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Project Overview
Outcome is a decentralized prediction market platform designed to build a fully on-chain open market to verify the authenticity of the market.
Hyperliquid plans to enable permissionless deployment of prediction markets via HIP-4, with up to 50% fee share supported in the future
Hyperliquid announced that HIP-4 (Outcome Markets) plans to support permissionless deployment in subsequent network upgrades, with the first phase launching on the testnet followed by expansion to the mainnet. According to the preliminary proposal, deployers are required to stake 500,000 HYPE. If the market definition is unclear, settlement is not performed correctly according to the template, or settlement is not completed within one week after the outcome is generated, validators can vote to slash the stake. Deployers can initially create 100 outcomes, with quotas to be expanded through an auction mechanism thereafter.
OpenAI Releases New GPT-5.6 Prompt Engineering Guidelines, Recommends Simplifying System Prompts
According to Decrypt, OpenAI has released a new prompt engineering guide for the flagship model GPT-5.6 Sol, with the core concept being "Outcome-First Prompting"—clarifying goals and termination conditions and avoiding lengthy procedural instructions. Internal programming agent tests show that streamlined system prompts improved evaluation scores by approximately 10–15%, while reducing total token usage by 41–66% and costs by 33–67%. The guide also adds the text.verbosity API parameter to globally control output verbosity, as well as a new "Programmatic Tool Calls" section, supporting the handoff of intermediate tasks such as filtering and batch processing to code to reduce the model's judgment burden. Additionally, the guide warns that GPT-5.6 strictly follows prompt rules, and conflicting instructions within the prompt will consume significant inference tokens and may lead to erroneous output.
Trezor Exec: Putting All Bitcoin into ETFs Might Be the Worst Outcome for the Industry, Undermining the Core Principle of Self-Custody
: Danny Sanders, Chief Business Officer of hardware wallet manufacturer Trezor, stated that "putting everything into ETFs" might be the worst development path for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Since the launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024, cumulative inflows have exceeded $53 billion, making them a significant driver of BTC prices, but also potentially altering the structure of how users hold their assets.Sanders believes that over-reliance on ETFs will weaken Bitcoin's core principle of "self-custody," gradually shifting asset control to third-party institutions instead of users holding their private keys. Although self-custody carries risks such as lost seed phrases or unrecoverable private key leaks, he considers these more of a psychological barrier than a technical challenge, adding that "it's not difficult once you actually start doing it."Data shows that out of approximately 600 million crypto users globally, only about 10% practice self-custody, and only around 12 to 13 million users employ hardware wallets.As an early hardware wallet provider in the industry, Trezor helped popularize the BIP-39 seed phrase standard and continues to advocate for lowering the barriers to self-custody through improved user experience and educational tools, rather than relying on intermediary custody.Sanders concluded that the industry's long-term goal should be to gradually approach a Web2-level user experience, rather than simply replacing self-custody with ETFs. "That would probably be the worst possible outcome for the entire industry." (The Block)
Hyperliquid Policy Center Urges CFTC to Open Compliance Routes for Decentralized Prediction Markets
the Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC) has announced it has formally submitted a comment letter regarding the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM) on prediction markets. The HPC advocates for establishing clear compliance pathways for decentralized prediction markets built on public, permissionless blockchains, while simultaneously refining the regulatory framework for centralized prediction markets.In its comment letter, the HPC calls on the CFTC to develop more flexible, function-oriented rules tailored to decentralized market structures; to establish clear legal channels for U.S. market participants to access decentralized prediction markets; and to support U.S. leadership in the field of decentralized finance innovation.The HPC states that prediction markets are a natural extension of the federal derivatives framework. They help participants directly manage their economic risk exposure to real-world events and aggregate dispersed information through continuously updated market prices. Their price discovery capabilities have been widely validated and, in some cases, outperform traditional polling and expert forecasts.The HPC points out that decentralized prediction markets based on public blockchains offer advantages such as transparency, non-custodial operation, and high resilience. They do not rely on centralized operators to hold user funds, nor do they present single points of failure. All transactions are recorded in real-time on a public ledger, facilitating both regulatory oversight and market surveillance, while market access standards are more transparent and uniform.The HPC emphasizes that the current rulemaking process should not codify reliance on single exchange operators, custodial intermediaries, or traditional settlement monitoring mechanisms. Doing so would prevent U.S. users from legally participating in decentralized prediction markets. The HPC states it will continue to promote compliant access to Hyperliquid and HIP-4 Outcome Markets for U.S. market participants, and will maintain ongoing communication with the CFTC.
