News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: According to Gate Ventures' latest weekly report, last week's escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East combined with U.S. core inflation exceeding expectations significantly heightened global market volatility. Brent crude and WTI crude surged 8.33% and 9.36% respectively, returning above $100 per barrel; U.S. August core CPI rose 0.29% month-over-month, higher than expected, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.97%, with market-implied probability of a September rate hike rising to approximately 86%; spot gold fell 1.82% to $4,349.42 per ounce. U.S. stock indices — the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones — declined 0.80%, 0.66%, and 1.57% respectively; the crypto market weakened in tandem, with BTC and ETH dropping 4.4% and 1.5% respectively. Spot BTC ETFs saw net outflows of $462.7 million, while ETH ETFs recorded net inflows of $197.1 million. The fear index dropped from 71 to 57, indicating a cooling of market sentiment.On the industry front, India launched a $107 million tokenized corporate bond pilot program, further advancing institutional-grade RWA tokenization; Gemini obtained a Major Payment Institution (MPI) license from the Monetary Authority of Singapore, further expanding its regulatory footprint in the Asia-Pacific region; and the Philippine central bank plans to suspend new payment system operator registrations for 12 months, tightening oversight of VASP-related payment activities.On the funding side, a total of 9 financing deals were completed last week, with disclosed total funding reaching $158.4 million, down 88% quarter-over-quarter. Overall, energy prices and inflation expectations remain the core variables driving short-term market trends, while interest in tokenized assets and institutional-grade crypto infrastructure development remains undiminished.
According to Chaowang Research, JPMorgan’s September 14, 2026 report indicates that Brent crude oil has broken through the $100 level, trading at $107.6 on September 10. Coupled with rising bond yields, global equity markets have begun to decline. JPMorgan considers this pullback an opportunity to increase equity exposure. Year-to-date, the MXWO index has risen 11%, while bond yields climbed 65 basis points over the same period. The yield increase is driven by robust economic activity and earnings upgrades, whereas long-term inflation expectations have not risen. The 5y-5y forward inflation rate has not reacted to higher oil prices, the term premium sits at a 10-year peak, and wage growth is at its slowest pace in five years. JPMorgan notes that the equity-bond correlation faces a reversal risk when the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield approaches 5% to 5.5%; currently at roughly 4.83%, it remains below this threshold. The bank maintains an overweight stance on equities, neutral on bonds, and underweight on cash. Regionally, it is overweight in emerging markets and the eurozone, and sector-wise, overweight in materials, industrials, and consumer discretionary. It recommends leveraging oil-driven market weakness to add to stock positions.
According to documents filed by KULR with the SEC, the company sold approximately 764 BTC on the open market between August 20 and September 11 at a weighted average price of approximately $76,633, generating roughly $58.6 million in proceeds. The sale covered all of its remaining BTC, meaning KULR no longer held any Bitcoin as of the filing. The company stated that the transactions were part of ongoing treasury management operations but did not disclose the specific use of the funds.
Odaily report: According to Defimon monitoring, a suspicious proposal 54 has appeared in Ampleforth's governance system Governor Bravo, involving approximately $2.5 million in treasury funds. The incident has been classified as an access control risk and malicious governance proposal, and the related funds have not yet been transferred out. The Ampleforth timelock contract currently holds approximately 2.538 million USDC, meaning the proposal involves nearly all treasury assets. The proposer disclosed that they authored the proposal themselves and plans to vote through a delegated address holding 87,238 FORTH, approximately 0.57% of the supply, slightly above the 75,000 FORTH proposal threshold. The proposal quorum is 600,000 FORTH, valued at approximately $132,000 at FORTH's current price of $0.22.
According to BIT's weekly "On Target" report, BIT analysts identify two key market catalysts: first, U.S. debt has surpassed the psychological threshold of $40 trillion, and second, U.S. Treasury yields are approaching the critical 5.0% level. Since July 24, Bitcoin has accumulated gains of 22% and gold has risen 9.4%, confirming earlier forecasts. Macro cycle models indicate that the market is currently in the first phase of cyclical reflation, typically accompanied by a weakening U.S. dollar and rising commodity prices. Historical data indicates that during this phase: • Annualized returns for U.S. equities at approximately 29% • Annualized returns for gold at approximately 47% • Annualized returns for Bitcoin at approximately 73% Furthermore, between 2020 and 2026, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of U.S. debt has reached 8.59%, while the CAGR for M2 money supply stands at 6.02%, significantly outpacing the CPI's 4.11%. This sustained accumulation of long-term inflationary pressure further reinforces the allocation rationale for gold and Bitcoin.
