News linked to both this project and an event.
SpaceX officially filed its IPO prospectus last week. However, CEO Elon Musk's recent social media posts detailing the company's computing power leasing agreement with Anthropic have shown clear discrepancies with the prospectus's content. The prospectus states the collaboration will last until 2029, with a monthly rent of $125 million; Musk claims the agreement is merely a 180-day short-term lease, with either party able to terminate the partnership with 90 days' notice.This divergence makes it difficult for investors to assess the company's valuation, and industry experts have raised questions about the standardization of information disclosure. Furthermore, analysts point out that the prospectus is missing several key data points. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12. The company is currently valued at over one trillion dollars and continues to operate at a loss. (CNBC)
Odaily报道, “BTC OG insider whale” Garrett Jin has released his “Weekly Market Strategy Signal.” In his analysis, he points out that the current geopolitical situation and the trajectory of the US dollar are deadlocked: despite US strikes on Iranian-related targets, tensions in the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved. Although US Secretary of State Rubio signaled “positive news,” the peace agreement proposed by Iran has already been vetoed by the White House.Long-term US Treasury yields continue to hover in the 5.07% – 5.18% range, reaching their highest levels in 19 years. The S&P 500 index briefly hit a new high before quickly pulling back. Garrett Jin believes that a single positive or negative catalyst is insufficient to change the market landscape. Only when at least two of the three key factors—the credit environment, Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical conditions—converge can the market experience a substantial shift.On another front, capital expenditure in the AI sector is accelerating its shift from the United States to Asia. ByteDance plans to increase its capital expenditure to as high as $70 billion this year, while Tencent and Alibaba are also ramping up their investments. Competition in the AI arena has now escalated to the level of national competition.
According to Kairos Research data, Hyperliquid’s (HYPE) spot ETF absorbed 1.04% of its market capitalization within the first 10 trading days after launch—outperforming the debut performance of spot ETFs for Bitcoin (0.59%), Ethereum (0.41%), and Solana (0.31%) when measured by market-cap-adjusted demand. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that 21Shares’ HYPE ETF (THYP) has surged 50% since its launch two weeks ago—growing faster than BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF, IBIT.
CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ pointed out that Bitcoin’s recent price action shows a dangerous divergence: Binance taker buy volume has been declining continuously, hitting a multi-month low—indicating a clear weakening in active buying demand. At the same time, Binance’s funding rate has rebounded into positive territory, suggesting traders are adding long positions via leverage. Historically, rising funding rates alongside shrinking spot demand often signal the market’s entry into a late-stage speculative phase—leverage-driven rallies lacking support from underlying spot capital are structurally fragile. If buying pressure fails to recover meaningfully, the current rise in funding rates may reflect latent risk rather than underlying market strength.
Kairos Research posted on X platform, stating that the HYPE spot ETF has absorbed 1.04% of the HYPE circulating market cap within its first 10 trading days, marking the strongest debut among all spot crypto ETFs to date. A comparative analysis of the same period shows that among the cohort of new issuers (excluding net outflows from legacy trust products like GBTC and ETHE), BTC spot ETFs accounted for 0.59%, ETH for 0.41%, and SOL for 0.31%.
Investment bank TD Cowen stated that as the relevant political environment continues to deteriorate, the likelihood of the US crypto market structure bill, the "Clarity Act," passing this year is declining.TD Cowen analyst Jaret Seiberg pointed out that while the Senate Banking Committee advanced the bill earlier this month, this does not signify a substantive bipartisan agreement; rather, it merely pushes the controversy to the full Senate floor.The report indicated that the escalating controversies surrounding US President Donald Trump and his administration related to crypto in recent days are making it harder for Democrats to support the bill. If the bill does not include clear conflict-of-interest provisions, it will face even greater difficulty in gaining sufficient support in the current political environment.
Wintermute stated that, as of May 25, BTC was trading at approximately $76,600 (down 1.5% weekly), while ETH traded at around $2,140 (down 1.7% weekly). Meanwhile, the U.S. equity market’s S&P 500 Index hit a new all-time high during the same period—highlighting a pronounced divergence between crypto and equities. BTC spot ETFs saw outflows of roughly $1.26 billion for the week, bringing cumulative outflows over two weeks to over $2 billion. Institutional buying—previously instrumental in driving BTC from $70,000 to $80,000—has clearly receded. The ETH/BTC ratio hit a fresh 10-month low, down 35% cumulatively from its August peak. On the macro front, the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index plunged to a historic low of 44.8, while the one-year inflation expectation rose to 4.8%. NVIDIA reported Q1 revenue growth of 85% year-on-year and issued a Q2 revenue guidance of $91 billion—but saw virtually no after-hours reaction, suggesting AI-related trades are already fully priced in. Wintermute noted that BTC’s key support currently lies between $75,000 and $76,000; holding this range could enable a retest of $80,000, whereas a break below would rapidly open the $70,000–$72,000 zone. The near-term direction hinges on whether institutional capital returns to the market.
