News linked to both this project and an event.
On-chain data shows that Avalanche (AVAX) currently has approximately $204.77 million worth of tokens staked, accounting for about 43% of the circulating supply, with a large amount of holdings locked. Meanwhile, according to CryptoQuant data, whale investors are adding positions simultaneously in the spot and futures markets, positioning in advance without waiting for breakout confirmation. Technically, AVAX is currently consolidating near the apex of the pennant pattern at $6.46, and the Stochastic RSI has not yet touched the oversold zone. According to the CoinGlass liquidation heatmap, over $1 million in liquidity is clustered near the $6.90 price level, becoming the next key target price for bulls.
Odaily News: The Kobeissi Letter posted on X platform that in the three days through July 28, hedge funds sold global information technology stocks at the highest pace since records began in 2016. Meanwhile, hedge funds recorded their largest three-day reduction in total stock exposure since November 2022, with selling pressure spreading across all sectors. This unwinding was primarily driven by short covering in macro products such as index futures and ETFs. Additionally, single stocks recorded their fifth-largest three-day selling volume in the past five years. By region, North America accounted for the majority of selling volume, followed by Europe. Hedge funds are significantly reducing their stock exposure.
According to Cointelegraph, ARK Invest researcher Lorenzo Valente noted in a post on July 30 that the cryptocurrency industry is entering the largest consolidation phase in history. As investors become increasingly strict in screening projects, revenue is accelerating towards concentration among a few top protocols—Hyperliquid and Pump.fun collectively account for approximately 67% of the industry's application revenue, and with Ethena included, the combined share of the top three approaches 80%. Valente expects this trend to accelerate in the coming months, triggering more M&A, bankruptcies, and project closures. Meanwhile, BitMEX and BitMart recently announced the shutdown of trading services in succession, further confirming the consolidation trend. Valente believes that this round of consolidation is "extremely beneficial" for the long-term development of the crypto industry.
that, according to an official announcement, Binance will cease support for the AEUR product on July 31, 2026, at 03:00 (UTC), including delisting the AEUR/USDT spot trading pair. Starting from August 14, 2026, at 03:00 (UTC), AEUR withdrawals will be disabled, and any remaining AEUR balance in accounts will be automatically converted to Euros at a 1:1 ratio. Users can convert their AEUR to Euros via Binance Convert before this date. Meanwhile, related services such as Binance Simple Earn, Margin, Loans, Payments, and Gift Cards will gradually discontinue support for AEUR between July 30 and 31, 2026.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated on X platform that Bitcoin's MVRV Z-Score has dropped to approximately 0.42, about four times lower than its historical average of 1.7, indicating Bitcoin is currently in an undervalued zone. However, this metric has not yet entered negative territory, suggesting the market has not shown the "capitulation selling" typically associated with cycle bottoms.Meanwhile, Bitcoin's 7-day Realized P/L has turned positive from negative, currently standing at approximately $239 million, indicating that on-chain selling pressure has eased. The analysis suggests that while the market is currently in an undervalued and short-term stabilization phase, it has yet to show the capitulation signal needed to confirm a cycle bottom, nor is there clear demand-driven momentum from a new cycle.
Meanwhile, Dogecoin (DOGE) rose only about 6% during the same period, while other dog-themed tokens increased by around 10%, indicating that capital was primarily concentrated into SHIB. In the derivatives market, during this rally, positions of about 2,300 traders in SHIB and 1000SHIB were liquidated, with a total liquidation value of about $6 million, of which short positions accounted for about $5 million, but analysis suggests that short covering was more a result of the price increase rather than the main driving factor of this market movement.
Xiong Wei, China Internet Industry Analyst at UBS Securities, stated that Chinese cloud vendors have a more prudent investment pace, emphasizing ROI and sustainability, and he does not believe there is a "bubble" in the Chinese AI industry. Meanwhile, as model capabilities continue to improve and inference demand continues to increase, investment in the Chinese AI industry will gradually grow.