Odaily News - According to the Bitfinex Alpha analysis report, August employment data has reinforced expectations of a Fed rate hike in September. The market now estimates the probability of a 25-basis-point hike on September 16 at approximately 60%. However, Bitcoin remains near $80,000, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs recording net inflows of approximately $986.7 million last week.Data shows that US non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%. The manufacturing PMI rose to 54.6, indicating that the economy has not shown signs of a sharp slowdown. Nevertheless, input costs remain elevated, and inflationary pressures have shifted market policy discussions back toward rate hikes.Meanwhile, US Treasury yields continue to weigh on risk assets, with the 2-year yield climbing to 4.37% and the 30-year yield holding at a high of 5.24%. Bitfinex notes that Bitcoin has encountered resistance near $82,000 recently and remains range-bound between approximately $77,200 and $82,100.Bitfinex believes that sustained ETF inflows and growth in stablecoin supply are providing support for Bitcoin, but Fed policy expectations and elevated Treasury yields are limiting upside potential. If this week's inflation data comes in below expectations, the market may once again price in a pause in rate hikes for September; conversely, persistent inflationary pressures could further strengthen rate hike expectations. Until a breakout from the current consolidation range occurs, Bitcoin is more likely to maintain a relatively strong sideways trend rather than confirming the start of a new upward rally.
Odaily News: Crypto trader Ansem stated in a post that some of the top traders he knows have still not turned bullish, primarily citing concerns over war, Treasury yields, the Federal Reserve's policy meetings, and the four-year cycle.Ansem believes that as the market develops, these still-cautious traders will shift their stance in Q4 and begin aggressively chasing gains.
Odaily News – In the latest weekly report, Garrett Jin, agent for the “1011 Insider Whale,” stated that despite oil prices rising to around $95 this week, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield breaking above 4.8%, and market expectations for a September Fed rate hike climbing to approximately 70%, Bitcoin has held its key support at $76,600 and has since recovered to above $77,000.Garrett noted that the $75,000 to $80,000 range has formed a substantial new cost basis, providing firmer support for the market. If Bitcoin closes above $82,500 on the daily chart and subsequently holds around $80,000 during a pullback, it would signal that the market is absorbing selling pressure and gearing up for further strength. Conversely, if the daily close falls below $76,600—accompanied by weakness in at least two of the following metrics: ETF flows, Coinbase premium, and 7-day net realized profit/loss—it would constitute a clearer downside warning.On the capital front, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of approximately $3.5 billion in August, but September opened with two-way flows, recording net outflows of around $237 million on Tuesday. Garrett believes that Bitcoin holding key support amid heightened macro rate pressures suggests recent spot demand is not entirely driven by short-squeeze dynamics. He maintains a constructive outlook for Bitcoin's performance toward year-end, though he notes that future trajectory will depend on whether U.S. Treasury yields can halt their sustained upward trend.
According to CoinDesk, as the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note climbed 58 basis points year-to-date to 4.81%, the U.S. Dollar Index rose merely 0.9% to 99.22, signaling the breakdown of the traditional "higher yields drive a stronger dollar" logic. Japan's government bond yields surged 90 basis points this year, yet the yen fell to a 40-year low, and Germany's 10-year yield rose 45 basis points concurrently without the euro showing significant strength. Analysts note that markets may have begun interpreting rising yields as a signal of fiscal strain rather than fiscal robustness. This logical shift poses a potential tailwind for Bitcoin — amidst expectations of government debt monetization and currency devaluation, hard assets with inelastic supply, such as Bitcoin and gold, may attract safe-haven capital inflows.
Odaily News, glassnode report: The short squeeze in mid-August drove Bitcoin's rebound, pushing it above $80,000 on August 27. However, the price subsequently encountered resistance in the long-term supply zone above, retreating to around $76,000 and triggering a series of long liquidations. Currently, the $83,000-$86,000 range has accumulated a large number of potential short liquidation positions, while the $60,000-$63,000 zone below holds undigested long liquidation clusters, leaving Bitcoin sandwiched between the two.On-chain data shows that when Bitcoin traded near $78,000 in May this year, approximately 65% of the supply was in profit. When the price returned to the same level at the end of August, that proportion had risen to 68%. The summer redistribution of coins has pushed short-term holders' cost basis to around $71,000, and at this same price level, more profitable coins are now activated, increasing potential selling pressure. Combining cost basis and coin distribution, $62,000-$65,000 serves as an accumulation support zone, while $83,000-$86,000 represents a concentrated supply zone for long-term holders.During the rebound, the 7-day average net inflow for US spot Bitcoin ETFs peaked at $290 million per day, but secondary market daily trading volume remained at around $3 billion, significantly lower than the previous expansion phase. Meanwhile, the yield on the US 10-year Treasury briefly fell to 4.6% following the Treasury's buyback announcement on August 19, but returned to 4.8% in just 8 trading days, hitting a new cycle high.In the options market, short-term optimism has cooled while long-term options demand persists. Open interest for Deribit and IBIT options expiring on September 25 stands at approximately $14 billion, with a substantial portion of positions concentrated above $80,000, which could serve as an important volatility and positioning anchor in the coming weeks. Until the supply above $83,000-$86,000 is absorbed, Bitcoin will continue to trade in a range, with $62,000-$65,000 serving as the primary downside reference zone.
