News linked to both this project and an event.
Bitcoin analyst Plan B stated on the X platform that the core of Bitcoin's long-term value lies in scarcity, not short-term price fluctuations.Plan B believes that many people focus on Bitcoin's price charts, while the S2F model he uses focuses on the degree of asset scarcity. This model measures scarcity through "existing supply ÷ annual new production," where the S2F for gold is approximately 60. Due to Bitcoin's fixed total supply of 21 million coins and its predictable issuance schedule, its S2F is currently around 120 and continues to rise over time.The Bitcoin halving mechanism is an important driver of the S2F model. Approximately every four years, the Bitcoin network reduces the block reward by half, decreasing new supply and roughly doubling the S2F level, making it the core supply-side event observed by the model.Plan B emphasized that the S2F and its upgraded version, the S2FX model, predict long-term average value rather than precisely forecasting market tops or bottoms. Bitcoin's price typically fluctuates around the model's estimated value, and investors should focus on multi-year cycle averages rather than single-day price highs. Additionally, Plan B believes that as scarcity increases, Bitcoin is undergoing different stages of development, including proof of concept, payment network, "digital gold"/store of value asset, and institutional-grade financial asset. Each increase in scarcity could bring new market narratives and capital inflows.However, Plan B also reiterated that "all models are wrong, but some are useful." He stated that the S2F model is merely a tool for long-term understanding of Bitcoin's scarcity, not a trading signal or a "crystal ball" for price prediction. Although the model has withstood major events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and China's mining ban, it still has limitations.
According to Korean media NATE, driven by the AI investment boom, SK Hynix's stock price has recently experienced severe volatility. Against the backdrop of intensifying market volatility, SK Group released an advertisement quoting the famous words of founder Choi Jong-geon (최종건): "Despair and hope are two sides of the same coin; despair can be turned into hope like flipping a hand," and rewrote it as "Anxiety and expectation in the AI era are also two sides of the same coin; anxiety can be turned into expectation," thereby conveying confidence in the long-term development of the AI industry. Securities firms believe that short-term stock price volatility has not changed SK Hynix's fundamentals, and the market should focus on its HBM4 technology leadership advantage and the performance stability brought by Long-Term Agreements (LTA). Hyundai Motor Securities analyst Noh Geun-chang (노근창) stated that SK Hynix's DRAM and NAND bit growth rates for the third quarter are expected to reach 9.7% and 1.5% respectively; with the expansion of HBM4 sales contribution, even if the proportion of Long-Term Agreements increases, DRAM Average Selling Price (ASP) is still expected to rise 19.9% quarter-over-quarter. Regarding competition concerns brought by China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), Noh Geun-chang believes that considering the US continues to strengthen semiconductor equipment export restrictions and Micron is expanding domestic investment in the US, the possibility of major companies like Apple adopting Chinese memory chips is relatively low.
According to TechFlow Research, Palantir's Q2 revenue was $1.95 billion, up 93% year-over-year, beating market expectations by 7%, with the after-hours stock price rising 15% following the earnings release. U.S. commercial business grew 150% year-over-year, accelerating further from 133% in the previous quarter. U.S. government business grew 90% year-over-year, also higher than 84% in Q1. Average revenue from the top 20 customers was $124 million (up 67% year-over-year), total contract value was $2.1 billion (up 118% year-over-year), and net revenue retention rate was 157%. Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month price target from $183 to $204, maintaining a Neutral rating, implying approximately 62% upside potential. Goldman Sachs believes enterprise AI deployment is shifting from single models to multi-model combinations, and sovereign AI demand is creating incremental opportunities. Palantir helps enterprises embed AI into workflows while retaining data control, and this positioning could become a growth catalyst for the next phase. Goldman Sachs also raised revenue forecasts for 2026 to 2028, with main concerns being that commercial business growth may slow down during a macro downturn.
Odaily News: Hyperliquid has listed Unitree Technology (UNITREE) Pro-IPO and trading has commenced, with the current price at $75.02.