Odaily News As Bitcoin prices have experienced a significant correction, publicly listed companies that had accumulated large BTC holdings are facing multiple challenges, including falling stock prices, debt pressures, and a deteriorating financing environment. Some of these companies are now starting to sell Bitcoin, repay debts, and even pivot towards artificial intelligence (AI) data center operations.Strategy pioneered the "Digital Asset Treasury (DAT)" model, continuously purchasing Bitcoin through financing and borrowing, inspiring a wave of other listed companies to follow suit. However, as the BTC price has fallen approximately 50% from its peak of around $126,000 in October 2025, the stock prices of related companies have also shrunk significantly, forcing them to reassess their BTC accumulation strategies.This week, shareholders of London-listed company Satsuma Technology approved the liquidation of all 668 BTC, returning capital to shareholders, while proceeding with delisting. Another London-listed company, The Smarter Web Company, sold 178 BTC to repay its convertible debt.Additionally, Sequans Communications has sold 1,025 BTC and further sold nearly 80% of its remaining holdings to repay convertible bonds. The company stated it will not continue purchasing Bitcoin in the future and plans to sell the remaining approximately 658 BTC.Nakamoto's stock price has fallen approximately 99% since its SPAC listing in May 2025. The company recently sold about 284 BTC, raising approximately $20 million for working capital. Of its remaining approximately 5,342 BTC, nearly 70% has been pledged as collateral for loans from Kraken, which market observers believe poses a potential risk event.Meanwhile, Bitcoin mining companies are also adjusting their strategies. Companies like Bitdeer Technologies and MARA Holdings are selling portions of their BTC to repurchase shares, repay debts, and redirect energy resources and computing infrastructure towards AI data center operations.Other companies selling BTC include Empery Digital. Data shows that Strategy has recently sold approximately 3,620 BTC and has authorized further asset sales to maintain its U.S. dollar reserves.However, Strategy remains the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with holdings exceeding 840,000 BTC. The company's CEO, Michael Saylor, stated that while it may sell some Bitcoin in the future to pay dividends, this does not mean the company is exiting its Bitcoin investment.Beyond asset adjustments, management and capital operations at some Bitcoin treasury companies are also changing. Jack Mallers has stepped down as CEO; and Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (BSTR), affiliated with Adam Back, failed to complete a proposed merger due to the deteriorating market environment.Analysts believe that with rising financing costs and increased BTC price volatility, the "borrowing to buy Bitcoin" treasury model is undergoing a reshuffle. Some companies are shifting from simply hoard
According to Odaily, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that the current bear market phase for Bitcoin has seen the highest level of realized losses among holders. The 30-day moving average (30DMA) of realized losses peaked at $1.37 billion in February 2026, 19% higher than the $1.15 billion peak during the 2022 cycle. Data shows that since the February peak, Bitcoin realized losses have dropped by 56.5% to approximately $597 million. Meanwhile, the scale of realized profits has only slowly recovered to $257 million. Axel Adler pointed out that loss-driven selling pressure has significantly weakened, but the market has not yet seen sustained demand recovery, with the decline in losses still outpacing the recovery in profits.From a historical cycle comparison, realized losses reached $1.37 billion on February 20, 2026, a new all-time high for this metric. The highest realized loss in the 2022 cycle was $1.15 billion, recorded on June 30, 2022. In terms of realized profits, as of July 23, Bitcoin's realized profit 30DMA stood at $257 million, down 92.7% from the peak of $3.51 billion recorded on December 10, 2024. It is also down 77.7% from the level on October 6, 2025, when Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $124,710. This metric bottomed out at $191 million on June 14, 2026, and has since recovered by 34.7%.Axel Adler stated that profit-driven selling pressure has dropped significantly, and the volume of coins being sold for profit is currently at a low level for this cycle. However, this does not mean that sellers have been completely exhausted, nor does it imply that market demand has recovered. If realized profits consistently rise above the $400 million to $500 million range, it would better confirm a sustained market improvement.Additionally, the Bitcoin realized profit/loss ratio has recovered from a low of 0.26 in June to 0.43, but remains below the 1.0 level. The analyst noted that while the absolute scale of realized losses in the current cycle exceeds that of 2022, the relative market pressure is still lower than in 2022. Since Bitcoin's all-time high, realized losses have exceeded realized profits on 190 out of the past 291 days. Axel Adler cautioned that if the profit/loss ratio breaks below 0.26 again, accompanied by a price drop below the cycle low of $58,535 established on June 30, it could signal further escalation of market pressure.
