News linked to both this project and an event.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that despite Bitcoin’s price consistently climbing, demand recovery remains uneven. Spot demand is at negative 180,000 BTC, while futures demand remains at positive 54,000 BTC; average total demand has improved from negative 188,000 BTC to negative 126,000 BTC over several days. Institutional selling pressure has notably eased, and the Coinbase premium index briefly flashed positive signals. ETF demand has strengthened considerably compared to earlier this summer, with cumulative additions of approximately 70,000 BTC, and net demand since the start of 2026 has also rebounded to negative 17,000 BTC. Meanwhile, the 30-day average net flow on exchanges shows sustained capital outflows throughout September, indicating the broader market continues to lean toward accumulation.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated in a post that Bitcoin rose to approximately $85,700, about 6.4% above its 365-day moving average of $80,500, marking the first breach of the moving average since November 2025. Meanwhile, the Trend Pulse indicator concluded a nine-day neutral phase and resumed a bullish pattern.
In a write-up by Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, BTC ETFs recorded a net outflow of $463 million for the week ending September 14, marking the first negative reading since June's lows. ARK and Grayscale alone accounted for combined outflows of $371 million, while BlackRock remained flat. As a result, BTC fell 4.4% for the week to close at $76,838, making it the worst-performing asset, while Ethereum dipped 1.5% and altcoins collectively gained 1.0%. On the macro front, the US August CPI came in at 0.4% month-on-month (core 0.3%), exceeding the expected 0.2%, while the PPI annual rate hit 5.4%, prompting Goldman Sachs to upgrade its September rate outlook from "hold steady" to "increase." The market has now priced in an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point hike on Wednesday. Meanwhile, ongoing escalation in Middle East tensions pushed Brent crude past $105/barrel, and the 10-year US Treasury yield reached a 20-year high. Wintermute stated that following the shift to negative ETF flows, it favors a neutral over a bullish market stance. Two key catalysts this week: ① On Tuesday, the US Senate will hold a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act (Crypto Market Structure Act), which requires 60 votes to pass; ② On Wednesday, the Fed will announce its interest rate decision. While the rate hike itself is already fully priced in, subsequent hawkish commentary (particularly any signals pointing to continued tightening into Q1 2027) could exert downward pressure on the crypto market.
CryptoQuant certified analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted in a post that over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin's price rose slightly by 0.4%, but selling pressure in the derivatives market has significantly intensified. The Bitcoin Derivatives Pressure Index dropped from -25.36 to -60.80, remaining below zero since September 6, indicating that sellers still dominate. Meanwhile, Coinbase continues to trade at a discount relative to Binance, with the latest Coinbase Premium Index at -0.0455% and its 48-hour average at -0.0323%, showing further weakening over the past 24 hours.
Odaily reports: Analyst Darkfost posted on X platform that Bitcoin is about to enter a phase of 365 days without setting a new all-time high (ATH). In previous cycles, Bitcoin typically set new highs shortly after halving, but this pattern appears to be changing. Meanwhile, the time interval from each cycle's peak to the next all-time high is also shortening: 1,180 days from 2014 to 2017, 1,094 days from 2017 to 2020, and 849 days from 2021 to 2024. Darkfost believes that if this trend continues, Bitcoin may reach a new all-time high more quickly this cycle. The next Bitcoin halving is expected to occur around April 2028.
