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Cup is building an influence scoring engine that turns Web2 attention into Web3 value. It combines social signals with on-chain actions, powering campaigns, fair launch, and sustainable community growth.
World Cup Drives Prediction Market Trading Volume to New Highs, Bernstein Says Robinhood May Benefit
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
Hong Kong police launch "Gobi and Wind Shield" operations to crack down on illegal gambling during the World Cup and trace virtual asset bets
: The World Cup will kick off on June 11, and the Hong Kong police have launched the Gobi and Wind Shield operations, targeting illegal offshore gambling through publicity, education, intelligence, and law enforcement. The police noted that in recent years, illegal gambling has become increasingly digitalized, including online betting, solicitation of gamblers via social media, and settlement of bets with virtual currencies. The police stated that they still have the capability to trace participants.According to the law, placing bets with offshore bookmakers carries a maximum penalty of 9 months in prison and a fine of HK$50,000. Accepting bets carries a maximum penalty of 7 years in prison and a fine of HK$5 million. Money laundering carries a maximum penalty of 14 years in prison and a fine of HK$5 million. The police also shared the case of a young man who was addicted to offshore gambling, at one point owing as much as HK$160,000. A police clinical psychologist warned that those who start gambling before the age of 18 have an over 80% risk of developing gambling disorder later in life. (Sing Tao Daily)
Moomoo Partners with Kalshi to Launch Regulated Prediction Market Contracts on Its Platform
Digital trading platform Moomoo has announced a partnership with prediction market operator Kalshi to offer eligible users access to event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Users can trade contracts related to major events such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation data, elections, and the 2026 FIFA World Cup directly through the Moomoo platform.Event contracts are exchange-traded derivatives that allow investors to bet on the outcome of specific events. Contract prices range from $0.01 to $1, reflecting the market's expectation of the probability of each event occurring. These products will be integrated into the platform alongside Moomoo's existing offerings of stocks, options, and ETFs. Additionally, Moomoo has recently launched cryptocurrency deposit and withdrawal functionality, as well as the moomoo API Skills service for AI-powered investment tools, continuing to expand its product ecosystem. (CoinDesk)
World Cup Drives Prediction Market Trading Volume to New Highs, Bernstein Says Robinhood May Benefit
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
Bernstein: 2026 World Cup Expected to Drive Up to $10 Billion in Trading Volume for Prediction Markets
investment firm Bernstein has released a report indicating that the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to take place in North America, is expected to drive up to $10 billion in consumer transaction volume for sports betting and prediction markets, along with over $3 billion in incremental capital.Bernstein analysts pointed out that this World Cup could be a turning point for prediction markets and online sports betting platforms, accelerating the development of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Robinhood is leveraging this opportunity to commercially launch its CFTC-licensed prediction market exchange, Rothera. Institutions such as Binance and Coinbase are also offering World Cup contracts through partnerships. Currently, on the Myriad platform, Spain and France have the highest odds of winning. (Decrypt)
The first scam of the World Cup? WCUP surged to a market cap of approximately $50 million, with 95% of its supply controlled by a single entity
that, according to Bubblemaps, the FIFA-related token WCUP, which launched yesterday, surged to a market cap of approximately $50 million. Over 30 new wallets snapped up 95% of its supply immediately at the opening. These wallets were funded by multiple centralized exchanges within the half-hour before the launch, had no prior on-chain history, and subsequently distributed the tokens to over 2,500 new addresses via Uniswap Router.Bubblemaps noted that the project's documentation only vaguely mentions a presale and partner allocations, with no on-chain evidence directly linking to the team. However, this level of concentration, combined with undisclosed paid promotion arrangements with KOLs, poses a significant risk.