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that in Polymarket's "WTI Crude Oil Price Hit in August" prediction event, the probability of WTI crude falling to $75/barrel rose to 77%, up 11% in 24 hours; the probability of falling to $70/barrel rose to 45%, up 12% in 24 hours.Earlier, oil prices were driven up by escalating tensions in the Middle East, but after Trump announced a halt to military action against Iran and indicated that the U.S. and Iran would enter a new round of negotiations, market concerns over supply disruptions began to ease, causing the risk premium on crude to quickly retreat. WTI crude prices have now fallen to around $80/barrel.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
DeepSeek officially launches the public beta of version V4-Flash-0731. Through post-training and Agent framework optimization, DeepSWE benchmark scores have improved from 7.3 to 54.4, Cybergym scores have doubled to 76.7, and performance on some hard benchmarks approaches Claude Opus 4.8. The new version does not increase parameters, prices remain unchanged, it natively supports the Responses API, and existing user APIs will automatically switch to the new version. Currently, only the Flash API is updated; the V4 Pro official version is still under development.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Polymarket has announced that, to enhance the manipulation resistance of its cryptocurrency up/down prediction markets, affected markets will transition from single price snapshot settlement to Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) settlement starting from 00:00 UTC on August 7. Specifically, the 5-minute markets will adopt a 30-second TWAP, while the 15-minute and 4-hour markets will adopt a 60-second TWAP.Additionally, the platform will provide a total of $1 million in liquidity rewards for the relevant markets throughout August. Chainlink's TWAP testnet data feed is now live, with the mainnet data feed and Polymarket's Real-Time Data Streams (RTDS) scheduled to go live on August 4, 2026.
online brokerage Robinhood's Q2 adjusted earnings per share were $0.62, with revenue reaching $13.1 billion, surpassing Wall Street expectations and setting a record high; its share price fell 4% in after-hours trading. Robinhood's Q2 crypto trading revenue decreased by 38% year-over-year to $100 million, offset partially by increased activity in options, stocks, and prediction markets. The company has launched Robinhood Chain in Europe for tokenized US stocks and rolled out an Agentic Trading AI tool that automates investments while retaining user control.
According to TechFlow Research, on Monday (July 27), Apple rose over 1%, with its market cap reaching $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia's $4.78 trillion to return to the top spot in global market cap. Over the past month, Apple outperformed the Nasdaq 100 Index by 23 percentage points, marking the largest single-month excess return since 2005. Goldman Sachs raised the target price from $330 to $370 on the same day, maintaining a Buy rating, citing increased confidence in the iPhone upgrade cycle and AI strategy. Apple will release its Q3 earnings report on Thursday, with the market expecting EPS to be $1.89. This market cap overtaking occurred against the backdrop of growing investor concerns over the ROI on huge AI capital expenditures, with Google's FCF turning negative and Nvidia facing sell-offs, while Apple became a safe haven instead due to restrained AI spending.
According to Chaoxiang Research, CXMT listed on the STAR Market on July 27, surging 471% at opening, with market capitalization briefly exceeding 3.3 trillion yuan. Nomura Securities released its initiation report on the same day, granting a Buy rating with a target price of 116 yuan, corresponding to a 20x P/E ratio based on 2028 EPS of 5.8 yuan, implying over 12x upside based on an issue price of 8.66 yuan. Nomura noted that AI is driving a structural surge in DRAM demand, with AI memory demand CAGR exceeding 60% from 2026 to 2030, while global supply growth rate is only 30% to 40%, and the supply-demand gap will continue to widen. As the world's fourth-largest DRAM manufacturer, CXMT currently holds a global share of about 10%, expected to rise to 18% by the end of 2028, approaching Micron's scale. Q1 2026 revenue was 50.8 billion yuan (YoY +719%), and net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was 24.76 billion yuan (YoY +1688%), with quarterly profit already exceeding the full year 2025. Nomura believes CXMT should enjoy a "China premium," with the 20x PE valuation based on the midpoint between Micron's 10x historical average and the 1 to 3x valuation gap between Chinese and US semiconductor equipment stocks. Northeast Securities gave a valuation range of 3.2 to 5.7 trillion yuan on the same day, while Nomura's 7.76 trillion yuan is relatively optimistic; the core divergence lies in CXMT's long-term market share ceiling.
Anthropic has officially released the Opus 5 AI model; the company states that its performance is close to the frontier model Fable 5, but the price is only half that of the latter.
According to The Block, TD Cowen lowered The Smarter Web Company's target price from £1 to £0.64, maintaining a buy rating. The analyst cited factors such as revised Bitcoin price forecasts, recent treasury activities, and updated dilution assumptions, while noting that the company's Q2 Bitcoin holdings increased from 2,699 BTC to 2,878 BTC. The stock closed up 2% last Friday at £0.29.
Stablecoin-driven global payment infrastructure platform WasabiCard announced the appointment of Matt Price as Global Director of Partnerships. Matt will be responsible for WasabiCard's global partnership strategy, driving collaborations with financial institutions, payment networks, fintech companies, and strategic ecosystem partners to support the company's continued global expansion.
