News linked to both this project and an event.
“New Stock God” Serenity posted on X platform to clarify that he does not currently hold any shares of Harmonic Drive, and the related views are solely public research sharing. He further added that Harmonic Drive holds a key position in the humanoid robot industry chain, with its products expected to cover a significant portion of the manufacturing processes for humanoid robots. Currently, companies like AGIBot and Unitree have just entered the scale-up stage, with AGIBot’s cumulative shipments reaching only about 10,000 units. Therefore, the P/E valuations of related companies are generally high at this stage.However, Serenity pointed out that capital markets typically price in future growth expectations in advance. If manufacturers like Tesla Optimus and Unitree achieve mass production of tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of robots in the coming years, and with trillions of dollars flowing into the humanoid robot industry, even if Harmonic Drive only captures about a 5% market share of core robot components, its valuation could be significantly higher than its current market capitalization.Based on comprehensive research of the industry chain, Serenity stated that Harmonic Drive is currently one of the highest-exposure targets he has identified related to the development of the humanoid robot industry.
SpaceX is progressing with its IPO and seeking a valuation of approximately $1.78 trillion. If realized, it would become the world's seventh-largest company by market cap. However, the mid-to-long-term business path justifying this valuation remains unclear.Furthermore, SpaceX's core narrative is shifting. In February of this year, Musk integrated SpaceX with xAI, making artificial intelligence a key component of the company's strategy. Compared to the original core vision of "making humanity a multi-planetary species," AI now occupies a more prominent position in the company's narrative. In the first quarter, xAI-related business reportedly accounted for over three-quarters of capital expenditures, while approximately 93% of the total addressable market mentioned in the IPO filing is also related to AI.Musk has long been adept at restructuring business narratives to align with market preferences, as seen in previous cases like integrating SolarCity into Tesla and merging Twitter with the xAI ecosystem. SpaceX's new narrative combines rocket launches with AI, envisioning the deployment of AI data centers in orbit to build future computing infrastructure. However, SpaceX launched approximately 2,200 tons of payload into orbit last year, while Musk has suggested that realizing the orbital data center vision would require an annual launch capacity of about 1 million tons. Although Starlink and the rocket business already hold industry-leading positions, genuine cash flow will ultimately be needed to validate this massive valuation hypothesis. (Financial Times)
SpaceX, the company led by Elon Musk, disclosed in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Wednesday that it plans to fix the offering price at $135 per share (consistent with the price disclosed by sources) before officially commencing its IPO roadshow. SpaceX stated that the company plans to issue 555.6 million shares, thereby raising $75 billion. Typically, at this stage of the IPO process, issuers set a price range to test market demand sensitivity at different price levels. However, SpaceX has adopted a more unique pricing strategy. Calculated at $135 per share, SpaceX's valuation would reach $1.77 trillion. This valuation would make SpaceX the seventh-largest publicly traded company in the US by market capitalization, surpassing Tesla, which currently has a valuation of approximately $1.6 trillion. SpaceX plans to officially list on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange on June 12. (Jin Shi)
market analysts have pointed out that if Elon Musk's proposed merger between SpaceX and Tesla proceeds, SpaceX may need to issue new shares equivalent to 94% of its current outstanding shares to acquire Tesla, increasing the total share count to approximately 8 billion. However, the financial logic of the transaction faces challenges. Tesla's GAAP net profit over the past 12 months has dropped from $15 billion in 2023 to $3.9 billion. After excluding regulatory credit revenue and Bitcoin gains, its core operating profit stands at only about $2.3 billion.Analysts believe that this transaction may essentially be an attempt to use a high-valuation asset to acquire another similarly overvalued company, leaving significant uncertainty regarding its long-term profitability and cash flow performance. The combined company's valuation could reach $3.4 trillion, with SpaceX estimated at $1.75 trillion and Tesla's current market cap around $1.65 trillion. Musk may be leveraging the high valuation from SpaceX's impending IPO to support Tesla, which is under earnings pressure. (Fortune)
As SpaceX approaches its IPO, market speculation about Elon Musk’s potential integration of Tesla and SpaceX has intensified once again. According to insiders, Musk has previously discussed the possibility of merging the two companies with internal stakeholders, and Tesla’s leadership has long believed an eventual integration is likely. Reports indicate that the two firms have deepened collaboration in AI infrastructure in recent years—sharing executives, technologies, and supply chains—and have already coordinated efforts in energy storage systems, vehicle procurement, and GPU order allocation. Legal experts note that while antitrust hurdles would likely be limited if a merger proceeds, challenges related to valuation, share swap ratios, and alignment of shareholder interests would be highly complex.
Anthropic's implied valuation in the on-chain Pre-IPO market has instantly surged to $1.2 trillion (approximately RMB 8.7 trillion), officially surpassing OpenAI. Its current pre-IPO valuation is now about 20% higher than OpenAI's. If listed at this valuation, it would directly become the world's 11th largest publicly traded company by market cap, trailing only Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, TSMC, Broadcom, Tesla, and Saudi Aramco. (Sina Finance)
during his trial testimony against OpenAI, Elon Musk stated, “Some cryptocurrency has value, but most of it is a scam.” The remarks came during cross-examination at the Oakland, California court, where the case involved OpenAI’s early consideration of raising funds through an ICO (Initial Coin Offering).According to reports, Musk’s response to relevant questions during the trial pointed to widespread speculation and fraudulent activities in the crypto asset space, drawing market attention.Notably, Musk’s stance on the crypto market has long shown significant volatility: during the 2021 bull market, he pushed Tesla to purchase approximately $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin and publicly mentioned Dogecoin on multiple occasions, driving substantial price surges for related assets. However, Tesla reduced its Bitcoin holdings by 75% in 2022 and booked an impairment loss of approximately $222 million on its remaining holdings in the first quarter of 2026. According to the latest financial report, it still holds approximately 11,509 Bitcoins, with a book value of around $786 million. (Fortune)