News linked to both this project and an event.
Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated in an interview with Bloomberg that the Bitcoin price has not reacted significantly to negative news recently, such as the Coldcard security incident, Strategy sell-off, and the CLARITY Act's progress falling short of expectations, which may indicate that Bitcoin has approached or reached the bottom of this bear market.
According to CoinDesk, data from Blockware Intelligence shows that listed Bitcoin miners held a total of 127,000 BTC at the beginning of the year, which has now decreased to 99,000. Cumulative sell-offs within the year amount to approximately 28,000 BTC, valued at about $1.78 billion at current prices. Analysis points out that although this sell-off volume is smaller than the net outflows of over $4.4 billion from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, against the backdrop of a market downturn and weak buying pressure, the impact of consistent, steady marginal selling pressure on prices is often underestimated. BTC has cumulatively declined 27% since the beginning of 2026, underperforming major assets including the S&P 500. Furthermore, impacted by narrowing mining profits (the current average production cost per BTC is approximately $74,300), an increasing number of miners are pivoting to AI computing power businesses. Meanwhile, network-wide mining difficulty has dropped by about 18% from its November peak, and mining revenue for remaining miners has correspondingly increased by about 18%, as the industry competitive landscape is being reshaped.
Odaily News, Citrini analyst jukan stated on the X platform that Temasek, one of Asia's largest sovereign wealth funds, is making new investments in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, marking Temasek's first foray into the Korean stock market.It is understood that Temasek believes memory semiconductors represent the lowest-valued segment within the AI value chain. An industry insider noted: "Temasek's investment approach is to allocate substantial capital to market-leading sectors from a long-term perspective. Samsung and SK Hynix have surged more than 880% from their lows last year, but this move indicates Temasek is confident the rally will continue."
: Retail bearish sentiment has hit a new multi-year record, while institutional positioning lags even further behind. As U.S. equities face an unprecedented disconnect between fundamentals and capital flows, analysts predict a rare "Wall Street expectation gap" is now underway. Last week, the S&P 500 index posted a cumulative gain of 22% since late March and broke through the 7,700-point mark for the first time in history. As investors digested the latest batch of earnings reports, the benchmark index closed roughly flat on Monday.Strategists at 22V Research have observed a notable divergence between the AAII Bull-Bear Spread and the firm's proprietary economic data index, which tracks a range of U.S. macro data releases. According to the firm's model, the current valuation deviation implies that the S&P 500 will rise by 1.6%, 5.1%, and 7.8% over the next one, three, and six months, respectively.Dennis DeBusschere, President and Chief Market Strategist at 22V Research, wrote in a note to clients: "The current reading of investor sentiment relative to economic data suggests market returns will be above normal levels."Alastair Pinder, Global Equity Strategist at HSBC, also noted that the many macro concerns that have emerged over the past few weeks have indeed given investors ample reason to question the current stock market rally.
Odaily News According to Gate Ventures' latest weekly report, global risk assets have shown a clear recovery over the past week, with major US stock indices collectively hitting new all-time highs. The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.58%, 5.19%, and 2.96%, respectively. The crypto market also rebounded in tandem, with BTC up 2.1% on the week and ETH up 1.4%, bringing the total cryptocurrency market cap up 1.4%. On the capital flows front, BTC spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $853 million for the week, while ETH spot ETFs saw net inflows of $244.9 million, indicating further improvement in institutional demand.In terms of industry developments, the integration of traditional finance and blockchain continues to advance. BlackRock has appointed JPMorgan to push forward the tokenization of a European money market fund, exploring 24/7 transfer of blockchain-based fund shares. Grayscale has filed an S-1 registration statement for the first US Worldcoin ETF, further deepening the connection between digital assets and traditional financial markets. Stablecoin infrastructure also remained active, with Yellow Card completing a $40 million strategic funding round and planning to expand its stablecoin account and payment infrastructure into Latin America and the Asia-Pacific markets.On the investment and financing front, eight deals were completed last week, with total disclosed funding reaching $90.64 million, focused on the infrastructure track. Overall, market risk appetite has seen some recovery, with institutional-grade blockchain infrastructure, stablecoins, and asset tokenization remaining key areas of continued industry focus.
Last week, major assets closed higher across the board: July Non-Farm Payrolls -23k severely dampened rate hike expectations, the USD broke below 100, and Gold and Crypto benefited in tandem. BTC/ETH ETF weekly net inflows were $853M/$245M, the third-largest institutional buying week of the year. Core risk this week: 8/12 CPI (08:30 ET), determining the direction of September rate hike expectations. Strategy advances on three fronts: Sell ETH weekly expiry $1,800 P (annualized ~15-20%), Sell HYPE 1D $52 P (annualized ~70%, newly listed on Bybit), Sell XAUT 1D $4,360 C (annualized ~30-60%). All three positions must be reduced to safe levels before CPI.
