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Due to ambiguous settlement rules, Polymarket’s “DeepSeek V4 Released on April 24” becomes embroiled in dispute arbitration
The Odaily Seer Channel has monitored that today DeepSeek officially announced the release of a preview version of DeepSeek-V4. However, on Polymarket, the specific release date of DeepSeek V4 has become the subject of three rounds of UMA dispute arbitration.The reason lies in the settlement rules for this event, which state that only versions representing the core version evolution of the DeepSeek V series, and which are “explicitly positioned as the successor to DeepSeek-V3,” meet the criteria. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., “V4-Lite”, “V4-Mini”), task-specific models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview versions (e.g., “V4-Exp”, “V4-Preview”), do not qualify if they are not positioned as new flagship V-series models.Therefore, some opponents argue that what DeepSeek officially released today is the V4-Preview version, not the official V4, and that “DeepSeek V4 was released on April 24” should be settled as No, not Yes.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.
Anthropic Claude Mythos Discovers 271 Vulnerabilities in Firefox Browser
According to Decrypt, Mozilla recently revealed that Anthropic’s latest AI model, Claude Mythos, identified 271 security vulnerabilities during internal testing of the Firefox browser; all related vulnerabilities were patched this week. For comparison, a previous Anthropic model had detected only 22 security-sensitive vulnerabilities. Mozilla stated that all discovered vulnerabilities fell within the scope of what top human researchers could identify. Claude Mythos was officially launched in March 2026 and is Anthropic’s most powerful model to date for reasoning, coding, and cybersecurity. It is currently available exclusively to vetted partners—including Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft—under Anthropic’s “Project Glasswing” initiative.
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Due to ambiguous settlement rules, Polymarket’s “DeepSeek V4 Released on April 24” becomes embroiled in dispute arbitration
The Odaily Seer Channel has monitored that today DeepSeek officially announced the release of a preview version of DeepSeek-V4. However, on Polymarket, the specific release date of DeepSeek V4 has become the subject of three rounds of UMA dispute arbitration.The reason lies in the settlement rules for this event, which state that only versions representing the core version evolution of the DeepSeek V series, and which are “explicitly positioned as the successor to DeepSeek-V3,” meet the criteria. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., “V4-Lite”, “V4-Mini”), task-specific models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview versions (e.g., “V4-Exp”, “V4-Preview”), do not qualify if they are not positioned as new flagship V-series models.Therefore, some opponents argue that what DeepSeek officially released today is the V4-Preview version, not the official V4, and that “DeepSeek V4 was released on April 24” should be settled as No, not Yes.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.
Spain dismantles pirated manga website, seizes crypto cold wallets containing 400,000 euros
during an operation against an illegal manga distribution platform, local police in Spain seized two cryptocurrency cold wallets containing approximately 400,000 euros (around $467,000) in assets. The operation was conducted by the Spanish police in Almería, leading to the arrest of three suspects and the dismantling of what is considered the country's largest Spanish-language pirated manga website. It is reported that the platform had been offering free pirated content since 2014, primarily generating revenue through advertisements, accumulating over 4 million euros in earnings over the past decade. Notably, the cold wallets involved were hidden inside a wall-mounted thermometer. The police have not yet disclosed whether they have obtained the relevant private keys or access to the funds. (Cointelegraph)
Anthropic Claude Mythos Discovers 271 Vulnerabilities in Firefox Browser
According to Decrypt, Mozilla recently revealed that Anthropic’s latest AI model, Claude Mythos, identified 271 security vulnerabilities during internal testing of the Firefox browser; all related vulnerabilities were patched this week. For comparison, a previous Anthropic model had detected only 22 security-sensitive vulnerabilities. Mozilla stated that all discovered vulnerabilities fell within the scope of what top human researchers could identify. Claude Mythos was officially launched in March 2026 and is Anthropic’s most powerful model to date for reasoning, coding, and cybersecurity. It is currently available exclusively to vetted partners—including Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft—under Anthropic’s “Project Glasswing” initiative.
SpaceX has agreed to acquire Cursor for over $50 billion
Odaily News According to two informed sources, SpaceX has agreed to acquire Cursor for over $50 billion. Cursor is a rapidly growing AI startup focused on developing code-writing software. SpaceX is making this deal as it prepares for what could be one of the largest IPOs in history. Founded in 2022, Cursor has raised over $3 billion and once made waves as one of the fastest-growing AI startups. SpaceX previously stated that Cursor has granted SpaceX the right to acquire Cursor for $60 billion, or SpaceX could alternatively pay $10 billion for the results of their collaboration. (Reuters)
Polymarket's "WTI Crude Oil Will Fall to $75 by April 2026" Probability Rises to 39%, Up 25% in 24 Hours
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability for the Polymarket contract "WTI Crude Oil Will Fall to $75 by April 2026" has surged significantly, reaching as high as 65% earlier today. It is currently reported at 39%, representing a 25% increase over the past 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume for the Polymarket "WTI Crude Oil April 2026 Price" event contract has exceeded $40 million.The rules for this event contract are as follows: If, at any 1-minute interval during April 2026, the "highest price" of the active month WTI crude oil futures is equal to or higher than the listing price, the market will be resolved as "YES"; otherwise, it will be resolved as "NO". In contrast, the rules for the previous WTI crude oil March price prediction event contract were: If the official settlement price of the CME crude oil futures contract's current active month (front month) on any trading day is equal to or higher than the listing price as of the last trading day of March 2026, the market will be resolved as "YES"; otherwise, it will be resolved as "NO".U.S. President Trump has stated that negotiations regarding the war with Iran will continue over the weekend. When asked whether Iran would impose restrictions or charge tolls for vessel passage through the Strait of Hormuz, Trump said, "Absolutely not," and "There will be no tolls." Trump previously also mentioned receiving some "pretty good news" on Iran but refused to disclose further details. "We heard some pretty good news about 20 minutes ago. It looks like things are going very well with Iran in the Middle East," Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One. When asked what the so-called good news was, Trump said, "You'll hear about it. I think it's what should happen. It's the right thing. And I think it will happen. We'll see, but I think it will happen."Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
BIT Weekly Report: BTC Technical Indicators Show Oversold Signals, but the Bear Market Is Far From Over
According to BIT on Target’s weekly report, despite the recent rollout of multiple positive catalysts—including the announcement of a ceasefire, rising inflationary pressures, and heightened expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve chair transition—the Bitcoin market has reacted indifferently overall, significantly underperforming expectations. Technically, Bitcoin has already entered a pronounced oversold zone, with the weekly stochastic indicator showing marginal upward movement. However, the report cautions that relying solely on oversold signals to conclude the end of the downtrend remains premature: a similar oversold condition in 2022 persisted for several months, during which rebound signals ultimately failed to trigger a meaningful reversal. The report emphasizes that what warrants closer attention now is the price level at which the market may reprice itself, as well as the outcomes of two key events scheduled for next week. Geopolitically, while the ceasefire agreement facilitated by Trump has been reached, its implementation remains highly uncertain. Iran continues to wield substantial influence over the Strait of Hormuz, and related shipping volumes remain markedly below normal levels—indicating that geopolitical risks have yet to be fully resolved.