News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: U.S. Senator Ron Wyden has sent a letter to Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, urging that any version of the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" considered by the Senate retain Section 604 to protect non-custodial blockchain developers who do not control user assets. Ron Wyden stated that developers should not be considered money transmitters simply because they create or publish software that allows users to manage their own digital assets. Coin Center Executive Director Peter Van Valkenburgh, the DeFi Education Fund, and Galaxy Digital Head of Research Alex Thorn have expressed support for this stance. Alex Thorn also noted that supporting developer protections does not mean Ron Wyden will endorse the entire CLARITY Act. Ron Wyden further stated that the provision does not protect developers involved in illegal activities and can direct law enforcement resources toward criminals and unlicensed money transmission businesses, rather than neutral software developers. (Bitcoin.com News).
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, for the prediction event "Anthropic's highest valuation this year," the probability of Anthropic reaching a $1.5 trillion valuation by the end of 2026 has risen to 78%, up 47% in 24 hours; the probability of reaching $2 trillion has risen to 37%, up 19% in 24 hours.On June 1, Anthropic confidentially filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the U.S. SEC, officially initiating its IPO process in the United States. Recently, research firm SemiAnalysis released a report stating that Anthropic is expected to achieve $1 billion in GAAP operating profit in the third quarter of 2026, with an operating profit margin of 6%.Join the PPP Signal Push Community, stay one step ahead, and seize the opportunity.https://polymarket.com/zh/event/will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31
on-chain analyst Ai Yi posted on Platform X, stating that Memecoins are becoming the primary traffic gateway for Robinhood Chain. CASHCAT reached a market cap of $100 million within five hours, and Robinhood CEO @vladtenev participated in related discussions. Robinhood Chain saw over 10,000 new tokens launched in a single day, with DEX trading volume exceeding $560 million. Robinhood Chain is an L2 network. Users can add the network via wallets such as OKX, Binance, and MetaMask, with Chain ID 4663. The official Robinhood Wallet is available on iOS and Android mobile apps and features cross-chain functionality. Cross-chain methods on Robinhood Chain include the official cross-chain bridge, Robinhood Wallet, and third-party aggregators like Relay, Stargate, and Across. Withdrawals via the official cross-chain bridge have a 7-day waiting period. DEXs on the Robinhood Chain ecosystem include Uniswap and NOXA Fun. Meme tracking tools include DEXScreener and GMGN.
crypto venture capital fund Pantera Capital stated in a post that Hyperliquid's total addressable market is approximately $10 trillion in daily notional trading volume, including around $200 billion in 0DTE options and leveraged ETF trading, approximately $2 trillion in commodity derivatives trading, and around $8 trillion in foreign exchange derivatives trading.Pantera indicated that if Hyperliquid can consistently capture a low-single-digit percentage share of the aforementioned markets, its revenue potential could reach five times current levels. According to estimates, if the HIP-3 market achieves an annualized notional trading volume of $3.65 quadrillion and captures a 1% market share, under the assumptions of a combined fee rate of 2 basis points and Hyperliquid's economic split of 50%, the platform's revenue could reach approximately $3.7 billion.However, Pantera pointed out that regulation remains the biggest risk for Hyperliquid. Perpetual contracts are currently not fully open in the United States, and if the US promotes the legalization of related products in the future and introduces regulated platforms, Hyperliquid could face more intense competition, with some US user trading volume potentially shifting to compliant trading venues. Pantera believes Hyperliquid could also launch a regulated version targeting the US market in the future.
chip company Changxin Technology has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for registration and has officially initiated its IPO issuance procedures on the STAR Market. The company plans to raise 29.5 billion RMB through this issuance. Based on the fundraising amount and the number of shares issued, the estimated issuance price is approximately 4.41 RMB per share, and the estimated total market capitalization after listing will be close to 295 billion RMB.The company expects to achieve revenue of 110 billion to 120 billion RMB in the first half of 2026, with net profit ranging from 66 billion to 75 billion RMB, marking a turnaround from losses to profitability growth.According to the issuance arrangements, the initial strategic placement ratio is 50%, and the offline placement follows the "3+7" rule, with 70% of the shares distributed to offline investors locked up for 6 months. Calculations show that approximately 78% of the issued shares will be under restricted trading on the first day of listing, corresponding to an estimated tradable market capitalization of about 6.5 billion RMB for new shares on that day.Additionally, online investors are required to have STAR Market trading permissions and meet the Shanghai market value requirements. Some major shareholders have committed to a lock-up period of 36 months. The lead underwriter, CICC, has a 15% over-allotment option, allowing it to conduct price stabilization operations within 30 calendar days after listing.
