Wintermute is a crypto market maker focused on high-frequency algorithmic trading and market making services. It provides liquidity algorithmically across most cryptocurrency exchanges and trading platforms, as well as supports high profile blockchain projects and traditional financial institutions moving into crypto.
According to Wintermute's weekly market report, Bitcoin fell 2.43% last week, marking its third consecutive weekly decline, breaking below $82,500 and retesting $80,000 before closing at approximately $80,500. ETH dropped 3.40%, closing at around $2,330. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $636 million on Thursday, the largest single-day outflow since June, coinciding with a 2.6% drop in the Nasdaq on the same day. On the macro front, following Houthi attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure, Brent crude surged 5.66% to $116.72, with oil prices displacing AI financing as the primary market concern. Wintermute noted that as of October 18, markets price in roughly an 86% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady this Wednesday, alongside expectations for a December rate hike. The Fed's forward guidance regarding December represents the key risk. Technically, BTC must reclaim the $82,000–$82,500 zone. Should the $80,000 level fail, the next support sits at $76,000, with a breakdown likely pushing prices to just over $70,000. The firm stated it is temporarily not taking a bearish view but will remain cautious until the FOMC meeting concludes and BTC reclaims $82,500. Key upcoming events include the October 28 FOMC meeting, October 29 reports for Q3 GDP and September PCE data, and the October 30 monthly options expiration.
Odaily News: Blockchain-native fintech startup OpenReserve received preliminary conditional approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) on September 2 to establish a full-service national bank in Salt Lake City, Utah. The approval process took less than five months, with OpenReserve submitting its application on April 13.OpenReserve must raise at least $210 million in initial paid-in capital within 12 months and maintain a minimum Tier 1 leverage ratio of 12% for three years after opening. It must also commence operations within 18 months, or the approval will lapse. The relevant deadlines are September 2027 and March 2028, respectively.OpenReserve plans to offer tokenized deposits, treasury management, foreign correspondent banking, and Banking-as-a-Service for institutional clients. The full-service national bank charter, upon final approval, would allow it to accept deposits and conduct lending activities.OpenReserve previously completed a $25 million seed funding round led by a16z crypto, with participation from Coinbase Ventures, Jump Capital, and Wintermute Ventures, among others. The company plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary to issue and redeem dollar-denominated, reserve-backed stablecoins, but that subsidiary has not yet filed an application with the OCC. (Decrypt)
GPU market data infrastructure company Silicon Data announced the completion of the first closing of its $30.5 million Series A financing round, led by Valor Atreides AI Fund, with participation from CME Ventures, DRW, Samsung Next, VanEck, Jump Trading, Wintermute, and others. The funds will be used for GPU benchmark pricing, performance measurement, institutional and alternative data, as well as derivatives, insurance, and credit market risk infrastructure.
Odaily News: GPU market data infrastructure company Silicon Data has announced the first closing of its $30.5 million Series A funding round, led by Valor Atreides AI Fund, with participation from CME Ventures, DRW, Samsung Next, VanEck, Jump Trading, Wintermute, and others. The funds will be used for GPU benchmark pricing, performance measurement, institutional and alternative data, as well as risk infrastructure for derivatives, insurance, and credit markets.Silicon Data currently collects data from approximately 100 GPU rental platforms across more than 40 countries worldwide, processing over 150,000 verified price records daily. CME Group plans to adopt Silicon Data's benchmarks as the reference price for its proposed cash-settled GPU futures contracts, pending regulatory approval.
