News linked to both this project and an event.
According to Bits.media, Fidan Tofidi, Director of the Financial Technology and Innovation Department of the Central Bank of Azerbaijan, stated that the country's Virtual Asset Market Regulation Bill has been drafted and submitted for deliberation, and is expected to be formally enacted within the year. The bill requires all companies engaged in crypto asset business to obtain a license issued by the central bank, prohibits unauthorized operations within the territory, and subjects licensed institutions to ongoing supervision. The regulatory framework will cover compliance requirements such as anti-money laundering, counter-terrorist financing, and customer identification (KYC), and will be incorporated into Azerbaijan's 2027—2030 Financial Market Development Strategy.
According to The Block, the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) officially released the final draft of the comprehensive crypto regulatory framework on Tuesday, covering prudential capital requirements, market abuse control, and stablecoin standards. The mandatory authorization regime will officially take effect on October 25, 2027. The framework applies to crypto trading platforms, custodians, stablecoin issuers, lending and staking service providers, as well as some DeFi entities with identifiable controlling entities. Market abuse rules cover insider trading and market manipulation. Stablecoin issuers must meet requirements for reserve backing, safeguarding of funds, and redemption disclosures, with the capital ratio reduced from 2% to 1%. The FCA will open the authorization application window from September 30, 2026 to February 28, 2027, and will provide pre-application support meetings starting from July this year. Existing anti-money laundering registration status will not be automatically converted, and relevant institutions must reapply for authorization. FCA Executive Director David Geale stated that the framework aims to provide regulatory certainty for the industry while preserving room for innovation.
the core US crypto regulatory bill, the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" (Clarity Act), has entered a critical two-week negotiation cycle for legislation. The Senate will be in recess until July 13. During the recess, bipartisan staff, the White House, and representatives from the crypto industry will continue to negotiate outstanding differences in the bill, focusing on resolving disputes over topics such as the integration of the two bill versions from the Senate Banking Committee and the Agriculture Committee, ethics clauses, and anti-money laundering rules.If all parties successfully reach a unified compromise version, the bill could be submitted for a full Senate vote as early as late July to early August. The market generally believes that the period before the August congressional recess is the only window for the bill to be passed this year. If the vote is not completed during this phase, the probability of the bill being enacted into law within 2026 will significantly decrease. (Crypto in America)
: Eric Balchunas, Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg, stated that the S&P 500 is currently at historical highs, while money market fund (MMF) assets have also hit record levels. This contrast of "both stocks and cash at highs" is stark, but for bulls, it means there is still plenty of "dry powder" that has yet to enter the market. A significant return of funds to the stock market may only occur when interest rates fall below 3%, as in the current 4% yield environment, investors prefer holding stable net asset value money market funds with no drawdown risk over bond ETFs.Balchunas believes that the substantial drawdown in the bond market in 2022 (e.g., AGG fell by about 13%) eroded investor confidence in traditional bonds, leading money market funds to partially replace traditional bond allocations. Additionally, macroeconomic uncertainties in the U.S. (including factors related to Trump's policies) have further exacerbated capital's wait-and-see sentiment.
that, according to the latest social media news from CoinGecko, Gate, along with platforms such as Coinbase and OKX, is competing for new users in the EU. Gate continues to advance its European compliance process. Its Malta-based entity, Gate Europe, has obtained the European MiCA and PI licenses under the supervision of the Malta Financial Services Authority (MFSA), strengthening its global compliance framework.Furthermore, leveraging its rich trading products, robust platform services, and global operational capabilities, Gate is actively addressing the growing demand for digital asset trading in the European market. This strategic deployment not only enhances Gate's localized service capabilities in Europe but also provides solid support for the platform in terms of user trust, fund security, compliant operations, and long-term market expansion, underscoring its competitive compliance advantage among global crypto trading platforms.