According to Yonhap News, the phenomenon of "reverse Kimchi premium" in South Korea's virtual asset market has continued to intensify since the beginning of this year. According to monitoring by on-chain data platform CryptoQuant, the average Bitcoin Kimchi premium index in early August was -0.48%, and the Ethereum average was -0.49%, meaning domestic prices were lower than those on overseas exchanges. Of the 221 days this year, the number of days with a reverse Bitcoin Kimchi premium reached 123, marking the first time since CryptoQuant began tracking this data in July 2020 that it exceeded the number of days with a positive premium. The record for the longest consecutive streak was also recently broken—from June 20 to July 24 this year, a reverse premium was recorded for 35 consecutive days, surpassing the previous historical record of 23 days. Analysts noted that the continued expansion of the reverse Kimchi premium mainly stems from three factors: first, the South Korean stock market has continued to strengthen, attracting a large number of investors to shift away from the crypto market; second, tighter regulations have prevented new services such as derivatives from being launched, suppressing the inflow of new funds; third, the crypto asset taxation policy is about to be implemented, further depressing investment attractiveness.
Odaily News: Unitree Robotics officially opened IPO subscription on the STAR Market today. According to the announcement, Unitree Robotics' offering price is set at 150.80 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of approximately 60.993 billion yuan at the time of listing, and an expected total fundraising amount of 6.099 billion yuan. The online subscription code for this offering is 787836, with an expected online issuance of 6.471 million shares. The market estimates the lottery win rate at 0.02%–0.03%. It should be noted that after the subscription period concludes, the lottery results will be announced on August 12, and successful investors must complete payment on the same day. If an investor wins the lottery three times within 12 months but fails to make full payment, they will be restricted from participating in new stock and bond subscriptions for six months.Yang Chao, chief strategy analyst at China Galaxy Securities, noted that the capital threshold for participating in this IPO subscription is relatively high, and the lottery win rate is low. Share prices are likely to experience significant volatility in the early stages of the STAR Market listing. Investors should fully assess the risks associated with the high valuation and ensure timely and full payment if selected, avoiding missed payments that could trigger subscription restrictions.
Odaily News, According to Lookonchain monitoring, BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF has recorded net BTC inflows for four consecutive trading days. Over the past four trading days, BlackRock's related products have accumulated approximately 9,269 Bitcoin (worth about $604 million).Market analysts noted that sustained institutional inflows indicate that investor demand for Bitcoin remains strong in the long term. As spot Bitcoin ETFs become a key channel for traditional capital to enter the crypto market, ETF fund flows have emerged as an important gauge of institutional market sentiment.
Odaily News: Whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" shared market views on X platform, writing "the last chance to get on board." Previously, they noted that the current market offers too low a risk-reward ratio for shorting, and that it is already a stage-by-stage bottom. They also sense that Bitcoin is likely about to break out and initiate a new round of upward momentum, fearing they might miss the starting signal.
