News Heat Trend
Project Overview
Range is a real-time security platform for blockchains and rollups, focusing on a multi-chain/rollup present where bridges are critical, not an afterthought. Range gives community powerful alerting capabilities to monitor their personal wallets and smart contracts.
Remixpoint Announces FY2027 Financial Forecasts; Net Sales for Digital Asset Management Business Expected to Range from ¥5.107 Billion to ¥12.442 Billion
Remixpoint, a Japanese Bitcoin treasury company, has released its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027. According to the forecast, net sales for FY2027 are expected to range from ¥48.777 billion to ¥56.112 billion, operating profit from ¥6.723 billion to ¥14.058 billion, net income attributable to owners of parent from ¥5.319 billion to ¥11.443 billion, and earnings per share from ¥36.28 to ¥78.06. The digital asset management business is projected to contribute net sales of ¥5.107 billion to ¥12.442 billion, with departmental profit matching this amount. The forecast assumes a Bitcoin price range of $86,000 to $116,000, which is expected to generate valuation gains of ¥4.707 billion to ¥12.042 billion, along with approximately ¥400 million in cryptocurrency lending revenue. Additionally, the energy business is expected to achieve departmental profit of ¥2.005 billion, while the energy storage solutions business is projected to achieve departmental profit of ¥1.002 billion. The company stated that FY2027 will serve as a pivotal year for restoring profitability and enhancing contributions from growth businesses, and plans to improve transparency in revenue structure and KPI disclosures across all business segments.
CryptoQuant: Bitcoin Is Approaching Its Valuation Bottom Range, but Shrinking Demand Indicates the Bottom Has Not Yet Been Confirmed
CryptoQuant’s latest report states that Bitcoin has fallen to a new low of $59,000 in this bear market cycle—only 9% above its realized price of $53,600—and is now approaching the historical bottom range of past bear markets from a valuation perspective.
Analyst: Bitcoin Records Net Losses for 22 Consecutive Days, Valuations Enter Historically Low Range
Odaily News, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin's price has retraced approximately 20% over the past month, with two key on-chain indicators showing sustained market sentiment pressure. Among them, Bitcoin's MVRV Z-score has dropped from 0.95 a month ago to 0.32, far below the historical average of 1.71, indicating that the previous valuation premium has largely been digested and the market has entered a range more conducive to long-term accumulation.Meanwhile, Bitcoin's 7-day simple moving average of Net Realized Profit/Loss has been in negative territory for 22 consecutive days, meaning the market has been completing transactions at a loss since May 18. The indicator hit a low of approximately -$1.2 billion on June 6 and has since slightly recovered to around -$1.1 billion. Although market pressure is evident, it remains below the extreme levels of approximately -$2.2 billion seen during the 2022 bear market capitulation phase.Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that currently, a large number of holders are selling Bitcoin below their cost basis, reflecting significant market fear and capitulation sentiment. However, the MVRV Z-score remains above 0, suggesting that the market has not yet entered a deeply undervalued zone, nor has it presented a historically significant value trough.He believes that combining these two indicators, while market sentiment is relatively weak, valuations have clearly cooled down. Going forward, key focus points will be whether the Net Realized Profit/Loss can return above the zero line and whether the MVRV Z-score can maintain a positive value. If the MVRV Z-score falls below 0, or realized losses move closer to the extreme levels of 2022 once again, it could signal the onset of a deeper phase of market capitulation.
Glassnode Co-founder: Bitcoin May Have Entered Bottom Range, High-Probability Bottom Between $46,000-$54,000
Odaily News, Glassnode co-founder Rafael posted on platform X to analyze the recent trend of Bitcoin prices. He pointed out that Bitcoin is currently trading in the $62,000 range, down nearly 50% from its all-time high, with a 24% decline in the past month. The price has now broken through the upper range of his pricing framework and entered a valuation cluster zone where bottoms have historically formed.Rafael further indicated that the market bottom cannot be confirmed in advance and can only be identified through probabilistic ranges and key price levels. Bitcoin has fallen below the breakeven line for median holders for the first time since December 2022, and is currently within a broader support zone: the median realized price is approximately $64,100, and the 200-week moving average is around $61,700. At this stage, the high-probability bottom range could be between $46,000-$54,000, while the $35,000-$40,000 area below that represents a rare "sell-off tail." Notably, the magnitude of cycle corrections is gradually diminishing: previous cycles saw drops of roughly 85%, 84%, and 77% from the peak, while this cycle has only declined about 50%. This suggests the high-probability bottom is more likely within the upper range, though extreme sell-offs cannot be ruled out.