Odaily News: Headline: "Loss of 23.75 Million USDC: Ostium Price Data Attacked". According to Ostium's monitoring, Ostium has released an update on the security incident. Its liquidity provider treasury was attacked on July 15, resulting in a loss of 23,752,746 USDC. Preliminary investigations indicate that the attacker compromised the off-chain infrastructure that supplies price data to the protocol, submitting disguised, fraudulent price reports. By rapidly opening and closing multiple large positions, the attacker extracted artificially generated profits from the treasury. Ostium stated that trader collateral is stored in separate, isolated smart contracts and was unaffected by this incident; all trading positions remain open. The team paused trading and froze all trading contracts within 60 minutes of the first attack transaction. Currently, Ostium is cooperating with Mandiant, zeroShadow, Collisionless, SEAL 911, and law enforcement agencies, and is coordinating with trading platforms, bridge contracts, and stablecoin issuers to advance the investigation. The engineering team is repairing and strengthening the relevant infrastructure to support a safe resumption of trading. Ostium stated it will notify at least 24 hours in advance before thawing the trading contracts. Once trading resumes, existing positions will be marked at the price at the time of reopening, unaffected by price fluctuations during the suspension.
ARK Invest's "The Bitcoin Quarterly" report for Q2 2026 indicates Bitcoin fell approximately 14% in the second quarter, closing around $58,544, and broke below three major technical moving averages. Historically, this technical pattern is often associated with bearish market conditions. The report shows that despite price pressure, Bitcoin Long-term Holders continued to accumulate, pushing their holdings to a new all-time high of approximately 14.85 million BTC, absorbing coins released during the market correction.ARK Invest stated that on-chain data is signaling signs of seller exhaustion: the supply of BTC in loss exceeds the supply in profit, and the rate of realized losses once surpassed the rate of realized profits. Historically, similar phenomena have often clustered near the bottom of market cycles.The report also pointed out that institutional demand in the Bitcoin market is facing pressure. Both corporate Bitcoin reserves (Treasury Companies) and the ETF ecosystem have shown signs of weakness:The STRC preferred stock price once fell to approximately $74.57, below its $100 par value;U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced net outflows for 7 consecutive weeks, with cumulative outflows totaling approximately 70,000 BTC.ARK Invest believes that ETF outflows indicate a weakening of important marginal buying pressure for Bitcoin, but continued accumulation by long-term holders suggests a redistribution of coins is occurring within the market.The firm stated that a clear divergence is currently forming between BTC's price performance and the behavior of long-term holders. Historical data shows that such divergences can often serve as important observation signals for market cycle turning points.
According to STAR Market Daily, Morgan Stanley issued a report indicating that TSMC's 2026 full-year revenue guidance significantly exceeded expectations. The company raised its 2026 revenue growth guidance to over 40% year-on-year, previously over 30%. Management attributed the upward revision to strong AI demand, despite challenges in consumer demand. Cloud Service Providers (CSP) customers are rapidly increasing cloud capital expenditure. TSMC did not update its AI semiconductor revenue CAGR forecast, but stated that actual performance is higher than the previous forecast of 55%-60%. The bank believes a 70% to 80% CAGR for TSMC's AI semiconductor business is a reasonable assumption. The bank raised its target price from 2,888 New Taiwan Dollars to 2,988 New Taiwan Dollars, maintaining an "Overweight" rating. In a volatile market environment, the company's quality profitability should continue to attract capital inflows; next, the 2026 second-quarter cloud capital expenditure updates announced by CSP customers will be an important catalyst.
Goldman Sachs analyst James Yaro has released an analysis report on Robinhood (HOOD), maintaining a "Buy" rating and raising the price target from $121 to $137.
According to Odaily, the persistent memory supply shortage driven by AI demand continues to exert upward pricing pressure on smartphone manufacturers such as Samsung Electronics, Apple, and Xiaomi in the second half of the year. Industry sources indicate that Samsung Electronics' upcoming Galaxy Z8 series, set to be released this month, has an increased likelihood of price increases based on storage capacity. The price of the 256GB base model is expected to remain at a similar level to its predecessor, approximately 3.05 million won, while the 512GB and 1TB models may see price increases of around 120,000 won each. This pricing strategy aims to minimize the price increase for the base model while prioritizing adjustments to higher-capacity models, which are more affected by memory cost pressures.
According to TechFlow Research, the latest report on Apple released by Morgan Stanley on July 14, 2026, shows that Apple increased prices for Mac, iPad, and accessories by 15-54% within two weeks. The underlying driver is forced cost hedging, rather than simple profit extraction. DRAM and NAND chip costs are expected to rise by 190% and 280% respectively in 2027. The chip cost for a single iPad will rise from $51 to $144, and this item alone could consume 30-40% of the gross profit.
Odaily News: Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on platform X, stating that T. Rowe Price's active crypto ETF, TKNZ, is ready to launch and could go live at any time, with speculation it will debut on Thursday. He believes the timing is appropriate, as the ETF is launching after the impact of October's sell-off has somewhat subsided.