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Project Overview
Tesla(Nasdaq:TSLA) is a public company that focuses on the design, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles, and is also engaged in the development of energy storage and solar energy products. The company operates multiple manufacturing plants and is committed to improving the application of technology in the fields of transportation and energy.
“New Stock God” Serenity Clarifies: Currently Does Not Hold Harmonic Drive Shares
“New Stock God” Serenity posted on X platform to clarify that he does not currently hold any shares of Harmonic Drive, and the related views are solely public research sharing. He further added that Harmonic Drive holds a key position in the humanoid robot industry chain, with its products expected to cover a significant portion of the manufacturing processes for humanoid robots. Currently, companies like AGIBot and Unitree have just entered the scale-up stage, with AGIBot’s cumulative shipments reaching only about 10,000 units. Therefore, the P/E valuations of related companies are generally high at this stage.However, Serenity pointed out that capital markets typically price in future growth expectations in advance. If manufacturers like Tesla Optimus and Unitree achieve mass production of tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of robots in the coming years, and with trillions of dollars flowing into the humanoid robot industry, even if Harmonic Drive only captures about a 5% market share of core robot components, its valuation could be significantly higher than its current market capitalization.Based on comprehensive research of the industry chain, Serenity stated that Harmonic Drive is currently one of the highest-exposure targets he has identified related to the development of the humanoid robot industry.
Analysis: SpaceX IPO Valuation Staggering, Yet Future Business Path Remains Unclear and Profitability Unproven
SpaceX is progressing with its IPO and seeking a valuation of approximately $1.78 trillion. If realized, it would become the world's seventh-largest company by market cap. However, the mid-to-long-term business path justifying this valuation remains unclear.Furthermore, SpaceX's core narrative is shifting. In February of this year, Musk integrated SpaceX with xAI, making artificial intelligence a key component of the company's strategy. Compared to the original core vision of "making humanity a multi-planetary species," AI now occupies a more prominent position in the company's narrative. In the first quarter, xAI-related business reportedly accounted for over three-quarters of capital expenditures, while approximately 93% of the total addressable market mentioned in the IPO filing is also related to AI.Musk has long been adept at restructuring business narratives to align with market preferences, as seen in previous cases like integrating SolarCity into Tesla and merging Twitter with the xAI ecosystem. SpaceX's new narrative combines rocket launches with AI, envisioning the deployment of AI data centers in orbit to build future computing infrastructure. However, SpaceX launched approximately 2,200 tons of payload into orbit last year, while Musk has suggested that realizing the orbital data center vision would require an annual launch capacity of about 1 million tons. Although Starlink and the rocket business already hold industry-leading positions, genuine cash flow will ultimately be needed to validate this massive valuation hypothesis. (Financial Times)
SpaceX Officially Sets IPO Price at $135 Per Share, Valuation Reaching $1.77 Trillion
SpaceX, the company led by Elon Musk, disclosed in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Wednesday that it plans to fix the offering price at $135 per share (consistent with the price disclosed by sources) before officially commencing its IPO roadshow. SpaceX stated that the company plans to issue 555.6 million shares, thereby raising $75 billion. Typically, at this stage of the IPO process, issuers set a price range to test market demand sensitivity at different price levels. However, SpaceX has adopted a more unique pricing strategy. Calculated at $135 per share, SpaceX's valuation would reach $1.77 trillion. This valuation would make SpaceX the seventh-largest publicly traded company in the US by market capitalization, surpassing Tesla, which currently has a valuation of approximately $1.6 trillion. SpaceX plans to officially list on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange on June 12. (Jin Shi)
Analysis: SpaceX IPO May Serve as a "Cash Cow" for Tesla, Financial Logic and Profitability Remain Questionable
market analysts have pointed out that if Elon Musk's proposed merger between SpaceX and Tesla proceeds, SpaceX may need to issue new shares equivalent to 94% of its current outstanding shares to acquire Tesla, increasing the total share count to approximately 8 billion. However, the financial logic of the transaction faces challenges. Tesla's GAAP net profit over the past 12 months has dropped from $15 billion in 2023 to $3.9 billion. After excluding regulatory credit revenue and Bitcoin gains, its core operating profit stands at only about $2.3 billion.Analysts believe that this transaction may essentially be an attempt to use a high-valuation asset to acquire another similarly overvalued company, leaving significant uncertainty regarding its long-term profitability and cash flow performance. The combined company's valuation could reach $3.4 trillion, with SpaceX estimated at $1.75 trillion and Tesla's current market cap around $1.65 trillion. Musk may be leveraging the high valuation from SpaceX's impending IPO to support Tesla, which is under earnings pressure. (Fortune)
Rumors intensify about Musk integrating Tesla and SpaceX; insiders say it has long been anticipated.