Odaily News - Investment firm Bernstein recently released a report assigning different ratings to two major Bitcoin miners transitioning to AI infrastructure: maintaining an "Outperform" rating on CleanSpark with a price target of $24, and initiating coverage on MARA Holdings with a "Market-Perform" rating and a price target of $17.Bernstein analysts stated that the core reason for the valuation divergence between the two companies lies in their differing progress in executing AI infrastructure transitions. CleanSpark has already signed an anchor tenant agreement for an AI data center and commenced construction, while MARA is still awaiting its first commercial AI contract.Regarding CleanSpark, the company previously announced the signing of a 20-year triple-net lease agreement with a global high-investment-grade technology firm, covering 175MW of IT capacity at its Sandersville, Georgia project. The agreement also includes exclusive cooperation arrangements for CleanSpark's total 885MW asset portfolio in Texas. Bernstein believes that CleanSpark's collaboration with tenant-designated engineering and construction contractors helps mitigate risks associated with its first large-scale AI infrastructure deployment. The first data center hall is expected to become operational in the fourth quarter of 2027.In contrast, Bernstein's assessment of MARA is more cautious. Analysts pointed out that the first commercial AI contract will serve as a key catalyst for a re-rating of MARA's stock, noting that company management previously indicated expectations of signing at least two AI lease agreements by the end of this year. (The Block)
Odaily News: Bitcoin's volatility has recently neared zero, but market risks have not been resolved. Data shows that spot Bitcoin ETFs have not seen any outflows in the first week of August, with cumulative net inflows of approximately $754 million. However, Bitcoin's price remains around $64,700, while the options market is heavily focused on downside protection near $62,000 and $63,000.Market signals are showing divergence: on one hand, demand for spot ETFs has picked up again; on the other hand, derivatives traders are positioning in advance for a potential pullback, especially ahead of the latest U.S. employment data release.However, looking at the overall positioning structure, the market still leans bullish. Bitcoin call options account for approximately 60.7% of total open interest, indicating that investors' long-term expectations remain positive, with recent trading more concentrated on short-term risk hedging. Meanwhile, the cost of volatility protection remains low. Deribit's DVOL index, which reflects Bitcoin's expected volatility over the next 30 days, is currently around 35—a significant drop from the high of 90 earlier this year—suggesting that the market sees limited potential for major swings in the short term.That said, U.S. macroeconomic data could break this balance. The market expects U.S. non-farm payrolls for July to increase by approximately 97,500, up from 57,000 in June, with the unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.2%. If the employment data comes in stronger than expected, it could push U.S. Treasury yields higher and reinforce expectations of Fed rate hikes; if the data is weak, it could push yields down, but also heighten concerns about slowing economic growth.Currently, the Bitcoin market presents a pattern of "ETF inflows underpinning spot prices while the options market hedges against downside." Potential risks remain a concern in a low-volatility environment. With low market participation and insufficient liquidity, even small changes in supply or demand could trigger sharp swings in asset prices. (CoinDesk)
Market data shows that hedge funds recorded net purchases of approximately $4.8 billion in US stocks last week, marking the second-largest weekly buying scale since 2008. Measured as a share of the S&P 500's total market capitalization, this buying scale ranks as the 24th highest in history, indicating that hedge funds are re-intensifying their allocation to US equities.Meanwhile, institutional investors recorded net sales of approximately $3.8 billion in US stocks last week, ending a four-week consecutive buying streak. As a result, the average net buying scale of institutional investors over the past four weeks has fallen to $3.9 billion. Retail investors slightly reduced their US stock holdings by approximately $200 million during the same period, bringing their average net buying scale over the past four weeks down to $600 million.Market observers point out that after the recent market volatility, hedge funds are flowing back into US stock markets, with a strengthening trend in capital allocation toward risk assets. The large-scale buying by hedge funds may reflect renewed confidence in corporate earnings, AI-driven growth, and the medium-to-long-term trajectory of US equities. (The Kobeissi Letter)
According to Bloomberg reports, SpaceX stock performed relatively steadily on Thursday following the expiration of the lock-up period (lock-up agreement) restricting insiders from selling shares, involving the unlocking of up to approximately 911.5 million shares valued at about $100 billion based on current valuation. Trading data shows SpaceX stock price fluctuated within a range of less than 3% during early trading, as the market digests the potential selling pressure brought by this large-scale share release. Trading volume in the first 30 minutes after the opening approached 93 million shares, accounting for about 40% of the total volume of the previous trading day. This unlocking occurred shortly after SpaceX announced its first earnings report. Previously, SpaceX stock price once fell about 14% due to investor concerns that the company's investment scale in artificial intelligence business was higher than expected. However, most Wall Street analysts still maintain a long-term optimistic view on the company. Market focus includes SpaceX's future investment plans in AI, satellite internet, and mobile communication businesses. Despite facing capital expenditure pressure in the short term, analysts believe the company's leading position in rocket launches, Starlink satellite network, and commercial space sectors remains an important factor supporting its long-term valuation. This stock unlocking of about $100 billion has also become an important event for the market to test investor confidence after SpaceX's listing. The lack of significant stock price fluctuations indicates that the market had certain expectations regarding the liquidity release from internal shareholders.
Odaily News According to Arkham monitoring, BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), has recorded net capital inflows for multiple consecutive trading days this week, with investors increasing their Bitcoin holdings every day.Data shows that as of now, IBIT has purchased approximately $478.5 million worth of Bitcoin this week.Market analysts believe that the continued inflow of institutional capital into spot Bitcoin ETFs reflects the growing demand from traditional investors for digital asset allocation. As one of the world's largest asset management companies, the capital movements of BlackRock's IBIT are also regarded as an important indicator for measuring institutional investor participation in the Bitcoin market.
