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Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have jointly released a market report, maintaining a neutral outlook on the cryptocurrency market for the third quarter of 2026. In the second quarter, the total market capitalization of the crypto market (excluding stablecoins) declined by approximately 12%, while stablecoin supply reached an all-time high. On-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a correction phase to an accumulation phase, characterized by compressed valuations, near-multi-year lows in recent active supply, and the proportion of supply in profit breaking below historical statistical lower bounds—historically corresponding to accumulation rather than distribution zones. However, the macro liquidity environment remains tight, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance under Kevin Warsh's leadership, a strong U.S. dollar, coupled with geopolitical risks, selling pressure from digital asset treasuries, and net outflows from spot BTC and ETH ETFs in the first half of the year (though the pace of outflows has begun to slow), thus overall caution is advised.
According to TechFlow Research, Goldman Sachs' July 16 energy storage report pointed out that electricity demand from data centers is surging, traditional grid expansion requires four to eight years, and energy storage has become the fastest solution with a 12 to 18-month deployment cycle. Goldman Sachs estimates that by 2030, behind-the-meter energy storage opportunities in the US will bring about 50GWh of increment, plus 11GWh from 800V DC data centers, total US energy storage deployment will reach 172GWh, significantly upwardly revised from the previous 112GWh. Globally, annual energy storage installations are expected to reach 2100GWh by 2040. Goldman Sachs believes energy storage is transitioning from renewable energy supporting equipment to a necessity for AI infrastructure, which will change the industry valuation logic. In terms of targets, FLNC (Buy) secured exclusive battery partner qualification for Nvidia DSX Vera Rubin, data center pipeline projects reached 12GW, up 30% sequentially; CATL (Buy) has about 30% global energy storage market share, already used in Shanghai SenseTime data center; Tesla (Neutral) 2025 energy storage deployment 46.7GWh, energy business 2028 estimated revenue 29 billion USD; Energy Vault (Neutral) received 6x EV/EBITDA valuation; LGES (Buy) North America ESS capacity expected to reach 50GWh by end of 2026. Canadian Solar, Ford, Samsung SDI, Shoals, Sungrow are also worth watching. Goldman Sachs emphasizes the need to distinguish those with real order support
Crypto KOL Phyrex published a systematic analysis of rToken issued by Reality under Bitget, arguing that rToken should not be merely understood as "tokenized stocks." Its core value lies in achieving asset composability upon integration with a unified account, breaking the limitations of RWA liquidity silos. Phyrex provided an in-depth breakdown of three directly implementable trading strategies: amplifying US stock directional exposure, Delta Neutral arbitrage, and staking-borrowing loops. For institutions, the core value of rToken lies in three major mechanisms: direct order connection to the US stock order book to eliminate de-pegging risk, UTA unified account cross-margining to improve asset efficiency, and weekend collateral valuation pegged to Friday's closing price to ensure controllable risk. This ultimately enables managing Crypto, stock tokens, and derivative positions within a single account, reducing costs associated with multi-platform rebalancing and fund transfers.
Odaily News, Strive Vice President Joe Burnett posted on X platform, stating that BTC's break-even annualization is often difficult to understand, and it's important to grasp why. The market generally holds three types of views on Bitcoin: Bullish Bitcoin investors believe Bitcoin will appreciate significantly; if they can borrow long-term capital at a cost below 20% and anticipate Bitcoin's future compound annual growth rate will exceed that level, they are willing to finance the purchase of more Bitcoin. Neutral Bitcoin investors require a much lower hurdle rate of return for Bitcoin. According to Michael Saylor's post, if Bitcoin grows by only 3.3% annually, they could sustainably pay current dividends through Bitcoin capital gains. This is a different bet from expecting Bitcoin to grow at a compound rate of over 20%. For context, the historical annual growth rate of the US dollar M2 money supply is around 7%. BTC is a scarce monetary asset with a long-term supply growth rate of 0%. Therefore, buyers of digital credit don't need to be extremely bullish on Bitcoin; they primarily need to believe that Bitcoin won't die out and will roughly keep pace with dollar inflation. This audience is much broader. Joe Burnett stated this might already be the current global consensus view on Bitcoin. Bearish Bitcoin investors can also express their views by shorting Bitcoin or shorting Amplified Bitcoin. Currently, capital has three clear ways to express its view: Bullish on Bitcoin can hold Bitcoin and Amplified Bitcoin; Neutral on Bitcoin can hold Digital Credit; Bearish on Bitcoin can short Bitcoin or Amplified Bitcoin. Every major capital allocator now has a Bitcoin-related tool matching their worldview, and this is how over $1 quadrillion in global capital begins to flow into Bitcoin.
