News linked to both this project and an event.
Bybit’s latest options weekly report states that all four directional predictions for this week were fulfilled: BTC hit a low of $59,130—surpassing the prior target range of $65,000–$67,000. Opening last week at $73,760 and plunging to $59,130, BTC recorded its largest single-week decline since the FTX collapse (roughly −20%). It has since rebounded to $63,000. Three bearish catalysts recently converged: stronger-than-expected NFP data reigniting rate-hike expectations; SpaceX’s IPO siphoning liquidity; and Strategy selling BTC for the first time in four years. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a record net outflow of $1.7 billion for the week. ETH’s daily RSI plunged to a historic low of 12.78, while BTC’s daily RSI dropped to 15.45—raising the probability of a technical rebound, though trend reversal remains unconfirmed. DVOL surged from its historical low of 35 to 55 before retreating to 48; put options have already been profitably closed. Currently, chasing long positions is discouraged. BTC faces significant resistance between $63,000 and $65,000. Entry should await either the June 10 CPI release or DVOL falling back to 40—or until BTC convincingly closes above $65,000.
: BitcoinTreasuries.NET posted on X that Lance Vitanza, an analyst at $150 billion investment bank TD Cowen, reaffirmed a Buy rating on Strategy (MSTR), a bitcoin treasury company, with a price target of $400.
According to CoinDesk, Wall Street brokerage Bernstein released a research report stating that the primary driver behind Bitcoin’s price weakness in 2026 will be slowing capital flows—not the quantum computing threat feared by the market. The report notes that Bitcoin treasury companies and ETFs combined attracted approximately $12 billion in inflows this year, a sharp decline from $60 billion in 2025; meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs—holding $75 billion in assets—recorded roughly $2.6 billion in net outflows, with new demand coming mainly from corporate buyers such as MicroStrategy (MSTR). Bernstein analysts attribute the slowdown in capital flows to retail investors’ massive shift into AI-related assets. This year, the strongest-performing segments of the crypto market have been tokenized equities and commodities. Nevertheless, analysts view the ETF outflows as relatively moderate. Bitcoin’s investor base has evolved from one dominated by retail participants to a more diversified group—including ETFs, corporate treasuries, wealth management platforms, pension funds, and sovereign investors—resulting in a healthier market structure. The long-term value-storage thesis for Bitcoin remains intact.
market maker Wintermute released a weekly market analysis report stating that Bitcoin fell below $62,000 last week, with a weekly decline of approximately 14%, hitting a new low since September 2024. Wintermute believes that although Strategy founder Michael Saylor disclosed the sale of 32 BTC, drawing market attention, the scale of this transaction is negligible. The real reason for the market's weakness is the continuous reduction of positions by U.S. institutional investors and the outflow of funds from spot Bitcoin ETFs.Wintermute pointed out that the U.S. added 172,000 non-farm jobs in May, far exceeding the market expectation of approximately 80,000. Meanwhile, job openings rose to a near two-year high, and the service price index hit a new high since August 2022. Strong economic data has weakened market expectations for a Fed rate cut, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.55%, creating a "good news is bad news" macro environment that pressures risk assets.Meanwhile, the rally in AI concept stocks has shown signs of weakening, with the Nasdaq index falling 4.7% for the week and the S&P 500 recording its first weekly decline since March. Wintermute believes that the pullback in the AI sector, rising yields, and the upcoming SpaceX IPO have collectively dampened market risk appetite.In the crypto market, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced net outflows for 10 consecutive trading days as of May 30, with total outflows of approximately $2.97 billion. The net outflow in May reached $2.43 billion, marking the worst monthly performance since 2026. Wintermute OTC data shows that retail funds continue to flow into U.S. stocks, while U.S. institutional investors have recently turned bearish and are leading the selling.However, Wintermute believes there are also positive signals in the market, including long-term capital gradually building positions at current price levels. From a perspective of more than one year, Bitcoin's risk-reward ratio is becoming more attractive. The report stated that the SpaceX IPO on June 12 will serve as an important barometer for observing market risk appetite. If the issuance is smoothly absorbed, it could help boost market sentiment; conversely, it may exacerbate the pressure on risk assets.