: Prediction market platform Pascal has announced the completion of a $9 million Series A funding round. The platform aims to create a next-generation prediction market platform for professional traders and institutional users, challenging the current market landscape dominated by Kalshi and Polymarket.This funding round was led by Union Square Ventures (USV), with the specific valuation not disclosed. This financing expands on a $6 million seed round from August last year, with early investors including Wintermute Ventures and DBA.Headquartered in New York, Pascal positions itself as a prediction market platform similar to Kalshi, but aims to offer users lower fees, higher liquidity, and more specialized trading tools through a trading model closer to perpetual futures.Pascal co-founder Ivo Crnkovic-Rubsamen stated that the hope is to establish highly liquid prediction markets for real business risks in the future, allowing companies to utilize these markets for risk management and hedging. (Fortune)
Velocity, a stablecoin payment infrastructure startup, announced the completion of a $38 million Series A funding round. This round was led by crypto investment firm Dragonfly, with participation from Coinbase, Capital One Ventures, Wintermute, and other institutions. Velocity CEO Eric Queathem did not disclose the latest valuation. Founded in 2025, Velocity focuses on providing stablecoin payment solutions for enterprises, payment service providers, fintech companies, and financial institutions, helping them leverage dollar-pegged tokens to optimize cross-border payments, fund settlement, and treasury management processes.Currently, Velocity has covered markets in the United States, parts of Europe, and Australia. The company plans to use the new funds to apply for licenses, expand into Africa and Latin America, while also investing in building more secure asset custody infrastructure and developing new features, including stablecoin yield products. (Fortune)
Wintermute released its weekly market report, as the Federal Reserve voted unanimously 12-0 on September 21 to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%. Sixteen officials project at least one more rate hike this year, with inflation not expected to return to the 2% target until 2029. Two key catalysts previously monitored by the market—the FOMC rate decision and the CLARITY Act—have both materialized: the CLARITY Act failed to advance in the Senate (49-50 vote, falling short of the 60-vote threshold), prompting the SEC and CFTC to immediately state that they would establish crypto regulatory frameworks under their current authority. The market adjusted for only a single trading session before reclaiming its losses. BTC traded between $75,000 and $81,000 this week, closing at $81,159—the first time since last November it has breached the 50-week moving average; ETH gained 6.7%, trading in the $2,350–$2,600 range. Regarding ETF capital flows, net outflows totaled $746 million from Tuesday to Wednesday, partially reversed by $593 million in inflows from Thursday to Friday, resulting in a five-day net outflow of approximately $6 million. Outflows triggered by the CLARITY Act were nearly fully offset within 48 hours. At the start of this week, both BTC and ETH broke above the range resistance ahead of the U.S. equity market open. Fueled by approximately $250 million in short liquidations, BTC briefly surged to $86,000, setting an eight-month high. Wintermute’s analysis suggests:
In a write-up by Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, BTC ETFs recorded a net outflow of $463 million for the week ending September 14, marking the first negative reading since June's lows. ARK and Grayscale alone accounted for combined outflows of $371 million, while BlackRock remained flat. As a result, BTC fell 4.4% for the week to close at $76,838, making it the worst-performing asset, while Ethereum dipped 1.5% and altcoins collectively gained 1.0%. On the macro front, the US August CPI came in at 0.4% month-on-month (core 0.3%), exceeding the expected 0.2%, while the PPI annual rate hit 5.4%, prompting Goldman Sachs to upgrade its September rate outlook from "hold steady" to "increase." The market has now priced in an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point hike on Wednesday. Meanwhile, ongoing escalation in Middle East tensions pushed Brent crude past $105/barrel, and the 10-year US Treasury yield reached a 20-year high. Wintermute stated that following the shift to negative ETF flows, it favors a neutral over a bullish market stance. Two key catalysts this week: ① On Tuesday, the US Senate will hold a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act (Crypto Market Structure Act), which requires 60 votes to pass; ② On Wednesday, the Fed will announce its interest rate decision. While the rate hike itself is already fully priced in, subsequent hawkish commentary (particularly any signals pointing to continued tightening into Q1 2027) could exert downward pressure on the crypto market.
Odaily News: Blockchain-native fintech startup OpenReserve received preliminary conditional approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) on September 2 to establish a full-service national bank in Salt Lake City, Utah. The approval process took less than five months, with OpenReserve submitting its application on April 13.OpenReserve must raise at least $210 million in initial paid-in capital within 12 months and maintain a minimum Tier 1 leverage ratio of 12% for three years after opening. It must also commence operations within 18 months, or the approval will lapse. The relevant deadlines are September 2027 and March 2028, respectively.OpenReserve plans to offer tokenized deposits, treasury management, foreign correspondent banking, and Banking-as-a-Service for institutional clients. The full-service national bank charter, upon final approval, would allow it to accept deposits and conduct lending activities.OpenReserve previously completed a $25 million seed funding round led by a16z crypto, with participation from Coinbase Ventures, Jump Capital, and Wintermute Ventures, among others. The company plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary to issue and redeem dollar-denominated, reserve-backed stablecoins, but that subsidiary has not yet filed an application with the OCC. (Decrypt)
Odaily News: Wintermute posted on X that the crypto market has rebounded over the past two weeks, with ETF inflows turning positive and stablecoin issuance stabilizing. However, to usher in a full new cycle, the market still needs new sources of capital. Historically, VC and ICO funding in 2017-2018, stablecoins in 2020-2021, and ETFs and digital asset treasury companies in 2024-2025 have all accelerated bull market cycles. RWA could become the next major liquidity channel. Data shows that stablecoin supply grew by over $120 billion within a single year; ETFs recorded cumulative net inflows of $63 billion, while digital asset treasury companies accumulated over $115 billion in holdings.In comparison, RWA attracted approximately $16 billion in capital over the past 12 months—only about one-tenth of the peak scale seen from ETFs and treasury companies in the previous cycle. However, the value of on-chain tokenized assets has roughly doubled within a year to over $30 billion, and this growth continued even during periods of stablecoin supply contraction.Wintermute believes that RWA capital initially flows into traditional assets such as Apple stock and U.S. Treasury funds, rather than directly into crypto assets. But once these funds enter the blockchain, the friction involved in rotating toward Bitcoin, altcoins, and DeFi is expected to decrease significantly. As the regulatory framework gradually becomes clearer and tokenized Treasuries and funds begin gaining acceptance as collateral on trading platforms and within DeFi, RWA could drive a market cycle that unfolds at a more moderate pace and lasts longer.