Odaily News: Wintermute posted on X that the crypto market has rebounded over the past two weeks, with ETF inflows turning positive and stablecoin issuance stabilizing. However, to usher in a full new cycle, the market still needs new sources of capital. Historically, VC and ICO funding in 2017-2018, stablecoins in 2020-2021, and ETFs and digital asset treasury companies in 2024-2025 have all accelerated bull market cycles. RWA could become the next major liquidity channel. Data shows that stablecoin supply grew by over $120 billion within a single year; ETFs recorded cumulative net inflows of $63 billion, while digital asset treasury companies accumulated over $115 billion in holdings.In comparison, RWA attracted approximately $16 billion in capital over the past 12 months—only about one-tenth of the peak scale seen from ETFs and treasury companies in the previous cycle. However, the value of on-chain tokenized assets has roughly doubled within a year to over $30 billion, and this growth continued even during periods of stablecoin supply contraction.Wintermute believes that RWA capital initially flows into traditional assets such as Apple stock and U.S. Treasury funds, rather than directly into crypto assets. But once these funds enter the blockchain, the friction involved in rotating toward Bitcoin, altcoins, and DeFi is expected to decrease significantly. As the regulatory framework gradually becomes clearer and tokenized Treasuries and funds begin gaining acceptance as collateral on trading platforms and within DeFi, RWA could drive a market cycle that unfolds at a more moderate pace and lasts longer.
Odaily News, according to reports, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent recently urged Japan to raise interest rates to curb the continued depreciation of the yen. Analysts believe this highlights that traditional monetary policy is susceptible to government and external influences. In contrast, Bitcoin's monetary policy is preset by code, with new coin issuance following a fixed schedule and halving approximately every four years, offering greater predictability. In the short term, Bitcoin still finds it difficult to shake off shocks from traditional financial markets. If Japan's rate hike drives a rapid appreciation of the yen, low-interest yen financing trades accumulated over the long term could be unwound, potentially triggering sell-offs in stocks, bonds, and crypto assets. In August 2024, the Bank of Japan's rate hike strengthened the yen and put pressure on risk assets, including Bitcoin. On the technical front, BTC's 50-day moving average has been rising steadily and is close to crossing above the 200-day moving average, potentially forming a "golden cross." Analysts note that moving averages are lagging indicators, and the historical predictive performance of the golden cross as a standalone indicator has been unstable.
According to The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) podcast, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino stated that Tether’s stablecoin technology enables decentralized ownership of U.S. Treasuries. Approximately 650 million users worldwide currently hold these assets indirectly, making a simultaneous collective dump highly unlikely. This fundamentally reduces the systemic risk of U.S. Treasuries being targeted in a coordinated sell-off by a single sovereign state. He also criticized traditional finance for failing to propose a similar solution over the past several decades and emphasized that concentrated U.S. Treasury holdings by adversarial nations carry significant risks.
