World is a global identity and financial network designed to provide everyone in the world with a digital identity that proves they are human and a share of the global economy. By utilizing the Orb to verify a person's unique humanness via World ID, the project combines a privacy-preserving digital identity with its native WLD token and World App to build a decentralized infrastructure for the AI era.
Odaily reports: Bitget has announced the launch of Reality, a licensed financial protocol focused on the tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA). The issued tokenized stocks (rTokens) are strictly pegged 1:1 to the underlying US stocks, with assets custodied at a US securities broker-dealer that is FINRA-registered and SIPC-protected. Real-time proof of reserves is provided through third-party independent audits. By directly accessing liquidity pools from Nasdaq, NYSE, and other US stock exchanges, Reality's stock tokens can achieve liquidity on par with traditional brokerages. Meanwhile, stock dividends will be distributed 1:1 to user accounts in token form, cash dividends will be automatically converted into USDT for distribution, and stock splits and reverse splits will be mapped to on-chain tokens in real-time, offering an experience highly consistent with holding US stocks.Furthermore, the US stock tokens launched by Reality are deeply integrated with the Bitget ecosystem. They can be used, for example, as margin for unified accounts and are compatible with core product lines such as grid trading, copy trading systems, and staking/lending.Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget, previously proposed the "10% Vision": Currently, tokenized stocks represent only 0.1% of the $125 trillion global stock market. She predicts this proportion will rise to nearly 10% by 2030. Reality is built on this trend. In its initial phase, it will focus on US stocks, and will later expand asset classes, driving the extension of Bitget's UEX strategy into a broader access layer for global financial assets.
TownSquare, an infrastructure platform focused on institutional yield and cross-chain lending brokerage services, has announced the completion of its new Pre-A round of funding, bringing its total funding to $16.25 million. This capital will be used to accelerate the institutional adoption of USD1 and other RWA assets on World Liberty Financial.
: Digital Asset Clearing Center (DACC), a tokenized financial market infrastructure provider, announced the completion of a $10 million strategic financing round. Participants included Conflux, Global InfoTech, Fosun International, Blockstone, Avior Capital, Fintech World, Satoshi Ventures, and BridgeTower. DACC currently offers financial institutions an end-to-end "Clearing-as-a-Service" solution. The new funds will support the construction of its compliant financial settlement and clearing infrastructure. (Aastocks)
: Datavault AI has released its first-quarter 2026 business update, disclosing that the company has signed tokenization contracts worth over $800 million. Of this, approximately $100 million in fees are expected to be recognized in 2026, achieving about $75 million in new contract value in the first quarter, further validating institutional demand for its Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization platform.In terms of assets and financing, the company has strengthened its balance sheet through a $60 million private placement and an additional $120 million in non-dilutive financing. It is also advancing the expansion of the SanQtum AI infrastructure platform across the United States, with plans to expand its quantum-safe GPU edge network by the end of 2026 and deploy approximately 48,000 GPUs. (Businesswire)
Turnkey, a company specializing in crypto wallets and key management infrastructure, has announced the completion of a $12.5 million strategic financing round. Archetype and Circle Ventures led the round, with participation from Sequoia Capital, Bain Capital Crypto, Lightspeed Faction, Galaxy Ventures, and Variant. The project's total funding has now exceeded $65 million.The company's primary business involves developing wallet and key management infrastructure for crypto applications. This round of financing will be used to support the development and public launch of Turnkey Verifiable Cloud, a product focused on digital asset security computing. This product aims to provide enterprises with verifiable operating environments, encompassing functionalities such as transaction visibility, policy decisions, and agent-driven wallet activities. Turnkey's current clientele includes Polymarket, World App, and Anchorage Digital.
