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Cup is building an influence scoring engine that turns Web2 attention into Web3 value. It combines social signals with on-chain actions, powering campaigns, fair launch, and sustainable community growth.
Prediction market Kalshi's trading volume surges to $24.2 billion during World Cup
: U.S. prediction market platform Kalshi experienced explosive growth during the 2026 World Cup, with platform trading volume soaring from $6.67 billion on June 22 to $24.2 billion on July 14. The single "World Cup Champion" prediction market saw trading volume exceed $1.2 billion. Kalshi stated that its growth reflects a new trend in the AI era: as the volume of AI-generated content increases substantially, authentic, real-time, and non-replicable human interaction scenarios are becoming scarcer, positioning prediction markets as a novel tool for observing public sentiment and collective judgment.Meanwhile, Kalshi is seeking to transform from a sports prediction platform into the next-generation financial trading infrastructure. The company currently holds Designated Contract Market (DCM) status recognized by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and plans to expand into more prediction areas including sports, geopolitics, culture, and economics. (Fortune)
Coinbase AI News Alert Criticized for Falsely Reporting Match Result Before World Cup Kickoff
Coinbase sent an AI-generated news alert claiming the Norwegian national football team had defeated Brazil 3-2 before the World Cup match had even started. CEO Brian Armstrong has launched an investigation, and Coinbase stated that updates have been implemented to prevent future instances of inaccurate AI-generated information. The error comes as Coinbase is advancing its prediction market and "everything exchange" features, including an AI advisor and stock options. (CoinDesk).
World Cup Sparks Prediction Market: Polymarket Trading Volume Up 300%, Kalshi Open Interest Hits Record $1.16 Billion
According to Odaily, within the ten days leading up to the World Cup, Polymarket's soccer category trading volume exceeded $2 billion, a 300% increase compared to the previous ten days. The average daily trading volume rose from $53 million before the tournament to approximately $220 million. Meanwhile, last Thursday, Kalshi's open interest reached a record $1.16 billion, surpassing the $1 billion mark for the first time and growing 350% since the beginning of the year.Although Polymarket's open interest levels remained relatively stable during the World Cup, the open interest on Polymarket's U.S. branch only saw moderate growth, failing to reach the highs from April 2026. Kalshi's open interest has grown faster than its trading volume, indicating that its user base holds positions for longer periods and has established larger directional positions. Its CFTC-regulated channel and direct USD deposit gateway have attracted U.S. institutions and high-net-worth dollar investors. (The Block)
World Cup Drives Prediction Market Trading Volume to New Highs, Bernstein Says Robinhood May Benefit
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
Hong Kong police launch "Gobi and Wind Shield" operations to crack down on illegal gambling during the World Cup and trace virtual asset bets
: The World Cup will kick off on June 11, and the Hong Kong police have launched the Gobi and Wind Shield operations, targeting illegal offshore gambling through publicity, education, intelligence, and law enforcement. The police noted that in recent years, illegal gambling has become increasingly digitalized, including online betting, solicitation of gamblers via social media, and settlement of bets with virtual currencies. The police stated that they still have the capability to trace participants.According to the law, placing bets with offshore bookmakers carries a maximum penalty of 9 months in prison and a fine of HK$50,000. Accepting bets carries a maximum penalty of 7 years in prison and a fine of HK$5 million. Money laundering carries a maximum penalty of 14 years in prison and a fine of HK$5 million. The police also shared the case of a young man who was addicted to offshore gambling, at one point owing as much as HK$160,000. A police clinical psychologist warned that those who start gambling before the age of 18 have an over 80% risk of developing gambling disorder later in life. (Sing Tao Daily)
Moomoo Partners with Kalshi to Launch Regulated Prediction Market Contracts on Its Platform
Digital trading platform Moomoo has announced a partnership with prediction market operator Kalshi to offer eligible users access to event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Users can trade contracts related to major events such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation data, elections, and the 2026 FIFA World Cup directly through the Moomoo platform.Event contracts are exchange-traded derivatives that allow investors to bet on the outcome of specific events. Contract prices range from $0.01 to $1, reflecting the market's expectation of the probability of each event occurring. These products will be integrated into the platform alongside Moomoo's existing offerings of stocks, options, and ETFs. Additionally, Moomoo has recently launched cryptocurrency deposit and withdrawal functionality, as well as the moomoo API Skills service for AI-powered investment tools, continuing to expand its product ecosystem. (CoinDesk)
A mysterious whale profited $1.35 million in hours after betting $1.95 million on Spain to win the 2026 World Cup
according to Lookonchain monitoring, a mysterious whale created a new wallet 10 hours ago and bet $1.95 million on Spain to win the 2026 World Cup at odds of 59.1%. The whale won and made a profit of $1.35 million in just a few hours.