Odaily News: Cryptocurrency market maker Wintermute plans to invest approximately $1 billion over the next five years in AI infrastructure and high-frequency trading systems, while expanding into equities, commodities, foreign exchange, and prediction markets. The company aims to increase non-crypto revenue to more than 50% of total revenue by the end of 2027. Wintermute founder and CEO Evgeny Gaevoy said the company plans to fund the investment with retained earnings. Wintermute's average daily trading volume this year is around $10 billion, down from approximately $15 billion last year; non-crypto businesses currently account for about 10% of revenue. The investment projects will cover computing power, storage, network, and data center infrastructure, supporting quantitative strategies that rely on large-scale datasets and models requiring continuous training and retraining. Wintermute has already expanded into exchange-traded funds, real-world asset perpetual futures, and prediction markets. Wintermute's U.S. affiliate recently completed its broker-dealer registration, allowing it to trade equities and stock options for its own account and serve as an authorized participant for exchange-traded products. The registration provides a pathway for the company to enter regulated securities markets. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News: GPU market data infrastructure company Silicon Data has announced the first closing of its $30.5 million Series A funding round, led by Valor Atreides AI Fund, with participation from CME Ventures, DRW, Samsung Next, VanEck, Jump Trading, Wintermute, and others. The funds will be used for GPU benchmark pricing, performance measurement, institutional and alternative data, as well as risk infrastructure for derivatives, insurance, and credit markets.Silicon Data currently collects data from approximately 100 GPU rental platforms across more than 40 countries worldwide, processing over 150,000 verified price records daily. CME Group plans to adopt Silicon Data's benchmarks as the reference price for its proposed cash-settled GPU futures contracts, pending regulatory approval.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale bought 123,055 HYPE from Wintermute after 27 days of inactivity, worth $10.02 million.
According to Wintermute's weekly market report, Bitcoin fell 2.43% last week, marking its third consecutive weekly decline, breaking below $82,500 and retesting $80,000 before closing at approximately $80,500. ETH dropped 3.40%, closing at around $2,330. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $636 million on Thursday, the largest single-day outflow since June, coinciding with a 2.6% drop in the Nasdaq on the same day. On the macro front, following Houthi attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure, Brent crude surged 5.66% to $116.72, with oil prices displacing AI financing as the primary market concern. Wintermute noted that as of October 18, markets price in roughly an 86% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady this Wednesday, alongside expectations for a December rate hike. The Fed's forward guidance regarding December represents the key risk. Technically, BTC must reclaim the $82,000–$82,500 zone. Should the $80,000 level fail, the next support sits at $76,000, with a breakdown likely pushing prices to just over $70,000. The firm stated it is temporarily not taking a bearish view but will remain cautious until the FOMC meeting concludes and BTC reclaims $82,500. Key upcoming events include the October 28 FOMC meeting, October 29 reports for Q3 GDP and September PCE data, and the October 30 monthly options expiration.
Odaily Report: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Arthur Hayes (0x6cd...7e21) has transferred tokens again after a 9-day hiatus: depositing 14 million ENA worth $2.74 million to Binance, 323,000 UNI worth $2.24 million to Wintermute, and 1.89 million ETHFI worth $1.22 million to FalconX, totaling $6.2 million in transfers.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), whales continue to accumulate BTC. On October 22, four newly created wallets received 1,127 BTC (approximately $93.45 million) from market maker Wintermute.