Quantinuum May Increase IPO Offering Size and Price Range
Driven by strong market demand, quantum computing company Quantinuum is considering expanding its IPO offering size and raising its price range, potentially increasing the fundraising amount by several hundred million dollars.
Analysis: Model Predicts BTC Could Reach $255,000 This Year; Long-Term Valuation Range Upgraded to $308,000
According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin has declined approximately 40% from its all-time high in October 2025, yet long-term valuation models indicate substantial upside potential remains. Based on the “Bitcoin Decay Channel” measurement of long-term trends, Bitcoin’s conservative year-end price range has been revised upward to $90,000–$255,000, with the high-end scenario reaching as high as $255,000. This model fits a logarithmic decay trend to historical cycle highs and lows, showing that BTC prices at the peaks of the 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles all approached the upper channel boundary, while bear market bottoms fell near the lower boundary. Analyst Sminston stated that Bitcoin remains within a historic, long-term upward channel and noted that the price range for 2027 could further expand to $128,000–$308,000.
QCP: Inflation Data Releases Pile Up—BTC May Remain Range-Bound in the Short Term
According to QCP analysis, this week features a dense schedule of macroeconomic events, with market attention focused on three key themes: First, President Trump and President Xi Jinping are scheduled to meet in Beijing this week, with discussions expected to cover tariffs, the rare-earth supply chain, and the Middle East situation; markets are watching closely to see whether substantive progress can be achieved on trade. Second, April’s CPI, PPI, and retail sales data will be released sequentially; if inflation stabilizes, real yields may decline—historically providing support for the crypto market—whereas the opposite would reinforce expectations of monetary tightening. Third, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee will hold hearings on the CLARITY Act; legislative progress could further catalyze institutional capital inflows. Currently, despite ETF outflows last week, BTC has held the $80,000 level, while crypto volatility remains near its lowest point of the year, with the VIX at approximately 18. In the short term, BTC is highly likely to remain range-bound, with $84,000 serving as a key resistance level.
Analysis: Bitcoin Holds at $77,000 Range, Powell's "Final FOMC" Adds Market Uncertainty
Odaily Bitcoin remained consolidating above $77,000 on Wednesday, with markets cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. According to market data, Bitcoin fluctuated within the range of approximately $75,689 to $77,837 during the session, and is currently trading around $77,100.This FOMC meeting is seen as a pivotal event. Markets widely expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but the real focus is on whether Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will signal a "higher-for-longer" hawkish stance. Additionally, this meeting may be his last as Fed Chair, with markets simultaneously pricing in uncertainty regarding policy direction and potential power transitions.On the capital front, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a reversal after nine consecutive days of net inflows. SoSoValue data shows that on April 28, ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $89.68 million. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT saw a single-day outflow of about $112 million. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs also logged net outflows of $21.8 million.On-chain data also signals caution. CryptoQuant noted that on April 27, exchange net inflows reached 9,905 BTC, the largest single-day inflow in nearly 30 days. Exchange reserves have also rebounded recently. If these inflows are not quickly absorbed, prices could retest the support range of $74,000–$75,000.On the macroeconomic front, fluctuations in crude oil prices and shifts in the Middle East energy landscape continue to influence inflation expectations. Some analysts believe this could limit the Fed's room for future easing. Meanwhile, market liquidity continues to weaken, with institutional trading volumes and perpetual contract activity both at low levels. This means any policy surprise could amplify price volatility.Overall, Bitcoin remains in a "low liquidity + high event risk" structure and may continue to oscillate within the $72,000 to $80,000 range in the short term, awaiting further clarity on the Fed's policy path. (The Block)
QCP: BTC Enters Range-Bound Trading, Funding Rate Remains Low, and Volatility Continues to Contract