Related news
FOMC Storm Approaches, Huobi HTX to Livestream and Discuss BTC Future Market Trends
According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will host a themed live stream titled "FOMC Tonight Decides the Outcome — 20% Rate Hike Probability Hard to Distinguish: Can BTC's $70,000 Option Bet Still Pay Off?" at 20:00 today. At that time, crypto KOLs such as Mao Mao Jie, Sincere Little Taoist, 0xJoker, and Mr. Misi will be invited to attend, focusing on core variables of market concern on the eve of the FOMC meeting, analyzing the macro signals behind the 20% rate hike probability, discussing the impact of USD liquidity changes on the crypto market, and combining with BTC key option positions to identify short-term market breakouts and risk turning points.
Bonk Guy: Traders Don’t Need to Win Every Trade — One Massive Opportunity Can Change the Outcome
Bonk Guy stated one major mistake many traders make is believing they must win every single trade.He noted that even if a trader loses 90% of their trades, they can still outperform most people, because one massive winning opportunity can wipe out months of losses and completely change the overall outcome.Unipcs added that a trader’s goal is not to win every trade, but to stay in the market long-term and wait to capture the opportunities that truly matter.
Hyperliquid plans to enable permissionless deployment of prediction markets via HIP-4, with up to 50% fee share supported in the future
Hyperliquid announced that HIP-4 (Outcome Markets) plans to support permissionless deployment in subsequent network upgrades, with the first phase launching on the testnet followed by expansion to the mainnet. According to the preliminary proposal, deployers are required to stake 500,000 HYPE. If the market definition is unclear, settlement is not performed correctly according to the template, or settlement is not completed within one week after the outcome is generated, validators can vote to slash the stake. Deployers can initially create 100 outcomes, with quotas to be expanded through an auction mechanism thereafter.
OpenAI Releases New GPT-5.6 Prompt Engineering Guidelines, Recommends Simplifying System Prompts
According to Decrypt, OpenAI has released a new prompt engineering guide for the flagship model GPT-5.6 Sol, with the core concept being "Outcome-First Prompting"—clarifying goals and termination conditions and avoiding lengthy procedural instructions. Internal programming agent tests show that streamlined system prompts improved evaluation scores by approximately 10–15%, while reducing total token usage by 41–66% and costs by 33–67%. The guide also adds the text.verbosity API parameter to globally control output verbosity, as well as a new "Programmatic Tool Calls" section, supporting the handoff of intermediate tasks such as filtering and batch processing to code to reduce the model's judgment burden. Additionally, the guide warns that GPT-5.6 strictly follows prompt rules, and conflicting instructions within the prompt will consume significant inference tokens and may lead to erroneous output.
College Student Receives Suspended Sentence in Second Instance of Cryptocurrency "Withdrawing Liquidity" Case, Pleading Guilty and Accepting Punishment Becomes Turning Point in Outcome
According to lawyer Liu Yang, the college student who was sentenced to 4 years and 6 months of fixed-term imprisonment in the first instance for profiting from issuing virtual currency and conducting a "rug pull" voluntarily pleaded guilty and accepted punishment during the second instance trial, was ultimately granted a suspended sentence, and was released after the hearing.
Circle Co-Founder Responds to OUSD Competition: Consortium Stablecoins Will Struggle to Succeed, Network Effects Will Ultimately Decide the Outcome
: Circle co-founder Jeremy Allaire publicly responded to the competition from OUSD. He stated that the stablecoin network is essentially an internet platform-based business, which over the long term exhibits a "winner-takes-most or winner-takes-all" structure, where network effects and liquidity are the decisive factors. On the competitive front, Allaire questioned the model of "consortium stablecoins" like OUSD, arguing that multi-party alliance structures are prone to slow decision-making, misaligned incentives, and insufficient long-term execution capabilities. Historically, projects like Diem have already proven the difficulty of scaling such a model. Furthermore, while mechanisms like free minting/redemption, yield distribution, and governance structure designs are theoretically attractive, the real-world market requires stable profitability to support infrastructure investment; otherwise, long-term network building capabilities may be weakened.Jeremy Allaire added that Circle will continue to be open and cooperate with various institutions and stablecoin issuers to jointly expand the ecosystem. At the same time, it will advance the development of cross-chain and payment infrastructure like CCTP and CPN. He also welcomed OUSD to join the industry competition, stating that the outcome will ultimately be determined by network effects.