BM Wallet Prediction Market Officially Launched, Kicking Off with World Cup Section
according to official sources, the self-custody Web3 wallet BM Wallet has launched its prediction market feature. Users can now directly participate in real-world event predictions within the wallet, settling entirely with stablecoins. Assets never need to be withdrawn, and private keys remain under the user's control at all times. This feature integrates the prediction market Polymarket, tapping into its deep liquidity. The initial phase centers on the World Cup, while also covering sectors such as cryptocurrency and politics. It is currently available in designated regions.
Suspected insider profited $24.25 million through World Cup on-chain betting; three wallets shared the same Binance deposit address
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), an individual suspected of insider trading has earned a total of $24.25 million through Polymarket’s World Cup prediction market, using three wallets: “mintblade” (9.24 million USD from five consecutive wins), “GRIMDRIP” (7.6 million USD from two consecutive wins), and “endlessFate” (7.41 million USD from six wins out of nine trades). All three wallets transferred their profits via the same Binance deposit address (0xB08B...317D), suggesting they are likely controlled by the same person.
A single bet of $7.46 million: a whale bets on Colombia defeating Uzbekistan
the whale "endlessFate" placed a $7.46 million bet on Colombia to win in the World Cup match against Uzbekistan. If successful, the profit would be $2.71 million; if unsuccessful, the entire $7.46 million would be lost. Currently, it is showing an unrealized profit of $1.84 million.
World Cup Drives Prediction Market Trading Volume to New Highs, Bernstein Says Robinhood May Benefit
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
Bernstein: 2026 World Cup Expected to Drive Up to $10 Billion in Trading Volume for Prediction Markets
investment firm Bernstein has released a report indicating that the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to take place in North America, is expected to drive up to $10 billion in consumer transaction volume for sports betting and prediction markets, along with over $3 billion in incremental capital.Bernstein analysts pointed out that this World Cup could be a turning point for prediction markets and online sports betting platforms, accelerating the development of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Robinhood is leveraging this opportunity to commercially launch its CFTC-licensed prediction market exchange, Rothera. Institutions such as Binance and Coinbase are also offering World Cup contracts through partnerships. Currently, on the Myriad platform, Spain and France have the highest odds of winning. (Decrypt)
U.Today: Gate Polymarket Fuels Prediction Market Growth, Cumulative Trading Volume Exceeds $622 Million
according to the latest in-depth report by U.Today, as the prediction market continues to heat up, sports events are becoming a key engine driving industry growth. As the world's first centralized exchange to integrate Polymarket, Gate Polymarket significantly lowers the barrier to user participation by offering a trading experience with no wallet, no cross-chain, and no gas fees. Users can directly use USDT from their Gate accounts to make predictions without the need for complex on-chain operations. Currently, Gate Polymarket has become one of the largest traffic gateways for Polymarket. As of July 16, its cumulative trading volume has exceeded $622 million. On July 6, its weekly trading volume surpassed $100 million, and it ranks first in Polymarket's daily, weekly, and monthly trading volume across all channels.The report points out that the 2026 World Cup is becoming one of the key catalysts driving the rapid growth of the prediction market. The World Cup Hub, built around the event, integrates match schedules, standings, real-time scores, match alerts, historical data, and prediction trading. Sports predictions continue to attract a large number of users, further boosting Gate Polymarket’s activity and market liquidity.U.Today believes that Gate has not only lowered the barrier to entry for the prediction market but also further refined the product experience. It has launched innovative features such as a dual-mode trading interface, AI event analysis, smart money tracking, real-time fund flow alerts, and event contracts, helping users discover market opportunities more efficiently. By combining the convenient experience of a centralized exchange with the deep integration of Polymarket’s decentralized prediction market, Gate is continuously expanding the application scenarios of the prediction market and driving on-chain prediction markets toward a more open, efficient, and mainstream stage of development.
