News linked to both this project and an event.
US stock futures fell across the board on Friday, with the tech sector leading the decline, as market concerns over rising AI infrastructure costs and a slowdown in fundraising pace intensified. Nasdaq 100 futures fell 1.2%, S&P 500 futures dropped 0.5%, and Dow Jones futures lost 67 points (-0.1%). Chip stocks broadly weakened following reports that OpenAI is considering postponing its IPO until next year, citing increased volatility in AI-related stocks, unstable market sentiment, and even the impact of SpaceX’s weak post-IPO performance.JPMorgan's trading desk noted that this news has reinforced market concerns about the sustainability of AI infrastructure investments and could affect the pace of future capital market fundraising. Vital Knowledge analyst Adam Crisafulli also stated that the IPO delay could slow down the overall expansion rate of AI infrastructure spending.In the chip sector, Philadelphia Semiconductor-related stocks came under pressure, with ON Semiconductor falling over 13% after acquiring Synaptics. Micron Technology and SanDisk both declined by more than 5%. The XLK ETF tracking the tech sector fell 1.6%, extending the previous session's losses. (CNBC)
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, against the backdrop of elevated PCE inflation and broad-based pullbacks in tech stocks, BlackBerry (BB) reported Q1 revenue up 26% year-on-year—exceeding guidance—and raised its full-year outlook, standing out as a rare outperformer. The BB perpetual contract on the Hyperliquid platform surged 12.6% over the past 24 hours, currently trading at $10.28.
According to CryptoQuant analyst Gaah’s monitoring, the Bitcoin Cycle Momentum indicator has yet to break above the neutral zone (0), clearly signaling the continuation of the bear market. The indicator has currently declined to the -30 level—a range that has historically served as a key cyclical support zone and formed major cycle bottoms on multiple occasions. Analysts note that for a trend reversal to be confirmed, price must first form a bullish pattern, accompanied by the indicator’s effective breakout above the neutral zone.
Bitcoin has dropped approximately 40% since Strategy launched its Bitcoin financing instrument, STRC, which has now fallen below its $100 issuance par value. This has sparked market debate over the sustainability of Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin “flywheel” model. Strategy currently holds over 846,000 BTC, but its purchase pace has notably slowed recently. Data shows that during the week ending June 8, the company added 1,550 BTC, worth approximately $101 million. The following week, ending June 15, it added another 1,587 BTC, valued at about $100 million. In contrast, during a single week in April 2026, the firm bought 34,164 BTC for $2.54 billion, indicating a significant decline in its recent capital deployment.Meanwhile, Strategy previously sold 32 BTC to meet dividend obligations. While minimal relative to its total holdings, the market views this as a sign that cash flow pressures could intensify if STRC’s funding efficiency declines. STRC was originally designed as a preferred stock instrument trading near its $100 par value, using dividend adjustments to attract investors and help Strategy raise capital for Bitcoin purchases. STRC has now fallen to historic lows, once dropping to $82.53 before closing at $88.59—roughly 13% below par value.Critics argue that STRC’s dip below par indicates mounting pressure on Strategy’s funding channels. Peter Schiff, a long-time Bitcoin critic, labeled STRC “a typical centralized Ponzi scheme,” claiming the model relies on continuous financing or Bitcoin sales to sustain itself. Crypto trader DonAlt also questioned STRC’s recent performance, describing its trading behavior as resembling a “Ponzi scheme.”However, some analysts believe STRC’s decline is more due to leverage liquidations than a fundamental deterioration of Strategy. STRC had long traded around $99 to $100, attracting leveraged traders. When the price broke below a key level, forced liquidations were triggered, exacerbating the drop.Analyst Scott Melker noted that STRC’s current yield has actually improved due to the discount. Since dividends are calculated based on the $100 liquidation preference, at an STRC price of $90, the 11.5% annualized dividend translates to an actual yield of about 12.8%. If the price falls to $85, the yield could exceed 13%.Strategy is expected to announce its next STRC dividend adjustment by June 30. The market is now focused on whether the STRC discount will persist and whether Strategy’s model of using capital market financing to continuously accumulate BTC can remain stable. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily, "White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity posted on X, reviewing his past experiences where his investment views faced skepticism. He stated that many original investment ideas initially face strong opposition, but ultimately the market becomes the standard for judging right and wrong. He has faced significant criticism for being bullish on several companies, for example:$AXTI: Early on, it was questioned as a "scam company," and related discussions even led to a ban from Reddit's WSB forum. However, it later received coverage from Reuters, and the performance of the Indium Phosphide (InP) substrate industry company, along with institutional investor validation, confirmed its logic.$RPI: Initially labeled a "meme stock" by the market, analysts believed it lacked fundamentals. However, earnings reports showed the company's future revenue growth expectation reached 58%, and it was subsequently re-evaluated as a high-growth AI hardware company.