News linked to both this project and an event.
Bitget launches the long-term investor education program "TradFi Knowledge 100 Questions," breaking down the traditional finance knowledge system into 100 core questions, covering six major modules: Financial Basics, Asset Encyclopedia, Market Mechanisms, Macroeconomics, Risk Management, and the Evolution of Multi-Asset Trading. The course features structured content and weekly updated educational materials, focusing on analyzing the driving logic behind stocks, commodities, interest rates, and capital flows, helping traders build an investment framework across asset classes.
According to the latest macro-trend report released by QCP Group, market focus is shifting from the “signing-related optimism” surrounding multiple macro events toward post-signing execution risks. The U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) has been formally signed; Brent crude oil prices have retreated below USD 80 per barrel, easing tail risks. However, traffic volume through the Strait of Hormuz remains at just 14 transits—well below normal levels—and a 60-day technical negotiation window has now opened. Market pricing is pivoting toward actual tanker flow volumes and progress on compliance with the Lebanon ceasefire. The Federal Reserve unanimously held interest rates steady at 3.50%–3.75%, but signaled its intention to keep rates higher for longer. The median dot-plot projection for 2026 was raised to 3.8% (up from 3.4%), with the range widened to 3.4%–4.4%; forward guidance was simultaneously scrapped. Core PCE inflation forecasts stand at 3.30%, and headline PCE at 3.82%—both above target—confirming that inflation—not growth—remains the primary constraint. Following its IPO, SpaceX’s stock price has declined approximately 27% from its peak of USD 211 to USD 155, yet it remains 14.5% above its IPO price of USD 135. Market narrative has shifted from IPO momentum to AI financing logic: its USD 20 billion note issuance is earmarked to refinance an xAI bridge loan, while the ~USD 60 billion Anysphere/Cursor transaction converts equity into acquisition currency. SpaceX is now being integrated into the AI capital formation cycle. In the crypto market, S
According to the National Daily, the Bank of Korea (central bank) warned in its “First-Half 2026 Financial Stability Report” that shocks originating in the cryptocurrency market could spill over into traditional stock and foreign exchange markets, as correlations between cryptocurrency markets and traditional markets continue to strengthen. The central bank’s analysis indicates that the likelihood of risk transmission from cryptocurrency markets to the broader financial system is rising, driven by a more diversified investor base and evolving market structures.
Gate has completed the upgrade of its prediction market World Cup section, further enhancing the prediction market experience within the tournament context. After upgrading the Gate App to version v8.25.0 or higher, users can enter the World Cup section with one click via a newly added entry on the homepage, quickly viewing match schedules, standings, popular prediction markets, and more, thereby improving the efficiency of tracking and participating in the tournament. This upgrade adds new sections such as historical champions, best players, and news, providing users with references on team historical records, player performance data, and World Cup hot topics. Simultaneously, a team subscription feature has been launched, allowing users to follow specific national teams or subscribe to all World Cup events with one click, to promptly obtain related match and prediction opportunities. The section also adds a page sharing function, making it convenient for users to share match details, leaderboards, and prediction market content.Furthermore, Gate has launched a World Cup-themed leaderboard to centrally showcase traders with outstanding prediction performance related to the World Cup. This is combined with a "Smart Money" feature to help users track the activities of high-win-rate traders. The platform has recently introduced a prediction market trial voucher mechanism, allowing users to experience prediction market trading at zero cost while retaining profit opportunities, further lowering the barrier to participation. Surrounding the World Cup events, Gate has also launched a series of activities such as "Green Pitch Prophet, World Cup Prediction Carnival" and "Gate Prediction Market × World Cup Daily Highlight Matches," releasing a prize pool of over 550,000 USDT. As the first centralized exchange to integrate with Polymarket, Gate continues to promote the deep integration of prediction markets and sports events, further enriching the application scenarios of prediction markets.
Citrini Research, the institution behind the "AI Doomsday Report," stated that bond issuance by hyperscalers in 2027 to 2028 could be more than double current market expectations, primarily to support the construction of AI data centers.Citrini Research pointed out that AI-related debt issuance is expected to approach $570 billion in 2026, while hyperscalers' capital expenditures have already exceeded $600 billion. Amid the continued push for AI infrastructure development, these companies are gradually shifting from relying on cash reserves to raising more funds through the bond market.
