News linked to both this project and an event.
According to Jin10 Data, SpaceX will announce its first earnings report since listing after the US stock market close on Tuesday. Since listing on June 12, the company's stock price has fallen nearly 50% from its high, with market capitalization shrinking by over $500 billion. As of Monday's close, it was reported at $114.53, approximately 15% lower than the IPO issuance price. Market focus centers on three key areas: • Starlink: S&P Global expects Q2 revenue to reach $6.9 billion, primarily driven by Starlink, which is currently SpaceX's only profitable business segment; • AI: SpaceX's AI business revenue was $818 million in the first three months of this year. It has reached compute supply cooperation agreements with Google, Anthropic, etc., and acquired coding startup Cursor (approximately $60 billion); • Starship: The 13th test flight was completed, but the booster experienced a hard landing. Analyst firm Bernstein believes Starship is one of the most critical factors supporting the high valuation. Additionally, after the lock-up period ends on Thursday, over 911 million shares (market value approximately $100 billion) will be unlocked for circulation. Coupled with short selling funds' paper profits reaching $8.3 billion, market selling pressure cannot be ignored.
Odaily News: A new address opened a position of 40 million ENA approximately 3 hours ago, valued at around $3.69 million, with an average buy price of about $0.09269. Subsequently, the address staked all of its ENA into the Ethena protocol. Market data shows that ENA has risen by 18.13% over the past month.
Odaily News, July saw the U.S. manufacturing PMI rise to 55.6, the highest since 2022, with both production and employment recovering. However, strong demand and geopolitical inflation concerns have roiled the bond market, with Bank of America warning that the Federal Reserve is facing a credibility test. The hot manufacturing performance, coupled with geopolitical inflation threats, has sent U.S. Treasury markets into sharp turbulence. Long-dated Treasuries have recently faced heavy selling, with yields briefly surging to near two-decade highs.Mark Cabana, Head of U.S. Rates Strategy at Bank of America, commented on this, calling the bond market's violent swings a "textbook inflation credibility shock."Cabana noted that the core driver of the market turmoil is not the data itself, but the Fed's lack of policy communication. He specifically pointed to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's performance at a recent press conference, arguing that Warsh failed to clearly articulate how the Fed would achieve its 2% inflation target."Standing firm on the inflation target is one thing, but if you don't tell the market the specific path, investors won't buy it," Cabana said bluntly in a Bloomberg TV interview. "The bond market cannot be fooled; it sees through all appearances." (Jin10)
Odaily News, Citrini analyst jukan stated on X platform that, according to Korean media reports, SK Hynix was previously unable to announce its shareholder return plan due to disclosure restrictions following its American Depositary Receipt (ADR) listing. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission restricts newly listed companies from disclosing material information not included in the prospectus for a certain period after listing, to avoid inconsistency with listing documents and potential exposure to U.S. securities law risks. The market generally believes this restriction period is 25 days from the listing date, including weekends. SK Hynix's ADR was listed in the United States on the 10th of last month.
Odaily News On-chain analytics firm Glassnode stated that the yield on Bitcoin's three-month futures basis has remained below the yield on the U.S. two-year Treasury note since February this year, a trend that has now persisted for several months.Glassnode pointed out that there has only been one similar instance in history where the duration of this condition came close to the current one, namely the period from August 2022 to January 2023, which ultimately corresponded to the low point of the previous market cycle.The firm stated that the prolonged slump in the futures basis not only reflects weak market demand for leverage but also directly impacts the overall depth and trading volume of the market.Analysts believe that the futures basis is typically used to gauge market risk appetite and demand for arbitrage funds. When the basis yield falls below the risk-free rate, it implies that investors are earning insufficient additional returns for the risk taken by holding Bitcoin futures, which may lead to reduced capital inflows into the futures market, thereby affecting liquidity and trading activity.