: Citrini analyst Jukan stated on the X platform that a Morgan Stanley research report circulating in the market shows that analyst Shawn Kim has turned bearish on the memory chip industry. The report suggests that NAND module manufacturers' inventory has risen to about 13 weeks, with demand clearly cooling. It expects NAND price growth to slow to about 5% in the fourth quarter, with spot prices having fallen for two consecutive months. Meanwhile, Changxin Memory Technologies (CXMT) is rapidly expanding production capacity, and supply and demand are gradually balancing. The report also indicates that if the NAND market weakens, DRAM should also be viewed bearishly, and it predicts that the HBM market growth rate will be limited to about 40%.Jukan stated that he has verified the authenticity of the report with sources and noted that Shawn Kim has consistently held similar views recently, which could be one of the reasons for the recent sustained pullback in South Korea's KOSPI index.
According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a single entity staked a total of 1.49 million $HYPE through 8 wallets, valued at approximately $88.2 million, with individual wallet staking amounts ranging from 115,700 to 390,400 tokens. On-chain data shows that the aforementioned 8 wallets all accumulated $HYPE via withdrawals from Bybit approximately 9 months ago and held until this staking event. Meanwhile, 2 wallets under another entity unstaked after staking for 8 months, redeeming a total of 2.92 million $HYPE, valued at approximately $170.1 million.
According to Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, June CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month, the largest single-month drop since April 2020, overall inflation decreased from 4.2% to 3.5%, the market immediately priced in a hold for the July FOMC, and the probability of a rate hike in September also dropped from over 75% to 63%. However, the US restarted a naval blockade on Iranian ports and conducted air strikes for the fourth consecutive night, Brent crude surged 15.54% in a single week, reaching a high of $87 per barrel, pressure for energy inflation to rebound is accumulating, casting doubt on the sustainability of this CPI decline. Meanwhile, China's Moonshot released the open-source model Kimi K3, claiming performance comparable to frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic, directly impacting the AI compute narrative, TSMC fell 7% in a single day, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index recorded its worst weekly performance in 15 months, the Nasdaq dropped 4.16%, and Nvidia temporarily ceded the top spot in global market cap to Apple. The crypto market, however, strengthened against the trend, becoming the best-performing risk asset of the week. Within minutes of the CPI data release, BTC surged from around $62,000 to $64,900, ETH jumped 7% in a single day to $1,884, CoinGlass data showed approximately $134 million in short positions were liquidated within the first hour. BTC ETF
According to CryptoQuant analyst Sunny Mom, Bitcoin rose from approximately $64,000 to $66,000 within two days, but this rally was primarily driven by leverage trading rather than real capital inflow. On-chain data shows that funding rates briefly turned negative on July 18-19, triggering a short squeeze that ignited the rebound. Subsequently, open interest climbed from approximately $21.2 billion to a new high of $23 billion, indicating that new leverage positions continue to drive the market. Meanwhile, spot trading volume has remained in a "cooling" state since April, and off-exchange stablecoin funds are on the sidelines rather than exiting. In terms of ETFs, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for two consecutive weeks, with single-day inflows of approximately $271 million on July 20 (of which IBIT contributed $116.5 million), showing institutional capital is slowly returning, but not yet enough to drive a recovery in overall spot trading volume. The analyst warned that the current rally structure is fragile; once momentum fades, rapid leverage liquidation could trigger a sharp correction. It is recommended to wait for a substantive recovery in spot trading volume before chasing the rally.
Odaily Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on platform X, stating that ETFs inspired by DRAM, covering AI, semiconductors, and memory, are set to flood the market, pushing the number of tech-related ETFs beyond 500. Meanwhile, technology and thematic ETFs have attracted $100 billion in inflows year-to-date, a significant amount for a niche category, explaining the increase in supply.
Odaily Odaily reports, according to the official announcement, Bitget's spot copy trading module now supports trading of US stock tokens rToken. Traders can trade US stock rTokens (such as rTSLA, rNVDA, etc.) in the copy trading zone, while copy traders can automatically follow the traders' open position signals. The operational logic for related opening and closing positions, order records, and profit-sharing mechanisms remains consistent with existing crypto spot copy trading. Meanwhile, US stock rTokens adopt a new candlestick chart that supports adjusted price settings, eliminating the impact of events such as stock splits on historical price trends.When a related rToken undergoes a stock split, reverse stock split, or dividend event, new copy buy orders for the corresponding trading pair will be temporarily suspended, though selling will not be affected. During this period, the system will take profit/loss snapshots and settle profit-sharing for existing positions, and will uniformly transfer the relevant rToken assets along with any cash or stock dividends to the user's main account. Once the event processing is completed, the trading pair will resume normal copy trading. Users can upgrade their App to version v2.89.0 to experience this feature.
