Trading volume surges nearly 3x, but market access remains restricted after Hyperliquid HIP-4 permissionless deployment of prediction markets

Odaily Odaily News: After Hyperliquid opened third-party permissionless deployment of the HIP-4 prediction market layer on August 29, platform trading volume grew rapidly. In the first 28 days of August, HIP-4 had an average daily trading volume of approximately $545,000. After the permissionless deployment, daily trading volume rose to $1.97 million on August 31, with trading volume over the past 24 hours reaching $2.75 million. The number of active traders increased from 1,256 to 1,841. Prediction market project Outcome currently accounts for nearly 85% of HIP-4's trading volume, and its $1 million trading incentive program has further driven liquidity growth. Hyperliquid's unified account system allows prediction markets to share the same account environment as perpetual contracts and HIP-3 assets, enabling users to hedge perpetual positions using prediction market contracts. Sports prediction markets could become the primary growth space for HIP-4. Previously, during the World Cup, HIP-4-related markets accumulated a total trading volume of $189.5 million, accounting for approximately 3% of global World Cup prediction market trading volume. The main constraint HIP-4 currently faces is regulatory access, rather than on-chain deployment. The U.S. market falls under regulatory frameworks such as the CFTC and SEC, and sports-related prediction markets in particular may trigger gambling-related regulatory scrutiny.