CryptoQuant stated that as crypto asset prices remain under pressure, large holders are increasing their positions in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, indicating they may be preparing for the next market cycle.The firm believes this behavior suggests the current bear market may have entered its final phase. However, CryptoQuant also emphasized that the market has not yet confirmed a bottom, and prices could still decline further.CryptoQuant Research Head Julio Moreno stated that the largest holder groups of BTC, ETH, and XRP are increasing their supply holdings as prices approach or fall below their realized prices. This shift in positioning helps reduce downward pressure and aligns with characteristics typical of the late stage of a cyclical downturn.Data shows that, excluding exchanges and mining pools, Bitcoin whale balances have rebounded from a low of approximately 2.87 million BTC in December 2025 to roughly 3.06 million BTC. This data also excludes holdings by ETFs or digital asset treasury companies.CryptoQuant noted that Bitcoin whale holdings have maintained a positive 30-day growth for most of 2026, and accumulation intensified when Bitcoin fell below $60,000 in June. However, current whale balances remain below the 2025 bull market peak of approximately 3.23 million BTC, suggesting there is still room for continued accumulation.
According to Odaily, despite spot Bitcoin ETFs recording net inflows of $211.5 million on Tuesday, the price of Bitcoin remained largely flat, hovering around $64,000. Analysts believe this movement resembles the market being compressed into a low-volatility state, rather than signaling an impending sharp decline.On the same day, spot Ethereum ETFs also recorded net inflows of $53.8 million. In the broader macro market, the S&P 500 index closed at a record high of 7,737 points on August 4, the Nasdaq rose 2.6% driven by AI earnings, and Brent crude oil fell below $80 due to easing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.Wintermute OTC trader Jasper De Maere stated that ETF buying entering the market but failing to push Bitcoin's price higher is itself a key signal, indicating that marginal buyers in the spot market are not truly one-sided bulls. He believes that for Bitcoin to sustain its recovery narrative, it needs a clear breakout above $65,000 in the short term.Overall, analysts are interpreting the current Bitcoin price action as a form of "boring bottoming": no obvious panic selling, yet lacking strong upward momentum. ETF inflows provide support, but the price remains suppressed below key resistance, suggesting the market is still waiting for a clearer directional catalyst.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated on the X platform that the current Bitcoin (BTC) supply profit ratio is approximately 52%, meaning nearly half of Bitcoin holdings are still at a loss, and the market is approaching a key turning point in the bear market cycle.The analysis points out that historically, during each bear market, the Bitcoin profitable supply ratio eventually falls below 50%, entering a stage where "loss-making positions are in the majority." This typically signals further release of market pressure and serves as an important indicator of the late bear market phase.Data shows that in June and July of this year, the Bitcoin profitable supply ratio briefly fell below 50%, but overall it remained near the critical level. Analysts believe this indicates that the current bear market cycle has entered a deeper stage.The analysis states that regardless of where the final market bottom price lies, the Bitcoin market may currently be entering the final phase of the bear market.However, the profitable supply ratio only reflects the on-chain cost structure of holdings and cannot alone determine the market bottom. Further observation combining indicators such as capital flows, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment is still required.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated in a post that while Bitcoin continues to oscillate within the $60,000 to $65,000 range, the Binance Whale Inflow Ratio has risen to 0.52, hitting a new high in nearly four months. The rise in this indicator suggests that compared to retail and small-to-medium traders, whales have recently transferred more Bitcoin to Binance, implying that potential selling pressure in the market has increased.
According to Glassnode data reported by Odaily, the $63,000 level is emerging as a key support and battleground zone for Bitcoin (BTC) in the current market. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has continued to trade within the $60,000 to $67,000 range, with over 3% of BTC's circulating supply—approximately 515,000 BTC—having a cost basis concentrated near $63,000. Additionally, more than 362,000 BTC is concentrated in the $61,000 area. Glassnode notes that only the $78,000 to $82,000 range currently has a higher supply density than this zone, corresponding to Bitcoin's May cyclical peak.Furthermore, Bitcoin's current price nearly coincides with the 200-week moving average. Glassnode data shows that the 200-week MA currently stands at approximately $63,657, while BTC's price is around $63,822, indicating significant historical accumulation and strong cost support in this area.Looking at the 30-day cumulative Accumulation Trend Score, all types of investors are currently in a net accumulation state, with retail buying momentum being the most pronounced. Meanwhile, whale addresses holding more than 1,000 BTC continue to increase their positions, suggesting that long-term capital is still positioning itself. The $63,000 level has become a critical price band in Bitcoin's short-term market structure, and investor accumulation behavior may provide important reference for future price movements. (CoinDesk)