Odaily Odaily News Polymarket traders have raised the probability of Bitcoin hitting $67,500 in July to 70%, up from about 56% earlier this week. The current market probability of Bitcoin reaching $65,000 stands at 82%, while the probability of it falling below $60,000 is 13%. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for the fifth consecutive trading day this week, fueling bets on higher prices. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has maintained its target interest rate between 3.50% and 3.75%, and new Chairman Kevin Warsh has shifted the central bank's communication style to purely data-dependent.
According to Etoday, Korea Exchange data shows that from July 1 to 16, foreign investors cumulatively net sold approximately 12.44 trillion won worth of Korean stocks, with net sales of 12.10 trillion won in the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) market and 338.1 billion won in the KOSDAQ market. Meanwhile, foreign capital net bought approximately 593.7 billion won worth of Korean ETFs against the trend.
Odaily "White Hair Stock God" Serenity posted on platform X, stating that due to the recent market downturn, his investment portfolio experienced a maximum drawdown of 49.4% this month. However, he still maintains his view on the long-term trend of the AI industry chain.Serenity revealed that his investment portfolio is mainly concentrated in key segments of the AI industry chain, including: semiconductor upstream, memory chips, photonics, humanoid robotics, and AI infrastructure-related companies. Because these areas typically have higher beta attributes, he previously used leveraged investments but has reduced the leverage level after the current round of market decline.Facing market skepticism towards AI-related assets, Serenity stated that recently a large number of investors have begun to believe: "AI is a bubble," "memory chips and the Korean KOSPI market are a bubble," "photonics is a bubble,""humanoid robots will not succeed," and "Neocloud (new AI cloud service providers) will eventually be replaced by hyperscale cloud vendors like Meta." Meanwhile, some retail investors and trading bots have even started advocating for "liquidating everything, the market will not recover."Serenity said he still believes these investment themes are supported by structural revenue growth and technological change. He experienced similar drawdowns in the past when global tariff risks impacted the market, and the market eventually rebounded. His investment horizon is long-term, allowing him to withstand higher volatility, and he will not change his long-term judgment based on short-term price fluctuations. Sharing this drawdown data is also to maintain transparency, allowing the market to see the real risks behind high-volatility growth investments.Serenity added: "If my prediction is that the revenue inflection point will come in the second half of 2027, and it is only 2026 now, then a decline of just a few weeks or months doesn't prove that the investment thesis has failed."
According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts pointed out in the latest report that although recent spot Bitcoin ETF fund inflows have fluctuated significantly, Strategy's increase of USD reserves from $2.55 billion to $3 billion (covering approximately 20 months of preferred stock dividends), as well as Bitcoin futures (including CME futures and perpetual contracts) recording positive fund inflows this week, are both "positive signals" for Bitcoin's prospects. The analysts also noted that leveraged ETF inflows linked to Strategy have remained stable for seven consecutive weeks, mainly driven by retail investors, effectively supporting its stock price. Meanwhile, Strategy President and CEO Phong Le stated that the company is "very confident" in its balance sheet, will only consider debt risk if Bitcoin prices fall to the $8,000 to $10,000 range, and plans to continue issuing additional shares after the STRC preferred stock returns to a $100 par value, with the proceeds potentially used to purchase more Bitcoin.
JPMorgan analysts say Strategy’s recent increase in USD cash reserves, along with positive fund flows in the Bitcoin futures market, are “encouraging signs” for Bitcoin’s outlook, despite recent volatility in spot Bitcoin ETF flows.The report notes that flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have been unstable in recent weeks, turning negative this week after inflows last week. In contrast, leveraged ETFs linked to Strategy have seen relatively stable and positive flows over the past seven weeks. Analysts attribute this primarily to retail investor buying, which may have supported Strategy’s stock price and prevented its common stock from falling below the net asset value of its Bitcoin holdings.Meanwhile, Strategy recently increased its USD cash reserves from $2.55 billion to $3 billion, enough to cover approximately 20 months of preferred stock dividend payments. JPMorgan had previously suggested that Strategy should raise its cash reserves to cover two to three years of dividends, in order to alleviate market concerns about the company potentially being forced to sell Bitcoin to pay dividends in the future.Analysts say it is still difficult to determine whether Strategy's move to bolster its cash reserves has directly improved Bitcoin investor sentiment. However, the fact that Bitcoin futures still recorded positive fund flows this week, against a backdrop of spot BTC ETF outflows, is also seen as an encouraging signal for the market outlook.