News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily reports: Prediction market platform Kalshi is seeking to raise at least $750 million at a $40 billion valuation, doubling its $22 billion valuation from six months ago. The platform was approved as a designated contract market by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2021.As of September 4, Kalshi's trading volume over the past 30 days reached $14.1 billion, while Polymarket's stood at $3.1 billion, with Kalshi accounting for approximately 82% of their combined trading volume. More than 80% of Kalshi's trading volume comes from sports events. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News: U.S. Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren stated that she still hopes to push a crypto regulatory bill into law, but does not support the current version of the Clarity Act.Warren said the Clarity Act is Washington's first opportunity to achieve "meaningful crypto regulation," but any bill must include several core elements: regulating public officials' crypto investments, protecting national security and consumers, and strengthening the fight against illicit finance and terrorist financing.Her stance could become more critical next year. If Democrats regain control of the Senate after the November election, Warren could become chair of the Senate Banking Committee, one of the key bodies for digital asset regulatory legislation. The article notes that Kalshi prediction markets currently show a 52% probability of Democrats retaking the Senate.When asked whether she would lead crypto legislation if she headed the Banking Committee, Warren said she would be willing. She said she is willing to sit down with Democrats, Republicans, and the industry to craft a crypto bill that protects national security, protects the economy, and reduces corruption.
Odaily News - Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated on the X platform that Tema is launching a prediction market ETF. However, this product is a thematic ETF, not an actual event contract ETF, which the SEC is still considering. The ETF will allocate 15% of its positions to private assets from Kalshi and Polymarket, with a management fee of 75 basis points.
Odaily News Crypto enterprises, asset managers, market makers, and consumer advocacy groups have submitted comments to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in response to its request for input on the regulatory framework for "novel ETFs," covering exchange-traded products such as crypto assets, private assets, event contracts, and leveraged strategies.Crypto industry organization Crypto Council for Innovation (CCI) recommended extending certain regulatory accommodations applicable to ETFs to non-ETF exchange-traded products. Venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (A16z) stated that the SEC should assess products based on their underlying assets and risk profiles, rather than treating all novel ETFs as a single category.Grayscale opposed adding new portfolio restrictions for mature digital asset products, while Chainalysis suggested leveraging public blockchains to enable real-time monitoring and verifiable disclosures. Kalshi expressed support for including event contracts in registered funds, whereas consumer advocacy group Public Citizen opposed offering event contract ETFs to retail investors. The SEC will evaluate whether to adopt a unified regulatory framework or craft separate rules based on product structure and risk. (Decrypt)
Odaily News: Fomo, a social crypto trading app built for Robinhood Chain and other networks, entered the top five finance apps in the U.S. on August 21, briefly climbing to No. 3 and surpassing Cash App and prediction market Kalshi. It currently ranks in the top 15.Founded by Paul Erlanger and Se Yong Park, Fomo launched its public beta in May 2025. In November 2025, it completed a $17 million Series A round led by Benchmark, with participation from 140 angel investors; this was followed by a $75 million Series B round, bringing total disclosed equity funding to approximately $94 million.Fomo supports Solana, Base, BNB Chain, Monad, and Robinhood Chain, allowing users to view real-time trades of people they follow, track leaderboards, and copy trading signals, with instant deposits funded via Apple Pay. Its cumulative installs on Google Play have surpassed 1 million, with over 600,000 users and more than $4 billion in trading volume. (Bitcoin.com News)
According to Sina Finance, prediction platform Kalshi stated in filings submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that it has raised approximately $1.12 billion through equity financing, with a total offering size of $1.5 billion.