Google has updated its Chrome Web Store developer policy, explicitly listing Prediction Markets as a prohibited product. According to the new regulations, any Chrome extension that promotes or supports real-money transactions based on predicted outcomes is not allowed for publication on the Chrome Web Store. This update also strengthens requirements for transparency in user data collection and privacy protection. The new policy will officially take effect on August 1, 2026.
Binance Research has released an industry report titled "Stablecoins: Reshaping the Financial Landscape." The report shows that as of now, Binance's platform stablecoin reserves have reached $53 billion, with its market share increasing from 54% to 57%, surpassing the second-largest trading platform by approximately $42 billion.Meanwhile, in the first five months of 2026, the cumulative trading volume of TradFi-related perpetual contracts exceeded $1.1 trillion, with Binance's volume surpassing $500 billion, accounting for approximately 47% of the market share. Additionally, since 2022, Binance Earn has distributed $1.2 billion in yields to over 14 million stablecoin users. BNB Chain processes 10 million daily stablecoin transactions, with 15 million monthly active addresses, holding a market share of approximately 24% by transaction count. The report points out that stablecoins are evolving from tools for crypto asset trading into crucial settlement infrastructure for global finance, and Binance has established a one-stop stablecoin financial ecosystem covering trading, payments, yields, investments, and on-chain activities.
According to official sources, Ondo Perps is now officially live and open to non-US investors. As a perpetual contract platform that supports tokenized stocks and stablecoins as derivatives margin, Ondo Perps is committed to driving the on-chain derivatives market into a new phase of capital efficiency. Its core advantages include:Tokenized stocks as collateral: No need to maintain separate capital reserves across multiple platforms;Market depth comparable to traditional finance: Achieving extremely low spreads and slippage;Execution speed rivaling top-tier crypto CEXs: Order routing, margin updates, and liquidations are processed in real-time, while ensuring decentralization.Currently, supported assets on Ondo Perps cover stocks, indices, and commodities, including SPCX, MU, NVDA, TSLA, AAPL, Gold, and Crude Oil, with up to 20x leverage, offering global investors 24/7 trading.According to the introduction, Ondo Perps is built on Ondo Finance technology, with Ondo Global Markets providing the underlying tokenized stock infrastructure. Its total TVL has exceeded $1 billion.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) recently announced adjustments to some calculation methods for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE). The relevant changes are expected to be reflected in the data revision scheduled for release on September 30, 2026. Market estimates broadly indicate that this adjustment will likely lower the core PCE inflation rate by approximately 0.2 percentage points. Current data shows that over the 12 months ending May 2026, core PCE inflation stood at 3.4%, remaining above the Federal Reserve's 2% target since March 2021. The BEA's primary adjustments this time focus on three specific sectors: portfolio management and investment advisory services, computer software and accessories, and legal services, modifying their respective price calculation methods.Former Federal Reserve Governor Miran stated in a speech last December that "some of what should have been recorded as an increase in the quantity of service consumption has instead been recorded as a price increase." In May of this year, Miran, along with Fed economists Alessandro Barbarino and Anthony M. Diercks, published a paper analyzing the shortcomings of existing statistical methods, including issues with the measurement of products like portable storage devices and video games. JPMorgan economist Abiel Reinhart remarked, "‘Grand Theft Auto 6’ might also have a chance to influence the U.S. Treasury yield curve."