TownSquare, an infrastructure platform focused on institutional yield and cross-chain lending brokerage services, has announced a $100 million USD1 token liquidity program—a strategic initiative designed to bring institutional-grade and cross-chain yield opportunities to a broader user base via World Liberty Financial’s USD1 stablecoin and institutional yield strategies. Previously, TownSquare collaborated with the World Liberty Financial DeFi team to integrate the USD1 token onto Monad, a high-performance EVM-compatible chain, and received official incentives from the Monad Foundation. The team stated that this new liquidity program marks TownSquare’s continued commitment to expanding DeFi’s real-world applicability and delivering institutional strategy yields to more assets. Currently, the project’s official website has launched its cross-chain lending functionality, while its yield vault product is listed as “Coming Soon.” According to official information, the project has previously completed a funding round backed by Monad, a16z, Aptos, Solana Bonk, and other U.S. and European angel investors and VCs. The founding team includes alumni from Coinbase, Meta, Accenture, and market-making firms. Details about the project’s next funding round have not yet been disclosed.
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
According to an official announcement, Gate has launched a limited-time USD1 staking program offering high yields. During the campaign period, users holding USD1 in their asset accounts (minimum holding requirement: 1 USD1) can earn up to 20% annualized yield. The annualized yield rate is adjusted daily based on the remaining monthly reward budget and the platform’s total effective USD1 holdings. The updated annualized yield rate is published daily around 14:00 (UTC+8). The system takes hourly snapshots of users’ USD1 balances to calculate the average holding amount for yield calculation. Yields are distributed to users’ asset accounts the following day. According to the announcement, USD1 is a U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoin issued by World Liberty Financial. It is fully collateralized by U.S. Treasury bills and cash equivalents, designed to maintain a stable 1:1 peg with the U.S. dollar. As a regulated, reserve-backed asset, USD1 delivers the same price stability as traditional cash—on-chain and in digital form.
Odaily News, June 9th — BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated in his latest article "Reality Test" that if oil prices continue to rise due to the US-Iran conflict, it could trigger a collapse of the AI stock bubble and drag the entire crypto market down.Hayes said that if traffic restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz persist deep into the second quarter, spot prices for hydrocarbons and other key commodities could rise in the third quarter. If oil prices continue to climb and inflationary pressures impact the US midterm elections, Trump might pivot to a tough stance targeting data center construction, AI regulation, and taxation. Hayes believes the market could anticipate Trump limiting AI capital expenditure and taxing AI companies, thereby triggering the burst of the AI stock bubble.Hayes also noted that since November 2022, the scale of AI-related debt issuance has been approximately $1.5 trillion, and US M2 has increased by roughly the same amount during the same period. He believes the three factors that could pop the AI bubble include rising energy costs, the market's inability to absorb three major AI-related IPOs — namely SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI — and Trump's shift to opposing AI. In terms of portfolio, Hayes stated that Maelstrom's stock portfolio holds significant positions in US-listed energy producers; he has sold AI-related stocks and offloaded non-core crypto assets, having dumped HYPE, NEAR, and WLD last week, as well as selling ZEC due to the Orchard Pool vulnerability. He still holds Bitcoin and ETH and will execute tactical short trades via derivatives.
: The World Cup will kick off on June 11, and the Hong Kong police have launched the Gobi and Wind Shield operations, targeting illegal offshore gambling through publicity, education, intelligence, and law enforcement. The police noted that in recent years, illegal gambling has become increasingly digitalized, including online betting, solicitation of gamblers via social media, and settlement of bets with virtual currencies. The police stated that they still have the capability to trace participants.According to the law, placing bets with offshore bookmakers carries a maximum penalty of 9 months in prison and a fine of HK$50,000. Accepting bets carries a maximum penalty of 7 years in prison and a fine of HK$5 million. Money laundering carries a maximum penalty of 14 years in prison and a fine of HK$5 million. The police also shared the case of a young man who was addicted to offshore gambling, at one point owing as much as HK$160,000. A police clinical psychologist warned that those who start gambling before the age of 18 have an over 80% risk of developing gambling disorder later in life. (Sing Tao Daily)
Today, the U.S. House Financial Services Committee held a hearing with banking regulators, focusing on stablecoin rules and the banking license application of World Liberty Financial, a crypto venture associated with the U.S. President.During the hearing, Acting Comptroller of the Currency Jonathan Gould stated that the only political pressure the agency has felt regarding the decision to grant a banking license to World Liberty Financial came from Democrats, and he rejected allegations that the agency was following the President's directives. Additionally, FDIC Chairman Travis Hill indicated that the agency will soon propose a rule requiring stablecoin issuers to implement customer identification procedures. (coindesk)