Odaily News: Arthur Hayes stated that investors should prepare to buy Bitcoin and expects Bitcoin to perform well in the coming years. He believes that if the U.S. continues to expand its money supply, Bitcoin's price could ultimately rise to $250,000.Bitcoin has risen about 20% since mid-August, adding $300 billion to its total market capitalization within hours. Scott Bessent previously pledged to support the bond market, and this week it was noted that the Treasury may tap nearly $1 trillion from the Treasury General Account to fund bond purchases.Gadi Chait, investment manager at Xapo Bank, said Bitcoin rose about 23% last week, marking its largest weekly gain since March 2023. During the same period, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of approximately $1.9 billion, with record short liquidations further fueling the rally. (Forbes Digital Assets)
Odaily News Bitcoin has rebounded strongly recently. Analysts believe that record-breaking short squeeze activity, along with policy signals from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, may be pushing the market into a new phase of bull market cycle adjustment.Data shows that Bitcoin has risen approximately 23% over the past week, marking its largest weekly gain since the post-U.S. election rally in November 2024. Crypto market trading activity has also recovered in tandem, with spot and perpetual contract trading volume surging 188%. CME Bitcoin futures volume rose 152%, and the annualized futures basis climbed to 11.1%—the highest level since January 2025. Additionally, Bitcoin ETF products recorded net inflows of approximately 31,740 BTC over the week, the strongest capital inflow since the market peak in October 2025.Vetle Lunde, Head of Research at crypto research firm K33 Research, stated that the early phase of this rally was primarily driven by short covering. On August 19, Bitcoin short positions saw a single-day liquidation scale of $1.37 billion, a record high, followed by another $739 million in short liquidations on August 21. The massive short squeeze pushed open interest in perpetual contracts down to 284,000 BTC, the lowest level since May, while market funding rates also returned to neutral.On the macro front, policy signals from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding increased long-term Treasury buybacks are also viewed by analysts as a market catalyst. K33 believes that the Treasury buyback program could lower long-term interest rates and boost demand for scarce assets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's correlation with gold has risen, with the 90-day correlation coefficient reaching 0.52—the highest since October 2020—while its correlation with the Nasdaq index has declined to 0.38, a one-year low.Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at crypto investment firm Bitwise Asset Management, believes that Bessent's recent remarks on sanctions against Iran's financial network have further strengthened Bitcoin's investment thesis: as the global financial system becomes increasingly influenced by geopolitics, the value of assets that are decentralized and do not rely on any single nation's financial system may appreciate further. (The Block)
According to Odaily, the Iranian rial hit a record low this week, with the open market exchange rate falling to approximately 2.02 million rials per US dollar on August 24, compared to around 1.53 million rials in the first quarter. During the same period, the US government launched "Operation Economic Exodus," adding more than 60 entities to the Treasury Department's blacklist and, for the first time, designating digital assets as a sanctionable category.State-controlled farms linked to Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) control approximately 65% of Iran's Bitcoin mining capacity. Iranian miners have accounted for roughly 3% to 7% of global Bitcoin hashrate since 2019, with the mined Bitcoin valued at an estimated $1.35 billion to $3.15 billion at various stages.Iran legalized Bitcoin mining in 2019, allowing licensed operators to use industrial electricity at approximately $0.004 per kilowatt-hour and sell the mined tokens to the Central Bank of Iran. Chainalysis estimates that IRGC-affiliated wallets received over $3 billion in Q4 2025; Elliptic states that the Central Bank of Iran holds at least $507 million in USDT.The US Treasury sanctioned Nobitex, Wallex, Bitpin, and Ramzinex in June. Nobitex had processed more than half of Iran's digital asset inflows; in April, the US Treasury seized nearly $500 million in Iran-linked crypto assets. (Bitcoin.com News)
US Treasury Secretary Bessent announced efforts to apply economic pressure on Iran but did not specify the concrete implementation pathway, framing it merely as a warning and urging countries to cut off ties with Iran. Multiple analysts and research institutions pointed out that the policy lacks substantive action, appearing more like political theater.
According to QCP, BTC surged over 20% last week, peaking around $79,500 on Friday to mark its strongest weekly performance since March 2024. QCP noted that this rally was initially driven by large-scale short covering, followed by expanded demand in the spot market. US spot BTC and ETH ETFs posted combined net inflows of approximately $2.6 billion last week, the highest since October 2025. Among them, BTC ETFs recorded net inflows of roughly $1.92 billion and ETH ETFs saw net inflows of about $697 million, reversing the previous week's combined net outflows of approximately $392 million.
Odaily News - Standard Chartered's global head of digital asset research, Geoffrey Kendrick, stated that the bank's year-end Bitcoin price target of $100,000 may be too conservative. Bitcoin rose to $79,500 on August 21, its highest level since May; he predicts the price could climb from this level to $126,000, a gain of 58%.Kendrick noted that during the rally from August 19 to 21, Bitcoin short liquidations totaled nearly $1.44 billion, the largest on record in Coinglass data since June 2021. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of approximately $1.92 billion over five consecutive trading days.The U.S. Treasury announced on August 19 that it would expand its long-term Treasury buyback program, raising the maximum size of a single operation from $2 billion to at least $4 billion. Standard Chartered lowered its Bitcoin year-end target from $150,000 to $100,000 in February this year, while outlining a long-term trajectory of $500,000 for Bitcoin and $40,000 for Ethereum by 2030. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News A anonymous whale sold a total of 7,700 Bitcoin between August 19 and 22, worth approximately $577 million at current prices. Among these, a single transaction earlier today sold 2,700 Bitcoin, worth approximately $212 million.Bitcoin rose to $79,500 this week before pulling back to around $77,000, posting a weekly gain of over 20% and approaching $80,000. This sale comes after large holders accumulated approximately 43,000 Bitcoin over the past 60 days.Another whale sold 7,513 Bitcoin over a three-week period ending August 9, worth approximately $487 million. The U.S. Treasury announced that starting September 9, the scale of its long-term Treasury buyback operations will increase from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. (Bitcoin.com News)