Odaily News: Citrini analyst Jukan shared a research report from Tianfeng Securities and stated that the US government needs to maintain its leading position in AI, so once it enters the AI race, it is very difficult to truly stop. Jukan believes that recent calls by Anthropic and OpenAI to slow down AI development cannot be viewed merely as safety initiatives; behind them may simultaneously lie multiple considerations, including the inability to slow the competition and the desire to entrench leading advantages through safety regulation.Jukan further pointed out that the relevant "AI slowdown" calls ostensibly stem from safety testing, operational monitoring, and third-party verification being unable to keep pace with model iteration speed, which in the short term may suppress market sentiment in the AI sector and lower market expectations for next-generation models. Another possibility is that the industry remains bullish on AI in the long term but wants to postpone the next round of large-scale R&D investment, prioritize commercializing existing products, and reduce pressure on infrastructure and capital expenditure. He believes the AI race is essentially akin to a "prisoner's dilemma" — all parties want to slow down, but none dares to be the first to stop, lest they lose their technological, customer, and financing advantages.Jukan also noted that Anthropic and OpenAI's recent emphasis on recursive self-improvement (RSI) is related to AI having already begun assisting in the development of next-generation AI, accelerating model iteration speed. Meanwhile, in OpenAI's internal testing, incidents reportedly occurred in which Agents collaborated to escape the sandbox and intrude into Hugging Face production servers. Jukan believes that as model releases require bearing expensive evaluation, certification, and continuous auditing costs, large labs are better positioned to absorb these fixed costs, while smaller teams may face higher barriers to entry as a result. If leading labs further participate in setting evaluation standards, industry barriers may continue to rise.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. posted that on-chain data shows the percentage of Bitcoin's supply in profit has rebounded from 47% at the end of June to 69%, moving out of historically typical market stress zones. Meanwhile, the 90-day change of this metric quickly reversed from -19% in early August to +41%, marking one of the fastest recoveries in Bitcoin's history.
Odaily News: Digital asset trading platform Gate has released its August 2026 Transparency Report. The report shows that in August, multiple Gate business lines received recognition from institutional data providers including CoinDesk, CryptoQuant, CryptoRank, and DefiLlama. Among them, Gate's stock perpetual contract trading volume grew 308% month-over-month, maintaining triple-digit growth for three consecutive months; the RWA perpetual contract open interest (OI) market share reached 49.6%, ranking first globally among centralized trading platforms. Meanwhile, Gate's 24-hour spot and derivatives trading volume stood at approximately $9.5 billion, with open interest reaching $12.48 billion, both ranking among the global top three; 30-day net inflow reached $308.1 million, ranking second among mainstream trading platforms.In terms of traditional financial asset trading, Gate's CFD business continues to expand its asset coverage, now covering 680 trading pairs, spanning major TradFi assets including forex, metals, energy, indices, and stocks. In terms of overall TradFi product layout, Gate now covers over 1,000 TradFi assets, with stock derivatives covering more than 360 underlying assets, both ranking first globally, further enhancing its multi-asset trading matrix.As digital assets and traditional financial markets continue to converge, Gate is steadily expanding diverse trading scenarios including stocks, RWA, CFD, and derivatives. By enriching asset supply and trading tools, it is further improving its comprehensive trading infrastructure that connects digital assets with traditional financial markets.
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin briefly dipped to $77,666 on Tuesday before recovering to around $78,900 during Wednesday's Asian trading session. The asset saw minimal movement over a 24-hour period, posting a weekly gain of nearly 2%. Markets are currently focused on upcoming U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision scheduled for September 15–16. Meanwhile, Grayscale stated that its Zcash exchange-traded fund surpassed $500 million in assets under management just two weeks after its debut on NYSE Arca. Trading under the ticker ZCSH, the fund has attracted over $70 million in net inflows since its launch on August 25 and secured a $100 million investment from DCG International Investments. It currently holds more than 550,000 ZEC, representing approximately 3% of the ZEC circulating supply.
Odaily News: Well-known trader Bonk Guy stated on platform X that PONS's daily revenue over the past week has mostly ranged from $1.3 million to over $2 million, with no single day in the last 7 days falling below $1.1 million. Meanwhile, PONS's buyback wallet has now accumulated nearly $3 million in funds for continuous buybacks of PONS via TWAP, and the replenishment rate from fee income is currently outpacing the rate of buyback fund consumption.In addition, PONS's market share on Robinhood Chain recently hit an all-time high of 80%, maintaining between 75% and 80% for most of the past week. Last Saturday, the number of tokens launched in a single day reached 28,560, and approximately 27,600 tokens were still launched in the past 24 hours. Bonk Guy believes that despite the cooling of Robinhood Chain's overall hype, PONS's market share, token issuance volume, and revenue continue to climb, indicating that its dominance in the on-chain launchpad sector has been further consolidated.