Digital trading platform Moomoo has announced a partnership with prediction market operator Kalshi to offer eligible users access to event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Users can trade contracts related to major events such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation data, elections, and the 2026 FIFA World Cup directly through the Moomoo platform.Event contracts are exchange-traded derivatives that allow investors to bet on the outcome of specific events. Contract prices range from $0.01 to $1, reflecting the market's expectation of the probability of each event occurring. These products will be integrated into the platform alongside Moomoo's existing offerings of stocks, options, and ETFs. Additionally, Moomoo has recently launched cryptocurrency deposit and withdrawal functionality, as well as the moomoo API Skills service for AI-powered investment tools, continuing to expand its product ecosystem. (CoinDesk)
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
investment firm Bernstein has released a report indicating that the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to take place in North America, is expected to drive up to $10 billion in consumer transaction volume for sports betting and prediction markets, along with over $3 billion in incremental capital.Bernstein analysts pointed out that this World Cup could be a turning point for prediction markets and online sports betting platforms, accelerating the development of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Robinhood is leveraging this opportunity to commercially launch its CFTC-licensed prediction market exchange, Rothera. Institutions such as Binance and Coinbase are also offering World Cup contracts through partnerships. Currently, on the Myriad platform, Spain and France have the highest odds of winning. (Decrypt)
that, according to Bubblemaps, the FIFA-related token WCUP, which launched yesterday, surged to a market cap of approximately $50 million. Over 30 new wallets snapped up 95% of its supply immediately at the opening. These wallets were funded by multiple centralized exchanges within the half-hour before the launch, had no prior on-chain history, and subsequently distributed the tokens to over 2,500 new addresses via Uniswap Router.Bubblemaps noted that the project's documentation only vaguely mentions a presale and partner allocations, with no on-chain evidence directly linking to the team. However, this level of concentration, combined with undisclosed paid promotion arrangements with KOLs, poses a significant risk.
It is reported that Bybit recently launched a new category of contracts: USDT Event Settlement Contracts, which are based on the outcomes of sports events. Users can trade these contracts in real time before and during matches, with automatic settlement after the event concludes. Product Features: - Contract prices are benchmarked at 10, reflecting the market’s real-time expectations for the home or away team’s victory: prices above 10 indicate bullish sentiment toward the home team; prices below 10 indicate bullish sentiment toward the away team. - Settlement price formula: 10 + (home team goals − away team goals). Only goals scored during the official 90-minute match duration count; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. - Settlement occurs 130 minutes after the scheduled match kickoff. A “close-only” mode is activated during the final 20 minutes prior to settlement. - Maximum leverage supported is 5x; minimum initial margin is 10 USDT. According to comprehensive reports, the first batch of contracts will be rolled out progressively aligned with the 2026 FIFA World Cup schedule. Exact listing times for individual trading pairs will be announced officially by the platform.
WEEX Exchange has launched the large-scale themed trading reward campaign “World Cup × Monopoly: Participate and Win $1 Million in USDT,” which runs until 23:59:59 (UTC+8) on July 20, covering the entire World Cup season. The campaign features low participation thresholds and highly engaging interactive gameplay: users can earn dice by completing tasks such as registration, depositing funds, trading futures and spot assets, consuming dice, and inviting friends to join. After rolling the dice, users advance across the game board according to the number shown; landing on specific squares entitles them to rewards including BTC, ETH, and USDT. Rolling dice to advance on the board and completing weekly trading tasks both accumulate points. Reaching designated point thresholds unlocks milestone rewards such as USDT, WXT tokens, fee discounts, and trial funds. Additionally, users can spend points to interact with World Cup matches—cheering for their favorite teams—and leverage small investments to earn even more points.
Bitget has launched a new edition of CandyBomb with a total prize pool of 31,500 WLD. This event is exclusively for new futures contract users. By completing specified net deposit and futures trading tasks, individual users can earn up to 315 WLD.Detailed rules have been published on the official Bitget platform. Eligible users must complete registration before participating in the event. The event ends on June 19, 2024 at 18:00 (UTC+8).