Odaily News: According to Odaily monitoring, a contract account at a certain address (widely identified as the Wintermute market-making address) has accumulated profits exceeding $173 million. From 17:24 to 18:13 on October 14, its BTC short position increased from approximately $567,000 to approximately $5.158 million, with a net addition of approximately $4.591 million; during this period, approximately $4.882 million was opened and approximately $226,000 was closed, with closing profits of approximately $669.Address: 0xecb63caa47c7c4e77f60f1ce858cf28dc2b82b00
According to Lookonchain monitoring, over the past 12 hours, 5 newly created wallets received 1,162 BTC from Wintermute, worth $96.77 million. Lookonchain stated that this may indicate a whale bought the aforementioned Bitcoin through Wintermute.
According to Wintermute's weekly market report, Bitcoin fell 2.43% last week, marking its third consecutive weekly decline, breaking below $82,500 and retesting $80,000 before closing at approximately $80,500. ETH dropped 3.40%, closing at around $2,330. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $636 million on Thursday, the largest single-day outflow since June, coinciding with a 2.6% drop in the Nasdaq on the same day. On the macro front, following Houthi attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure, Brent crude surged 5.66% to $116.72, with oil prices displacing AI financing as the primary market concern. Wintermute noted that as of October 18, markets price in roughly an 86% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady this Wednesday, alongside expectations for a December rate hike. The Fed's forward guidance regarding December represents the key risk. Technically, BTC must reclaim the $82,000–$82,500 zone. Should the $80,000 level fail, the next support sits at $76,000, with a breakdown likely pushing prices to just over $70,000. The firm stated it is temporarily not taking a bearish view but will remain cautious until the FOMC meeting concludes and BTC reclaims $82,500. Key upcoming events include the October 28 FOMC meeting, October 29 reports for Q3 GDP and September PCE data, and the October 30 monthly options expiration.
Wintermute's latest market report indicates that, driven by a higher-than-expected U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and a correction in the AI sector, the Nasdaq index fell 5.52% for the week, while Bitcoin dropped 1.99%, regaining and holding the key $82,500 support level after briefly breaking below it. Altcoins declined 5.69% overall, with capital rotating from high-beta and micro-cap tokens back into mainstream assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Major assets currently offer a more attractive risk-reward ratio.
According to Wintermute's weekly market update, Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed most officials expected another rate hike by year-end, with rate cuts unmentioned, while the US 10-year Treasury yield reached multi-decade highs. Consequently, BTC fell 3.2% this week to around the $83,000 level, ETH dropped 7.0%, and the S&P 500 index rose 1.2% to an all-time high. US spot BTC ETFs recorded weekly net outflows of approximately $679 million, marking the largest single-week outflow since June; ETH ETFs saw outflows of $542 million. CoinGlass data indicates roughly $1.19 billion in liquidations within 24 hours near Thursday's low, with long positions accounting for $1.06 billion. ETH faced additional pressure from news that researchers associated with the Ethereum Foundation advised users to migrate to new addresses. BTC's market share rose to approximately 59.5%, representing the most prominent internal signal of the week. Wintermute noted that amid the Fed's inclination toward rate hikes, yields are unlikely to retreat in the short term. Renewed optimism for crypto markets requires simultaneously meeting two conditions: "stabilization of long-end rates" and "spot ETFs resuming net inflows." It advised closely monitoring Wednesday's September CPI data and earnings reports from financial institutions and AI-related companies this week.