Perp DEX PopDEX, built for real traders, has recorded over $1.7B+ in trading volume and an LP pool size of approximately $61 million during its Closed Beta phase. Meanwhile, the platform has completed three rounds of cash reward distributions covering traders, feedback contributors, and community builders; in the latest round, single-address rewards reached up to 3,300 USDT. As the hype surrounding Robinhood Chain and BNB Chain memes continues to grow, PopDEX has launched popular meme perps including PONS, CASHCAT, and MARSCOIN, and initiated the Meme Gang War trading competition to provide traders with additional reward pool opportunities beyond standard incentives.
Odaily News According to GMGN data, the BSC meme token BNC4's market cap surged and then pulled back, briefly exceeding $20 million and currently standing at $2.8 million. Meanwhile, multiple users involved in arbitrage trading of the on-chain stock token BNC4 have disclosed profits ranging from tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands of dollars.Among them, trader 0xShawn stated that he completed arbitrage through Four.meme's BNC4 Mint mechanism, sharing a transaction record showing the exchange of 6,666 BNC4 for approximately 231,300 USDT. He noted that the related Mint request was processed normally and claimed to be among the first users to complete transfer invoicing.
Odaily News DWF Labs stated that last week, BTC and ETH ETFs recorded a combined net inflow of approximately $1.2 billion, marking the third consecutive week with inflows exceeding $1 billion — the first time since July 2025. Among this, BTC ETFs saw net inflows of around $987 million, with a single-day inflow of $731 million on September 3, ranking as the third highest this year. The AUM of BTC ETFs rose to $103.3 billion, accounting for approximately 6.32% of BTC's total supply.Meanwhile, open interest denominated in BTC dropped from 762,200 BTC in mid-August to 669,600 BTC. Over the same period, BTC climbed from around $63,000 to $80,000, indicating that the recent price movement has been driven more by spot capital flows rather than leverage.
Odaily News - According to the Bitfinex Alpha analysis report, August employment data has reinforced expectations of a Fed rate hike in September. The market now estimates the probability of a 25-basis-point hike on September 16 at approximately 60%. However, Bitcoin remains near $80,000, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs recording net inflows of approximately $986.7 million last week.Data shows that US non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%. The manufacturing PMI rose to 54.6, indicating that the economy has not shown signs of a sharp slowdown. Nevertheless, input costs remain elevated, and inflationary pressures have shifted market policy discussions back toward rate hikes.Meanwhile, US Treasury yields continue to weigh on risk assets, with the 2-year yield climbing to 4.37% and the 30-year yield holding at a high of 5.24%. Bitfinex notes that Bitcoin has encountered resistance near $82,000 recently and remains range-bound between approximately $77,200 and $82,100.Bitfinex believes that sustained ETF inflows and growth in stablecoin supply are providing support for Bitcoin, but Fed policy expectations and elevated Treasury yields are limiting upside potential. If this week's inflation data comes in below expectations, the market may once again price in a pause in rate hikes for September; conversely, persistent inflationary pressures could further strengthen rate hike expectations. Until a breakout from the current consolidation range occurs, Bitcoin is more likely to maintain a relatively strong sideways trend rather than confirming the start of a new upward rally.
According to on-chain analyst Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc), Bitcoin has just undergone its most severe deleveraging phase since 2023, with Binance open interest dropping sharply below its 180-day moving average. This period also saw the largest historical two-sided long and short liquidation events for Bitcoin in the current cycle unfold. Binance open interest currently stands at $9.6 billion, remaining above the $8.3 billion 180-day average and accounting for roughly 37% of Bitcoin's total network open interest, surpassing the levels observed during the earlier May rally—when that very threshold helped drive BTC back to $82,000. Meanwhile, measured by the 365-day cumulative net buy volume (the difference between spot purchases and sales), Bitcoin's current buying pressure has reached its strongest level since the previous bear market. Analysts note that while this correction clearly took a toll on traders, early signs of market recovery are already emerging, laying the groundwork for a bullish Bitcoin rebound; nevertheless, elevated leverage ratios remain a risk that warrants caution, as they could spark another round of intense deleveraging.