According to monitoring by Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event for "2026 World Cup Group F Round 1: Sweden vs. Tunisia," a smart money address (0x8cb4ca5af7d9361322340bb307a828d288c91057) that has accumulated over $1 million in profit purchased more than $1.1 million on Sweden defeating Tunisia, with an average entry price of 51.7¢ and a position of 2,139,999.7 shares.The match between Sweden and Tunisia began today at 10:00. Sweden holds an advantage in overall strength and attacking power. The first half has concluded with Sweden leading Tunisia 2:1.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, spotting changes before prices are set.
Odaily News, June 9th — BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated in his latest article "Reality Test" that if oil prices continue to rise due to the US-Iran conflict, it could trigger a collapse of the AI stock bubble and drag the entire crypto market down.Hayes said that if traffic restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz persist deep into the second quarter, spot prices for hydrocarbons and other key commodities could rise in the third quarter. If oil prices continue to climb and inflationary pressures impact the US midterm elections, Trump might pivot to a tough stance targeting data center construction, AI regulation, and taxation. Hayes believes the market could anticipate Trump limiting AI capital expenditure and taxing AI companies, thereby triggering the burst of the AI stock bubble.Hayes also noted that since November 2022, the scale of AI-related debt issuance has been approximately $1.5 trillion, and US M2 has increased by roughly the same amount during the same period. He believes the three factors that could pop the AI bubble include rising energy costs, the market's inability to absorb three major AI-related IPOs — namely SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI — and Trump's shift to opposing AI. In terms of portfolio, Hayes stated that Maelstrom's stock portfolio holds significant positions in US-listed energy producers; he has sold AI-related stocks and offloaded non-core crypto assets, having dumped HYPE, NEAR, and WLD last week, as well as selling ZEC due to the Orchard Pool vulnerability. He still holds Bitcoin and ETH and will execute tactical short trades via derivatives.
Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes), co-founder of BitMEX and CIO of Maelstrom Fund, stated in a post that he has liquidated his entire $ZEC position following a vulnerability exploit targeting ZEC’s Orchard Pool. Hayes noted that although malicious minting is highly unlikely, it cannot be cryptographically proven impossible; privacy narratives demand “perfection,” not merely “probable security.” He added that if the underlying assumptions are later falsified, he does not rule out repurchasing $ZEC at a lower price. His team continues to hold a $WLD position and maintains a bullish stance.
Standard Chartered Bank's latest report indicates that while the theft of KelpDAO's rsETH has severely impacted the DeFi ecosystem, it is insufficient to change the long-term growth trend of Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization. The bank maintains its forecast that the RWA tokenization market will grow from $35 billion in October 2025 to $2 trillion by the end of 2028, with the core drivers remaining the continued expansion of the DeFi banking system and stablecoin liquidity.Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, stated that this incident is more like DeFi being "bent, not broken," and could even serve as a significant turning point for the industry to move towards a more resilient structure. (The Block)
According to CoinDesk, researchers from the University of California, Santa Barbara; the University of California, San Diego; blockchain security firm Fuzzland; and World Liberty Financial jointly published a paper warning that “LLM routers”—intermediary services positioned between users and AI models—have become a major threat to cryptocurrency asset security. The researchers discovered that 26 LLM routers are secretly injecting malicious tool calls and stealing user credentials, with one incident resulting in the complete draining of a customer’s cryptocurrency wallet worth $500,000. Additionally, by “poisoning” the router ecosystem, the researchers were able to gain control of approximately 400 downstream hosts within hours. Since sensitive data—including private keys and API credentials—is frequently transmitted in plaintext through these routers, users unknowingly expose their assets to risk. The researchers note that as McKinsey forecasts AI agents will mediate $3–5 trillion in global consumer commerce by 2030—and Binance founder Changpeng Zhao predicts AI agents’ payment volume will be one million times greater than that of humans—the current infrastructure’s security lags far behind the pace of industry development. The “weakest link” risk could thus trigger systemic, cascading crises.
According to the official announcement, Bitget’s stock contracts are now available for 11 underlying assets, including BUD (Anheuser-Busch InBev), NKE (Nike), KO (Coca-Cola), ABNB (Airbnb), MAR (Marriott International), and V (Visa), spanning sectors related to major sporting events—such as sports & entertainment, travel & transportation, and consumer brands. These contracts support up to 20x leverage. For more details, please visit Bitget’s official platform.