Wintermute released its weekly market report, as the Federal Reserve voted unanimously 12-0 on September 21 to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%. Sixteen officials project at least one more rate hike this year, with inflation not expected to return to the 2% target until 2029. Two key catalysts previously monitored by the market—the FOMC rate decision and the CLARITY Act—have both materialized: the CLARITY Act failed to advance in the Senate (49-50 vote, falling short of the 60-vote threshold), prompting the SEC and CFTC to immediately state that they would establish crypto regulatory frameworks under their current authority. The market adjusted for only a single trading session before reclaiming its losses. BTC traded between $75,000 and $81,000 this week, closing at $81,159—the first time since last November it has breached the 50-week moving average; ETH gained 6.7%, trading in the $2,350–$2,600 range. Regarding ETF capital flows, net outflows totaled $746 million from Tuesday to Wednesday, partially reversed by $593 million in inflows from Thursday to Friday, resulting in a five-day net outflow of approximately $6 million. Outflows triggered by the CLARITY Act were nearly fully offset within 48 hours. At the start of this week, both BTC and ETH broke above the range resistance ahead of the U.S. equity market open. Fueled by approximately $250 million in short liquidations, BTC briefly surged to $86,000, setting an eight-month high. Wintermute’s analysis suggests:
Odaily News: Blockchain-native fintech startup OpenReserve received preliminary conditional approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) on September 2 to establish a full-service national bank in Salt Lake City, Utah. The approval process took less than five months, with OpenReserve submitting its application on April 13.OpenReserve must raise at least $210 million in initial paid-in capital within 12 months and maintain a minimum Tier 1 leverage ratio of 12% for three years after opening. It must also commence operations within 18 months, or the approval will lapse. The relevant deadlines are September 2027 and March 2028, respectively.OpenReserve plans to offer tokenized deposits, treasury management, foreign correspondent banking, and Banking-as-a-Service for institutional clients. The full-service national bank charter, upon final approval, would allow it to accept deposits and conduct lending activities.OpenReserve previously completed a $25 million seed funding round led by a16z crypto, with participation from Coinbase Ventures, Jump Capital, and Wintermute Ventures, among others. The company plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary to issue and redeem dollar-denominated, reserve-backed stablecoins, but that subsidiary has not yet filed an application with the OCC. (Decrypt)
According to the weekly market report by Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, Fed Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish speech at Jackson Hole, reiterating the 2% inflation target and pushing the probability of a September rate hike to 61.9%, making the September 15-16 FOMC meeting a key catalyst for risk assets. In cross-asset performance, 20+ year US Treasuries led gains (+1.01%), followed by altcoins (+0.61%), the S&P 500 (+0.47%), and the Nasdaq (+0.42%). BTC closed flat (+0.10%), while ETH (-0.86%), the Russell 2000 (-1.40%), gold (-3.42%), and Brent crude oil (-4.31%) were the weakest performers. In the crypto market, BTC digesting its previous 23% rally, encountered repeated rejections at the $82k resistance level. It reached an intraday high of $81k earlier this week, dipped below $78k following Warsh's remarks, and ultimately closed flat. BTC ETFs posted nine consecutive days of net inflows totaling $924 million, with a first-time single-day outflow of $202 million on Friday. ETH ETFs logged net inflows of $816 million this week, with no single-day outflows. SOL and XRP ETFs both set new 2026 weekly inflow records, reaching $154 million and $110 million, respectively. Strategy increased its position again on Monday, raising $2 billion, with approximately $16
Odaily reports: Wintermute founder Evgeny Gaevoy posted on X stating that, overall, Binance has enough strength to withstand a blow 3 to 4 times more severe than the current situation and still remain largely intact. They will most likely get through this, and users' funds are most likely safe, but it is obvious that until they identify and resolve the issue, it is best not to deposit funds there for now.Evgeny added: "Wintermute has exposure to Binance (fund risk exposure), but it is less than 20% of net assets. Under any circumstances, I believe our operations across any time frame will not be disrupted in any way."
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale bought 123,055 HYPE from Wintermute after 27 days of inactivity, worth $10.02 million.
According to Wintermute's weekly market report, Bitcoin fell 2.43% last week, marking its third consecutive weekly decline, breaking below $82,500 and retesting $80,000 before closing at approximately $80,500. ETH dropped 3.40%, closing at around $2,330. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $636 million on Thursday, the largest single-day outflow since June, coinciding with a 2.6% drop in the Nasdaq on the same day. On the macro front, following Houthi attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure, Brent crude surged 5.66% to $116.72, with oil prices displacing AI financing as the primary market concern. Wintermute noted that as of October 18, markets price in roughly an 86% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady this Wednesday, alongside expectations for a December rate hike. The Fed's forward guidance regarding December represents the key risk. Technically, BTC must reclaim the $82,000–$82,500 zone. Should the $80,000 level fail, the next support sits at $76,000, with a breakdown likely pushing prices to just over $70,000. The firm stated it is temporarily not taking a bearish view but will remain cautious until the FOMC meeting concludes and BTC reclaims $82,500. Key upcoming events include the October 28 FOMC meeting, October 29 reports for Q3 GDP and September PCE data, and the October 30 monthly options expiration.
Odaily Report: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Arthur Hayes (0x6cd...7e21) has transferred tokens again after a 9-day hiatus: depositing 14 million ENA worth $2.74 million to Binance, 323,000 UNI worth $2.24 million to Wintermute, and 1.89 million ETHFI worth $1.22 million to FalconX, totaling $6.2 million in transfers.
according to Lookonchain monitoring, 40 newly created wallets have withdrawn 9,458 BTC from Wintermute since October 1, worth $772 million.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), whales continue to accumulate BTC. On October 22, four newly created wallets received 1,127 BTC (approximately $93.45 million) from market maker Wintermute.