According to QCP Capital’s market report, as the geopolitical risk premium gradually subsided last week, market sentiment turned cautious, and investors’ attention has refocused on policy direction, the interest-rate path, and the economic growth outlook. Equities have been trading near recent highs but lack momentum for an upside breakout. The Federal Reserve’s FOMC decision is due today. A pause in rate hikes is now the baseline market expectation; however, with no new CPI or employment data released since the prior meeting, markets are highly sensitive to Chair Powell’s commentary—any hawkish signal could swiftly reprice front-end rates and tighten financial conditions. Meanwhile, growing attention is turning to potential leadership changes at the Fed. Kevin Warsh has gained increasing traction in market forecasts. His hawkish stance on inflation and skepticism toward quantitative easing stand in marked contrast to current policy approaches. Should he assume leadership, liquidity-driven assets—including crypto—could face pressure, given crypto markets’ particular sensitivity to rising real yields and a stronger U.S. dollar. Regarding Bitcoin: after a strong performance in April—supported by ETF inflows and sustained institutional accumulation—the price has entered a range-bound phase. Funding rates remain subdued, volatility continues to narrow, and the broader market is in a wait-and-see mode. QCP believes Bitcoin’s next directional move will hinge more on Fed signals and macroeconomic data than on crypto-native flows. Additionally, the upcoming tech earnings season, alongside releases of the PCE and GDP price indices, will further test the validity of the “soft landing” narrative.
Bitcoin Whales Dominate Buying at $60,000 Range, Account for 61.6% of Purchase Activity
According to CryptoQuant data, Bitcoin whales dominated buying at the $60,000 to $61,000 range, accounting for 61.6% of purchase activity in this range.
Analyst: Bitcoin Records Net Losses for 22 Consecutive Days, Valuations Enter Historically Low Range
Odaily News, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin's price has retraced approximately 20% over the past month, with two key on-chain indicators showing sustained market sentiment pressure. Among them, Bitcoin's MVRV Z-score has dropped from 0.95 a month ago to 0.32, far below the historical average of 1.71, indicating that the previous valuation premium has largely been digested and the market has entered a range more conducive to long-term accumulation.Meanwhile, Bitcoin's 7-day simple moving average of Net Realized Profit/Loss has been in negative territory for 22 consecutive days, meaning the market has been completing transactions at a loss since May 18. The indicator hit a low of approximately -$1.2 billion on June 6 and has since slightly recovered to around -$1.1 billion. Although market pressure is evident, it remains below the extreme levels of approximately -$2.2 billion seen during the 2022 bear market capitulation phase.Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that currently, a large number of holders are selling Bitcoin below their cost basis, reflecting significant market fear and capitulation sentiment. However, the MVRV Z-score remains above 0, suggesting that the market has not yet entered a deeply undervalued zone, nor has it presented a historically significant value trough.He believes that combining these two indicators, while market sentiment is relatively weak, valuations have clearly cooled down. Going forward, key focus points will be whether the Net Realized Profit/Loss can return above the zero line and whether the MVRV Z-score can maintain a positive value. If the MVRV Z-score falls below 0, or realized losses move closer to the extreme levels of 2022 once again, it could signal the onset of a deeper phase of market capitulation.
Glassnode Co-founder: Bitcoin May Have Entered Bottom Range, High-Probability Bottom Between $46,000-$54,000
Odaily News, Glassnode co-founder Rafael posted on platform X to analyze the recent trend of Bitcoin prices. He pointed out that Bitcoin is currently trading in the $62,000 range, down nearly 50% from its all-time high, with a 24% decline in the past month. The price has now broken through the upper range of his pricing framework and entered a valuation cluster zone where bottoms have historically formed.Rafael further indicated that the market bottom cannot be confirmed in advance and can only be identified through probabilistic ranges and key price levels. Bitcoin has fallen below the breakeven line for median holders for the first time since December 2022, and is currently within a broader support zone: the median realized price is approximately $64,100, and the 200-week moving average is around $61,700. At this stage, the high-probability bottom range could be between $46,000-$54,000, while the $35,000-$40,000 area below that represents a rare "sell-off tail." Notably, the magnitude of cycle corrections is gradually diminishing: previous cycles saw drops of roughly 85%, 84%, and 77% from the peak, while this cycle has only declined about 50%. This suggests the high-probability bottom is more likely within the upper range, though extreme sell-offs cannot be ruled out.
