News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: Moonrock Capital founder Simon Dedic posted on X, stating: "The Senate vote on the Clarity Act is expected to take place in about 10 hours. Democrats have already rejected the Republican-drafted bill on the pretext of so-called 'ethics concerns' (eThIcS cOncErNs); the predicted odds on Polymarket have collapsed, and the market has fully priced in expectations of failure. Regardless of the outcome, however, I am very much looking forward to this vote. It means we can finally turn the page and shift our energy to far more important matters. If the bill fails to pass, we will instead get equally strong pro-crypto regulatory policy from the SEC; and if even that doesn't happen, then the responsibility for watching the U.S. hand over its leadership in frontier finance and sit idly by as the world's most dynamic companies move offshore will rest entirely on the Democrats. Politics is tiresome, but America is not so foolish as to let that situation happen. So what must come will come, and we will ultimately prevail."
According to an analysis by Jiangzhuoer (@Jiangzhuoer2), CEO of Litecoin Pool, after Republicans released a new draft of the Clarify Act claiming concessions on 80% of the disputed provisions, Polymarket's passage probability rose accordingly from 14% to 28%. Upon closer inspection, however, the actual concession rate is around 60%, with only partial compromises made on key provisions. Under the ethics clause, the new draft expands restrictions to officials and their spouses but still excludes children and affiliated entities, a move criticized as having limited practical impact; regarding the enforcement clause, while it allows state attorneys general to sue exchanges for listing non-compliant tokens, it explicitly bars suing the Department of Justice for regulatory inaction or the President directly. Jiangzhuoer believes that Democrats lack any incentive to "hand Trump a gift" ahead of the midterm elections, making it unlikely they would endorse this "fake compromise." Consequently, the prospect of the procedural vote passing at 2:15 AM Beijing Time on September 16 is slim, and a failed vote on the Clarify Act could mark the beginning of a correction in the current BTC uptrend.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) released a report stating that platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi lack the formal authorization required to sell contracts to users in the EU. Regulators have also questioned the effectiveness of these platforms in enforcing geo-restrictions and anti-VPN measures.
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of Anthropic completing an IPO before October 15, 2026 has dropped to 6%, down 51% in a single week; the probability of an IPO before October 31, 2026 has dropped to 60%, down 29% in a single week.According to the resolution rules, if Anthropic officially lists on a public stock exchange and opens for stock trading before 23:59 Eastern Time on the specified date, it resolves as Yes; otherwise, it resolves as No. In addition, if Anthropic is acquired by a publicly listed company, it immediately resolves as No. The primary basis for resolution of this market is documents and announcements published by Anthropic officially and by the stock exchange where its shares are listed.Previously, Reuters reported, citing sources, that Anthropic planned to launch its IPO roadshow as early as mid-October and was aiming to go public before the U.S. midterm elections in November. Today, however, David Sacks, chairman of the U.S. President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, called for suspending Anthropic's IPO until the relevant "whistleblower" allegations are fully investigated.The "whistleblower" refers to former Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon, who previously resigned over concerns about AI safety risks and publicly accused Anthropic and OpenAI of racing to develop self-improving superintelligence without adequate safety safeguards.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Odaily News: Brent crude was reported at $101.09 on Wednesday morning, up 3.2% on the day, marking its first time above $100 in six weeks; West Texas Intermediate crude was at $96.27. Saudi officials said Houthi militants attacked Saudi oil facilities on Tuesday morning, injuring 73 people.The U.S. Central Command destroyed five Iranian oil tankers the same day, following an attack on three on Saturday, in response to an Iranian ballistic missile strike on a U.S. warship. The crude oil market has been repricing following the escalation of related events.In Myriad's market on whether crude first hits $120 or falls to $55, the probability for the $120 side is 56.5%, up 15.1 percentage points from early September; the market has seen $12.7 million in trading volume since March. Polymarket data shows the probability of WTI hitting $100 this month is 59%, up 9 percentage points, while the probability of hitting $105 is 30%, up 25 percentage points.On Polymarket, the probability of WTI falling to $85 this month has dropped to 39%, down 33 percentage points from the previous reading, with probabilities for all levels below $85 under 10%; the probability for $55 is 1%. U.S. diesel prices rose to $5.94 per gallon on Wednesday, surpassing last week's high, while the average gasoline price stood at $4.22. (Decrypt)
Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that the probability on Polymarket that "Donald Trump Jr. posts about LAPTOP on X & Truth Social in September" has dropped to 30%, down 20% in 24 hours.The event rules state: if the designated person publishes qualifying written content related to Hunter Biden's Meme coin LAPTOP on X & Truth Social before 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026, the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No." Merely using the word "LAPTOP" without clearly indicating the token in context does not qualify. Merely referencing Hunter Biden's LAPTOP, the Hunter Biden LAPTOP controversy, its content, related investigations, or any related events does not qualify.Hunter Biden, son of former U.S. President Joe Biden, plans to launch the Meme coin LAPTOP on the Base chain on September 9. According to the official website description, the Meme coin LAPTOP is inspired by Hunter Biden's "laptop scandal" from six years ago. That scandal also dragged then-Vice President Joe Biden into a massive storm.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead of the curve and seize opportunities first.
Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that the probability of the "foldable iPhone US launch price above $2,100" on Polymarket has risen to 70%, up 20% over the week; the probability of above $2,200 has fallen to 30%, down 29% over the week.According to the settlement rules, this market will be settled based on the pre-tax starting price of the lowest-configuration foldable iPhone for the US market as first announced by Apple; if multiple foldable iPhones are announced simultaneously, the lowest starting price among them shall prevail. If no price is announced by 23:59 ET on September 30, the market will settle as "No."According to Apple's official announcement, the fall 2026 new product launch event will be held at 1:00 a.m. Beijing time on September 10. The pricing of the first foldable iPhone has become a focal point of market attention. Previously, Bank of America, citing media reports, said its starting price could be around $2,099. According to the latest revelation from US tech journalist Mark Gurman, Apple's first foldable phone is expected to have a starting price of around $2,000.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that Polymarket has listed a new prediction event for "LAPTOP's highest FDV within one day of launch." Currently, the probability of FDV exceeding $10 million is tentatively reported at 95%; exceeding $25 million is tentatively reported at 93%; exceeding $50 million is tentatively reported at 87%; the probability of exceeding $100 million is tentatively reported at 80%; the probability of exceeding $250 million is 50%; the probability of exceeding $500 million is 27%; and the probability of exceeding $1 billion is 9%.According to the settlement rules, if at 16:00 ET on the next calendar day after LAPTOP's launch, its FDV (total token supply × token price) is higher than the corresponding target value, the market will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No." If the token has not launched by December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET, the market will settle as "No."Previously, it was reported that Hunter Biden, son of former U.S. President Joe Biden, announced he will launch the Meme coin LAPTOP on Base on September 9, with a total supply of 1 billion tokens. Project founders, including Hunter Biden, will receive 30% of LAPTOP's total supply. These tokens cannot be sold within 6 months after the launch, and the remaining share will be released in batches over two years.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to get ahead and seize the opportunity.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, the probability on Polymarket that the "foldable iPhone's US launch price will exceed $2,300" has dropped to 15%, down 35% over the past week; the probability of it exceeding $2,200 has fallen to 42%, down 17% week-over-week.The event contract rules state: any foldable smartphone released by Apple will be considered a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly named as such. If the price of the foldable iPhone at its initial US launch is greater than or equal to the specified amount, the market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If Apple releases multiple foldable iPhone models, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not announce the price of the foldable iPhone by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026, the market will resolve to "No."According to an official announcement from Apple, the fall 2026 new product launch event will be held at 1:00 AM Beijing time on September 10, themed "Surprise and shine." However, pricing for the device unexpectedly leaked from overseas carrier Vodafone's backend systems in Australia and Egypt. The Australian channel reveals that the iPhone Ultra will be available in 256GB, 512GB, and 1TB storage options, starting at AUD 3,699. Industry observers estimate that the US starting price for the Ultra could land near $2,000.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