Odaily, "White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity posted on X, reviewing his past experiences where his investment views faced skepticism. He stated that many original investment ideas initially face strong opposition, but ultimately the market becomes the standard for judging right and wrong. He has faced significant criticism for being bullish on several companies, for example:$AXTI: Early on, it was questioned as a "scam company," and related discussions even led to a ban from Reddit's WSB forum. However, it later received coverage from Reuters, and the performance of the Indium Phosphide (InP) substrate industry company, along with institutional investor validation, confirmed its logic.$RPI: Initially labeled a "meme stock" by the market, analysts believed it lacked fundamentals. However, earnings reports showed the company's future revenue growth expectation reached 58%, and it was subsequently re-evaluated as a high-growth AI hardware company.$SIVE: Once considered a "meme stock" by numerous investors, it later gained institutional buying support, including attention from Fidelity Research, JPMorgan Chase, and others, and announced partnerships with companies like Jabil and GlobalFoundries.Serenity stated, "The market will ultimately decide what is right or wrong, not the angry comments or posts on X (formerly Twitter)." He added that as each investment thesis gets validated one by one, the eventual market performance overshadows the early noise. He also listed several other cases that were initially doubted but later gained market recognition, including:$AAOI: Near $30, management was questioned as "untrustworthy";$LITE: At $300, the photonics industry was considered to be in a bubble;$RKLB: At $20, it was dismissed as just a low-revenue launch company;$HOOD: At $20, it faced negative sentiment due to the GameStop trading restriction incident;$IQE: Considered just a small UK company lacking partnerships in the photonics field;$SOI: Analysts at a European bank considered its valuation too high;$NBIS: Questioned for having no competitive moat;$INTC: The market thought it couldn't compete with TSMC;$MRVL: The market feared its ASIC market share would be taken by Broadcom;$AEHR: The market misinterpreted its earnings report, thinking the company lacked revenue;$EWY: The market believed the South Korean semiconductor cycle was in a bubble.
According to Forbes, as the 2026 U.S. primaries advance, political donations from the crypto industry have surged significantly. Protect Progress—a Democratic super PAC backed by the Fairshake network—is continuously channeling funds into candidates across several key districts, sparking controversy over “political narrative packaging.” Disclosures show that in the Maryland House of Delegates race alone, Protect Progress has contributed over $4.9 million to candidate Adrian Boafo; similar funding has also flowed to multiple Democratic candidates in Texas and Georgia. Meanwhile, Congress is advancing the Digital Asset Market Structure Act (the CLARITY Act), and the progress of this legislation further elevates the importance of primary election outcomes. Analysts contend that the crypto industry’s influence within the U.S. political system continues to expand, with several senators and candidates publicly endorsing regulatory frameworks for the crypto industry.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability on Polymarket for "Will Anthropic's valuation reach $1.1 trillion before June 30" has risen to 67%, up 30% in 24 hours.This event will be settled based on Anthropic's private market valuation data released by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM). If Anthropic's NPM Price reaches or exceeds the specified amount between the market creation and June 30, 2026, the event will be settled as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be settled as "No".Anthropic's latest funding round was completed on May 28, achieving a post-money valuation of $965 billion after its $65 billion Series H round, just one step away from common short-term thresholds like $1 trillion. With this prediction market set to settle on June 30, traders are monitoring secondary market liquidity and whether any new primary financing or tender offer activity could push its implied valuation higher within the remaining window. Recent estimates show Anthropic's annualized revenue run rate is approaching $47 billion, continuing to support investor demand. However, no new funding announcements have emerged since late May, and IPO preparations remain longer-term.Odaily Seer Channel continues to follow prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
The Shanghai Stock Exchange officially released the “Shanghai Stock Exchange Guidelines on the Application of the Rules for Review of Issuance and Listing—Guideline No. 10: Application of the Fifth Listing Standard of the STAR Market by Artificial Intelligence Large-Model Enterprises.” In accordance with the requirements of the STAR Market’s Fifth Listing Standard, and taking into account the technological innovation and industrial development characteristics of the AI large-model sector, this guideline specifies concrete criteria regarding technological advantages, interim achievements, relevant approvals, and market potential.