据 The Information 报道，预测市场平台 Kalshi 正在进行新一轮融资谈判，计划以 400 亿美元估值 融资至少 7.5 亿美元。知情人士称，红杉资本 与 威灵顿管理 正洽谈担任联合领投方，其中威灵顿管理或将成为新投资者。报道同时指出，本轮融资规模尚未最终敲定，后续仍可能调整。
Odaily News: Connecticut Federal District Court Judge Vernon D. Oliver denied Kalshi's motion for a preliminary injunction, ruling that its sports event contracts do not constitute swaps under the Commodity Exchange Act. The CFTC therefore does not hold exclusive jurisdiction. The ruling noted that sports event contracts account for 80% to 90% of Kalshi's listed contracts and revenue, and the CFTC has never reviewed any of these contracts under relevant special rules. Oliver held that event outcomes fall under the category of event results, not separate events. Coinbase Financial Markets suffered a similar defeat on the same grounds, having offered Kalshi contracts through its platform since January as a futures commission merchant rather than a designated contract market, and Connecticut had not previously issued a cease-and-desist order against it. Kalshi was valued at approximately $11 billion at the time of its February hearing, with around 24,000 users in the state. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News – River Markets, a startup building trading infrastructure for prediction markets, has announced the completion of an $8.5 million seed funding round, led by Haun Ventures with participation from Y Combinator, Coinbase Ventures, and Qube Research Technologies, among others. The new capital will primarily be used to expand the engineering team, enhance trading system speed and security, and grow institutional clientele, while also developing new tools to support large-scale capital management and cross-platform trading.In recent years, prediction markets have drawn attention from institutional investors. Data from industry platforms shows that institutional trading demand is growing rapidly. For example, prediction market platform Kalshi previously stated that its institutional trading volume increased by approximately 800% within six months. Meanwhile, market participants have begun using prediction markets for risk hedging, including building trading positions around real-world economic variables such as carbon emission allowances and GPU rental prices. (Fortune)
Prediction market platform Kalshi has launched the Midterms Hub to display real-time market odds for U.S. Senate and House races. The page integrates real-time trading prices, polling averages, Federal Election Commission fundraising data, and curated news. Kalshi is also seeking regulatory approval to expand perpetual futures trading beyond cryptocurrencies and is pursuing new funding at a valuation of approximately $40 billion.
: U.S. prediction market platform Kalshi experienced explosive growth during the 2026 World Cup, with platform trading volume soaring from $6.67 billion on June 22 to $24.2 billion on July 14. The single "World Cup Champion" prediction market saw trading volume exceed $1.2 billion. Kalshi stated that its growth reflects a new trend in the AI era: as the volume of AI-generated content increases substantially, authentic, real-time, and non-replicable human interaction scenarios are becoming scarcer, positioning prediction markets as a novel tool for observing public sentiment and collective judgment.Meanwhile, Kalshi is seeking to transform from a sports prediction platform into the next-generation financial trading infrastructure. The company currently holds Designated Contract Market (DCM) status recognized by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and plans to expand into more prediction areas including sports, geopolitics, culture, and economics. (Fortune)
: Prediction market platform Pascal has announced the completion of a $9 million Series A funding round. The platform aims to create a next-generation prediction market platform for professional traders and institutional users, challenging the current market landscape dominated by Kalshi and Polymarket.This funding round was led by Union Square Ventures (USV), with the specific valuation not disclosed. This financing expands on a $6 million seed round from August last year, with early investors including Wintermute Ventures and DBA.Headquartered in New York, Pascal positions itself as a prediction market platform similar to Kalshi, but aims to offer users lower fees, higher liquidity, and more specialized trading tools through a trading model closer to perpetual futures.Pascal co-founder Ivo Crnkovic-Rubsamen stated that the hope is to establish highly liquid prediction markets for real business risks in the future, allowing companies to utilize these markets for risk management and hedging. (Fortune)
prediction market platform Kalshi is in talks to raise a new round of funding at a valuation of approximately $40 billion, with a potential deal closing as early as the third quarter. Last month, Kalshi completed a $1 billion funding round from investors including Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Coatue, and Morgan Stanley, at a valuation of $22 billion.Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour stated that the company is considering an IPO, but it will not go public in 2026, with a potential listing likely no earlier than late 2027 or 2028. Kalshi reported that as of April 2026, its annualized trading volume reached $178 billion, a 32-fold increase year-over-year.Kalshi is currently embroiled in a legal dispute between U.S. state and federal regulators over the oversight of prediction markets. The controversy includes whether sports event contracts constitute derivatives regulated by the CFTC or illegal gambling. CME has sued the CFTC over its approval of Kalshi's "perpetual" futures, Kentucky sued Kalshi and Polymarket this month, and the CFTC subsequently sued Kentucky to block its enforcement action. (Decrypt)
according to sources familiar with the matter, prediction market platform Kalshi is seeking to raise new funds at a valuation of approximately $40 billion, nearly double its previous fundraising target of $22 billion.The fundraising could be completed as early as the third quarter of this year. If the deal is successful, Kalshi will expand its valuation lead over competitor Polymarket, which was previously reported to be seeking funding at a valuation of $15 billion.Previously, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour stated in an interview with CNBC that the company is considering an eventual initial public offering, but it will not happen before 2027. (Coindesk)
According to the UK’s Financial Times, prediction market platform Kalshi is in talks for a new funding round valuing the company at approximately $4 billion, potentially closing as early as Q3 this year. Last month, Kalshi raised $1 billion at a $2.2 billion valuation, with investors including Coatue, Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, and Morgan Stanley.