Gate Launches Esports Trading Season: Predict Esports Events and Share 200,000 USDT
Odaily, July 20 - According to official sources, Gate has launched the Esports Peak Trading Season from 16:00 on July 20 to 16:00 on August 10 (UTC+8), with a total prize pool of 200,000 USDT. During the event, users who register and participate in designated prediction trading for esports events in the Gate Polymarket esports section can enjoy newcomer benefits, weekly trading tasks, and the prediction trading leaderboard to share generous rewards. After the event, the top 100 users by cumulative prediction trading volume who meet the corresponding trading volume requirements can also share a 50,000 USDT leaderboard reward, with the 1st place winner eligible to receive up to 10,000 USDT. Currently, the Gate Prediction Market has launched prediction markets for popular events such as the 2026 KeSPA Cup "League of Legends" Chevor DRX vs. KT team, and more exciting events can be found on the platform for participation.According to data from Polymarket Builders, the Gate Prediction Market ranked first among Polymarket channels in single-day trading volume on July 19, and has also maintained a leading position in cumulative trading volume over the past week and month, ranking first among Polymarket channels. As the first centralized trading platform to integrate Polymarket, Gate has become a key entry point for users to participate in prediction markets. Users can enter Gate Polymarket via the Alpha section on the Gate App homepage and use USDT in their accounts to conveniently trade in prediction markets for popular esports events and championship outcomes. Users can also leverage the "Smart Money" feature to track the positions and market judgments of high-win-rate traders, gaining more reference for esports event predictions. Gate is continuously expanding the application scenarios of its prediction market, providing users with prediction trading experiences covering diverse events such as popular esports competitions.
World Cup Schedule: France vs England in Six Hours
PPP reminds of the upcoming schedule:• France - England July 19 at 05:00 (UTC+8)Get real-time updates on the latest fixtures, direct access to popular matches, and quickly track the current movements of smart money.
ForeGate Launches EWC Esports World Cup Themed Zone
Odaily报道, ForeGate, the next-generation event prediction trading platform globally endorsed by legendary footballer Michael Owen, has officially launched its EWC (Esports World Cup) themed zone. This zone covers all popular events of this year's EWC, offering real-time event tracking and AI-powered deep predictions.To coincide with the launch of the EWC zone, ForeGate has simultaneously initiated the "Esports Prediction Trading Competition" limited-time incentive event, with a total prize pool of up to 500,000 USDT. During the event, users can participate in trading to share the prize pool. The event runs from July 16, 14:00 to August 24, 16:00 (UTC+8). This move marks a further expansion of ForeGate's event prediction market ecosystem centered around high-frequency sports and esports. Currently, users can seamlessly access the platform directly through mainstream DApp wallets such as Binance Wallet and OKX Wallet.
World Cup Final Night, Bybit Launches Finals & 3rd/4th Place Goal Difference Contracts
Base price 10, buy high if favoring the home team, buy low if favoring the away team, automatic settlement after the match, in-play trading supported, up to 5x leverage, starting from 10 USDT.
Gate Predictions Market Launches Real-Time Alert Feature to Help Users Efficiently Capture Capital Flows
Gate Predictions Market has officially launched a real-time alert feature. By monitoring large buy and sell orders in the market in real-time, it helps users quickly gain insights into capital flows, shifts in market sentiment, and potential trading opportunities, further enhancing the efficiency of event trading decisions. Users can experience this feature after upgrading the Gate App to version v8.27.0. Without needing to check event order books one by one, they can centrally grasp major capital movements in the market through the "Alerts" list. Additionally, the feature supports filtering by dimensions such as buy/sell direction, transaction amount thresholds, and event categories. It also displays core information including trading users, event markets, trading direction, and transaction amounts, and allows users to customize alert subscriptions to receive in-app notifications immediately when qualifying large transactions occur.This feature launch enhances Gate Predictions Market's data analysis and strategy assistance capabilities, working in conjunction with the previously introduced "Smart Money" feature. Users can not only track capital movements in real-time but also combine this with the historical trading, holdings, and profit performance of top traders to obtain more valuable market references. As the first centralized exchange to integrate with Polymarket, Gate continuously enriches its predictions market product suite and has simultaneously launched World Cup-themed activities. The "World Cup Prediction King Tournament" offers a total prize pool of 100,000 USDT, while the "World Cup Daily Featured Events" activity has a prize pool of 50,000 USDT, aiming to enhance user participation experience and strive to build a professional predictions market platform that integrates market discovery, strategy analysis, and trading participation.
Related news
2026 World Cup Generates $20 Billion in On-Chain Prediction Market Volume, with Over 400,000 Wallets Participating in Betting
blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis has disclosed that the 2026 FIFA World Cup generated $20 billion in blockchain prediction market volume, along with $24 million in digital collectible transactions, with over 400,000 wallets participating in on-chain betting. The aforementioned $20 billion in volume includes transactions both before and during the tournament, with betting volume during the five-week World Cup period reaching approximately $5.7 billion. World Cup-related markets accounted for about 63% of all prediction market activity during that period. Chainalysis stated that users from every continent except Antarctica participated in the World Cup prediction markets, with the United States and China generating the highest attributable transaction volume, followed by Canada, Thailand, and the United Kingdom. Chainalysis disclosed that among wallets participating in the World Cup prediction markets, those associated with illicit actors accounted for less than 1%. However, it identified approximately $5.4 million in funds flowing from sanctioned entities and other illegal sources. During the tournament, fans traded approximately $24 million worth of NFTs through FIFA Collect, and the platform distributed over 100,000 match tickets.