As SpaceX approaches its IPO, market speculation about Elon Musk’s potential integration of Tesla and SpaceX has intensified once again. According to insiders, Musk has previously discussed the possibility of merging the two companies with internal stakeholders, and Tesla’s leadership has long believed an eventual integration is likely. Reports indicate that the two firms have deepened collaboration in AI infrastructure in recent years—sharing executives, technologies, and supply chains—and have already coordinated efforts in energy storage systems, vehicle procurement, and GPU order allocation. Legal experts note that while antitrust hurdles would likely be limited if a merger proceeds, challenges related to valuation, share swap ratios, and alignment of shareholder interests would be highly complex.
Anthropic's implied valuation in the on-chain Pre-IPO market surges past $1.2 trillion, surpassing OpenAI for the first time
Anthropic's implied valuation in the on-chain Pre-IPO market has instantly surged to $1.2 trillion (approximately RMB 8.7 trillion), officially surpassing OpenAI. Its current pre-IPO valuation is now about 20% higher than OpenAI's. If listed at this valuation, it would directly become the world's 11th largest publicly traded company by market cap, trailing only Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, TSMC, Broadcom, Tesla, and Saudi Aramco. (Sina Finance)
Bitget Stock Spot Launches Weekend Trading, First Batch Supports 20 Stocks Including NVIDIA and Apple
: According to an official announcement, to meet users' round-the-clock trading needs, Bitget Stock Spot (rToken) has officially launched its weekend trading feature. The first batch supports 20 popular U.S. stock options, including rAAPL (Apple), rNVDA (NVIDIA), and rTSLA (Tesla).During U.S. stock market closures, the platform will generate continuous weekend trading prices based on Friday's closing prices, market maker quotes, and market expectations. This feature supports limit orders and stop-loss/take-profit settings. To prevent abnormal fluctuations, the system implements an approximate ±20% protection limit for weekend limit orders.rToken, identified by the letter "r" followed by the stock ticker (e.g., rNVDA for NVIDIA), is issued by Reality, a licensed RWA protocol under Bitget. Through a partnership with compliant broker Alpaca, it connects directly to global liquidity pools such as Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange. Its features include: 1:1 reserves of the underlying assets held by a licensed custodian, stock dividends distributed 1:1 in token form, corporate actions such as stock splits and reverse splits synchronously reflected, and holdings can be used as joint margin for unified accounts and U-margined contracts, allowing users to flexibly manage funds while holding global stock assets.