NBA superstar LeBron James announced on X that he has visited the headquarters of prediction market platform Polymarket and is set to partner with the company, accompanying the post with the caption “Coming Soon” to hint at forthcoming details. In a video shared by James, he selected the “Sports” option among categories displayed by Polymarket, which included “Crypto,” “Sports,” “Economy,” “Culture,” “Weather,” and “Esports.” This choice suggests that subsequent collaborations may focus specifically on the sports domain. However, comments on the post indicate that some X users have discouraged the partnership. Numerous long-time supporters have even requested that James remove the content, arguing that it conflicts with the family-friendly public persona he has long maintained. Conversely, other fans have expressed their support for the venture.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket event "Will the Fed keep rates unchanged in September?", an account that has accumulated losses exceeding $50,000 (0x011175c87089797b1c5bebcfb6d501b4c51d60f7) purchased $74,600 in positions betting that the Fed will hold rates steady in September, with an average entry price of 53.6¢ and a total of 153,845.8 shares acquired.Per the settlement rules, this market will settle based on the interest rate decision following the Fed's FOMC meeting in September 2026. If the actual rate adjustment does not fall within the existing options, it will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points—for instance, a 12.5 basis point cut or hike will be counted as a 25 basis point move. If no relevant statement is released before the meeting concludes, the event will settle as "No Change." The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Odaily News - Prediction market platform Polymarket launched its perpetual contract product, Polymarket Perps, on September 3. The initial offering covers 10 contracts including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, HYPE, Gold, Silver, WTI Crude Oil, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and a contract tracking SpaceX stock, expanding to 67 markets within hours.The product has no expiration date, with contract prices continuously tracking the underlying assets. It maintains anchoring to spot prices through funding rates settled hourly, with funding rate caps at 4% per hour in both directions. Cryptocurrencies, the S&P 500, crude oil, gold, and silver support up to 20x leverage, while individual stocks and other real-world assets support up to 10x.U.S. traders are unable to place Perps orders and will be directed to Polymarket US, which is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This arrangement stems from Polymarket's 2022 settlement with the CFTC, in which the company was fined $1.4 million for operating an unregistered swap execution facility and was required to cease related non-compliant contracts. (Decrypt)
Odaily News The prediction market Polymarket has officially launched its full suite of perpetual contract features, enabling trading of assets such as cryptocurrencies, stocks, and commodities with up to 20x leverage. On July 9, 2026, Polymarket had previously rolled out trading for select assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Gold, and the S&P 500, among a total of 10 assets, with up to 20x leverage. Today marks the official launch of its broader perpetual futures trading.
Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that Polymarket has listed a new prediction event: "When will the US and Iran achieve a two-week ceasefire?" Currently, the probability for September 4 stands at 24%; for September 11, 46%; for September 18, 64%; and for September 30, 73%.According to market rules, if a continuous 14-day period begins before the specified deadline during which the US has not taken qualifying military action against Iran, the market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The 14-day period is calculated starting from the day after the most recent qualifying military action; if no such action occurs after the market is created, the countdown begins from the day the market was established."Qualifying military action" refers to airstrikes or ground-to-ground missile strikes initiated by the US and directly targeting Iranian territory. The military action must directly hit Iran's land territory, including its internal waters, to be considered a strike against Iran. Maritime territory and airspace are excluded. Resolution of this market will be based on official information released by the US and Iranian governments and militaries, as well as reports from credible media outlets.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize opportunities first.