$SIVE: Once considered a "meme stock" by numerous investors, it later gained institutional buying support, including attention from Fidelity Research, JPMorgan Chase, and others, and announced partnerships with companies like Jabil and GlobalFoundries.Serenity stated, "The market will ultimately decide what is right or wrong, not the angry comments or posts on X (formerly Twitter)." He added that as each investment thesis gets validated one by one, the eventual market performance overshadows the early noise. He also listed several other cases that were initially doubted but later gained market recognition, including:$AAOI: Near $30, management was questioned as "untrustworthy";$LITE: At $300, the photonics industry was considered to be in a bubble;$RKLB: At $20, it was dismissed as just a low-revenue launch company;$HOOD: At $20, it faced negative sentiment due to the GameStop trading restriction incident;$IQE: Considered just a small UK company lacking partnerships in the photonics field;$SOI: Analysts at a European bank considered its valuation too high;$NBIS: Questioned for having no competitive moat;$INTC: The market thought it couldn't compete with TSMC;$MRVL: The market feared its ASIC market share would be taken by Broadcom;$AEHR: The market misinterpreted its earnings report, thinking the company lacked revenue;$EWY: The market believed the South Korean semiconductor cycle was in a bubble.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that Bitcoin weakened rapidly after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% and released a relatively hawkish dot plot, falling below the $64,000 mark and dropping about 4% from its intraday high.This meeting marked the Fed's fourth consecutive pause, but the latest dot plot indicates a significant shift towards a hawkish policy path: several officials now expect the possibility of further rate hikes this year, further diminishing the market's pricing of "rate cut expectations." Analysts believe this change has a greater impact than the rate decision itself, directly suppressing risk asset valuations.Market data shows that Bitcoin initially surged to around $66,400 following the announcement, before quickly reversing downward amid heavy selling pressure, hitting a low of approximately $63,870. Trading volume notably expanded, indicating active selling-driven declines. The price is currently consolidating near the lower end of the $63,600–$64,000 range, with no significant inbound capital from bargain hunting.In stark contrast is gold's performance. Spot gold rapidly recovered after briefly dipping to around $4,220, climbing back above the $4,300 level to trade near $4,321, demonstrating strong defensive attributes and capital absorption capacity. Even against a backdrop of easing geopolitical risks, safe-haven demand remains resilient.Market participants pointed out that the core divergence in this round of reaction lies in the repricing of asset attributes: gold completed a swift recovery under the same macroeconomic shock, while Bitcoin failed to reclaim the key level of $64,000, highlighting the higher sensitivity of risk assets to "higher-for-longer interest rates."Overall, the market is transitioning from a phase of "loose expectations supporting risk assets" to one of "hawkish path suppressing valuations," with short-term risk appetite clearly cooling. The key observation point is whether Bitcoin can re-enter the $64,000–$65,000 range with volume confirming stability; otherwise, a weak consolidation structure may persist.
Bitcoin continues to face pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and institutional wait-and-see sentiment, hovering around $64,500, down approximately 2% on the day. The market is awaiting the outcome of the Fed FOMC meeting, which will be chaired by Kevin Warsh for the first time, with widespread expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged in the 3.50%–3.75% range.Analysts point out that the focus of this meeting has shifted from "whether to cut rates" to "policy path and inflation signals." Current US inflation is believed to remain near three-year highs, with energy prices and geopolitical developments keeping the market cautious about the future policy direction.Pressure is also emerging simultaneously on the chain and institutional levels. Structural concerns surrounding Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continue to escalate, with its preferred stock STRC falling to $91.79 on June 16, over 8% below its $100 par value, seen as a sign of weakening corporate Bitcoin buying power.Although spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of approximately $10.1 million on June 16, with BlackRock's IBIT contributing the majority, the capital scale remains significantly lower than in previous periods, indicating limited buying momentum.Market research firms Bitfinex and QCP note that the recent Bitcoin rebound appears more like a "technical recovery driven by exhausted selling pressure" rather than being fueled by new demand. In the derivatives market, rising implied volatility in options and a skew towards put protection suggest traders are pricing in tail risks.In terms of price structure, Bitcoin is considered to be oscillating in the short term within the $60,000 to $68,000 range. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance or institutional buying weakens further, a pullback to the $62,000–$63,000 range is possible.Overall, the current market presents a combination of "macro wait-and-see, marginal institutional weakening, and heightened derivatives defense." The short-term direction still depends on FOMC policy signals and the potential return of ETF and corporate capital flows. (The Block)
According to The Block, K33’s latest report states that Bitcoin rebounded approximately 6% last week after two consecutive weeks of sharp declines, currently hovering near $65,000. The report notes that as of June 6, only 218,400 bitcoins—dormant for over two years—were reactivated in 2026, significantly lower than同期 levels over the past two years, indicating weak on-chain selling pressure.
trader Ansem posted on X platform, stating that JTO and HYPE are the strongest performing assets in today's market, clearly leading the rest of the tokens.Ansem also noted that WLD's performance slightly trails JTO and HYPE, but benefits from the narrative tied to OpenAI, maintaining a relatively strong upward trend overall.