Analysis: SpaceX IPO May Serve as a "Cash Cow" for Tesla, Financial Logic and Profitability Remain Questionable
market analysts have pointed out that if Elon Musk's proposed merger between SpaceX and Tesla proceeds, SpaceX may need to issue new shares equivalent to 94% of its current outstanding shares to acquire Tesla, increasing the total share count to approximately 8 billion. However, the financial logic of the transaction faces challenges. Tesla's GAAP net profit over the past 12 months has dropped from $15 billion in 2023 to $3.9 billion. After excluding regulatory credit revenue and Bitcoin gains, its core operating profit stands at only about $2.3 billion.Analysts believe that this transaction may essentially be an attempt to use a high-valuation asset to acquire another similarly overvalued company, leaving significant uncertainty regarding its long-term profitability and cash flow performance. The combined company's valuation could reach $3.4 trillion, with SpaceX estimated at $1.75 trillion and Tesla's current market cap around $1.65 trillion. Musk may be leveraging the high valuation from SpaceX's impending IPO to support Tesla, which is under earnings pressure. (Fortune)
“New Stock God” Serenity Clarifies: Currently Does Not Hold Harmonic Drive Shares
“New Stock God” Serenity posted on X platform to clarify that he does not currently hold any shares of Harmonic Drive, and the related views are solely public research sharing. He further added that Harmonic Drive holds a key position in the humanoid robot industry chain, with its products expected to cover a significant portion of the manufacturing processes for humanoid robots. Currently, companies like AGIBot and Unitree have just entered the scale-up stage, with AGIBot’s cumulative shipments reaching only about 10,000 units. Therefore, the P/E valuations of related companies are generally high at this stage.However, Serenity pointed out that capital markets typically price in future growth expectations in advance. If manufacturers like Tesla Optimus and Unitree achieve mass production of tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of robots in the coming years, and with trillions of dollars flowing into the humanoid robot industry, even if Harmonic Drive only captures about a 5% market share of core robot components, its valuation could be significantly higher than its current market capitalization.Based on comprehensive research of the industry chain, Serenity stated that Harmonic Drive is currently one of the highest-exposure targets he has identified related to the development of the humanoid robot industry.
Duan Yongping’s First Position in Circle in Q1 2026, with a Market Value of $19.08 Million
Well-known investor Duan Yongping’s U.S.-based investment account, H&H International Investment, filed an SEC Form 13F for the first quarter of 2026, revealing that as of March 31, 2026, it held 19 securities with a total portfolio value of approximately $20.004 billion; all positions were independently decided. Specifically, the account held 28,945,607 shares of Apple (AAPL), valued at $7.346 billion; 9,147,796 shares of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B), valued at $4.384 billion; 13,843,775 shares of NVIDIA (NVDA), valued at $2.414 billion; 19,748,294 shares of Pinduoduo (PDD), valued at $2.018 billion; 3,408,900 shares of Tesla (TSLA), valued at $1.267 billion; and 1,016,000 shares of Microsoft (MSFT), valued at $376 million. Circle was newly disclosed as a position this quarter, with a holding of 200,000 shares valued at $19.082 million, representing approximately 0.1% of the portfolio.
Bitget Stock Spot Launches Weekend Trading, First Batch Supports 20 Stocks Including NVIDIA and Apple
: According to an official announcement, to meet users' round-the-clock trading needs, Bitget Stock Spot (rToken) has officially launched its weekend trading feature. The first batch supports 20 popular U.S. stock options, including rAAPL (Apple), rNVDA (NVIDIA), and rTSLA (Tesla).During U.S. stock market closures, the platform will generate continuous weekend trading prices based on Friday's closing prices, market maker quotes, and market expectations. This feature supports limit orders and stop-loss/take-profit settings. To prevent abnormal fluctuations, the system implements an approximate ±20% protection limit for weekend limit orders.rToken, identified by the letter "r" followed by the stock ticker (e.g., rNVDA for NVIDIA), is issued by Reality, a licensed RWA protocol under Bitget. Through a partnership with compliant broker Alpaca, it connects directly to global liquidity pools such as Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange. Its features include: 1:1 reserves of the underlying assets held by a licensed custodian, stock dividends distributed 1:1 in token form, corporate actions such as stock splits and reverse splits synchronously reflected, and holdings can be used as joint margin for unified accounts and U-margined contracts, allowing users to flexibly manage funds while holding global stock assets.