Hyperliquid has recently significantly outperformed the broader market. Its token, HYPE, hit an all-time high following the launch of two related ETFs in the United States. Meanwhile, European traders are accelerating their migration to the platform due to restricted access to perpetual contracts on regulated exchanges. Market analyst Michael van de Poppe stated that with Hyperliquid's continued rally and renewed interest in AI-related crypto projects, signs of improving risk appetite are emerging in the altcoin market. Hyperliquid’s expansion into tokenized stocks, commodities, and pre-IPO assets is strengthening the on-chain asset tokenization trend. He suggested that if market sentiment continues to improve, HYPE’s price could target $100 or even higher.However, Michael van de Poppe also stressed that while Hyperliquid holds a short-term advantage, Solana offers greater long-term investment certainty, transitioning from a "speculative ecosystem" to institutional-grade infrastructure. In the AI track, he noted that NEAR Protocol and Bittensor remain significantly undervalued, citing a disconnect between their fundamental growth and valuations. He pointed out that NEAR’s revenue growth potential and Bittensor’s subnet expansion could support higher valuation ranges. Additionally, he indicated that the privacy sector retains long-term demand, but fully anonymous systems face regulatory pressure. The future is more likely to be dominated by zero-knowledge proofs and compliant privacy solutions.On the macro level, Michael van de Poppe highlighted that bond yields and central bank policies remain the core drivers of the crypto market, with changes in Japanese government bond yields potentially serving as a key barometer. (CoinDesk)
analysts suggest the rising yields on U.S. Treasury bonds and other major global economies' sovereign bonds are weakening the market's willingness to allocate to high-risk, non-yielding assets like Bitcoin. Meanwhile, amid tensions related to Iran, concerns over potential supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz are growing, prompting some speculative capital to flow into commodity markets such as crude oil, copper, and sulfur.Market数据显示，Bitcoin has dropped over 3% in the past 24 hours, falling approximately 10% from its recent high of around $82,500 on May 6. During this market downturn, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to experience capital outflows. U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of approximately $1.26 billion this week, marking the largest single-week capital outflow since January. The previous week also saw outflows close to $1 billion, with cumulative net outflows over the two weeks exceeding $2.26 billion.Additionally, there are emerging views that capital might be shifting towards trades related to SpaceX's potential IPO. Currently, trading volume for some blockchain-based derivatives in the pre-IPO market for SpaceX has reached millions of dollars. (CoinDesk)
Polymarket staff member Shantikiran Chanal posted on platform X, stating that they have taken note of the security reports related to reward distribution, and that user funds and market settlements remain safe. The investigation indicates that a private key leak occurred in a wallet used for internal operations, and the issue is not related to contracts or core infrastructure. Further updates will be provided.Previous report: ZachXBT stated that the Polymarket UMA CTF Adapter contract allegedly came under attack on Polygon, with over $520,000 having been drained.
analysts from CryptoQuant have pointed out that, based on a comprehensive review of multiple miner indicators, Bitcoin miners have not yet exhibited behavioral characteristics that "confirm a market bottom," and are currently in a phase of waiting and cautious adjustment. Meanwhile, the Miner Position Index (MPI) remains in negative territory, indicating that current selling intensity is below historical averages. Miners are not in a panic-selling phase but are engaging in "passive selling" primarily to maintain cash flow, suggesting that the probability of an extreme short-term decline is relatively limited. Additionally, the Puell Multiple remains below 1, further indicating that miner revenues are at historically weak levels, and overall profitability is under pressure. However, the strong accumulation behavior typically seen at cycle bottoms has not yet appeared.The analysis suggests that miners are currently in a "waiting phase," having neither triggered a capitulation-style sell-off nor entered an active accumulation cycle. This resembles a typical transitional state before a market bottom forms. Overall, while selling pressure from miners has eased, on-chain structures still show short-term supply pressure exists. Bitcoin is expected to continue its range-bound consolidation pattern, and market sentiment is likely to remain cautious in the near term.
the U.S. SEC is seeking public comments on prediction market ETFs and has postponed the approval process for related "new-type ETFs."SEC Chairman Paul Atkins stated, "New products bring new questions," indicating that regulators need to further assess the impact of such products. Previously, Bitwise, Roundhill, and GraniteShares have submitted applications for prediction market ETFs, which would track the outcomes of events such as U.S. elections.Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that the SEC is currently evaluating prediction market ETFs cautiously, similar to its previous approach to spot crypto ETFs. (Cointelegraph)
Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg ETF analyst, stated in a post that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair is soliciting public comments on prediction market ETFs. Balchunas noted that the Commission is clearly researching and evaluating such products and seeks additional time and input. He believes prediction market ETFs are a novel concept—akin to cryptocurrencies—and regulators aim to ensure their safety before formally approving them.