The Bitfinex Alpha report notes that Bitcoin held its $59,200 low after multiple tests and rebounded 3.54% this week to close at $65,655. This rally stems more from exhaustion of selling pressure than from new demand: open interest in futures has declined significantly from its May highs; short-term holders have been selling at a loss; and exchange balances have dropped to a seven-year low—indicating the market has entered a phase of deleveraging and release of selling pressure. Short-term holders remain broadly underwater by approximately 17%–19%, suggesting substantial potential overhead supply remains.
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
Odaily Odaily News CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr stated that this week, the market was significantly impacted by SpaceX's massive IPO, drawing risk concerns across asset classes. Although the overall risk appetite indicator remains in a deviation zone, it has provided some relief in terms of market sentiment. For Bitcoin, this week marks a recovery phase from the low of $60,000. However, structural selling pressure persists. Data shows a weekly net outflow of about 20,900 BTC from exchanges, indicating that the ongoing selling pressure has not fully eased. The short-term rebound is primarily driven by short covering, as accumulated short positions over the past month are being liquidated intensively, forming periodic price support. Additionally, pressure on miners has begun to emerge. The overall risk appetite has not yet clearly turned positive, and the market is in a transitional state of "repair and deleveraging coexisting."
trader Chuanmu posted on platform X, stating that when Facebook went public, its total market cap accounted for 0.086% of the U.S. stock market. Today, when SPCX got listed, this figure stands at 0.11%, making the two quite close.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated on X that the current Global Risk On/Off indicator is neutral. Recent signs of de-escalation in the conflict—potentially linked to statements by relevant leaders—and growing market expectations around SpaceX’s IPO are influencing investor sentiment. It is reported that approximately 372 oil tankers remain stranded in the Persian Gulf, carrying roughly 26 million tons of hydrocarbons. This situation may continue to affect global energy supply expectations and serve as a key variable for market risk sentiment. Currently, risk assets remain in a phase shaped by multiple overlapping factors—including geopolitical developments, shifts in liquidity, and capital market events involving major tech companies—while investors await clearer directional signals.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler pointed out that on-chain data shows Bitcoin (BTC) is flowing into exchanges in large quantities, while stablecoin liquidity continues to flow out. The simultaneous deterioration on both the supply and demand sides of the market is considered a major reason for Bitcoin's approximately 22% decline from its May highs.Furthermore, the Bitcoin 30-day net exchange flow indicator has turned notably positive, currently standing at around +114,000 BTC. Compared to the net outflow of approximately -85,000 to -115,000 BTC seen in early May, the market has shifted from an accumulation phase to a distribution phase. The indicator briefly rose to around +167,000 BTC in early June, indicating that more holders are transferring BTC to exchanges, increasing potential selling pressure.At the same time, the 30-day moving average net flow of stablecoins remains consistently negative, currently at approximately -$105 million. In early May, this indicator was still in the range of +$40 million to +$90 million, representing relatively strong buy-side liquidity in the market. However, it turned negative after mid-May and expanded to around -$150 million to -$170 million in early June, indicating that stablecoin funds are leaving exchanges, reducing the market's "ammunition."Axel Adler's analysis suggests that the current market is experiencing a simultaneous combination of "increased BTC supply" and "declining stablecoin demand": on one hand, selling pressure is rising, and on the other, new buying power is insufficient. This has led to Bitcoin's pullback from its May highs and entry into a phase of declining risk appetite.For a trend reversal to materialize, the market needs to see simultaneous improvement in two indicators: BTC shifting back to net exchange outflows, signifying renewed accumulation by investors; and stablecoins re-entering exchanges, signaling the return of buying funds. Until these two indicators return to positive territory, any short-term rebound may be viewed more as a technical correction.
"White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated on platform X that during periods of technological architecture shifts, retail investors often take the lead in positioning, while institutional capital gradually steps in during subsequent phases to dominate market pricing. Taking stocks like SIVE, NBIS, and RKLB as examples, these assets initially had low institutional ownership, but as institutions continued to increase their holdings, their stock prices ultimately reached all-time highs.Serenity believes that the current negative sentiment surrounding companies like Foci and HIMX may be related to certain institutions needing to acquire liquidity and accumulate positions at lower prices. In recent years, when some sell-side institutions have released negative research reports or when the market has been flooded with concentrated bearish news, it has often coincided with a phase of institutional accumulation. Investors need to conduct independent research and establish their own investment logic, and should not be easily swayed by market noise. The modern liquidity cycle of the U.S. capital market essentially often manifests as a transfer of retail holdings to institutions, a process that may not necessarily align with the interests of retail investors.