Analysis: SpaceX IPO Valuation Staggering, Yet Future Business Path Remains Unclear and Profitability Unproven
SpaceX is progressing with its IPO and seeking a valuation of approximately $1.78 trillion. If realized, it would become the world's seventh-largest company by market cap. However, the mid-to-long-term business path justifying this valuation remains unclear.Furthermore, SpaceX's core narrative is shifting. In February of this year, Musk integrated SpaceX with xAI, making artificial intelligence a key component of the company's strategy. Compared to the original core vision of "making humanity a multi-planetary species," AI now occupies a more prominent position in the company's narrative. In the first quarter, xAI-related business reportedly accounted for over three-quarters of capital expenditures, while approximately 93% of the total addressable market mentioned in the IPO filing is also related to AI.Musk has long been adept at restructuring business narratives to align with market preferences, as seen in previous cases like integrating SolarCity into Tesla and merging Twitter with the xAI ecosystem. SpaceX's new narrative combines rocket launches with AI, envisioning the deployment of AI data centers in orbit to build future computing infrastructure. However, SpaceX launched approximately 2,200 tons of payload into orbit last year, while Musk has suggested that realizing the orbital data center vision would require an annual launch capacity of about 1 million tons. Although Starlink and the rocket business already hold industry-leading positions, genuine cash flow will ultimately be needed to validate this massive valuation hypothesis. (Financial Times)
Analysis: SpaceX IPO May Serve as a "Cash Cow" for Tesla, Financial Logic and Profitability Remain Questionable
market analysts have pointed out that if Elon Musk's proposed merger between SpaceX and Tesla proceeds, SpaceX may need to issue new shares equivalent to 94% of its current outstanding shares to acquire Tesla, increasing the total share count to approximately 8 billion. However, the financial logic of the transaction faces challenges. Tesla's GAAP net profit over the past 12 months has dropped from $15 billion in 2023 to $3.9 billion. After excluding regulatory credit revenue and Bitcoin gains, its core operating profit stands at only about $2.3 billion.Analysts believe that this transaction may essentially be an attempt to use a high-valuation asset to acquire another similarly overvalued company, leaving significant uncertainty regarding its long-term profitability and cash flow performance. The combined company's valuation could reach $3.4 trillion, with SpaceX estimated at $1.75 trillion and Tesla's current market cap around $1.65 trillion. Musk may be leveraging the high valuation from SpaceX's impending IPO to support Tesla, which is under earnings pressure. (Fortune)
Bitget CEO: Reality’s core differentiator is liquidity, offering native depth in the U.S. stock market.
Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget, announced that Bitget’s new product, RealityFi (@RealityFi_xyz), directly connects to licensed broker-dealers registered with FINRA and members of the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC). This enables orders to flow straight into the native order books of NASDAQ and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), fundamentally resolving the liquidity fragmentation and severe slippage issues plaguing existing tokenized U.S. equities products—and delivering “what you see is what you get” execution prices. The product supports 24×5 trading hours, with plans to expand to 24×7 continuous trading. Pre-market and after-hours liquidity matches that of established brokers, utilizing compliant off-market channels. RealityFi is a pure spot product—offering no leverage and zero liquidation risk. In its initial phase, over 30 U.S. equity tokens will be listed, scaling to more than 100 within one to two weeks. These will include popular stocks such as Apple, Tesla, and NVIDIA, as well as major index ETFs like SPY and QQQ. The corresponding rTokens will begin rolling out in early June.
WEEX Labs: Trump’s visit to China boosts market sentiment; U.S. equities in the TradFi sector remain strong
U.S. President Trump concluded his visit to China, and the China-U.S. talks released positive signals, boosting market expectations for trade easing, supply chain stability, and technological cooperation. WEEX Labs noted that U.S. equities linked to the accompanying business delegation—including Tesla (TSLA), NVIDIA (NVDA), and Apple (AAPL)—continued their upward trend, reflecting heightened market optimism regarding long-term opportunities arising from AI collaboration, access to the Chinese market, and supply chain optimization. Meanwhile, news of the U.S. rejecting Iran’s ceasefire proposal may further push up energy prices, exacerbating global inflation and volatility in risk assets. Currently, the WEEX TradFi segment supports tokenized trading of U.S. equities, gold, crude oil, and other assets, and has launched a TradFi Spot Trading Competition with a $100,000 prize pool—enabling users to conduct global asset allocation and event-driven hedging in one integrated platform.
