Morgan Stanley: Raises TSMC Target Price to NT$2,988, Maintains "Overweight" Rating

According to STAR Market Daily, Morgan Stanley issued a report indicating that TSMC's 2026 full-year revenue guidance significantly exceeded expectations. The company raised its 2026 revenue growth guidance to over 40% year-on-year, previously over 30%. Management attributed the upward revision to strong AI demand, despite challenges in consumer demand. Cloud Service Providers (CSP) customers are rapidly increasing cloud capital expenditure. TSMC did not update its AI semiconductor revenue CAGR forecast, but stated that actual performance is higher than the previous forecast of 55%-60%. The bank believes a 70% to 80% CAGR for TSMC's AI semiconductor business is a reasonable assumption. The bank raised its target price from 2,888 New Taiwan Dollars to 2,988 New Taiwan Dollars, maintaining an "Overweight" rating. In a volatile market environment, the company's quality profitability should continue to attract capital inflows; next, the 2026 second-quarter cloud capital expenditure updates announced by CSP customers will be an important catalyst.