Bybit Launches USDT-Denominated Event Settlement Contracts, Initially Focusing on FIFA World Cup Football Matches
It is reported that Bybit recently launched a new category of contracts: USDT Event Settlement Contracts, which are based on the outcomes of sports events. Users can trade these contracts in real time before and during matches, with automatic settlement after the event concludes. Product Features: - Contract prices are benchmarked at 10, reflecting the market’s real-time expectations for the home or away team’s victory: prices above 10 indicate bullish sentiment toward the home team; prices below 10 indicate bullish sentiment toward the away team. - Settlement price formula: 10 + (home team goals − away team goals). Only goals scored during the official 90-minute match duration count; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. - Settlement occurs 130 minutes after the scheduled match kickoff. A “close-only” mode is activated during the final 20 minutes prior to settlement. - Maximum leverage supported is 5x; minimum initial margin is 10 USDT. According to comprehensive reports, the first batch of contracts will be rolled out progressively aligned with the 2026 FIFA World Cup schedule. Exact listing times for individual trading pairs will be announced officially by the platform.
WEEX Launches “World Cup × Monopoly” Themed Trading Campaign—Join to Share in $1 Million USDT
WEEX Exchange has launched the large-scale themed trading reward campaign “World Cup × Monopoly: Participate and Win $1 Million in USDT,” which runs until 23:59:59 (UTC+8) on July 20, covering the entire World Cup season. The campaign features low participation thresholds and highly engaging interactive gameplay: users can earn dice by completing tasks such as registration, depositing funds, trading futures and spot assets, consuming dice, and inviting friends to join. After rolling the dice, users advance across the game board according to the number shown; landing on specific squares entitles them to rewards including BTC, ETH, and USDT. Rolling dice to advance on the board and completing weekly trading tasks both accumulate points. Reaching designated point thresholds unlocks milestone rewards such as USDT, WXT tokens, fee discounts, and trial funds. Additionally, users can spend points to interact with World Cup matches—cheering for their favorite teams—and leverage small investments to earn even more points.
Bitget Adds 11 World Cup-Themed Stock Contracts, Including Nike, Coca-Cola, and Visa
According to the official announcement, Bitget’s stock contracts are now available for 11 underlying assets, including BUD (Anheuser-Busch InBev), NKE (Nike), KO (Coca-Cola), ABNB (Airbnb), MAR (Marriott International), and V (Visa), spanning sectors related to major sporting events—such as sports & entertainment, travel & transportation, and consumer brands. These contracts support up to 20x leverage. For more details, please visit Bitget’s official platform.
OKX World Cup Prediction Campaign Introduces Brand-Sponsored Prize Pool Mechanism; First Prize Pool Sponsored by OneFootball Credits
According to official announcements, OKX’s World Cup prediction campaign has introduced a branded sponsorship prize pool mechanism, with more branded prize pools to be launched subsequently to jointly build the ecosystem.
World Cup Drives Prediction Market Trading Volume to New Highs, Bernstein Says Robinhood May Benefit
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
HTX Launches US-Canada-Mexico World Cup Prediction Campaign, with $500,000 Prize Pool to Be Shared
According to the official announcement, HTX (formerly Huobi) has launched its World Cup prediction campaign. From now until July 20 at 3:00 AM (UTC+8), eligible users who register and complete designated tasks will receive prediction tickets. Users can participate in two types of predictions—champion prediction and single-match prediction—and share a prize pool worth $500,000 in $HTX.
BIT: Bitcoin Bear Market Adjustment May Have Entered Final Stage; World Cup Window Could Mark the End of This Bear Cycle
BIT has released its latest weekly report, titled "Will the FIFA World Cup Be the End of the Bitcoin Bear Market?" The report suggests that the current bearish trend of Bitcoin is largely consistent with its early February 2026 outlook. The previously predicted A-B-C correction structure has entered its final phase: after Wave A declined to the $60,000 to $69,000 range, Bitcoin rebounded to the $80,000 to $90,000 range, peaking temporarily around $83,000, after which the rebound momentum gradually weakened.BIT points out that the current Fear and Greed Index has approached historically significant low levels, still showing some similarity to the bottom structure of the 2022 bear market. It maintains its previous view that the summer lull during the 2026 World Cup period could serve as the final stage of Bitcoin's current bear cycle.The report states that future focus will be on the key price range for the end of the bear market, macro catalysts for the next bull run, and trend reversal signals from cyclical indicators. If the relevant framework holds, this market bottom could become one of the low points in Bitcoin's history with a relatively concentrated time window and clearly defined triggering conditions.