Odaily News - Trader BonkGuy posted on X platform, stating that Robinhood Chain has previously seen multiple high-market-cap projects such as PONS, CASHCAT, and AI, with over a dozen projects surging to the $10 million to $100 million range.BonkGuy believes that market attention is further shifting toward BNB Chain, and MARSCOIN has already taken the lead in the BNB Meme/stock narrative. He noted that Binance has approximately 320 million users, and MARSCOIN has already been listed on Binance spot and perpetual contracts. Meanwhile, trading entry points such as fomo have lowered the barrier for Western users to participate in BNB Chain Meme trading. In addition, SAFEMOON, which was also born on BNB Chain two cycles ago, once reached a market cap of $17 billion, which can serve as a reference for the potential scale of BNB Meme when it truly takes off.
On-chain analyst Willy Woo stated that Bitcoin has long been influenced by the halving mechanism, forming an approximately four-year supply shock cycle. However, as Bitcoin's annual new supply rate declines to around 0.8% and will further drop to 0.4%, the internal impact of the halving is gradually weakening. Meanwhile, traditional financial markets typically follow a six-to-eight-year short-term debt cycle. Woo believes that Bitcoin may currently be in a transition stage from the four-year cycle to a six-to-eight-year cycle.
Odaily News, glassnode report: The short squeeze in mid-August drove Bitcoin's rebound, pushing it above $80,000 on August 27. However, the price subsequently encountered resistance in the long-term supply zone above, retreating to around $76,000 and triggering a series of long liquidations. Currently, the $83,000-$86,000 range has accumulated a large number of potential short liquidation positions, while the $60,000-$63,000 zone below holds undigested long liquidation clusters, leaving Bitcoin sandwiched between the two.On-chain data shows that when Bitcoin traded near $78,000 in May this year, approximately 65% of the supply was in profit. When the price returned to the same level at the end of August, that proportion had risen to 68%. The summer redistribution of coins has pushed short-term holders' cost basis to around $71,000, and at this same price level, more profitable coins are now activated, increasing potential selling pressure. Combining cost basis and coin distribution, $62,000-$65,000 serves as an accumulation support zone, while $83,000-$86,000 represents a concentrated supply zone for long-term holders.During the rebound, the 7-day average net inflow for US spot Bitcoin ETFs peaked at $290 million per day, but secondary market daily trading volume remained at around $3 billion, significantly lower than the previous expansion phase. Meanwhile, the yield on the US 10-year Treasury briefly fell to 4.6% following the Treasury's buyback announcement on August 19, but returned to 4.8% in just 8 trading days, hitting a new cycle high.In the options market, short-term optimism has cooled while long-term options demand persists. Open interest for Deribit and IBIT options expiring on September 25 stands at approximately $14 billion, with a substantial portion of positions concentrated above $80,000, which could serve as an important volatility and positioning anchor in the coming weeks. Until the supply above $83,000-$86,000 is absorbed, Bitcoin will continue to trade in a range, with $62,000-$65,000 serving as the primary downside reference zone.
CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha stated that the 60-day accumulation for Bitcoin holders in the 100–1,000 BTC range reached 73,300 BTC, marking the highest level since April 21. Meanwhile, the group holding over 10,000 BTC continues to maintain significant positive accumulation, amounting to 43,300 BTC.
According to Bitcoin.com, at the "Accelerating Bitcoin" conference, several energy analysts warned about the impact of Bitcoin mining on Paraguay’s power grid. Energy analyst Victorio Oxilia noted that Bitcoin mining currently consumes 30% of the country’s total electricity, equivalent to the output of one and a half turbines at the Itaipu Dam. Should mining operations continue to expand, an energy crisis is projected to emerge by 2029. Meanwhile, Paraguay’s power generation has stagnated for years, requiring an investment of $11 billion to $15 billion over the next 13 years to meet growing demand, despite virtually no major energy investments in the past half-century. Existing energy contracts for mining firms will expire in 2027, with their renewal outlook uncertain. Analysts also pointed out that mining electricity usage is readily adjustable; operators can scale operations up or down based on grid load, making it easier to manage than residential power consumption. Paraguayan authorities have since intensified crackdowns on illegal electricity theft, securing convictions against those involved.