According to Cointelegraph, the Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) has granted the 50th Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP) license to tokenized asset platform Tribe Tokenisation FZE. VARA stated that licensed enterprises must undergo a controlled operation phase before formally providing services. As of the end of 2025, 39 licensed VASPs were fully operational, and the latest 2026 data is still being verified. In comparison, Singapore currently has 37 licensed Digital Payment Token service providers, while Hong Kong has only 13 licensed Virtual Asset Trading Platforms.
CZ stated in an interview that the significant downturn in the crypto market during the first half of 2026 cannot be explained by a single factor. The overall correction of approximately 50% is likely the result of multiple macro and structural factors. Geopolitical tensions, capital flowing from crypto assets into the AI sector, and the traditional four-year crypto market cycle are jointly suppressing market performance. Notably, Bitcoin has seen a clear decline from its all-time high, falling from around $126,000 last year to approximately $60,000 currently.CZ said that despite short-term price pressure, the industry's long-term trend will continue to grow. He believes that as global demand for trading and financial technology increases, the scale of the crypto industry will still expand. Currently, "emerging industries like AI are absorbing hot money from the market," but this could be a positive phenomenon in the long run. Additionally, he is optimistic about the development of prediction markets, believing they help improve price discovery efficiency and market liquidity.On the regulatory front, CZ believes the US may push forward legislative progress like the "Clarity Act" for digital assets before the end of the year, but these policies are "tactical adjustments" and will not change the long-term growth trajectory of the crypto industry. He also pointed out that countries around the world are still accelerating the development of digital asset regulatory frameworks. (CoinD)
Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that on Polymarket, the probability of the "Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points at the July meeting" has dropped to 18.1%, while the probability of "maintaining the current interest rate" has risen to 81%. The total trading volume for this event has reached $21.74 million.The market currently widely expects the Fed to remain on hold at the FOMC meeting scheduled for July 28-29. Although the US CPI rose 4.2% year-over-year in May, and energy prices have surged due to tensions in the Middle East, keeping inflationary pressures alive, after the Fed kept the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% at the June meeting, the market is leaning towards waiting for more economic data before deciding on the subsequent policy path. Key economic indicators to be released on July 14, including the US June CPI data, as well as employment and wage figures, will be important variables influencing the outcome of the July meeting.The Odaily Seer Prophets Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.
following Micron Technology's optimistic earnings report and Qualcomm's positive performance outlook, sentiment in the technology sector has notably warmed, driving a rebound in market risk appetite and alleviating earlier concerns over a slowdown in AI-related trading. Driven by this, Bitcoin recovered after hitting a 20-month low, rebounding 0.3% to $61,106, after briefly dipping to $59,062 during the session. Market focus now shifts to the upcoming U.S. PCE inflation data, which could influence expectations for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate policy and further sway the performance of risk assets.
According to Cryptopolitan, prediction market platform Kalshi has filed a lawsuit against Illinois Governor JB Pritzker and Attorney General Kwame Raoul, among other officials, in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois over the state’s newly signed SB3019 bill. The bill requires prediction market platforms to obtain state-level operating licenses and imposes a 0.2% tax on digital asset transactions involving Illinois residents; it is set to take effect on July 1. Kalshi argues that, as a CFTC-registered platform, it is protected under the Commodity Exchange Act, which grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over exchange-traded derivatives—a federal authority that conflicts with the state-level regulatory framework. The company has also sought both a temporary restraining order and a permanent injunction to prevent the bill from taking effect as scheduled.