the spot ETF product associated with Hyperliquid recorded approximately $22.3 million in net inflows during its first week of trading. Market analysts believe this reflects strong institutional demand and the expansion of the on-chain derivatives ecosystem. Data shows that Hyperliquid currently captures over 42% of the fee share in the on-chain derivatives market, significantly ahead of the Ethereum and Solana ecosystems. Analysts suggest that the token (HYPE) buyback and burn mechanism further amplifies the transmission effect of ETF fund flows on price. (The Block)Previously reported, Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated that the continued rise in THYP trading volume is "a positive signal of increasing organic demand" and noted that Hyperliquid's high fee revenue may be a key factor attracting investor attention.
According to Finance Feeds, Wintermute’s latest report states that the global market narrative has rapidly shifted from “when will rates be cut?” to “will rates need to be raised?”, driven by rising inflationary pressures and hotter-than-expected macroeconomic data—leading to a cooling of momentum in the crypto market. Bitcoin retreated after briefly breaking above $83,000, while major altcoins posted double-digit weekly declines. The report notes that this rally was primarily fueled by short squeezes in the perpetual futures market—not underlying spot buying. Concurrently, Bitcoin derivatives open interest rose by $10 billion over the past month to $58 billion, while spot trading volume fell to a two-year low. Although spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $623 million recently and exchange-held Bitcoin reserves dropped to a seven-year low, these factors remain insufficient to offset near-term macro risks.
According to independent analyst Markus Thielen, HYPE has become one of the strongest-performing tokens in the crypto market since the outbreak of the Iran conflict, surging over 100% from its 2026 lows—with particularly pronounced outperformance relative to Bitcoin. The core driver behind this strength lies in Hyperliquid’s ongoing expansion beyond crypto into other asset classes, having successively launched TradFi-linked products such as oil and SpaceX perpetual contracts, thereby attracting substantial capital inflows. Thielen notes that this trend reflects a broader acceleration by crypto exchanges into high-volatility, topical traditional financial derivatives—and signals that the intrinsic value of crypto infrastructure itself is gradually surpassing the crypto narrative. Although HYPE is already a highly crowded long position with strong conviction among market participants, its current momentum remains robust.
Well-known investor Duan Yongping’s U.S.-based investment account, H&H International Investment, filed an SEC Form 13F for the first quarter of 2026, revealing that as of March 31, 2026, it held 19 securities with a total portfolio value of approximately $20.004 billion; all positions were independently decided. Specifically, the account held 28,945,607 shares of Apple (AAPL), valued at $7.346 billion; 9,147,796 shares of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B), valued at $4.384 billion; 13,843,775 shares of NVIDIA (NVDA), valued at $2.414 billion; 19,748,294 shares of Pinduoduo (PDD), valued at $2.018 billion; 3,408,900 shares of Tesla (TSLA), valued at $1.267 billion; and 1,016,000 shares of Microsoft (MSFT), valued at $376 million. Circle was newly disclosed as a position this quarter, with a holding of 200,000 shares valued at $19.082 million, representing approximately 0.1% of the portfolio.
Odaily Odaily, analysts at VanEck, which manages $200 billion in assets, said Matthew Sigel, said the digital credit market could expand to $2.5 trillion over the next decade, while the price of BTC is expected to reach $1 million. Matthew Sigel said the target is "absolutely within reach." (BitcoinTreasuries.NET)
crypto research firm 10x Research stated that since the release of US CPI data on May 13th, Bitcoin ETFs have seen cumulative net outflows exceeding $1 billion, reigniting "inflation trade" sentiment in the market. Market sentiment indicators have dropped from 87% to 45%. Meanwhile, long-term US Treasury yields continue to climb, with the 30-year yield rising to 5.12%. As inflation returns to the forefront of market focus, the crypto market is facing significant headwinds.Furthermore, 10x Research noted that its models have triggered bearish signals for Ethereum, and Bitcoin is currently testing the key support level of its 30-day moving average. A confirmed breakdown below this level could signal further momentum deterioration. The firm is closely watching the short-term bull/bear line at $79,125 and the major support level at $76,922, suggesting that the bottom for this cycle may have already formed.
According to documents filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Gates Foundation Trust sold its remaining approximately 7.7 million shares of Microsoft stock in the first quarter of 2026, valued at roughly $3.2 billion based on current share prices. As of the end of the quarter, the charitable foundation no longer holds any Microsoft stock. Market analysts believe this full divestment aligns with Bill Gates’ recent charitable planning direction. In May 2025, Gates announced that the foundation would gradually wind down its operations over the next 20 years and allocate all its assets to charitable purposes, with the goal of permanently closing the foundation by December 31, 2045; charitable expenditures during this period are projected to exceed $200 billion.