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated that the core driver behind Bitcoin's drop below $60,000 is not the market's feared Strategy sell-off, but sustained ETF outflows triggered by rising US inflation. Data shows that since US inflation data exceeded expectations in April, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated net redemptions of approximately $5.4 billion. Over the same period, MicroStrategy actually increased its BTC holdings by around $2 billion, becoming one of the few net buyers.Markus Thielen noted: "The market has misjudged this decline. Strategy is not the issue; the real driver is institutional ETF selling." The market's current focus should shift to the CPI data to be released this Wednesday. If inflation comes in higher than expected, it could reinforce the "higher for longer" interest rate expectation, continuing to pressure risk assets. His model predicts US inflation could rise to 4.3%, higher than the market consensus.10x Research emphasized that market liquidity remains weak: stablecoins saw a net outflow of approximately $5.5 billion last month, and futures open interest has declined, indicating that capital is withdrawing from the crypto market. ETF flows remain the core variable for Bitcoin's price. "Follow the flows, not the narrative." (CoinDesk)
Analyst Aylo stated that Bitcoin’s current price rebound is not driven by the recent buying news but rather a technical correction following severe overselling. The current price level has cleared the February lows, creating conditions for a rebound, and this purchase has alleviated market concerns about “Saylor turning into a seller.” Aylo also cautioned that if U.S. equities experience greater volatility, there remains a possibility—particularly in June—of forming a slightly lower new low before rebounding, and predicted that the year’s final bottom will emerge later this year. Additionally, Aylo believes external concerns over Strategy’s large-scale BTC sell-offs are an overinterpretation: while the company may sell a small amount of BTC to repay debt, the likelihood of a substantial sell-off is extremely low.
: According to on-chain analyst Yujin's monitoring, last week, Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR) purchased 1,550 BTC ($101 million) at a price of approximately $65,332. They currently hold a total of 845,256 BTC ($53.251 billion), with an average cost price of $75,680, resulting in an unrealized loss of $10.718 billion (-16.7%).Ethereum treasury company Bitmine (BMNR) purchased 126,971 ETH ($227 million) last week at a price of approximately $1,788. They currently hold a total of 5,543,872 ETH ($9.286 billion), with an average cost price of $3,446, resulting in an unrealized loss of $9.818 billion (-51.4%).
Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio
BIT tweeted that Strategy’s buying momentum may weaken. However, despite the market’s current widespread focus on Strategy in the crypto space, two principles remain paramount: “trade with the trend” and “follow the money.” When liquidity reverses, it typically signals a shift in the market environment—making premature bottom-fishing highly risky.
Odaily Bitcoin continued its decline this week, recently trading at $60,619, approximately 12.6% lower than its closing price of around $69,355 on November 5, 2024, the day of the US election. It briefly dipped below $60,000 for the first time since 2024, falling nearly 52% from its all-time high. After Trump's re-election in 2024, Bitcoin surged above $75,000 and reached approximately $109,000 in January 2025. In October 2025, Bitcoin hit a high of $126,080 before dropping from above $121,000 to $106,000 amid a $19 billion liquidation event in the crypto market. In January 2026, Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows exceeding $1.5 billion. Michael Saylor's Strategy sold 32 Bitcoins worth approximately $2.5 million at the end of May. Trump recently stated that he would not let the crypto industry down. The GENIUS Act was signed into law last year, while the Clarity Act, which passed a committee vote in May, has yet to complete the legislative process. (Decrypt)
On-chain analyst Yujin posted on Platform X, stating that Michael Saylor's Strategy currently has an unrealized loss of $12.456 billion, representing a 19.5% decline; Tom Lee's Bitmine currently has an unrealized loss of $10.362 billion, representing a 54.9% decline. Bitmine's ETH holdings have seen unrealized losses exceeding half, while Strategy's unrealized loss rate is about 20%, but the absolute amount has already surpassed that of Bitmine.
due to profit-taking in AI concept assets and a decline in market risk appetite, Bitcoin has fallen to around $62,000, down nearly 16% from its high of over $74,000 last week. Market analysts believe that if Bitcoin loses the $60,000 mark, its next key technical support level could be around $55,000. Additionally, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows for 15 consecutive trading days, totaling over $4.7 billion. Meanwhile, Strategy disclosed this week that it has sold Bitcoin for the first time since 2022, which has also dampened market expectations for institutional buying.
Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale Research, stated that the market experienced a new wave of volatility following Strategy's disclosure on June 1st of selling 32 Bitcoin. Although the sale is negligible compared to its holdings of approximately 840,000 Bitcoin (worth about $55 billion), this rare reduction move still impacted market sentiment.Pandl pointed out that the more noteworthy development is the performance of Strategy’s Variable Rate Preferred Stock STRC (Stretch). The product has a design target price of around $100 and currently offers a dividend yield of 11.5%. When the stock price falls below $100, it indicates that investors are demanding a higher rate of return, which may force the company to increase dividend levels. This would increase future cash flow pressure and potentially compel it to sell more Bitcoin for fundraising, further weighing on BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged Bitcoin reserve model is facing challenges. At current STRC and MSTR share price levels, the company's ability to continue large-scale Bitcoin accumulation may be constrained.However, Pandl noted that in the long term, the migration of Bitcoin holdings from highly leveraged digital asset reserve companies to more diversified corporate balance sheets will help enhance market resilience and improve Bitcoin's long-term value support. He expects Bitcoin to resume its upward trend in the coming months, but its near-term performance may lag behind crypto asset sectors that benefit more directly from regulatory clarity.
Lance Vitanza, an analyst at TD Cowen, an investment bank with $15 billion in assets under management, reaffirmed a Buy rating for Strategy (MSTR), a Bitcoin treasury company, with a price target of $400.
According to on-chain analyst PeckShield (@PeckShieldAlert), Strategy sold 32 BTC (average price: $77,135, totaling approximately $2.5 million—0.0038% of its 843,000-BTC holdings) for capital allocation, and concurrently sold 801,994 common shares, raising roughly $128.3 million. This move symbolically broke its “never sell” principle, triggering market volatility: sUSDat—a staked stablecoin fully backed by digital credit (STRC)—briefly dropped nearly 7% to below $0.93 before rebounding to $0.98.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Tom Lee stated the recent market anxiety, including Strategy's small-scale Bitcoin sale, is typical bottoming behavior rather than a sign of deeper systemic issues. Michael Saylor sold 32 Bitcoins at an average price of $77,135, raising approximately $2.5 million to pay preferred stock dividends. This sale accounts for only 0.004% of the company's total Bitcoin holdings of over 843,700 BTC.Furthermore, regarding the 11 consecutive days of outflows totaling $3.4 billion from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, Tom Lee believes capital outflows are a classic lagging indicator of market cycle resets. Bitmine's macro strategy remains unchanged; its plan to purchase 111,942 Ethereum for approximately $237 million is still in progress, bringing its total Ethereum holdings to nearly 5.4 million ETH. (coindesk)
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin fell below $70,000 on Tuesday, hitting its lowest level since April 7. The report states that market sentiment was pressured after Strategy sold $2.5 million worth of Bitcoin; additionally, the firm transferred $30 million worth of Bitcoin to a Coinbase Prime wallet last week, raising market concerns about potential future selling pressure.
According to independent analyst Markus Thielen, Strategy’s recent small-scale Bitcoin sale following its May earnings call was interpreted by the market as a test of market reaction and the flexibility of its capital allocation strategy. Analysts noted that while Strategy remains highly bullish on Bitcoin, the success and expansion of its STRC preferred stock financing instrument may take precedence in its overall financial arrangements. This move breaks the company’s “buy-only, never-sell” market image maintained for nearly six years; given Strategy’s strong influence on Bitcoin demand, this shift is quietly reshaping market expectations.
on-chain analyst Ember CN posted on X, stating that Strategy sold 32 BTC for the first time last week at a price of approximately $77,135, totaling $2.47 million. Currently, it holds a total of 843,706 BTC, valued at $60.936 billion, with an average cost of $75,699, resulting in a floating loss of $2.932 billion, or a decline of 4.6%. BitMNR purchased 26,497 ETH last week at a price of approximately $2,061, totaling $54.61 million. Currently, it holds a total of 5,416,901 ETH, valued at $10.763 billion, with an average cost of $3,485, resulting in a floating loss of $8.116 billion, or a decline of 43%.
According to the UK’s Financial Times, as prices of crypto assets such as Bitcoin weaken, some crypto treasury firms—whose core business is holding crypto assets—have begun pivoting to a new financing instrument dubbed “Digital Credit” following declines in their stock prices. This strategy, promoted by the firm, offers investors high-yield perpetual preferred shares, with proceeds used to continue purchasing Bitcoin. Since its launch roughly 10 months ago, the initiative has attracted approximately $10.5 billion in inflows. Several crypto reserve companies are now planning to emulate this model, including Strive Asset Management, The Smarter Web Company, and Capital B.