xStocks xChange is now live on Mantle
According to official announcements, xStocks—a tokenized U.S. equities platform—has launched its Unified Execution Layer, xChange, on Mantle. Powered by Atomic RFQ, xChange locks in optimal pricing and delivers deep liquidity—ensuring no partial fills and zero slippage. Users can now trade 10 tokenized U.S. equities—including Tesla (TSLAx), NVIDIA (NVDAx), Apple (AAPLx), and Meta (METAx)—24/7 via the Fluxion platform, with TradFi liquidity during market hours and on-chain liquidity outside of market hours—no waiting required. Meanwhile, from issuance through trading to redemption, Mantle is building a unified distribution layer by integrating Bybit’s CeFi liquidity, Fluxion’s DeFi execution, and xStocks’ Atomic RFQ into a composable stack—delivering a CeDeFi-standard experience engineered for institutional-grade precision trading.
Related news
Analysis: SpaceX’s Business Shows One Pole Profitable, Two Poles Loss-Making, with Cumulative Losses Reaching $41.3 Billion
On the first day of SpaceX's listing, only 4.2% of the total shares were available for trading. With supply unable to meet demand and subscription enthusiasm running high, a short-term surge in the stock price was not unexpected. However, the company's price-to-sales ratio has exceeded 112 times, far surpassing Tesla's 15 times and chip giant Nvidia's nearly 20 times.That said, SpaceX's business exhibits a pattern of "one pole profitable, two poles loss-making." Starlink is the undeniable "cash cow." According to the prospectus, this satellite internet business generated $11.39 billion in revenue last year, accounting for 61% of SpaceX's total revenue. By the end of 2025, it had served over 10 million users. The company also plans to acquire spectrum and add 15,000 satellites to deploy a direct-to-cell service, potentially covering approximately 6 billion mobile phone users worldwide. The rocket launch business, leveraging reusable technology, holds about an 80% share of the global commercial rocket launch market. Yet it still posted a loss of $657 million last year. Furthermore, if Starship is to achieve crewed Mars landings, substantial funding and continued technological iteration are required.xAI and future space computing business are seen as "black holes for burning cash." According to statistics from some institutions, at the current loss rate, xAI alone could deplete Starlink's profits within the next four quarters. According to the prospectus, SpaceX has accumulated losses of $41.3 billion since its founding in 2002. (CCTV News)
SpaceX discloses holding 18,712 Bitcoin, valued at $1.18 billion
SpaceX officially listed and disclosed its holdings of 18,712 Bitcoin. Based on a price of approximately $63,000 per coin, the Bitcoin assets are worth about $1.18 billion, making SpaceX the 8th largest publicly listed Bitcoin holding entity globally. The relevant holdings information was disclosed in SpaceX's S-1 IPO filing submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.Tesla, another publicly listed company under Elon Musk, holds 11,509 Bitcoin, with the two companies together controlling 30,221 Bitcoin. The average purchase cost of SpaceX's Bitcoin holdings is approximately $35,000 per coin. (bitcointreasuries)
Bitget Stock Spot Launches Weekend Trading, First Batch Supports 20 Stocks Including NVIDIA and Apple
: According to an official announcement, to meet users' round-the-clock trading needs, Bitget Stock Spot (rToken) has officially launched its weekend trading feature. The first batch supports 20 popular U.S. stock options, including rAAPL (Apple), rNVDA (NVIDIA), and rTSLA (Tesla).During U.S. stock market closures, the platform will generate continuous weekend trading prices based on Friday's closing prices, market maker quotes, and market expectations. This feature supports limit orders and stop-loss/take-profit settings. To prevent abnormal fluctuations, the system implements an approximate ±20% protection limit for weekend limit orders.rToken, identified by the letter "r" followed by the stock ticker (e.g., rNVDA for NVIDIA), is issued by Reality, a licensed RWA protocol under Bitget. Through a partnership with compliant broker Alpaca, it connects directly to global liquidity pools such as Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange. Its features include: 1:1 reserves of the underlying assets held by a licensed custodian, stock dividends distributed 1:1 in token form, corporate actions such as stock splits and reverse splits synchronously reflected, and holdings can be used as joint margin for unified accounts and U-margined contracts, allowing users to flexibly manage funds while holding global stock assets.