Sberbank, Russia's largest bank, plans to launch a cryptocurrency wallet and digital custody services, with the earliest launch expected in December. The services will be integrated into the "Sberbank Online" and "SberInvestments" platforms, pending the official implementation of Russia's forthcoming "Digital Currency and Digital Rights Law" in September.The bill is expected to establish a licensing framework for transactions, custody, fiat exchange, and cross-border settlements involving crypto assets, while also allowing eligible investors to participate in trading within set limits.Sberbank stated that users will be able to access authorized crypto assets directly within the bank's application, and a digital asset custody system will also be launched for token storage and ledger management.Against the backdrop of advancing regulations, financial institutions including the Moscow Exchange and VTB are also accelerating their deployment in digital asset-related businesses, as Russia's financial system gradually opens up to the compliant crypto market. (CoinDesk)
According to official sources, InsightX, the first AI-driven prediction market product on the Mantle chain, has surpassed a total trading volume of $300 million on Mantle, marking an important milestone for Mantle's on-chain financial infrastructure as it moves towards "real-time information assetization". According to the introduction, InsightX transforms real-world information such as sports events, crypto markets, and news events into tradable on-chain markets, realizing a new form of financial interaction known as Information-as-Asset. Users can instantly price and trade on the outcomes of future events, thereby upgrading traditional information consumption into verifiable and settleable market behaviors.
according to official sources, the self-custody Web3 wallet BM Wallet has launched its prediction market feature. Users can now directly participate in real-world event predictions within the wallet, settling entirely with stablecoins. Assets never need to be withdrawn, and private keys remain under the user's control at all times. This feature integrates the prediction market Polymarket, tapping into its deep liquidity. The initial phase centers on the World Cup, while also covering sectors such as cryptocurrency and politics. It is currently available in designated regions.
According to CoinDesk, the U.S. Crypto Market Structure Bill Clarity Act failed to be signed within the previously expected timeframe. As Congress approaches its summer recess, pressure is mounting for the bill to be enacted within 2026. However, several observers following the legislative process remain cautiously optimistic about its passage within the year, believing that current key coordination efforts are still ongoing, including the consolidation of content between the Senate Agriculture Committee and Banking Committee versions.
The PPP Prediction Market tool monitors that Polymarket has listed a new event: "Will the US government revoke public access to another major AI model?" The current probability is reported at 33%.The settlement rules state: If the US federal government, by the end of 2026, passes relevant legislation, issues an executive order, implements export controls, or takes any other action that substantially restricts US public access to a major AI model, the market outcome will be "Yes." Otherwise, the outcome will be "No." A "qualifying action" refers to a formal measure taken by the US government, the effect of which is equivalent to completely prohibiting the public from accessing a specific AI model within the United States. Furthermore, the settlement rules emphasize that regardless of the action's true purpose or nominal goal; if the action effectively results in the public being unable to access the model within the US—for example, prohibiting the model from being provided to foreign citizens or governments, as long as the general public cannot access the model through conventional channels within the US—it meets the qualification requirements. Merely excluding access to the model from a single channel is insufficient. Removals of public access that are not caused by any formal action of the US government are not eligible."Mainstream AI model" refers to the flagship, general-purpose large language model or multimodal foundation model developed by one of the following companies: OpenAI, Anthropic, Google (including Google DeepMind), Meta, xAI, Microsoft, Amazon, Mistral AI, DeepSeek, Alibaba, ByteDance, Moonshot AI, and Zhipu AI (Z.ai). Models designed for specific tasks, or those that are outdated, used solely for research or preview purposes, do not meet this criterion.The action can target a single model or a group of models, as long as at least one major AI model becomes inaccessible to the public within the US as a result. A temporary suspension of public access to a model meets this condition. However, if an action has been implemented or a related resolution has been issued, but the public can still access the model before the resolution takes effect, that action does not meet the condition.The information sources for this market are official announcements and information from the US government and the relevant AI companies. However, reliable media reports may also be referenced to form a consensus.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before prices are set.
Coinbase released a monthly review on July 1, stating that in the first half of the year, it advanced its product layout around the strategy of "every asset, every market, one platform," covering tokenized stocks, pre-IPO perpetual contracts, stock options, crypto options, stock index perpetual futures, AI tools, payments, stablecoins, and on-chain infrastructure. Coinbase stated that the tokenized stocks are 1:1 backed shares of US companies, expected to include dividends, on-chain trading, holding, and redemption functions, and are not available to US persons. Coinbase also noted that its pre-IPO perpetual contracts will start with SpaceX and then expand to OpenAI and Anthropic, and will offer crypto options through integration with Deribit. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said on July 3 that Coinbase is one of the companies with the highest level of AI application globally. Coinbase also stated that it has launched a direct INR on-ramp in India, become the official deployer of the USDC treasury wallet for Hyperliquid, partnered with Ethena across over $50 billion in assets, and mentioned transferring approximately $4.4 billion USDC to the Hyperliquid deployer. (Bitcoin.com News).