Odaily News, According to an official announcement, Binance Wallet has launched the Web3 API, a comprehensive set of API endpoints that allows developers, institutions, and advanced on-chain traders to programmatically access on-chain trading and market data through a single integration. The API supports multiple chains (including Ethereum, BNB Smart Chain, Plasma, Arbitrum, Polygon, Base, Monad, Optimism, Linea, and Solana), providing real-time market data, aggregated swap quotes, and on-chain transaction execution capabilities. Key features include: Market Data API (real-time token prices, candlestick/K-line data), Transaction API (aggregated quotes, token swaps, built-in MEV protection), Non-Custodial Architecture (no private key holding, local user signing), and Enterprise-Grade Reliability. Currently, there are zero service fees and zero positive slippage fees; all price improvements are returned to the user. This API is suitable for developers building DApps, on-chain trading bots, and AI agents.
JustLend DAO has officially launched SBM V2 (Supply & Borrow Market V2), introducing an innovative isolated-collateral lending protocol featuring a dual-layer architecture comprising Treasury and Markets, along with an adaptive curve interest rate model. Under the new architecture, the Treasury aggregates liquidity, while each Market supports independent lending and bears its own risk exposure—achieving risk isolation. Borrowing rates dynamically adjust based on utilization rates, and each Market operates independently, effectively preventing cross-Market risk contagion. This upgrade significantly enhances the protocol’s risk management capabilities and capital efficiency, further strengthening security and flexibility in multi-asset, isolated-lending scenarios. Official website: <a href="https://app.justlend.org/home">app.justlend.org/home</a>
IREN, an AI infrastructure company transformed from a Bitcoin mining firm, has announced the acquisition of Spanish AI data center developer Ingenostrum, S.L., also known as the Nostrum Group, officially entering the European market.The transaction adds approximately 490 megawatts of secured, grid-connected power resources for IREN and brings a pipeline of AI data center development projects in Spain. The Nostrum team comprises over 50 employees covering development, engineering, construction, and operations.IREN stated that Europe is one of the largest and fastest-growing AI infrastructure markets globally, and Spain, with its abundant renewable energy and strong fiber-optic connectivity, serves as a key gateway to enter the European market.This acquisition is also the latest move in IREN's transformation from a pure Bitcoin mining company into a global provider of AI and high-performance computing infrastructure. This follows IREN's recent announcement to build an 800-megawatt data center campus in South Australia, as well as signing a multi-billion dollar AI cloud agreement with Microsoft and establishing a partnership with Nvidia. Following the news, IREN's stock price rose nearly 4% on Monday to approximately $62.
Leslie Falconio, currently serving as the head of taxable fixed income strategy at UBS Global Wealth Management, stated that following reports of a deal between the U.S. and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which suppressed oil prices and triggered a rally in U.S. Treasuries, the pressure for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this year is easing.Leslie Falconio pointed out that even before the ceasefire, as oil prices fell, "the two-year yield was still rising because the market was pricing in nearly 100% probability of a rate hike by December 2026." "What is happening now is that oil prices are falling, and the market is stripping out these rate hike expectations. That is why the two-year yield is declining."New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will chair his first monetary policy decision meeting this week. As surging crude oil prices accelerate inflation, voices within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) supporting rate hikes this year are growing louder. Leslie Falconio expects the FOMC to formally remove its accommodative bias at this week's meeting, paving the way for a more hawkish outlook. However, she stated that she still expects the next move to be a rate cut, likely in 2027. (Bloomberg)
The global financial market's attention will be focused on Washington this week as newly appointed Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh chairs his first post-confirmation FOMC press conference. This marks not only his transition from a policy commentator to the "world's most powerful banker," but also a critical window for the outside world to observe whether a major shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy is underway.The market widely expects the Fed to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% during this week's meeting. Compared to the specific rate decision, the market is more focused on how Warsh will reshape the Fed's "art of communication." For a long time, former Chair Powell tended to guide market expectations through transparent "forward guidance," but Warsh has previously expressed reservations about this approach publicly, arguing that the Fed should not provide too many interest rate hints to the market.This meeting will also release the latest quarterly Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and the "dot plot." For Warsh, who has a strong aversion to the dot plot, this is undoubtedly an awkward beginning, as he must find a balance between respecting the Fed's decision-making mechanism and articulating his own policy preferences. (Reuters)
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
Michael Saylor, founder and executive chairman of Strategy, once again shared content related to the Bitcoin Tracker, captioning it “Still adding dots.” Based on its prior posting pattern, the market expects the company to disclose new Bitcoin acquisition data next week.