Bernstein: 2026 World Cup Expected to Drive Up to $10 Billion in Trading Volume for Prediction Markets
investment firm Bernstein has released a report indicating that the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to take place in North America, is expected to drive up to $10 billion in consumer transaction volume for sports betting and prediction markets, along with over $3 billion in incremental capital.Bernstein analysts pointed out that this World Cup could be a turning point for prediction markets and online sports betting platforms, accelerating the development of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Robinhood is leveraging this opportunity to commercially launch its CFTC-licensed prediction market exchange, Rothera. Institutions such as Binance and Coinbase are also offering World Cup contracts through partnerships. Currently, on the Myriad platform, Spain and France have the highest odds of winning. (Decrypt)
Related news
Bitget Adds 11 World Cup-Themed Stock Contracts, Including Nike, Coca-Cola, and Visa
According to the official announcement, Bitget’s stock contracts are now available for 11 underlying assets, including BUD (Anheuser-Busch InBev), NKE (Nike), KO (Coca-Cola), ABNB (Airbnb), MAR (Marriott International), and V (Visa), spanning sectors related to major sporting events—such as sports & entertainment, travel & transportation, and consumer brands. These contracts support up to 20x leverage. For more details, please visit Bitget’s official platform.
predict.fun: Probability of "Spain winning Group H" drops to 71%, down 9% in 24 hours
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that in the predict.fun "Group H Winner" prediction event, the probability of Spain winning Group H has dropped to 71%, down 9% in 24 hours. Meanwhile, Uruguay's probability of topping Group H is currently at 23%.Today, in the first round of World Cup Group H, Cape Verde pulled off an upset by holding Spain to a draw. In the second round, Spain will face Saudi Arabia, while Cape Verde will take on Uruguay.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are set.
OKX World Cup Prediction Campaign Introduces Brand-Sponsored Prize Pool Mechanism; First Prize Pool Sponsored by OneFootball Credits
According to official announcements, OKX’s World Cup prediction campaign has introduced a branded sponsorship prize pool mechanism, with more branded prize pools to be launched subsequently to jointly build the ecosystem.
World Cup Drives Prediction Market Trading Volume to New Highs, Bernstein Says Robinhood May Benefit
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
predict.fun "Sweden to win Group F" probability rises to 30%, up 15% in 24 hours
Monitoring by Odaily Seer shows that in the predict.fun "World Cup Group F Winner" prediction event, the probability of Sweden winning Group F has risen to 30%, up 15% in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of the Netherlands winning Group F is currently 46%.Today, in the first round of Group F of the World Cup group stage, Sweden defeated Tunisia 5:1; the Netherlands drew 2:2 with Japan. The Netherlands' next opponent is Sweden, while Japan will face Tunisia.Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are set.
A smart money address purchased $1.1 million on Sweden defeating Tunisia in the World Cup group stage
According to monitoring by Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event for "2026 World Cup Group F Round 1: Sweden vs. Tunisia," a smart money address (0x8cb4ca5af7d9361322340bb307a828d288c91057) that has accumulated over $1 million in profit purchased more than $1.1 million on Sweden defeating Tunisia, with an average entry price of 51.7¢ and a position of 2,139,999.7 shares.The match between Sweden and Tunisia began today at 10:00. Sweden holds an advantage in overall strength and attacking power. The first half has concluded with Sweden leading Tunisia 2:1.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, spotting changes before prices are set.