“New Stock God” Serenity Clarifies: Currently Does Not Hold Harmonic Drive Shares
“New Stock God” Serenity posted on X platform to clarify that he does not currently hold any shares of Harmonic Drive, and the related views are solely public research sharing. He further added that Harmonic Drive holds a key position in the humanoid robot industry chain, with its products expected to cover a significant portion of the manufacturing processes for humanoid robots. Currently, companies like AGIBot and Unitree have just entered the scale-up stage, with AGIBot’s cumulative shipments reaching only about 10,000 units. Therefore, the P/E valuations of related companies are generally high at this stage.However, Serenity pointed out that capital markets typically price in future growth expectations in advance. If manufacturers like Tesla Optimus and Unitree achieve mass production of tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of robots in the coming years, and with trillions of dollars flowing into the humanoid robot industry, even if Harmonic Drive only captures about a 5% market share of core robot components, its valuation could be significantly higher than its current market capitalization.Based on comprehensive research of the industry chain, Serenity stated that Harmonic Drive is currently one of the highest-exposure targets he has identified related to the development of the humanoid robot industry.
Analysis: SpaceX IPO Valuation Staggering, Yet Future Business Path Remains Unclear and Profitability Unproven
SpaceX is progressing with its IPO and seeking a valuation of approximately $1.78 trillion. If realized, it would become the world's seventh-largest company by market cap. However, the mid-to-long-term business path justifying this valuation remains unclear.Furthermore, SpaceX's core narrative is shifting. In February of this year, Musk integrated SpaceX with xAI, making artificial intelligence a key component of the company's strategy. Compared to the original core vision of "making humanity a multi-planetary species," AI now occupies a more prominent position in the company's narrative. In the first quarter, xAI-related business reportedly accounted for over three-quarters of capital expenditures, while approximately 93% of the total addressable market mentioned in the IPO filing is also related to AI.Musk has long been adept at restructuring business narratives to align with market preferences, as seen in previous cases like integrating SolarCity into Tesla and merging Twitter with the xAI ecosystem. SpaceX's new narrative combines rocket launches with AI, envisioning the deployment of AI data centers in orbit to build future computing infrastructure. However, SpaceX launched approximately 2,200 tons of payload into orbit last year, while Musk has suggested that realizing the orbital data center vision would require an annual launch capacity of about 1 million tons. Although Starlink and the rocket business already hold industry-leading positions, genuine cash flow will ultimately be needed to validate this massive valuation hypothesis. (Financial Times)
SpaceX Officially Sets IPO Price at $135 Per Share, Valuation Reaching $1.77 Trillion
SpaceX, the company led by Elon Musk, disclosed in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Wednesday that it plans to fix the offering price at $135 per share (consistent with the price disclosed by sources) before officially commencing its IPO roadshow. SpaceX stated that the company plans to issue 555.6 million shares, thereby raising $75 billion. Typically, at this stage of the IPO process, issuers set a price range to test market demand sensitivity at different price levels. However, SpaceX has adopted a more unique pricing strategy. Calculated at $135 per share, SpaceX's valuation would reach $1.77 trillion. This valuation would make SpaceX the seventh-largest publicly traded company in the US by market capitalization, surpassing Tesla, which currently has a valuation of approximately $1.6 trillion. SpaceX plans to officially list on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange on June 12. (Jin Shi)