Ethlabs posted on X platform to address its non-profit positioning and funding situation. It stated that the choice to operate as a non-profit structure is to focus on the long-term development needs of Ethereum as a "public good" and to maintain the organization's independence and neutrality in research and development.Regarding governance structure, Ethlabs pointed out that its funding comes from large ETH holders and builders within the Ethereum ecosystem. These funders are closely aligned with the long-term success of Ethereum but will not receive any governance control, nor will they participate in roadmap formulation or project priority decisions. Ethlabs emphasized that this arrangement is a deliberate design aimed at preventing external capital from influencing its core direction.Meanwhile, Ethlabs indicated that the future continuous fundraising mechanism itself acts as a "accountability mechanism." Only by consistently creating real value for the Ethereum ecosystem can it secure subsequent funding support, thereby forming a long-term feedback loop.In terms of funding, Ethlabs revealed that it is currently in the final stages of fundraising and has not yet disclosed the specific amount. However, the pledged funding commitments are expected to support an operational cycle of 2 to 3 years and cover the needs for recruiting top-tier talent. Ethlabs emphasized its positioning as a long-term project, not a one-time grant program.
稳定币基础设施初创公司 Boundary Labs 宣布完成 200 万美元 Pre-Seed 轮融资,Galaxy Ventures 领投,First Block Capital、BlackWood 等机构参投,该公司计划于 2026 年夏季在以太坊主网上线机构级稳定币 USBD 及质押版本 sUSBD。据介绍,USBD 将支持每日链上披露储备状态、净资产价值(NAV)以及协议运行数据,并采用超额抵押与 Delta Neutral(市场中性)对冲策略,以降低市场波动与方向性风险。Boundary 强调,其协议不会使用递归杠杆,并要求所有收益来源保持 Delta Neutral 结构。(The Block)
Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have jointly released a market report, maintaining a neutral outlook on the cryptocurrency market for the third quarter of 2026. In the second quarter, the total market capitalization of the crypto market (excluding stablecoins) declined by approximately 12%, while stablecoin supply reached an all-time high. On-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a correction phase to an accumulation phase, characterized by compressed valuations, near-multi-year lows in recent active supply, and the proportion of supply in profit breaking below historical statistical lower bounds—historically corresponding to accumulation rather than distribution zones. However, the macro liquidity environment remains tight, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance under Kevin Warsh's leadership, a strong U.S. dollar, coupled with geopolitical risks, selling pressure from digital asset treasuries, and net outflows from spot BTC and ETH ETFs in the first half of the year (though the pace of outflows has begun to slow), thus overall caution is advised.
According to CoinDesk, Japanese investment bank Mizuho has downgraded stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL) from "Neutral" to "Underperform," with the price target significantly lowered from $85 to $50. Circle's stock price subsequently fell 0.6% to $62.63. Mizuho analysts pointed out that the OpenUSD stablecoin launched by the Open Standard consortium on June 30 poses a fundamental threat to Circle's business model. Unlike the USDC model, which retains most reserve yield and then shares it with partners such as Coinbase and Binance, OpenUSD charges only a small operating fee and distributes the vast majority of reserve yield to issuers and distributors, which may force Circle's partners to demand a higher revenue share. The consortium has assembled over 140 partners, including Mastercard, Stripe, Coinbase, and BlackRock.
Odaily News, Strive Vice President Joe Burnett posted on X platform, stating that BTC's break-even annualization is often difficult to understand, and it's important to grasp why. The market generally holds three types of views on Bitcoin: Bullish Bitcoin investors believe Bitcoin will appreciate significantly; if they can borrow long-term capital at a cost below 20% and anticipate Bitcoin's future compound annual growth rate will exceed that level, they are willing to finance the purchase of more Bitcoin. Neutral Bitcoin investors require a much lower hurdle rate of return for Bitcoin. According to Michael Saylor's post, if Bitcoin grows by only 3.3% annually, they could sustainably pay current dividends through Bitcoin capital gains. This is a different bet from expecting Bitcoin to grow at a compound rate of over 20%. For context, the historical annual growth rate of the US dollar M2 money supply is around 7%. BTC is a scarce monetary asset with a long-term supply growth rate of 0%. Therefore, buyers of digital credit don't need to be extremely bullish on Bitcoin; they primarily need to believe that Bitcoin won't die out and will roughly keep pace with dollar inflation. This audience is much broader. Joe Burnett stated this might already be the current global consensus view on Bitcoin. Bearish Bitcoin investors can also express their views by shorting Bitcoin or shorting Amplified Bitcoin. Currently, capital has three clear ways to express its view: Bullish on Bitcoin can hold Bitcoin and Amplified Bitcoin; Neutral on Bitcoin can hold Digital Credit; Bearish on Bitcoin can short Bitcoin or Amplified Bitcoin. Every major capital allocator now has a Bitcoin-related tool matching their worldview, and this is how over $1 quadrillion in global capital begins to flow into Bitcoin.