According to Odaily, within the ten days leading up to the World Cup, Polymarket's soccer category trading volume exceeded $2 billion, a 300% increase compared to the previous ten days. The average daily trading volume rose from $53 million before the tournament to approximately $220 million. Meanwhile, last Thursday, Kalshi's open interest reached a record $1.16 billion, surpassing the $1 billion mark for the first time and growing 350% since the beginning of the year.Although Polymarket's open interest levels remained relatively stable during the World Cup, the open interest on Polymarket's U.S. branch only saw moderate growth, failing to reach the highs from April 2026. Kalshi's open interest has grown faster than its trading volume, indicating that its user base holds positions for longer periods and has established larger directional positions. Its CFTC-regulated channel and direct USD deposit gateway have attracted U.S. institutions and high-net-worth dollar investors. (The Block)
this week that Kalshi has filed a lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois against Illinois Attorney General Kwame Raoul, Governor JB Pritzker, and other state officials.Kalshi stated that the state's budget bill, SB3019, which requires prediction market platforms to obtain state-level licenses and is set to take effect on July 1, conflicts with the federal preemption provision of the Commodity Exchange Act, putting it in a position of either violating federal or state law. According to Kalshi, if it ceases to offer sports event contracts in Illinois to comply with the bill, it would violate the uniformity requirements of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and harm its business interests. Kalshi has requested the court to grant a temporary restraining order, a preliminary injunction, and a permanent injunction to prevent Illinois from enforcing the law. (The Block)
According to the latest macro-trend report released by QCP Group, market focus is shifting from the “signing-related optimism” surrounding multiple macro events toward post-signing execution risks. The U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) has been formally signed; Brent crude oil prices have retreated below USD 80 per barrel, easing tail risks. However, traffic volume through the Strait of Hormuz remains at just 14 transits—well below normal levels—and a 60-day technical negotiation window has now opened. Market pricing is pivoting toward actual tanker flow volumes and progress on compliance with the Lebanon ceasefire. The Federal Reserve unanimously held interest rates steady at 3.50%–3.75%, but signaled its intention to keep rates higher for longer. The median dot-plot projection for 2026 was raised to 3.8% (up from 3.4%), with the range widened to 3.4%–4.4%; forward guidance was simultaneously scrapped. Core PCE inflation forecasts stand at 3.30%, and headline PCE at 3.82%—both above target—confirming that inflation—not growth—remains the primary constraint. Following its IPO, SpaceX’s stock price has declined approximately 27% from its peak of USD 211 to USD 155, yet it remains 14.5% above its IPO price of USD 135. Market narrative has shifted from IPO momentum to AI financing logic: its USD 20 billion note issuance is earmarked to refinance an xAI bridge loan, while the ~USD 60 billion Anysphere/Cursor transaction converts equity into acquisition currency. SpaceX is now being integrated into the AI capital formation cycle. In the crypto market, S
South Korea has incorporated tokenized securities into its comprehensive capital market reform framework. The Financial Services Commission (FSC) recently launched the Capital Market Infrastructure Review Meeting to coordinate reforms—including accelerating securities settlement, extending trading hours, and advancing digital transformation. Under the plan, the tokenized securities framework will officially take effect in February 2027, and related subordinate regulations are expected to be open for public consultation in July this year. Regarding infrastructure development, Samsung SDS has secured a contract from the Korea Securities Depository (KSD) to develop a tokenized securities management platform, integrating the existing electronic securities account system with blockchain data; the platform is also scheduled for completion by February 2027.
Ophelia Snyder, co-founder of 21Shares, stated that although tokenization can address practical issues such as settlement efficiency and asset liquidity, there remains a significant cognitive gap between the crypto industry and traditional financial institutions regarding this topic.She pointed out that the greater challenge currently lies in integrating blockchain assets with the existing systems of banks, brokerages, and asset management companies. Market discussions often overlook the operational环节 between trade execution and final settlement. While the blockchain industry has made progress in transaction throughput, it still falls short of meeting the demands of traditional financial institutions in areas such as bookkeeping, compliance processes, regulatory reporting, and risk management for 24/7 trading.Ophelia Snyder also noted that most financial institutions rely on third-party software vendors that have yet to fully adapt their systems for blockchain-native transactions. She believes the biggest bottleneck the industry currently faces is achieving large-scale adoption, rather than the functionality itself. (CoinDesk)