A smart money address purchased over $190,000 on Seoul FC to beat Pohang Steelers in Korean professional football match
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket prediction event "Korean Professional Football: Seoul FC vs. Pohang Steelers," a smart money address (0x076daa87c4fe1a85402a9b6b8e0a866224388d4c) with total profits exceeding $3.31 million purchased over $190,000 on Seoul FC to defeat Pohang Steelers, with an average entry price of 53.9 cents.In the K League 1, league leaders Seoul FC will host fifth-ranked Pohang Steelers at Seoul World Cup Stadium. Both teams have shown relatively inconsistent form recently, with limited goals scored, and their historical head-to-head record is fairly balanced in terms of wins, losses, and draws. Seoul FC holds a certain advantage in market predictions due to its home-field advantage and league ranking, but Pohang Steelers remain competitive with strong defensive organization and counter-attacking ability.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Prediction market Kalshi's trading volume surges to $24.2 billion during World Cup
: U.S. prediction market platform Kalshi experienced explosive growth during the 2026 World Cup, with platform trading volume soaring from $6.67 billion on June 22 to $24.2 billion on July 14. The single "World Cup Champion" prediction market saw trading volume exceed $1.2 billion. Kalshi stated that its growth reflects a new trend in the AI era: as the volume of AI-generated content increases substantially, authentic, real-time, and non-replicable human interaction scenarios are becoming scarcer, positioning prediction markets as a novel tool for observing public sentiment and collective judgment.Meanwhile, Kalshi is seeking to transform from a sports prediction platform into the next-generation financial trading infrastructure. The company currently holds Designated Contract Market (DCM) status recognized by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and plans to expand into more prediction areas including sports, geopolitics, culture, and economics. (Fortune)
U.Today: Gate Polymarket Fuels Prediction Market Growth, Cumulative Trading Volume Exceeds $622 Million
according to the latest in-depth report by U.Today, as the prediction market continues to heat up, sports events are becoming a key engine driving industry growth. As the world's first centralized exchange to integrate Polymarket, Gate Polymarket significantly lowers the barrier to user participation by offering a trading experience with no wallet, no cross-chain, and no gas fees. Users can directly use USDT from their Gate accounts to make predictions without the need for complex on-chain operations. Currently, Gate Polymarket has become one of the largest traffic gateways for Polymarket. As of July 16, its cumulative trading volume has exceeded $622 million. On July 6, its weekly trading volume surpassed $100 million, and it ranks first in Polymarket's daily, weekly, and monthly trading volume across all channels.The report points out that the 2026 World Cup is becoming one of the key catalysts driving the rapid growth of the prediction market. The World Cup Hub, built around the event, integrates match schedules, standings, real-time scores, match alerts, historical data, and prediction trading. Sports predictions continue to attract a large number of users, further boosting Gate Polymarket’s activity and market liquidity.U.Today believes that Gate has not only lowered the barrier to entry for the prediction market but also further refined the product experience. It has launched innovative features such as a dual-mode trading interface, AI event analysis, smart money tracking, real-time fund flow alerts, and event contracts, helping users discover market opportunities more efficiently. By combining the convenient experience of a centralized exchange with the deep integration of Polymarket’s decentralized prediction market, Gate is continuously expanding the application scenarios of the prediction market and driving on-chain prediction markets toward a more open, efficient, and mainstream stage of development.
Over 66% of Addresses at a Loss, Polymarket World Cup Championship Market Profits Concentrated Among Few Traders
Among over 194,000 unique trading addresses in the Polymarket market predicting the World Cup champion, nearly 130,000 addresses made incorrect predictions and realized losses, accounting for 66.7% of participants. Of these, 114,000 addresses lost under $100, with an average loss of less than $10; 43 addresses lost over $100,000, with total losses exceeding $15 million. On the profit side, most addresses earned under $100, with an average profit of less than $5. Large gains were primarily concentrated among a few traders, with 54 addresses profiting over $100,000, collectively earning more than $22 million.
A whale purchased $70,000 worth of shares on the League of Legends KeSPA Cup DRX vs FOX1 prediction market.1
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "League of Legends KeSPA Cup DRX vs FOX1" prediction event, the account 111111111115 (0xcd30f4698c6f5f3829893e68e183a8e5ea18f316), which has incurred total losses exceeding $2 million, purchased $70,000 worth of shares predicting DRX would defeat FOX1, with an average entry price of 67.8 cents and buying 100,821.4 shares.The match has already started, with a BO1 format. FOX1 is fielding their second team players, while DRX is using their first team players.Join the PPP Signal Push Community, stay ahead and seize the opportunity.