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Greeks.live: Today, 25,000 BTC options and 274,000 ETH options expire.

According to analyst [email protected] (@BTC__options), the options expiry data for May 15 is as follows: For BTC, 25,000 contracts expired, with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.59, a maximum pain point at $80,000, and a notional value of $2 billion. For ETH, 274,000 contracts expired, with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.4, a maximum pain point at $2,300, and a notional value of $620 million. This week, Bitcoin traded sideways near $80,000, exhibiting clear technical support; market attention remained low, with only 6% of BTC options expiring, versus 11% for ETH. BTC’s key-term implied volatility (IV) stood at approximately 35%, while ETH’s was around 50%. Skew has fluctuated minimally over the past month, reflecting neutral directional sentiment, and options activity remains extremely low—approximately 20% of open interest is expected to remain by end-May and roughly 30% by end-June. Overall, Bitcoin performed relatively well in both price and market热度 during Q2 2024, supported by favorable legal, regulatory, and macroeconomic developments. However, market热度 still falls short of expectations. Against this long-term bullish backdrop, Bitcoin remains the primary trading instrument, and positioning in medium-to-long-dated options is widely viewed as a reasonable strategy.

Upbit to Delist NKN/NKN Trading Pair

According to the official announcement, Upbit will terminate trading support for NKN (NKN) on June 15 at 14:00, affecting the NKN/BTC trading pair. Users must withdraw their funds before July 16; otherwise, related assets will no longer be processable.

Analysis: Bitcoin long-term holders are accumulating heavily, institutional buying drives price back above $80,000

the latest Bitfinex Alpha report indicates that as May began, BTC successfully navigated through the dense sell-off zone between $78,000 and $79,000, briefly approaching $83,000. This rally is primarily driven by spot demand, rather than leveraged funds. Since May 8, the spot CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) has risen significantly, showing that buyers are continuously taking the initiative to absorb market supply. ETF inflows and public market accumulation are the main drivers, while long-term holders have now accumulated close to 4 million BTC, the largest increase since the pandemic crash in 2020, suggesting that circulating market supply is being further locked up. The market currently estimates the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June at approximately 94%. Against the backdrop of macroeconomic uncertainty, institutional capital continues to deploy into the crypto market.

10x Research: BTC’s negative gamma squeeze may ease by the end of May, potentially shifting market sentiment from bearish to bullish

According to 10x Research analysis, Bitcoin’s total gamma exposure has remained negative since mid-January and currently stands at -$3.2 billion at the $82,000 strike price. In a negative gamma environment, market makers are forced to trade in the direction of price movement—buying aggressively on rallies and selling aggressively on declines—thereby amplifying price volatility. As options expire en masse on May 29 and June 26, the negative gamma drag is expected to gradually dissipate, easing Bitcoin’s downward bias. Currently, demand for call options has clearly outstripped that for put options, and institutions anticipate market sentiment will shift from bearish to bullish around those expiration dates.

Analysis: Bitcoin Falls Back Below $81,000 After Failing to Break the 200-Day Moving Average, Historical Trend Sparks Market Caution

Bitcoin briefly approached the key 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around $83,300 on Wednesday but failed to achieve a decisive breakout, subsequently falling back below $81,000. Meanwhile, the broader crypto market weakened, with the CoinDesk Smart Contract Platform Index falling over 2% in the past 24 hours, making it the worst-performing major sector. The 200-day moving average is widely regarded by the market as a key indicator for measuring long-term trends. If BTC can hold above this level, it would further reinforce the market narrative that the bear market, which saw prices fall below $63,000 in February, has ended and a new bull market has begun.However, a similar situation occurred historically in March 2022, when Bitcoin briefly broke above and tested the 200-day moving average before ultimately falling to around $20,000 by June of that year. As a result, some analysts are warning of the risk of a "fakeout."Analytics firm Marex stated that Bitcoin's ability to continue its upward trajectory depends on three factors: sustained spot buying pressure, a continued tightening of exchange supply, and a derivatives market that remains healthy without overheating. If all three factors align positively, Bitcoin could quickly open up the path towards the $85,000 range. Alex Kuptsikevich, Chief Market Analyst at FxPro, noted that this pullback appears more like a brief consolidation within an uptrend rather than an end to the trend. However, he also cautioned that the daily RSI had previously entered overbought territory, and similar instances in the past were accompanied by significant corrections.Additionally, the 10-year US Treasury yield has fallen to 4.32% from its early-month high of 4.46%, which is viewed as a potential positive factor for risk assets. (CoinDesk)