Greece rejected Binance's authorization application under the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework, possibly due to political pressure exerted by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde.Binance submitted its application to the Hellenic Capital Market Commission earlier in 2026, established a holding company locally, and had already passed key technical reviews. However, the application was swiftly overturned between June 7 and June 15, 2026. During a meeting in May, Lagarde told Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis that Europe does not welcome Binance. The reason is that Binance, as a dominant platform providing stablecoin liquidity, is considered by some policymakers to be large enough to potentially complicate the European Central Bank's push for the digital euro project.With the Greek route blocked, Binance has shifted its focus to France in an effort to obtain a MiCA license. (crowdfundinsider)
the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is preparing to introduce a new policy that would allow crypto companies to offer blockchain-based tokenized stock trading, potentially having a significant impact on the traditional stock market structure. According to SEC Chairman Paul Atkins, companies will be permitted to experiment with new digital asset business models, including the tokenization of US stocks, without fully complying with existing disclosure and investor protection rules.However, the proposal has also raised concerns among traditional financial institutions such as Citadel Securities and SIFMA, who argue that such changes could divert liquidity and create regulatory arbitrage risks. As of now, the SEC has not made any public comments on the matter. (Reuters)
Hester Peirce, Commissioner of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), shared her views on perpetual contracts, prediction markets, and the future of digital asset regulation—overall adopting a positive and open tone. Peirce revisited the Rule 611 “trade-through” proposal, which has been under discussion for roughly two decades, noting that the so-called “innovation exemption” mechanism would be deliberately designed to be strict and narrowly tailored, striking a balance between market innovation and investor protection. She emphasized that clearer regulatory frameworks—not outright restrictions or ambiguous oversight—should govern emerging financial products such as tokenized securities, perpetual contracts, and prediction markets. She also underscored two core principles: self-custody and financial privacy must serve as foundational rights within future regulatory systems and must be integrated into the design of subsequent digital asset regulatory regimes.
According to Forbes, as the 2026 U.S. primaries advance, political donations from the crypto industry have surged significantly. Protect Progress—a Democratic super PAC backed by the Fairshake network—is continuously channeling funds into candidates across several key districts, sparking controversy over “political narrative packaging.” Disclosures show that in the Maryland House of Delegates race alone, Protect Progress has contributed over $4.9 million to candidate Adrian Boafo; similar funding has also flowed to multiple Democratic candidates in Texas and Georgia. Meanwhile, Congress is advancing the Digital Asset Market Structure Act (the CLARITY Act), and the progress of this legislation further elevates the importance of primary election outcomes. Analysts contend that the crypto industry’s influence within the U.S. political system continues to expand, with several senators and candidates publicly endorsing regulatory frameworks for the crypto industry.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that Bitcoin weakened rapidly after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% and released a relatively hawkish dot plot, falling below the $64,000 mark and dropping about 4% from its intraday high.This meeting marked the Fed's fourth consecutive pause, but the latest dot plot indicates a significant shift towards a hawkish policy path: several officials now expect the possibility of further rate hikes this year, further diminishing the market's pricing of "rate cut expectations." Analysts believe this change has a greater impact than the rate decision itself, directly suppressing risk asset valuations.Market data shows that Bitcoin initially surged to around $66,400 following the announcement, before quickly reversing downward amid heavy selling pressure, hitting a low of approximately $63,870. Trading volume notably expanded, indicating active selling-driven declines. The price is currently consolidating near the lower end of the $63,600–$64,000 range, with no significant inbound capital from bargain hunting.In stark contrast is gold's performance. Spot gold rapidly recovered after briefly dipping to around $4,220, climbing back above the $4,300 level to trade near $4,321, demonstrating strong defensive attributes and capital absorption capacity. Even against a backdrop of easing geopolitical risks, safe-haven demand remains resilient.Market participants pointed out that the core divergence in this round of reaction lies in the repricing of asset attributes: gold completed a swift recovery under the same macroeconomic shock, while Bitcoin failed to reclaim the key level of $64,000, highlighting the higher sensitivity of risk assets to "higher-for-longer interest rates."Overall, the market is transitioning from a phase of "loose expectations supporting risk assets" to one of "hawkish path suppressing valuations," with short-term risk appetite clearly cooling. The key observation point is whether Bitcoin can re-enter the $64,000–$65,000 range with volume confirming stability; otherwise, a weak consolidation structure may persist.