Analysis: Model Predicts BTC Could Reach $255,000 This Year; Long-Term Valuation Range Upgraded to $308,000
According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin has declined approximately 40% from its all-time high in October 2025, yet long-term valuation models indicate substantial upside potential remains. Based on the “Bitcoin Decay Channel” measurement of long-term trends, Bitcoin’s conservative year-end price range has been revised upward to $90,000–$255,000, with the high-end scenario reaching as high as $255,000. This model fits a logarithmic decay trend to historical cycle highs and lows, showing that BTC prices at the peaks of the 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles all approached the upper channel boundary, while bear market bottoms fell near the lower boundary. Analyst Sminston stated that Bitcoin remains within a historic, long-term upward channel and noted that the price range for 2027 could further expand to $128,000–$308,000.
QCP: Inflation Data Releases Pile Up—BTC May Remain Range-Bound in the Short Term
According to QCP analysis, this week features a dense schedule of macroeconomic events, with market attention focused on three key themes: First, President Trump and President Xi Jinping are scheduled to meet in Beijing this week, with discussions expected to cover tariffs, the rare-earth supply chain, and the Middle East situation; markets are watching closely to see whether substantive progress can be achieved on trade. Second, April’s CPI, PPI, and retail sales data will be released sequentially; if inflation stabilizes, real yields may decline—historically providing support for the crypto market—whereas the opposite would reinforce expectations of monetary tightening. Third, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee will hold hearings on the CLARITY Act; legislative progress could further catalyze institutional capital inflows. Currently, despite ETF outflows last week, BTC has held the $80,000 level, while crypto volatility remains near its lowest point of the year, with the VIX at approximately 18. In the short term, BTC is highly likely to remain range-bound, with $84,000 serving as a key resistance level.
Analysis: Bitcoin Rises Above $77,000 but Remains Range-Bound
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin (BTC) edged up slightly on Friday, rising 1.25% to approximately $77,250 since 00:00 UTC, yet it remains range-bound between $75,000 and $80,000 since April 19. Futures funding rates are predominantly negative, indicating traders continue favoring short positions on rallies; Bitcoin futures open interest stands at roughly $19 billion—essentially flat week-on-week—with a 3-month annualized basis of 1.5%. In the options market, sentiment leans bullish: call options accounted for 58% of options volume over the past 24 hours, and demand for downside protection has eased.
Remixpoint Announces FY2027 Financial Forecasts; Net Sales for Digital Asset Management Business Expected to Range from ¥5.107 Billion to ¥12.442 Billion
Remixpoint, a Japanese Bitcoin treasury company, has released its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027. According to the forecast, net sales for FY2027 are expected to range from ¥48.777 billion to ¥56.112 billion, operating profit from ¥6.723 billion to ¥14.058 billion, net income attributable to owners of parent from ¥5.319 billion to ¥11.443 billion, and earnings per share from ¥36.28 to ¥78.06. The digital asset management business is projected to contribute net sales of ¥5.107 billion to ¥12.442 billion, with departmental profit matching this amount. The forecast assumes a Bitcoin price range of $86,000 to $116,000, which is expected to generate valuation gains of ¥4.707 billion to ¥12.042 billion, along with approximately ¥400 million in cryptocurrency lending revenue. Additionally, the energy business is expected to achieve departmental profit of ¥2.005 billion, while the energy storage solutions business is projected to achieve departmental profit of ¥1.002 billion. The company stated that FY2027 will serve as a pivotal year for restoring profitability and enhancing contributions from growth businesses, and plans to improve transparency in revenue structure and KPI disclosures across all business segments.
CryptoQuant: Bitcoin Is Approaching Its Valuation Bottom Range, but Shrinking Demand Indicates the Bottom Has Not Yet Been Confirmed
CryptoQuant’s latest report states that Bitcoin has fallen to a new low of $59,000 in this bear market cycle—only 9% above its realized price of $53,600—and is now approaching the historical bottom range of past bear markets from a valuation perspective.