According to official announcements, OKX’s World Cup prediction campaign has introduced a branded sponsorship prize pool mechanism, with more branded prize pools to be launched subsequently to jointly build the ecosystem.
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
: Pudgy Party officially announced on the X platform that the team has decided to shut down the mobile game Pudgy Party and cease further development. Pudgy Party launched as the top-ranked app on the App Store, with total downloads exceeding 1 million.The team stated that their Web-based game, Pudgy World, has greater advantages in scalability, narrative potential, and user acquisition capabilities, and is experiencing rapid growth. As the core flagship game product of the Pudgy Penguins universe, the team will fully dedicate its efforts to its future development.
According to the official announcement, HTX (formerly Huobi) has launched its World Cup prediction campaign. From now until July 20 at 3:00 AM (UTC+8), eligible users who register and complete designated tasks will receive prediction tickets. Users can participate in two types of predictions—champion prediction and single-match prediction—and share a prize pool worth $500,000 in $HTX.
BIT has released its latest weekly report, titled "Will the FIFA World Cup Be the End of the Bitcoin Bear Market?" The report suggests that the current bearish trend of Bitcoin is largely consistent with its early February 2026 outlook. The previously predicted A-B-C correction structure has entered its final phase: after Wave A declined to the $60,000 to $69,000 range, Bitcoin rebounded to the $80,000 to $90,000 range, peaking temporarily around $83,000, after which the rebound momentum gradually weakened.BIT points out that the current Fear and Greed Index has approached historically significant low levels, still showing some similarity to the bottom structure of the 2022 bear market. It maintains its previous view that the summer lull during the 2026 World Cup period could serve as the final stage of Bitcoin's current bear cycle.The report states that future focus will be on the key price range for the end of the bear market, macro catalysts for the next bull run, and trend reversal signals from cyclical indicators. If the relevant framework holds, this market bottom could become one of the low points in Bitcoin's history with a relatively concentrated time window and clearly defined triggering conditions.
According to the official announcement, Bitget’s stock contracts are now available for 11 underlying assets, including BUD (Anheuser-Busch InBev), NKE (Nike), KO (Coca-Cola), ABNB (Airbnb), MAR (Marriott International), and V (Visa), spanning sectors related to major sporting events—such as sports & entertainment, travel & transportation, and consumer brands. These contracts support up to 20x leverage. For more details, please visit Bitget’s official platform.
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that in the predict.fun "Group H Winner" prediction event, the probability of Spain winning Group H has dropped to 71%, down 9% in 24 hours. Meanwhile, Uruguay's probability of topping Group H is currently at 23%.Today, in the first round of World Cup Group H, Cape Verde pulled off an upset by holding Spain to a draw. In the second round, Spain will face Saudi Arabia, while Cape Verde will take on Uruguay.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are set.
According to official announcements, OKX’s World Cup prediction campaign has introduced a branded sponsorship prize pool mechanism, with more branded prize pools to be launched subsequently to jointly build the ecosystem.
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
Monitoring by Odaily Seer shows that in the predict.fun "World Cup Group F Winner" prediction event, the probability of Sweden winning Group F has risen to 30%, up 15% in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of the Netherlands winning Group F is currently 46%.Today, in the first round of Group F of the World Cup group stage, Sweden defeated Tunisia 5:1; the Netherlands drew 2:2 with Japan. The Netherlands' next opponent is Sweden, while Japan will face Tunisia.Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are set.
According to monitoring by Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event for "2026 World Cup Group F Round 1: Sweden vs. Tunisia," a smart money address (0x8cb4ca5af7d9361322340bb307a828d288c91057) that has accumulated over $1 million in profit purchased more than $1.1 million on Sweden defeating Tunisia, with an average entry price of 51.7¢ and a position of 2,139,999.7 shares.The match between Sweden and Tunisia began today at 10:00. Sweden holds an advantage in overall strength and attacking power. The first half has concluded with Sweden leading Tunisia 2:1.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, spotting changes before prices are set.