John Wang, Head of Crypto Business at prediction market platform Kalshi, stated on X that it is widely believed Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) was a "top-tier venture capitalist" who successfully invested in star projects like Anthropic and Cursor. However, Wang argued this narrative is inaccurate. The real "core figure" driving these investment strategies and early resource allocation was actually "AI stock guru" Leopold Aschenbrenner, not SBF himself.Analysis suggests that this remark has sparked discussion within the crypto and venture capital circles, once again bringing the attribution of SBF's influence on early-stage investments in Silicon Valley and the crypto industry into the spotlight. It is reported that the AI fund Situational Awareness, founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, has grown to over $20 billion in scale, with quantitative giant Jane Street making a rare capital injection. Situational Awareness has achieved a year-to-date return rate of 270% and cumulative returns exceeding 1,000% since its inception. Equity bets on Anthropic have contributed the most successful returns, accounting for one-fifth of its assets. Beyond public markets, Situational Awareness also co-led an investment round in AI chip company MatX with Jane Street and participated in the latest funding round of AI cloud computing provider Fluidstack.
According to The Block, the number of monthly crypto venture capital deals in May 2026 dropped to approximately 50—the lowest level since before 2021. Both historically most active sectors—infrastructure and crypto financial services—fell to multi-year lows. A large-scale shift of investor attention toward the AI sector, coupled with a shortage of high-quality early-stage projects, are the primary drivers behind this decline in deal volume. Although the number of deals declined, total funding remained relatively high, exhibiting a “fewer deals, larger amounts” pattern—the recent $1 billion fundraising round by prediction market platform Kalshi being a prime example. Analysts note that the current low-noise environment actually presents a window of opportunity for projects with clear use cases and genuine traction. Whether a recovery emerges in the second half of 2026 will depend on whether new sectors beyond prediction markets and financial infrastructure can generate broad-based investment consensus at scale.
as anticipation builds for several potential major IPOs, "prediction market trading" centered around high-profile pre-IPO companies is rapidly heating up, with users betting on pre-IPO performance through prediction contracts.Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have become primary channels, allowing users to engage in "yes/no" contract trading on key metrics such as valuation ranges and listing timelines. Prices are quoted in cents, settling at $1 if the outcome is correct.Given that ordinary investors cannot directly participate in equity investments in popular private companies like SpaceX and OpenAI before their IPOs, prediction markets are converting related expectations into tradeable, event-driven assets.Analysts believe that as the window for potential "mega IPOs" approaches, prediction markets are leveraging public sentiment and capital attention to turn IPO narratives into short-term volatility opportunities on both on-chain and compliant trading platforms, further expanding their influence in financial speculation and information pricing. (The Information)
According to Bloomberg, prediction market platform Kalshi Inc. has added two new institutional investors, raising an additional $200 million and bringing the total funding for this round to over $1.2 billion. The newly added investors are Layer Global, led by Anton Levy, and the prominent asset management firm Baillie Gifford—both of which are investing in Kalshi for the first time.
sources revealed prediction market platform Kalshi has raised an additional $200 million from Baillie Gifford and Layer Global, further expanding the $1 billion funding round previously led by Coatue Management, while maintaining a company valuation of $22 billion.Earlier this month, Kalshi announced the completion of a $1 billion Series F round, with participants including Sequoia Capital, a16z, IVP, Paradigm, Morgan Stanley, and ARK Invest.Data shows that Kalshi's monthly trading volume in April exceeded $14 billion, with annualized revenue surpassing $1.5 billion. (Bloomberg)