the Market Oversight Division of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced today that it has issued an exemption letter to Designated Contract Markets (DCMs), permitting them to convert their existing "perpetual-like" digital commodity futures contracts into true crypto perpetual futures contracts. This policy is an extension of previous regulatory clarifications and specifically applies to digital commodities such as Bitcoin, which have deep, active, and continuous spot market trading.According to the document, DCMs may remove the expiration date from existing contracts and convert them into true perpetual contracts, provided they meet certain conditions. These requirements include soliciting feedback from position holders, providing advance notice and offering opportunities to close positions, conducting adequate risk disclosures, and ensuring that other key contract terms remain unaltered. Additionally, exchanges must submit amendment filings in accordance with CFTC Rules 40.5 or 40.6 and complete compliance certification.
"White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated on platform X that during periods of technological architecture shifts, retail investors often take the lead in positioning, while institutional capital gradually steps in during subsequent phases to dominate market pricing. Taking stocks like SIVE, NBIS, and RKLB as examples, these assets initially had low institutional ownership, but as institutions continued to increase their holdings, their stock prices ultimately reached all-time highs.Serenity believes that the current negative sentiment surrounding companies like Foci and HIMX may be related to certain institutions needing to acquire liquidity and accumulate positions at lower prices. In recent years, when some sell-side institutions have released negative research reports or when the market has been flooded with concentrated bearish news, it has often coincided with a phase of institutional accumulation. Investors need to conduct independent research and establish their own investment logic, and should not be easily swayed by market noise. The modern liquidity cycle of the U.S. capital market essentially often manifests as a transfer of retail holdings to institutions, a process that may not necessarily align with the interests of retail investors.
BIT has released its latest weekly report, titled "Will the FIFA World Cup Be the End of the Bitcoin Bear Market?" The report suggests that the current bearish trend of Bitcoin is largely consistent with its early February 2026 outlook. The previously predicted A-B-C correction structure has entered its final phase: after Wave A declined to the $60,000 to $69,000 range, Bitcoin rebounded to the $80,000 to $90,000 range, peaking temporarily around $83,000, after which the rebound momentum gradually weakened.BIT points out that the current Fear and Greed Index has approached historically significant low levels, still showing some similarity to the bottom structure of the 2022 bear market. It maintains its previous view that the summer lull during the 2026 World Cup period could serve as the final stage of Bitcoin's current bear cycle.The report states that future focus will be on the key price range for the end of the bear market, macro catalysts for the next bull run, and trend reversal signals from cyclical indicators. If the relevant framework holds, this market bottom could become one of the low points in Bitcoin's history with a relatively concentrated time window and clearly defined triggering conditions.
According to official news from XBIT DEX, on June 11, the leverage function of the XBIT DEX prediction market was officially launched. High-liquidity markets will initially support up to 5x leverage. The "XBIT World Cup Event" commenced on the same day, featuring a total prize pool of 1.1 million USDC, and will run until the final on July 19.The prediction market for the opening match, Mexico vs. South Africa, is now open. Current market expectations indicate a 69% probability of a Mexico win, 21% for a draw, and 11% for a South Africa win. Markets covering outcomes such as Match Winner, Handicap, Over/Under, Correct Score, and Corners have been launched simultaneously, spanning 48 teams and 104 matches.During the event, both contract trading and prediction market trading will earn prediction vouchers, which can be used to participate in the daily feature match. Correct predictions will split the prize pool for that match. The single-match prize pool increases as the tournament progresses, with the final offering a maximum of 150,000 USDC. Additionally, dual leaderboards for contracts and the prediction market have been established.