Wintermute Launches DeFi Vault Curation Platform Armitage, Supporting a Broader Range of Collateral Types
According to The Block, crypto market maker Wintermute has launched Armitage, a DeFi treasury curation platform offering non-custodial treasuries tailored to varying risk appetites to access decentralized lending opportunities. Wintermute stated that, leveraging its market-making operations and liquidation execution capabilities, Armitage can accept “collateral types unsupported by other curators.” The announcement notes that user deposits require no KYC, and users retain full control over their funds. As institutions continue to deploy treasury strategies on Ethereum-based Morpho, Solana-based Kamino, and others, treasuries are becoming a key tool for institutional participation in crypto markets.
QCP: Inflation Data Releases Pile Up—BTC May Remain Range-Bound in the Short Term
According to QCP analysis, this week features a dense schedule of macroeconomic events, with market attention focused on three key themes: First, President Trump and President Xi Jinping are scheduled to meet in Beijing this week, with discussions expected to cover tariffs, the rare-earth supply chain, and the Middle East situation; markets are watching closely to see whether substantive progress can be achieved on trade. Second, April’s CPI, PPI, and retail sales data will be released sequentially; if inflation stabilizes, real yields may decline—historically providing support for the crypto market—whereas the opposite would reinforce expectations of monetary tightening. Third, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee will hold hearings on the CLARITY Act; legislative progress could further catalyze institutional capital inflows. Currently, despite ETF outflows last week, BTC has held the $80,000 level, while crypto volatility remains near its lowest point of the year, with the VIX at approximately 18. In the short term, BTC is highly likely to remain range-bound, with $84,000 serving as a key resistance level.
QCP: BTC Enters Range-Bound Trading, Funding Rate Remains Low, and Volatility Continues to Contract
According to QCP Capital’s market report, as the geopolitical risk premium gradually subsided last week, market sentiment turned cautious, and investors’ attention has refocused on policy direction, the interest-rate path, and the economic growth outlook. Equities have been trading near recent highs but lack momentum for an upside breakout. The Federal Reserve’s FOMC decision is due today. A pause in rate hikes is now the baseline market expectation; however, with no new CPI or employment data released since the prior meeting, markets are highly sensitive to Chair Powell’s commentary—any hawkish signal could swiftly reprice front-end rates and tighten financial conditions. Meanwhile, growing attention is turning to potential leadership changes at the Fed. Kevin Warsh has gained increasing traction in market forecasts. His hawkish stance on inflation and skepticism toward quantitative easing stand in marked contrast to current policy approaches. Should he assume leadership, liquidity-driven assets—including crypto—could face pressure, given crypto markets’ particular sensitivity to rising real yields and a stronger U.S. dollar. Regarding Bitcoin: after a strong performance in April—supported by ETF inflows and sustained institutional accumulation—the price has entered a range-bound phase. Funding rates remain subdued, volatility continues to narrow, and the broader market is in a wait-and-see mode. QCP believes Bitcoin’s next directional move will hinge more on Fed signals and macroeconomic data than on crypto-native flows. Additionally, the upcoming tech earnings season, alongside releases of the PCE and GDP price indices, will further test the validity of the “soft landing” narrative.
Kalshi Launches Commodity Market, Offering Price Prediction Services for Full Range of Commodities Including Soybeans, Natural Gas, Corn, Live Cattle
Odaily News Kalshi has launched a 24/7 commodity market, providing price prediction services for commodities including crude oil, diesel, gold, silver, copper, lithium, natural gas, sugar, soybeans, wheat, corn, coffee, cocoa, live cattle, and more.
Related news
Galaxy Research: Bitcoin’s “Calm Top” May Elevate the Cycle Bottom, with the Bottom Range Expected Between $40,000 and $46,000
According to Alex Thorn, Head Researcher at Galaxy Research, the top signals for this Bitcoin cycle are extremely mild: only 2 out of 11 traditional top indicators have been triggered; the Pi Cycle Top indicator has not been triggered for the first time; and the MVRV peak stands at just 2.29, significantly lower than the previous cycles’ range of 2.93 to 5.91.