According to CryptoQuant analyst Gaah’s monitoring, the Bitcoin Cycle Momentum indicator has yet to break above the neutral zone (0), clearly signaling the continuation of the bear market. The indicator has currently declined to the -30 level—a range that has historically served as a key cyclical support zone and formed major cycle bottoms on multiple occasions. Analysts note that for a trend reversal to be confirmed, price must first form a bullish pattern, accompanied by the indicator’s effective breakout above the neutral zone.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated on X that the current Global Risk On/Off indicator is neutral. Recent signs of de-escalation in the conflict—potentially linked to statements by relevant leaders—and growing market expectations around SpaceX’s IPO are influencing investor sentiment. It is reported that approximately 372 oil tankers remain stranded in the Persian Gulf, carrying roughly 26 million tons of hydrocarbons. This situation may continue to affect global energy supply expectations and serve as a key variable for market risk sentiment. Currently, risk assets remain in a phase shaped by multiple overlapping factors—including geopolitical developments, shifts in liquidity, and capital market events involving major tech companies—while investors await clearer directional signals.
crypto research firm K33 stated that although Bitcoin has retested its 200-day moving average around $82,000 this month and subsequently fallen by about 6%, the low near $60,000 in February this year may still represent the maximum drawdown of this cycle. K33 Research Head Vetle Lunde pointed out that unlike the bear market rallies in 2014, 2018, and 2022, this market experienced a slow recovery lasting 189 days after breaking below the 200-day moving average. Furthermore, market leverage and risk appetite have not been quickly rebuilt. Therefore, the current trend resembles a moderate correction rather than a precursor to another sharp decline.K33 also noted that institutional fund flows still reflect a defensive sentiment. The latest 13F filings show that institutional investors reduced their holdings by a total of approximately 26,733 BTC in the first quarter, while retail investors increased their holdings by about 19,395 BTC. Neutral strategy institutions like Jane Street and Millennium accounted for most of this reduction. Additionally, Bitcoin ETFs recently recorded the ninth-largest five-day capital outflow since the launch of U.S. spot ETFs. K33 believes this typically occurs when BTC is near the cost basis of ETF holdings, reflecting investors' tendency to cut losses or reduce risk exposure after experiencing significant drawdowns. (The Block)
According to Chaoxiang Research, Morgan Stanley's August 25 research report indicated that Semtech's Q2 data center revenue reached $100 million, up 39% quarter-over-quarter and 91% year-over-year, marking a record high. Growth was primarily driven by the sustained strength of the 800G FiberEdge and faster-than-expected qualification of the 1.6T FiberEdge. The 1.6T FiberEdge and CopperEdge are projected to account for over 50% of data center revenue in Q3. The Q3 data center revenue guidance reflects a 45% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 160% year-over-year increase, reaching $145 million. The LoRa business also recorded record revenue of $58 million in Q2, up 31% quarter-over-quarter and 58% year-over-year, with an additional 15% increase expected in Q3. Morgan Stanley raised its price target from $175 to $195 while maintaining a Neutral rating, based on 34.5x non-GAAP EPS of $5.66. Revenue forecasts for FY2027 and FY2028 have been raised to $1.529 billion and $1.895 billion, respectively, with gross margins upgraded to 56.9% and 62.7%, and EPS increased to $3.69 and $5.65. In Q4, ACC (active copper cable) is slated for mass deployment at major hyperscale customers, creating a synergistic effect alongside 800G and 1.6T solutions. The company has announced the divestiture of its module business, which is expected to drive structural improvements in gross margin and operating margin. As disclosed in this research report
Odaily News - According to the official announcement, all spot trading pairs in Bitget's Unified Account now support leveraged trading, including stock spot rTokens. Users can directly enable leverage and borrow funds to place orders on the spot trading page without needing to transfer funds separately.This feature is applicable to both the Advanced Mode and Delta Neutral Mode of the Unified Account. The availability of leveraged trading depends on whether the currency required for the trade direction supports borrowing. App users can upgrade to version 2.91.1 to experience the relevant features. For more details, please refer to Bitget's official platform.