on-chain analyst Ai Yi posted on platform X, stating that SPCX is about to launch, and the total share capital of SpaceX has been adjusted to 13.08 billion shares, an increase of 10%. Under the same total valuation, the pre-market contract prices will shrink by 10%, affecting platforms that have previously listed this asset and their users. Exchanges such as Binance have followed up with a rebase, and the perpetual DEX Aster has also chosen to proactively adjust to prevent user losses. TradeXYZ has announced that it will not make any adjustments, adhering to its stance as a "price-based perpetual contract," leading to long positions suffering losses. It stated that stock splits are not uncommon in US stocks, where large-cap tech stocks undergo forward stock splits due to excessively high single-share values to facilitate trading. The TradeXYZ team indicated that a solution will be provided.
U.S. stocks weakened on Wednesday as investors digested a sell-off in the chip sector, escalating geopolitical tensions, and higher-than-expected inflation data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 374 points (0.7%), while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each declined by 0.3%.Market sentiment was notably impacted by geopolitical shocks. Trump stated that negotiations with Iran were "taking too long" and threatened further action. In response, oil prices rose, with WTI crude climbing over 1% to around $89 per barrel. Tensions in the Middle East also escalated again, following U.S. military strikes on Iranian targets in retaliation for the downing of a U.S. helicopter.The chip sector continued its correction, with AMD and Broadcom declining for the fourth time in five consecutive trading sessions. This follows an ETF-level retreat of approximately 10% in the sector over the past weekend, which saw a brief rebound before coming under renewed pressure. Market analysts suggest that while some profit-taking is occurring, other investors may be adjusting their portfolios ahead of the upcoming **SpaceX IPO (next Friday)**. Nonetheless, the chip ETF has still risen over 87% year-to-date.On the macro front, the U.S. core CPI for May rose 0.2% month-over-month, slightly below the expected 0.3%. Year-over-year, it stood at 2.9%, in line with expectations but still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The headline CPI rose above 4% year-over-year for the first time in three years. Markets recovered somewhat from their lows following the data release.In the previous trading session, chip stocks dragged down the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, while the Dow managed to close higher against the trend. Analysts noted that the recent surge in the semiconductor sector, fueled by the AI boom, has been overly rapid, stretching market sentiment significantly. The current pullback is viewed more as a technical correction rather than a deterioration of fundamentals. (CNBC)
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event: "On the second trading day of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) on the Nasdaq, will its opening price be greater than or equal to its first-day closing price (i.e., open higher on the second day)?"SpaceX officially submitted its S-1 prospectus on May 20 and is scheduled to list on the Nasdaq on June 12. This IPO breaks tradition by adopting a fixed price of $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion, with a valuation of $1.75 trillion. Market traders are divided: positions betting on a higher opening on the second day are mainly supported by Starlink's strong revenue performance and the potential of space-based orbital data centers and computing power from the merger with xAI (restructured as SpaceXAI) in February 2026. Meanwhile, cautious short positions are primarily concerned about its high trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 90x, the significant losses from its AI business, and the amplifying effect of Musk's dual-class share structure on stock price volatility in the early stages of listing.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing the changes before the price is set.
Bitcoin briefly fell below $60,000 last week, recording its worst single-week performance since the collapse of the FTX exchange in 2022. In the seven days through Sunday, Bitcoin accumulated a decline of 16%, retreating over 50% from its all-time high of over $126,000 in 2025.Multiple market analysts have warned that the current rebound may be difficult to sustain, and Bitcoin may not have reached the bottom of this cycle yet. Griffin Ardern, co-founder of Primal Fund, stated that the market is still "a considerable distance" from a "true bottom."Data shows that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, with total outflows reaching approximately $5.5 billion. Meanwhile, Bitcoin last week fell below the 200-week moving average, widely regarded as a key support level, further weakening market confidence. Paul Howard, a senior executive at crypto trading firm Wincent, described the current market conditions as a "silent bear market," arguing that breaking below the 200-week moving average is a significant confirmation signal that the market has entered a bear phase.Analysts point out that the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, the reversal of expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and strong U.S. employment data are driving the market to reassess the rate path. A high-interest-rate environment is unfavorable for the performance of risk assets, including crypto assets. Additionally, some capital is flowing out of the crypto market into artificial intelligence and technology stock sectors.Despite this, the magnitude of the current correction is still smaller than historical bear market cycles. In past bear markets, Bitcoin typically retraced about 80% from its peak, whereas this cycle's decline is approximately 50%. Some traders believe that if the macroeconomic environment continues to deteriorate and companies holding large amounts of Bitcoin face financing pressures, the market still faces further downside risks in the future. (Bloomberg)