HashKey Exchange Launches Limited-Time RLUSD Deposit Rewards and Fee Discount Campaign

According to an official announcement by HashKey, HashKey Exchange—a licensed virtual asset exchange operated by Hong Kong-listed HashKey Holdings Limited (3887.HK)—has launched a time-limited RLUSD deposit reward program and RLUSD withdrawal fee discount following the official listing of Ripple USD (RLUSD) on its platform on February 13, 2026. This promotion is available for a limited time only and is exclusively open to eligible professional investors. **Promotion 1: RLUSD Deposit Reward Program** From now until May 22, 2026, customers who deposit RLUSD into their HashKey Exchange accounts—meeting or exceeding the minimum amount required for their chosen tier—and maintain the corresponding RLUSD account balance through June 23, 2026, will receive the applicable reward. Rewards are capped at up to 25,000 RLUSD and are allocated on a first-come, first-served basis. **Promotion 2: RLUSD Withdrawal Fee Discount** Withdrawals of RLUSD via the Ethereum (ERC-20) network completed before May 30, 2026, will incur zero withdrawal fees. For full details—including eligibility criteria, reward tiers, balance maintenance requirements, reward quota limits, scope of fee discounts, and other applicable terms and conditions—please refer to the official HashKey Exchange campaign page.

An address holding SKYAI made a profit of over $450,000 in one month, with the remaining position worth approximately $125,000

According to monitoring by crypto analyst Ember (@EmberCN), SKYAI's price has risen from $0.073 to $0.8 over the past month, representing an increase of approximately 10 times. An address spent 49,000 USDT to purchase 1.032 million SKYAI in June last year, with an entry price of approximately $0.048.Following the recent surge in SKYAI, this address has sold 873,000 SKYAI in the past few days, with a transaction value of approximately $372,000 and an average selling price of about $0.426. Currently, it still holds 158,000 SKYAI, valued at approximately $125,000.

Tapp Exchange will gradually cease operations, and users must withdraw their assets before May 31.

According to an official announcement, Tapp Exchange will gradually cease operations. The protocol will remain fully operational until May 31, 2026, during which users’ assets will remain secure and withdrawable. After May 31, its frontend will be taken offline, and users will only be able to withdraw funds by interacting directly with the smart contracts on-chain. Tapp Exchange stated that since its launch on Aptos in June 2025, it has built a V4-style decentralized exchange, introduced ve(3,3) voting, emission distribution, bribe infrastructure, and governance tools, achieving a cumulative trading volume of $1.95 billion.

Bitcoin and Ethereum options with a notional value of $9.87 billion are set to expire on April 24th.

Odaily Odaily News: Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on X platform, disclosing the options delivery data for April 24th:1. 109,000 BTC options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.93, a max pain point of $72,000, and a notional value of $8.55 billion.2. 563,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.72, a max pain point of $2,200, and a notional value of $1.32 billion.The market continued to rebound this week, with Bitcoin breaking above $78,000. The Hong Kong Web3 conference was also filled with an upbeat atmosphere, and the altcoin market is recovering as well. This is a monthly expiry, with 25% of options set to expire. In terms of holding periods, the distribution of open interest in the options market shows 12% for the end of May and 24% for the end of June.Looking at the main options data, Bitcoin's key tenor IV continued to decline this month, with most tenor IVs falling by 1% to 2% to below 40%. ETH's main tenor IV dropped even more, currently around 60%. Despite the price increase, Skew has declined, and there is no FOMO sentiment in the market.In the second quarter of this year, Bitcoin's performance in both price and market sentiment was significantly better than in the first quarter. This month's sustained rebound is a sign of capital inflow. If macro pressure bottoms out by mid-year, Bitcoin's bottom will also be confirmed.