According to TechFlow Research, a Nomura Securities report on August 12 noted that Lumentum's revenue for the June quarter increased 109% year-over-year to $1.01 billion, with component revenue growing 103% to $649 million. Narrow linewidth laser shipments grew by over 130%, pump lasers increased 80% and are expected to grow another fourfold in the coming quarters; the company holds a 70% to 80% market share in the pump laser sector. 200G EML accounts for over 25% and is expected to exceed 50% by mid-2027. OCS shipments doubled, with management guiding for triple-digit year-over-year growth in 1QFY27, progressing towards a $400 million OCS revenue target in 2H26. The supply-demand imbalance for EML and CW lasers will not ease at least from FY26 to FY27. The report judges that the technology upgrade path is clear; NPO is expected to be commercialized between late 2027 and 2028, significantly expanding the optical TAM. The global shortage of optical chips creates structural opportunities for Chinese manufacturers: Yuanjie Semiconductor is expected to gain global market share in optical chips, with Nomura giving a Neutral rating and a target price of 1,375 yuan (based on 21x 2027 expected EPS); Zhongji Innolight and Tfc Communication both receive Buy ratings, benefiting from the 800G to 1.6T upgrade, increased silicon photonics penetration, and NPO incremental opportunities.
According to TechFlow Research, Palantir's Q2 revenue was $1.95 billion, up 93% year-over-year, beating market expectations by 7%, with the after-hours stock price rising 15% following the earnings release. U.S. commercial business grew 150% year-over-year, accelerating further from 133% in the previous quarter. U.S. government business grew 90% year-over-year, also higher than 84% in Q1. Average revenue from the top 20 customers was $124 million (up 67% year-over-year), total contract value was $2.1 billion (up 118% year-over-year), and net revenue retention rate was 157%. Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month price target from $183 to $204, maintaining a Neutral rating, implying approximately 62% upside potential. Goldman Sachs believes enterprise AI deployment is shifting from single models to multi-model combinations, and sovereign AI demand is creating incremental opportunities. Palantir helps enterprises embed AI into workflows while retaining data control, and this positioning could become a growth catalyst for the next phase. Goldman Sachs also raised revenue forecasts for 2026 to 2028, with main concerns being that commercial business growth may slow down during a macro downturn.
Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have jointly released a market report, maintaining a neutral outlook on the cryptocurrency market for the third quarter of 2026. In the second quarter, the total market capitalization of the crypto market (excluding stablecoins) declined by approximately 12%, while stablecoin supply reached an all-time high. On-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a correction phase to an accumulation phase, characterized by compressed valuations, near-multi-year lows in recent active supply, and the proportion of supply in profit breaking below historical statistical lower bounds—historically corresponding to accumulation rather than distribution zones. However, the macro liquidity environment remains tight, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance under Kevin Warsh's leadership, a strong U.S. dollar, coupled with geopolitical risks, selling pressure from digital asset treasuries, and net outflows from spot BTC and ETH ETFs in the first half of the year (though the pace of outflows has begun to slow), thus overall caution is advised.
According to TechFlow Research, Goldman Sachs' July 18 report pointed out that Moonshot AI released the Kimi K3 model, with 2.8 trillion parameters, surpassing Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol to top the Arena.ai coding leaderboard, with API pricing at $2.3 per million tokens setting a new high for Chinese models. Two days after the release, Zhipu AI fell 28%, MiniMax fell 16%, Nasdaq 100 index futures fell over 1.8%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index cumulatively fell over 18% from highs. Goldman Sachs believes Kimi K3 marks a turning point: a Chinese lab unable to match the largest pre-training compute capacity in the West rapidly narrowed the gap with top US models through architectural innovation and reinforcement learning, proving that "scaling" is no longer the only winning path. Goldman Sachs warns that the "compute expansion era" may be ending, and the AI infrastructure investment logic built around "the more compute, the better" needs to be rewritten. Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating on MiniMax and Neutral on Zhipu AI. Future focus should be on the intensive launch of 2-5 trillion parameter models such as Zhipu GLM, Alibaba Qwen, and MiniMax M3 Pro.
According to TechFlow, JPMorgan’s September 10, 2026 research report upgraded Meta’s rating from “Neutral” to “Overweight” and raised its price target from $640 to $820. Based on the September 9 closing price of $653.69, this implies an upside potential of approximately 25%. The Muse AI agent ranked third on the US App Store on its second day, with early usage volume 10 times that of the test cohort. JPMorgan projects capital expenditure of $243 billion in 2027, up 70% year over year, and $284 billion in 2028.