Odaily News - South Korea's financial regulatory authorities are pushing forward with amendments to the Capital Markets Act, planning to grant regulators "emergency intervention powers" to directly implement market stabilization measures during periods of severe stock market volatility. The Financial Services Commission (FSC) has initiated related legislative revisions together with the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS), focusing on single-stock leveraged ETF products that are believed to have amplified volatility during the recent market plunge. Proposed measures include adjusting leverage multiples and setting investment caps.Currently, certain single-stock leveraged ETFs in the Korean market employ leverage of up to 2x. Regulators are discussing whether to allow temporary reductions in leverage multiples during abnormal market fluctuations to mitigate risks arising from concentrated fund trading. This approach draws on recent regulatory measures in Hong Kong. The Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) of Hong Kong has previously permitted institutions that meet asset management capability, risk control standards, and disclosure requirements to adjust the multiples of listed leveraged and inverse products, providing room for dynamic market oversight.Korean regulators believe that under the current system, matters involving changes to return structures may require approval from fund holder meetings, making it difficult to meet the need for rapid response in extreme market environments. Therefore, they plan to establish an emergency regulatory mechanism that can be activated without complex procedures. Additionally, Korean financial regulators are considering: setting individual investment limits on single-stock leveraged ETFs, capping investment limits uniformly at approximately 20% to prevent excessive capital concentration, and introducing a simulation-based trading system to enhance investors' understanding of risks associated with leveraged products.Korean regulators stated that raising the basic margin requirement primarily raises the investment threshold, while investment limits function as a "cap" on capital inflows. Together, the two measures will form a complementary risk control system.Previously, starting July 31, South Korea raised the minimum margin requirement for investors in single-stock leveraged ETFs from 10 million Korean won to 30 million Korean won. Data shows that on the first day of the new rule's implementation, the trading volume of 16 related leveraged ETFs stood at approximately 3 trillion Korean won, only about one-fourth of the 12.4 trillion Korean won recorded the previous trading day and down roughly 80% from the 15 trillion Korean won level on July 29. (NATE)
Odaily News Crypto analyst Killa posted on X, stating that as BTC enters a new monthly cycle, a relatively clear bearish narrative has formed in the market. Therefore, the likelihood of an upward reaction at the start of the month is relatively high. The analyst noted that BTC is currently still in a consolidation range and is near the bear market low. Two possible scenarios may follow: first, a further decline breaking below $57,000 to complete the final pullback; second, an upward breakout starting this month, continuing the range-bound trend. Personally, the analyst leans toward BTC seeing an upward reaction of about 2%–4% at the start of the month, but does not rule out the possibility of continued downside afterward.
Odaily News: On-chain analyst Ai Yi posted on the X platform that the first pure-play storage ETF in the U.S. stock market, the DRAM Memory ETF, has included CXMT. The ETF was established on April 2, 2026, with a scale of $24.55 billion. Its return rate once reached 190%, and after the pullback in the storage sector, it still stands at 161.5%. Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix together account for over 73% of the weight. Following GigaDevice, the ETF has again included a leading A-share storage company, with CXMT holding a weight of 2.52%.Since its listing on the STAR Market, CXMT's market value has remained above 3 trillion yuan and briefly exceeded 4 trillion yuan. Starting next Monday, it will exit the no price-limit phase and enter the regular trading stage.
Analyst Murphy stated that Bitcoin's current chip concentration is similar to that before the 2022 FTX collapse, and a highly concentrated chip structure could amplify price volatility. Jiang Zhuoer believes that if the CLARITY Act fails to pass before Congress adjourns, Bitcoin may witness the final drop of the bear market.
According to Korean media Daum, volatility in the South Korean stock market has recently intensified, investor risk appetite has clearly cooled, and funds are flowing back from the stock market to safe-haven assets such as banks. Due to adjustments in the semiconductor sector and stricter regulation on leveraged investment, idle funds in the South Korean stock market are withdrawing rapidly, and the market is exhibiting a phenomenon of "reverse capital migration". Data shows that as of the end of July, the time deposit balance at South Korea's five major banks (KB Kookmin, Shinhan, Hana, Woori, NH Nonghyup) reached 973.49 trillion won, an increase of 24.09 trillion won from the end of the previous month, marking the largest single-month increase this year. Funds related to the stock market also showed significant contraction. According to data from the Korea Financial Investment Association, investor securities account deposits (idle funds for stock trading) reached a historical high of 139.69 trillion won on June 4, but as of July 28, had fallen to 107.20 trillion won, a decrease of over 32 trillion won in less than two months. The balance of credit transaction financing, representing the scale of market margin trading, fell to 33.19 trillion won during the same period, a decrease of about 4.5 trillion won from the peak of 37.72 trillion won set on July 2, a decline of approximately 12%.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr stated that data shows Bitcoin is shifting from short-term speculators to long-term holders. The share of Short-Term Holders (STH) has dropped to 23%, the lowest level since the bottoming phase from 2022 to 2023; meanwhile, the share of Long-Term Holders (LTH) is approaching historical highs.
According to The Block, the JPMorgan analyst team (led by Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou) released a report on July 30 stating that the probability of the "Clarity Act" (Crypto Market Structure Act) passing in the US Senate within the year has dropped to a historic low. The Kalshi prediction market shows a passing probability of only 37%, while Polymarket is even lower at 26%. Analysts pointed out that disagreements on core issues such as ethical provisions, enforcement standards, stablecoin yields, decentralized finance, and illicit finance remain unresolved. Voting is expected to be difficult to complete before the Senate summer recess, and may be postponed until after senators return in mid-September.
analysts at JPMorgan stated that the probability of the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the Clarity Act, passing the Senate by the end of this year has decreased, posing a headwind for the cryptocurrency market. Analysts pointed out that prediction markets show the likelihood of the bill passing this year has dropped to its lowest point of the year, with Kalshi at 37% and Polymarket at 26%.JPMorgan noted that the Senate prioritized other legislative matters before the summer recess. Additionally, unresolved issues such as ethical clauses, enforcement authority, stablecoin yields, DeFi, and illicit finance have made the bill's advancement prospects more uncertain. The bank had previously viewed the Clarity Act as a potential positive catalyst for the crypto market, as it would establish a clearer regulatory framework for the digital asset industry: digital commodities would be regulated by the CFTC, while digital securities would continue to fall under the SEC's jurisdiction.Analysts believe that if the bill is ultimately passed, it would help develop more institutionalized market infrastructure, ease regulatory restrictions on DeFi and stablecoin issuers, boost domestic liquidity and trading volumes in the U.S., and lower the barriers to entry for brokerages, exchanges, market makers, custodians, and bank-related platforms seeking to participate in the crypto industry.
Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X, stating that bonds have once again failed to hedge against stock declines. Since SPY retreated from its June highs, AGG, TLT, and LQD have all fallen. Although the time window is relatively short, it somewhat resembles the situation in 2022. He noted that many people have long relied on the 40% bond portion of the 40/60 portfolio to hedge against the 60% equity portion, which is also the reason behind the significant inflows into money market mutual funds and buffer ETFs.He further stated that this is not to say bonds will never hedge against stocks in the end, but their recent track record is less than ideal. The Fed's long-term rate cuts once pushed both bonds and stocks higher simultaneously. In 2022, when rates were unexpectedly hiked, both fell in tandem. Recently, rising crude oil prices have fueled inflation concerns, leading to a similar scenario once again.
According to Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs Group is gauging investor appetite for a potential $5.4 billion debt issuance plan, with the proceeds to be used to support the QTS data center project under Blackstone tied to Microsoft. The debt structure includes approximately $4.9 billion in secured bonds and approximately $500 million in term loans. Affected by recent sell-offs in AI-related debt, the issuance timing is still under discussion, and the plan remains uncertain.
Approximately one month after its launch, Robinhood Chain has surpassed Solana in two metrics: Meme coin trading volume and the number of tokenized stock holders. On-chain data shows that Robinhood Launchpad's weekly trading volume reached $1.23 billion, surpassing Solana's core Meme coin platform PumpSwap's $1.22 billion for the first time; in terms of tokenized stock asset holders, Robinhood Chain leads with 330,000 users, followed closely by Solana with 281,000, while BNB Chain ranks third with 214,000. However, the lead in holder count has not translated into an advantage in asset scale—Robinhood Chain accounts for only about 1% of the over $2 billion tokenized stock market. Additionally, Meme coin hype cooled off towards the end of the month, with the chain's DEX daily trading volume falling from a peak of $900 million to around $500 million. To date, Robinhood Chain has generated cumulative revenue of approximately $3 million. On the stock front, institutional analysts from Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, and others maintain a bullish outlook on HOOD stock, with a target price of $122, representing approximately 31% upside potential from the current price of $92.7.
: Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh will announce the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision on July 29. The market widely expects the benchmark interest rate to remain unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% for the fifth consecutive time. Data from CME FedWatch shows the probability of a rate hold is between 95% and 98%. TD Securities stated that traders are still overestimating the probability of a surprise rate hike, and the related pricing includes a risk premium due to the Iran situation. The institution believes that if the Fed holds rates steady as expected, the deviation between current market pricing and actual policy action will narrow. TD Securities predicts that if the Fed keeps rates unchanged for an extended period, the dollar could fall by about 2% in the second half of 2026. The institution believes that the Fed needs to see clearer evidence of sustained inflation and a strong labor market before considering a rate hike.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that since July, sentiment in the derivatives market has recovered, and the Binance funding rate, as an important reference indicator for the futures market, has started to turn positive again. He believes that from March to late May, Bitcoin experienced a deep correction, market pessimism accumulated and drove the funding rate to turn negative at one point, and this process once provided support for Bitcoin's technical rebound.
multiple South Korean media outlets interpret the recent sharp stock market decline as the impact of the listing of China's largest semiconductor company, CXMT. Market concerns are spreading that CXMT, by leveraging funds raised from its stock market debut, will catch up with semiconductor giants such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, undermining investment sentiment.According to a previous report by CNBC, Z-Ben Advisors analyst Peter Alexander believes that, following the development trajectory of the steel and new energy vehicle industries, CXMT will rapidly capture market share in low-end memory chips and ultimately challenge the global memory industry monopoly held by Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology. (China News Service)
According to TechFlow Research, on Monday (July 27), Apple rose over 1%, with its market cap reaching $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia's $4.78 trillion to return to the top spot in global market cap. Over the past month, Apple outperformed the Nasdaq 100 Index by 23 percentage points, marking the largest single-month excess return since 2005. Goldman Sachs raised the target price from $330 to $370 on the same day, maintaining a Buy rating, citing increased confidence in the iPhone upgrade cycle and AI strategy. Apple will release its Q3 earnings report on Thursday, with the market expecting EPS to be $1.89. This market cap overtaking occurred against the backdrop of growing investor concerns over the ROI on huge AI capital expenditures, with Google's FCF turning negative and Nvidia facing sell-offs, while Apple became a safe haven instead due to restrained AI spending.