SpaceX Initiates Pre-IPO Wall Street Closed-Door Meetings, Plans to Reserve Approximately 30% of Shares for Retail Investors

Odaily News SpaceX will hold a three-day closed-door analyst meeting in the United States this week to present its business and strategy to Wall Street institutions in preparation for a potential IPO. Informed sources stated that the company aims to raise approximately $75 billion, with a valuation potentially reaching $1.75 trillion, and plans to go public as early as June.The meeting will cover SpaceX's Starbase launch site in Texas and its data center project in Tennessee. Participating analysts are required to surrender electronic devices to ensure information confidentiality. This roadshow is a key part of the IPO process, and subsequent model explanation meetings will be held to further disclose financial and growth expectations.Furthermore, the company plans to reserve approximately 30% of its shares for retail investors and expand into global markets. Several Wall Street investment banks have already participated in underwriting arrangements. (Reuters)

Analysis: This BTC rebound is driven by “liquidity” rather than a fundamental strengthening of the trend.

According to The Block, Bitcoin rose approximately 6% this week, briefly reaching $76,300—the highest level in nearly two months—yet the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains at 21 (“Extreme Fear”). Multiple institutional analysts characterize this rally as “liquidity-driven” rather than a structural strengthening. Glassnode notes that while spot demand and ETF inflows have improved, the recovery lacks depth, institutional participation remains cautious, and options market positioning continues to favor downside protection. Bitfinex attributes this price increase primarily to concentrated buying by “Strategists” (who purchased 13,927 BTC last week), rather than an organic rebound in demand. Analysts broadly view $75,000 as a critical support level; if structural buying wanes and this level fails to hold, prices could retreat to the $70,000–$71,000 range. On the macro front, the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory and the June FOMC meeting are seen as the next key risk catalysts.

Figure Technologies and Hastra Partner to Launch On-Chain Auto Loans, Expanding DeFi Credit Assets

According to Cointelegraph, blockchain lending platform Figure Technology and its on-chain credit platform Hastra have officially integrated auto loans into their tokenized credit market, further expanding the range of real-world assets (RWAs) accessible to decentralized finance (DeFi) investors. Democratized Prime—the decentralized lending marketplace operated by Figure Markets—has launched auto finance as a new asset class for the first time. Hastra has also announced its expansion to Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM)-compatible chains, with plans to roll out auto loan products first on Solana and then on Ethereum in June. According to Michael Tannenbaum, CEO of Figure, the platform has generated over $22 billion in on-chain loans to date. Analysts view Figure’s tokenized lending business as experiencing significant growth and have assigned it an “outperform” rating with a $67 price target.

Analyst: BTC’s recovery is fragile; Middle East tensions may dominate market trends in 2026

According to Cointelegraph, Nic Puckrin, founder of Coin Bureau and a cryptocurrency market analyst, stated that Bitcoin’s current recovery is fragile. Geopolitical and macroeconomic pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict will dominate market trends in Q2 2026, with rate cuts not expected until Q3 or Q4 at the earliest. He noted that for BTC to reach $90,000, three conditions must simultaneously be met: easing geopolitical tensions, oil prices falling back to around $80 per barrel, and weakening economic data. BTC is currently trading at approximately $71,276, facing resistance near $74,000 and still trading below its 200-day exponential moving average. Earlier, on April 6, BTC briefly rose above $73,000 but subsequently declined following the collapse of U.S.-Iran negotiations and former U.S. President Trump’s announcement of a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. There remains disagreement within the Federal Reserve’s FOMC regarding interest rate cuts in 2026; CME FedWatch data shows over a 98% probability that rates will be held steady at both the April 29 and June 17 meetings.

Greeks.live: Bitcoin and Ethereum options with a notional value of $2.27 billion expire today

According to options analyst [email protected] (@BTC__options), on April 10, a total of 27,000 BTC options expired, with a Put/Call Ratio of 0.71, a max pain level at $69,000, and a notional value of $1.94 billion; meanwhile, 151,000 ETH options expired, with a Put/Call Ratio of 0.77, a max pain level at $2,050, and a notional value of $330 million. Market-wise, spurred by news of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire this week, BTC surged past $72,000—breaking out of its recent consolidation range. BTC options’ market share has consistently exceeded 80%, with open interest concentrated in late April and late June expiries; trading activity is dominated by the current-month (late-April) expiry. In terms of volatility, BTC’s implied volatility (IV) across major tenors dropped sharply to around 40%, while ETH’s IV across major tenors also declined to approximately 60%. Skew continues rising, albeit modestly. Analysts note that BTC’s performance this year has been weak both in price and market热度 (heat). Although this week’s sustained rebound is rare, indicators such as fund flows suggest the crypto market remains driven by broader markets, with most of its own metrics pointing to bearish characteristics.