 million in XRP-related ETFs, including products from Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, Grayscale, and 21Shares, making it one of the largest institutional holders of XRP ETFs at the time. Additionally, the firm previously held Solana-related ETFs such as the Grayscale Solana Trust ETF, Bitwise Solana Staking ETF, and Fidelity Solana Fund, all of which have now been fully sold off.However, Goldman Sachs still retains substantial holdings in BTC and ETH ETFs. Specifically, it holds approximately $690 million in BlackRock's IBIT and about $25 million in Fidelity's FBTC, though both positions were reduced by roughly 10% compared to the previous quarter. Meanwhile, its holding in BlackRock's ETHA shrank by about 70%, leaving approximately 7.2 million shares valued at around $114 million.Furthermore, Goldman Sachs increased its holdings in crypto-related stocks such as Circle, Galaxy Digital, Coinbase, Robinhood, and PayPal, while reducing positions in mining and infrastructure companies like Strategy, Bit Digital, Riot Platforms, and IREN. (Cointelegraph)

Wells Fargo Increases ETH ETF Holdings in Q1, Significantly Boosts Strategy Stock Position

According to Odaily, the latest 13F filing from Wells Fargo reveals that in the first quarter of 2026, the bank increased its holdings in multiple Ethereum spot ETFs, including BlackRock's ETHA and Bitwise's ETHW.Specifically, the ETHA position rose from approximately 672,600 shares in Q4 2025 to around 1.1 million shares, an increase of about 63.5%; while the ETHW position increased from roughly 186,800 shares to 257,000 shares, a gain of approximately 37%. As of the end of Q1, the total value of Wells Fargo's ETH ETF holdings stood at about $21.5 million.In contrast, its Bitcoin ETF holdings showed a divergence: the IBIT position declined slightly, while positions in BITB and the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF increased by approximately 24% and 41%, respectively. Currently, IBIT remains its largest crypto ETF holding, valued at around $250 million.Additionally, Wells Fargo made significant adjustments to its crypto-related stock portfolio, reducing its Galaxy Digital position by approximately 97%, while increasing its Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) holdings from about 322,700 shares to 726,000 shares—a surge of roughly 125%. (Cointelegraph)

Strategy Bitcoin holdings show floating profit of $4.54 billion, while Bitmine Ethereum holdings show floating loss of $6.297 billion

according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR) purchased 535 BTC ($43 million) at a price of approximately $80,340 last week. They currently hold a total of 818,869 BTC ($66.398 billion) at an average cost of $75,540, with a floating profit of $4.54 billion (+7.3%).Ethereum treasury company Bitmine (BMNR) purchased 26,659 ETH ($62.14 million) at a price of approximately $2,331 last week. They currently hold a total of 5,206,790 ETH ($12.132 billion) at an average cost of $3,539, with a floating loss of $6.297 billion (-34.1%). Additionally, 90% of their ETH (4.713 million coins) has been deposited into Ethereum staking to earn interest.

JPMorgan: Strategy's Bitcoin Purchases Could Reach $30 Billion This Year

Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), led by Michael Saylor, has been accelerating its Bitcoin acquisitions this year. JPMorgan analysts stated that if the current pace continues, the company's total Bitcoin purchases for the year could reach approximately $30 billion. So far this year, Strategy has added 145,834 Bitcoin to its holdings, valued at around $11 billion. Analysis indicates that a significant portion of the company's purchases occurred when Bitcoin was below its average cost of roughly $75,000, reflecting a more "opportunistic" allocation strategy.At the current rate, Strategy's total Bitcoin purchases in 2026 could significantly exceed the approximately $22 billion levels seen in 2024 and 2025. Analysts noted that the company has re-accelerated its buying since April, suggesting its strategy is becoming more dependent on market conditions and financing availability. Meanwhile, Strategy's stock continues to trade at a premium of approximately 26% to its net asset value (NAV), providing favorable conditions for the company to continue purchasing Bitcoin through equity and debt financing. The company currently holds approximately 818,334 BTC, with a total value exceeding $65 billion. (The Block)

TD Cowen Sees STRC Financing Boosting BTC Yield, Raises Strategy Price Target

investment bank TD Cowen on Thursday raised its price target for Strategy (MSTR) to $395 from $385, believing the market underestimates the capital efficiency of the company’s bitcoin accumulation strategy following its increased issuance of STRC perpetual preferred stock. Analysts Lance Vitanza and Jonnathan Navarrete indicated that the new target still implies over 110% upside from Strategy’s Wednesday closing price of $186.82.The analysis notes that Strategy is gradually reducing common equity financing and increasingly relying on STRC perpetual preferred stock, which yields 11.5%, to fund bitcoin purchases. STRC is also a core component of Michael Saylor’s “42/42 plan,” which aims to raise $42 billion each through equity and fixed-income instruments over three years.TD Cowen believes the market underestimates the effect of the STRC structure on boosting “BTC Yield,” a metric measuring the company’s growth in bitcoin holdings per fully diluted share. The report raised its BTC Yield forecast for Strategy’s fiscal 2026 to 18.2% from 16.7%, and for 2027 to 9.6% from 5.4%. Additionally, analysts argue that concerns about Strategy being a “perpetual dilution machine” are exaggerated. The company’s annual preferred stock dividend payments, currently around $1.5 billion, represent only about 2.2% of the value of its 818,334 BTC reserve.In TD Cowen’s base case scenario, bitcoin is expected to reach $140,000 by the end of 2026. In a bull case, bitcoin could rise to $175,000, with Strategy potentially purchasing over $5 billion in bitcoin per quarter. (The Block)

Strategy currently has an unrealized profit of $2.598 billion, while Bitmine has an unrealized loss of $6.289 billion

According to Odaily, on-chain analyst Yu Jin monitored that Strategy (MSTR), the bitcoin treasury company, did not purchase BTC last week, which is unusual for them. They currently still hold a total of 818,334 BTC ($64.413 billion), with an average cost price of $75,537, resulting in an unrealized profit of $2.598 billion (+4.2%).Bitmine (BMNR), the Ethereum treasury company, purchased 101,745 ETH ($235 million) at a price of approximately $2,311 last week. They now hold a total of 5,180,131 ETH ($12.08 billion), with an average cost price of $3,546, resulting in an unrealized loss of $6.289 billion (-34.2%).

QCP: The Core Watershed for Sustaining Bitcoin's Short-Term Uptrend May Be at $82,000-$83,000

QCP Capital stated in its analysis that after a solid performance in April, Bitcoin continued its strong momentum in early May, breaking through the $80,000 mark for the first time since January 31. Spot ETF inflows remain a significant positive factor, recording approximately $163 million in net inflows last week. Despite Strategy pausing its Bitcoin purchases this week, BTC still managed to rise, indicating that market momentum is no longer solely dependent on the "HODL narrative" and is instead gradually shifting towards broader capital support. The key going forward is whether BTC can effectively hold above the CME gap range of $82,000 to $83,000, which will serve as the core watershed for the continuation of the short-term uptrend.