AI data center Crusoe Energy Systems is in talks for a new round of financing worth approximately $3 billion. Upon completion of this round, the company's valuation is expected to roughly triple from the previous round, reaching the $30 billion range.Founded in 2018, Crusoe initially started with crypto-related businesses before transitioning into an AI infrastructure and data center service provider. It is currently categorized as one of the "neocloud" firms, a new type of cloud computing company focused on providing computational power support for generative AI. The company has signed compute supply contracts with tech giants including Meta and Oracle. As demand for AI infrastructure construction surges, the scale of its compute business continues to expand.According to previously public information, Crusoe completed a funding round of approximately $1.38 billion last year, with a valuation exceeding $10 billion. If this new round is successfully completed, it would become another large-scale capital move in the AI infrastructure sector.Market sources estimate that the final valuation for this round could be around the $30 billion level, but the deal is still in progress and has not yet been finalized. (Reuters)
"White Hair Stock God" Serenity stated that when he first used ChatGPT in 2023, he believed large language models "performed poorly" in programming capabilities. However, three years later, the related technology has undergone a qualitative transformation. Modern cybersecurity and AI systems, represented by Mythos, now possess "weapon-level" capabilities. He believes the industry is currently entering a critical "inflection point," where humanoid robots and automation technologies are approaching the tipping point for large-scale replacement of human labor.Serenity noted that although outsiders often question whether humanoid robots can currently perform complex tasks such as pipe repair or electrical wiring, the direction of technological evolution is already very clear, with continued breakthroughs expected in the coming years. Market participants, including VCs and large tech companies, have begun adjusting their strategies. Some companies have internal plans to replace a significant amount of human labor with robots to reduce operational costs, referencing previous rumors about Amazon reducing hundreds of thousands of job openings through robotics.Serenity believes that highly regulated industries such as healthcare, ultra-high-skill professional positions, and service sectors relying on human emotional connections may still retain some resistance to substitution. However, the overall trend still points towards a "restructuring of labor." As competition between China and the U.S. intensifies in cutting-edge technology fields, humanoid robots and automation may enter a stage of national-level technological competition. He believes China already holds a leading position in certain areas.
: TradingView has added support for data from Hyperliquid and trade.XYZ.Users can open the search function in TradingView Supercharts and enter the prefix "HYPERLIQUID:" or "HIP3XYZ:" to find the corresponding market data.
Serenity has released an exclusive analysis of the AI ASIC market on the X platform, presenting the core thesis that "NVIDIA is the kingmaker of the ASIC market." It proposes a set of industry reasoning logic, arguing that NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang is not pleased with Broadcom monopolizing the custom ASIC track. With implicit support from the NVIDIA ecosystem, companies such as Marvell, MediaTek, AlChip, and GUC are steadily capturing market share originally held by Broadcom, taking on more custom chip projects for hyperscale cloud vendors. This landscape is comparable to the rise of emerging cloud service providers last year, serving as an important means for NVIDIA to hedge against the moat created by leading cloud vendors developing their own ASICs.Serenity suggests this could represent a two-year trading opportunity but does not constitute investment advice. It also predicts that after 2030, major companies like Google will internalize a significant amount of chip design work. It added that NVIDIA has the ability to reshape the valuation of the industry chain, and there have already been market expectations that Marvell could potentially reach a trillion-dollar market cap.
针对有媒体披露 Meta 首席执行官马克·扎克伯格在内部会议上告诉员工，过去四个月的 AI 代理开发并未“以我们预期的速度加速”，Meta 首席 AI官 Alexander Wang 发文回应澄清表示，扎克伯格指的是整个行业在智能代理能力上的整体进展，而非 Meta 自身，他同时透露 Meta 即将发布新一轮 Muse Spark 更新，将显著提升模型的编程能力和智能代理能力，以更具竞争力地对标业内领先模型，并将陆续上线至 Meta AI 及全新 API 平台。