The National Sheriffs' Association (NSA) announced that it will shift its stance on the Clarity for Digital Assets Act from opposition to neutrality, stating it will allow the legislative process to proceed.
According to Chaoshine Research, Morgan Stanley's August 31 semiconductor weekly report indicated that Broadcom's AI revenue momentum remains strong, with July quarter AI revenue estimated at approximately $16 billion (QoQ +48%), rising further to $21.2 billion in the October quarter (QoQ +32%). AI revenue is expected to reach approximately $120 billion by 2027; however, aggressive market expectations have already surpassed $150 billion, making overly high expectations the primary risk. Morgan Stanley maintains an Overweight rating on Broadcom, projecting it will retain roughly 80% of its long-term TPU share. For Ambarella, Morgan Stanley forecasts QoQ revenue growth of 7.9% in the July quarter, followed by a further 12% increase in the October quarter. Driven by fleet telematics and AI video applications, its automotive business is expected to achieve full-year revenue growth of approximately 20%. Morgan Stanley maintains an Overweight rating on Ambarella, citing its strong positioning in the edge AI sector. Skyworks secured the entire RF front-end share in the re-bid for Google Pixel, with the agreement extended through 2030 and cumulative revenue projected to exceed $1 billion. Morgan Stanley maintains a Neutral rating, noting that while long-term opportunities exist across the broader market, short-term operational pressures remain.
According to Chaoxiang Research, Morgan Stanley's August 25 research report indicated that Semtech's Q2 data center revenue reached $100 million, up 39% quarter-over-quarter and 91% year-over-year, marking a record high. Growth was primarily driven by the sustained strength of the 800G FiberEdge and faster-than-expected qualification of the 1.6T FiberEdge. The 1.6T FiberEdge and CopperEdge are projected to account for over 50% of data center revenue in Q3. The Q3 data center revenue guidance reflects a 45% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 160% year-over-year increase, reaching $145 million. The LoRa business also recorded record revenue of $58 million in Q2, up 31% quarter-over-quarter and 58% year-over-year, with an additional 15% increase expected in Q3. Morgan Stanley raised its price target from $175 to $195 while maintaining a Neutral rating, based on 34.5x non-GAAP EPS of $5.66. Revenue forecasts for FY2027 and FY2028 have been raised to $1.529 billion and $1.895 billion, respectively, with gross margins upgraded to 56.9% and 62.7%, and EPS increased to $3.69 and $5.65. In Q4, ACC (active copper cable) is slated for mass deployment at major hyperscale customers, creating a synergistic effect alongside 800G and 1.6T solutions. The company has announced the divestiture of its module business, which is expected to drive structural improvements in gross margin and operating margin. As disclosed in this research report
According to Trend Insight Research, a Goldman Sachs research report dated August 20 notes that CoreWeave’s second-quarter revenue met expectations, with an EBIT margin 200 basis points above market consensus and its 2026 revenue guidance exceeding market forecasts by 1%. The revenue backlog grew 5% quarter-over-quarter to $104 billion, adding over $25 billion in committed orders since the third quarter. Active power capacity increased from 1 GW in the first quarter to over 1.5 GW, while contracted power capacity reached 4.2 GW. Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month price target from $121 to $139, implying a 53% upside from the current share price, and maintains a Neutral rating. Goldman Sachs believes CoreWeave’s near-term visibility is clear: demand continues to outpace supply, pricing across new and legacy GPU generations remains elevated, and capacity expansion is on schedule. Next-generation chips (Blackwell, Vera Rubin) continue to set new price records, and recent A100 delivery contracts have now been extended to 2029. Enterprise client share is rising (Caterpillar, IBM, Nissan, ZF), with AI compute demand diffusing from tech giants to the broader real economy. Goldman Sachs projects EBITDA will grow from $3.1 billion in 2025 to $31.3 billion in 2028. The Neutral rating reflects a wait-and-see stance until software and platform services prove to be more definitive profitability drivers, at which point a more positive assessment will follow.
Odaily News - According to the official announcement, all spot trading pairs in Bitget's Unified Account now support leveraged trading, including stock spot rTokens. Users can directly enable leverage and borrow funds to place orders on the spot trading page without needing to transfer funds separately.This feature is applicable to both the Advanced Mode and Delta Neutral Mode of the Unified Account. The availability of leveraged trading depends on whether the currency required for the trade direction supports borrowing. App users can upgrade to version 2.91.1 to experience the relevant features. For more details, please refer to Bitget's official platform.