Remixpoint Announces FY2027 Financial Forecasts; Net Sales for Digital Asset Management Business Expected to Range from ¥5.107 Billion to ¥12.442 Billion
Remixpoint, a Japanese Bitcoin treasury company, has released its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027. According to the forecast, net sales for FY2027 are expected to range from ¥48.777 billion to ¥56.112 billion, operating profit from ¥6.723 billion to ¥14.058 billion, net income attributable to owners of parent from ¥5.319 billion to ¥11.443 billion, and earnings per share from ¥36.28 to ¥78.06. The digital asset management business is projected to contribute net sales of ¥5.107 billion to ¥12.442 billion, with departmental profit matching this amount. The forecast assumes a Bitcoin price range of $86,000 to $116,000, which is expected to generate valuation gains of ¥4.707 billion to ¥12.042 billion, along with approximately ¥400 million in cryptocurrency lending revenue. Additionally, the energy business is expected to achieve departmental profit of ¥2.005 billion, while the energy storage solutions business is projected to achieve departmental profit of ¥1.002 billion. The company stated that FY2027 will serve as a pivotal year for restoring profitability and enhancing contributions from growth businesses, and plans to improve transparency in revenue structure and KPI disclosures across all business segments.
CryptoQuant: Bitcoin Is Approaching Its Valuation Bottom Range, but Shrinking Demand Indicates the Bottom Has Not Yet Been Confirmed
CryptoQuant’s latest report states that Bitcoin has fallen to a new low of $59,000 in this bear market cycle—only 9% above its realized price of $53,600—and is now approaching the historical bottom range of past bear markets from a valuation perspective.
Bitcoin Whales Dominate Buying at $60,000 Range, Account for 61.6% of Purchase Activity
According to CryptoQuant data, Bitcoin whales dominated buying at the $60,000 to $61,000 range, accounting for 61.6% of purchase activity in this range.
Analyst: Bitcoin Records Net Losses for 22 Consecutive Days, Valuations Enter Historically Low Range
Odaily News, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin's price has retraced approximately 20% over the past month, with two key on-chain indicators showing sustained market sentiment pressure. Among them, Bitcoin's MVRV Z-score has dropped from 0.95 a month ago to 0.32, far below the historical average of 1.71, indicating that the previous valuation premium has largely been digested and the market has entered a range more conducive to long-term accumulation.Meanwhile, Bitcoin's 7-day simple moving average of Net Realized Profit/Loss has been in negative territory for 22 consecutive days, meaning the market has been completing transactions at a loss since May 18. The indicator hit a low of approximately -$1.2 billion on June 6 and has since slightly recovered to around -$1.1 billion. Although market pressure is evident, it remains below the extreme levels of approximately -$2.2 billion seen during the 2022 bear market capitulation phase.Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that currently, a large number of holders are selling Bitcoin below their cost basis, reflecting significant market fear and capitulation sentiment. However, the MVRV Z-score remains above 0, suggesting that the market has not yet entered a deeply undervalued zone, nor has it presented a historically significant value trough.He believes that combining these two indicators, while market sentiment is relatively weak, valuations have clearly cooled down. Going forward, key focus points will be whether the Net Realized Profit/Loss can return above the zero line and whether the MVRV Z-score can maintain a positive value. If the MVRV Z-score falls below 0, or realized losses move closer to the extreme levels of 2022 once again, it could signal the onset of a deeper phase of market capitulation.
Glassnode Co-founder: Bitcoin May Have Entered Bottom Range, High-Probability Bottom Between $46,000-$54,000
Odaily News, Glassnode co-founder Rafael posted on platform X to analyze the recent trend of Bitcoin prices. He pointed out that Bitcoin is currently trading in the $62,000 range, down nearly 50% from its all-time high, with a 24% decline in the past month. The price has now broken through the upper range of his pricing framework and entered a valuation cluster zone where bottoms have historically formed.Rafael further indicated that the market bottom cannot be confirmed in advance and can only be identified through probabilistic ranges and key price levels. Bitcoin has fallen below the breakeven line for median holders for the first time since December 2022, and is currently within a broader support zone: the median realized price is approximately $64,100, and the 200-week moving average is around $61,700. At this stage, the high-probability bottom range could be between $46,000-$54,000, while the $35,000-$40,000 area below that represents a rare "sell-off tail." Notably, the magnitude of cycle corrections is gradually diminishing: previous cycles saw drops of roughly 85%, 84%, and 77% from the peak, while this cycle has only declined about 50%. This suggests the high-probability bottom is more likely within the upper range, though extreme sell-offs cannot be ruled out.