Monitoring by PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that Polymarket's probability of "OpenAI's Astra releasing before September 11" has risen to 86%, up 41% in 24 hours; the probability of release before September 15 has risen to 91%, up 29% in 24 hours.If OpenAI releases "Astra" to the public before the specified date, or releases a product that is officially or credibly confirmed by media to be the same model as the previously announced "Astra," the event will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No."Qualifying models may use names such as Astra, Astra 1, Astra 6, GPT-6 Astra, or be released under a different name. Models like GPT-5.7 and GPT-6 will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model as the previously mentioned Astra.The model must be open to the public, including public testing or an open waitlist; closed testing or private access does not count. Settlement is primarily based on official OpenAI information, with reference to consensus reporting from credible media.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize opportunities.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, the probability of Gemini 4.0 being released before September 30 on Polymarket is now 35%, up 12% over the past 24 hours.If Google opens Gemini 4.0 Flash to the public before the specified date, the event will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No."To resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be officially released and made available to the public, including public beta testing or an open rolling waitlist; closed beta testing or private access does not count.Gemini 4.0 must be explicitly released under that name or be widely recognized as the next-generation product following Gemini 3. Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, and others do not qualify.The resolution will primarily rely on official information from Google, supplemented by credible media reports.Join the PPP Signals Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
: According to the official announcement from MSX Maitong, the platform officially opened subscription for the Phase 3 Pre-IPO projects Neuralink and Anduril at 18:00 (UTC+8) today. The subscription period will last until 00:00 (UTC+8) on September 6, 2026.In this phase, MSX exclusively lists two globally high-profile AI unicorns—Neuralink, the brain-computer interface leader founded by Elon Musk, and Anduril, a top-tier AI defense technology unicorn in the United States. User subscription quotas will be allocated based on effective $MSX holdings, with specific rules subject to the platform's official announcement.Previously, MSX Maitong's Phase 2 Pre-IPO project Polymarket has opened for redemption, with a subscription yield reaching 33.3%. Users can log in to the MSX platform to participate in this phase's subscription.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket prediction event "WTI Crude Oil Price Level in September," the probability of breaking $90/barrel has risen to 60%, up 15% in the past 24 hours; the probability of breaking $95/barrel is currently reported at 30%, down 1% in the past 24 hours.On Sunday local time, the U.S. military launched its first military strike against Iran in over a month, targeting two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island near the Strait of Hormuz. Shortly after the attack, Iran retaliated against a U.S. military base in Jordan. As the conflict escalated once again, international oil prices moved higher, with WTI crude briefly surging to $85.53/barrel.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool shows that in the Polymarket event "Will the Fed maintain interest rates unchanged in September," an account (0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699) that has earned over $270,000 in profit in the past week purchased $938,000 worth of shares betting that the Fed will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in September. The average entry price was 39.3¢, with a position of 2,017,336.0 shares. Additionally, the account holds approximately $3.06 million in shares betting that the Fed will NOT cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, with an average entry price of 98.2¢.According to the settlement rules, this market will settle based on interest rate changes following the Fed's FOMC meeting in September 2026. If the rate adjustment magnitude is not among the existing options, it will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points—for example, a cut or hike of 12.5 basis points will be calculated as 25 basis points. If no relevant statement is released before the meeting concludes, the event will settle as "unchanged." The Fed's next FOMC meeting will take place from September 15 to 16, 2026.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
Odaily News: Prediction market platform Polymarket US withdrew two NFL player participation contract filings on August 26. The platform had completed certification with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) the previous day and planned to launch the related products no earlier than August 27.On the same day, Polymarket US certified Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana price contracts. All three contract types were submitted in paired form and classified as swaps under the binary options subcategory. Both the NFL contracts and the cryptocurrency contracts fall under the relevant classification.Polymarket US separately filed a confidential treatment request for the NFL compliance analysis documents, seeking permanent non-disclosure on the grounds that public release would reveal trade secrets and give competitors an unfair advantage. As of the time of record, another NFL American football starting eligibility contract remained in certified status. (Bitcoin.com News)